Core Viewpoint - The Guangdong Provincial Ecological Environment Department announced a plan to establish a carbon footprint management system by 2027, aiming to evaluate the carbon footprint of approximately 200 products [1][2]. Group 1: Carbon Footprint Assessment - The carbon footprint refers to the total carbon dioxide and greenhouse gas emissions directly or indirectly released during production and daily activities [2]. - The focus will be on assessing the carbon footprint of key products in Guangdong, including electronics, offshore wind equipment, new energy vehicles, home appliances, and textiles, which have significant production volumes and market shares [2]. - Priority will be given to products in industries with carbon footprint reporting requirements, such as steel, cement, aluminum, fertilizers, electricity, and hydrogen, especially in light of the EU's carbon border adjustment mechanism [2]. Group 2: Support for Low-Carbon Products - The plan aims to expand the application of product carbon footprints, integrating them into financial policies and encouraging financial institutions to consider carbon footprint disclosures in their evaluations [3]. - Government procurement will increasingly favor products with lower carbon footprints, with initiatives linked to major events like the National Games [3]. - The initiative promotes the establishment of zero-carbon parks and encourages green factories to conduct carbon footprint assessments [3]. Group 3: International Recognition Mechanism - The plan proposes exploring a mutual recognition mechanism for product carbon footprints within the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, focusing on shared methodologies and standards [4]. - It emphasizes international cooperation, aiming to establish a carbon footprint alliance involving key enterprises and industry associations to collaborate on standards and databases [4].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - Precious metals are expected to perform well in the long term despite a recent pullback, with a recommendation to overweight this sector [5] - Copper prices are expected to remain strong, with a support level around 9,350 USD per ton, influenced by macroeconomic factors and trade dynamics [6] - Aluminum prices are anticipated to trend upward, supported by easing trade tensions and a decrease in inventory levels [6] - Rare earth prices are projected to rise following a significant drop in export volumes, with expectations of increased demand due to recent diplomatic agreements [7] - Uranium prices have seen a significant increase, with expectations for a new upward trend in the second half of the year [8] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the industry is at 4,846.95, with a weekly high of 5,047.03 and a low of 3,700.9 [2] Price Movements - Basic metals saw price changes: Copper up 0.13%, Aluminum up 2.34%, Zinc up 0.86%, Lead up 0.13%, and Tin down 0.27% [20] - Precious metals experienced declines: Gold down 1.98%, Silver down 1.15%, while Platinum and Palladium saw increases of 4.08% and 1.69% respectively [20] Inventory Changes - Global visible inventories showed a decrease in Copper by 12,511 tons, Aluminum by 5,439 tons, and Zinc by 5,004 tons, while Lead saw an increase of 18,731 tons [34]

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