Core Viewpoint - Turkey's industrial output showed a year-on-year growth of 2.2% in October, indicating a continued moderate growth trend [1] Industry Analysis - The mining and quarrying sector experienced the highest growth, increasing by 9.4% year-on-year [1] - Manufacturing output grew by 1.9% year-on-year [1] - The electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply sector saw a year-on-year increase of 0.6% [1] Monthly Data Insights - On a month-on-month basis, the industrial production index decreased by 0.8% in October [1] - The mining and quarrying sector grew by 1.2% month-on-month [1] - Manufacturing output declined by 0.9% month-on-month [1] - The electricity, gas, and related industries experienced a month-on-month decrease of 1.2% [1] Overall Assessment - The industrial sector maintains expansion on a year-on-year basis, but the monthly data fluctuations indicate that the manufacturing sector is still facing certain pressures in the short term [1]

Core Viewpoint - Sweden's economy continues to show signs of contraction in October, with a notable structural divergence as industrial orders experience significant growth despite overall economic weakness [1][3]. Economic Indicators - October GDP decreased by 0.3% month-on-month, following a 0.1% decline in September, marking the fifth instance of monthly negative GDP this year [1]. - Year-on-year, October GDP grew by 2.1%, a slowdown from the revised 2.8% in September [1]. Industrial Orders - Total industrial orders in October increased by 12.1% year-on-year, up from a revised 6.7% in the previous month [1]. - Domestic orders surged by 23.2%, compared to a mere 2.1% growth in September, while foreign orders saw a slowdown to 4.6% from 10.4% [1]. Sector Performance - The transportation equipment sector saw a remarkable order increase of 60.6%, and capital goods orders rose by 36.7%, driving overall order growth [1]. - Conversely, orders in the coal and refined petroleum products sector fell by 22.1%, and electrical equipment manufacturing orders decreased by 10.1% [1]. Industrial Output - Seasonally adjusted, industrial orders rose by 4.7% month-on-month, with a cumulative increase of 6.4% year-to-date compared to the same period in 2024 [2]. - Industrial output grew by only 5.9% year-on-year in October, significantly lower than the revised 14.6% in September [2]. - Key manufacturing sectors showed continued weakness, with food, beverage, and tobacco production down by 3.7%, textiles and clothing down by 5.3%, and wood products down by 2.4% [2]. Consumer Spending - Household spending decreased by 0.9% month-on-month in October, reversing the 0.5% growth seen in September [3]. - Year-on-year, household consumption grew by 2.3%, down from the revised 3.6% in September [3]. - Spending in transportation, retail, and motor services fell by 2.4%, while entertainment and cultural services saw a 0.9% decline [3]. Overall Economic Outlook - The Swedish economy is characterized by a complex situation of "demand recovery, production lag, and weak consumption" in October [3]. - The surge in domestic orders suggests potential future production recovery, but the current simultaneous decline in output and consumption indicates an unstable economic recovery foundation [3].

Economic Overview - The UK economy contracted in September due to concerns over tax increases and a cyberattack on Jaguar Land Rover, increasing pressure on the Labour government ahead of the critical budget announcement on November 26 [1] - The UK's GDP fell by 0.1% month-on-month in September, against an expectation of 0%, and grew by 1.1% year-on-year, below the expected 1.3% [1] - The third quarter GDP growth was 0.1% quarter-on-quarter, below the expected 0.2%, and 1.3% year-on-year, also below the expected 1.4% [1] Sector Performance - In September, UK industrial output decreased by 2%, the largest decline since January 2021, with manufacturing output down by 1.7%, marking the biggest drop since April 2024 [1] - Seven out of thirteen manufacturing sub-sectors reported monthly declines, with the production of motor vehicles, trailers, and semi-trailers plummeting by 28.6% [1] - The electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply sector also saw a decline of 3.4%, alongside a 3.4% drop in mining and quarrying [1] Business Investment - Business investment in the third quarter fell by 0.3%, better than the expected 0.7% decline, but marking the second consecutive quarter of decline, indicating ongoing weak corporate spending [1] - Year-on-year, business investment grew by only 0.7%, a significant slowdown from the previous quarter's 3% growth [1] Monetary Policy Outlook - Recent economic signals have increased the likelihood of a rate cut by the Bank of England in December, with market expectations for a rate cut now at approximately 82% [1] - Disappointing GDP data may pave the way for the Bank of England to support further easing of monetary policy, creating conditions for a potential rate cut in December [2] - The anticipated fiscal tightening in the upcoming budget could range from 0.5% to 1% of GDP, which may further encourage market expectations for a rate cut, negatively impacting the British pound [3]

Core Insights - The unemployment rate in the Philippines decreased to 3.8% in September, marking a 0.1 percentage point decline from August, and representing the second consecutive month of decline [1] - The number of unemployed individuals fell to 1.96 million, a reduction of 70,000 from August [1] - The labor force participation rate dropped to 64.5%, down from 65.1% in August and 65.7% year-on-year, indicating a weakening in labor market activity [1] Employment Sector Analysis - The services sector remains the largest employer in the Philippines, with 30.4 million jobs, accounting for 61.3% of total employment [1] - Agriculture and industry represent 20.9% and 17.8% of total employment, respectively [1] - Notable year-on-year employment growth was observed in construction, fisheries, aquaculture, and accommodation and food services [1] - Month-on-month, significant employment increases were seen in education, agriculture and forestry, as well as mining and quarrying [1] Employment Quality - The underemployment rate in the Philippines rose to 11.1% in September, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from August, indicating that workers are seeking more hours or better job opportunities [1] - The youth unemployment rate for individuals aged 15 to 24 slightly decreased to 11.6%, down 0.1 percentage points from August, suggesting continued improvement in employment conditions for the youth demographic [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Colombia's industrial production index for July increased by 2.9% year-on-year, driven primarily by the manufacturing sector and the electricity and gas supply industry [1] - The manufacturing sector showed the largest increase, contributing 5.8% to the overall growth, which is an improvement of 3.7 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - In the cumulative performance for the first seven months of the year, two out of four sectors experienced negative growth: mining and quarrying decreased by 7.7%, and water collection, treatment, and distribution fell by 0.7% [1] Group 2 - In contrast, the electricity and gas supply sector grew by 0.9%, while the manufacturing sector recorded a growth of 1.9% during the same period [1]

Core Insights - Ghana's economy experienced a growth rate of 6.3% in the second quarter, primarily driven by the service sector [1] Economic Performance - The service sector recorded a growth rate of 9.9%, making it the largest contributor to the national economy [1] - The fastest-growing sub-sectors within services included: - Information and Communication: 21.3% - Education: 16.6% - Health and Social Work: 14.6% - Other Personal Services: 11.3% - Financial and Insurance: 9.7% [1] Agricultural and Industrial Performance - In agriculture, livestock showed the highest growth at 5.9%, while fishing grew the slowest at 0.9% [1] - Within the industrial sector, the electricity industry performed best with a growth rate of 6.7%, whereas mining and quarrying experienced a contraction of -1.8% [1]