中国银河（601881）证券股份有限公司曾韬,段尚昌近期对星源材质（300568）进行研究并发布了研究报 告《量增价稳，固态产品进展超预期》，给予星源材质买入评级。 星源材质 事件：2025H1公司实现营收19.0亿元，同比+14.8%，归母净利1.0亿元，同比-58.5%，扣非净利0.44亿元， 同比-75.4%；毛利率25.1%，同比-6.43pcts，净利率6.4%，同比-8.22pcts。25Q2公司实现营收10.1亿元， 同/环比+7.4%/+13.5%；归母净利0.54亿元,同/环比-60.2%/+14.9%；扣非净利0.09亿元,同/环 比-88.4%/-73.5%；毛利率24.7%，同/环比-3.4/-0.8pcts；净利率7.0%，同/环比-7.4/+1.4pcts；业绩符合预 期。 量增价稳，反内卷下增长可期。公司25H1采取供价保量策略，仍受益于下游景气度实现出货高增长，预 计出货量约22亿平，同增38%，02环比微增。全年看需求态势向好，公司佛山工厂爬坡顺利、马来投产等 积极因素下，我们预计公司出货或超50亿平。价格层面我们测算Q2单平均价0.9元，环增10%+，主要系湿 法占比提升及 ...

以下文章来源于高工产研 ，作者GGII 高工产研 . 高工产业研究院（简称GGII）是一家专注国内新兴产业市场研究与咨询的第三方机构，涉及的新兴产 业主要包括锂电池、储能、氢能与氢燃料电池、新能源汽车、智能汽车、LED照明与显示、机器人、新 材料等。 据高工产研锂电研究所（GGII）调研数据显示，2025H1中国隔膜材料出货量136亿平，同比增长 49%。其中湿法隔膜出货112亿平，同比增长58%，市场占比达到82%；干法隔膜出货24亿平，同 比增长18%。 GGII预计2025年中国锂电隔膜出货量将超290亿平，同比增长超30%。 2021-2026年中国锂电隔膜材料出货量（亿平） 数据来源：高工产研锂电研究所（GGII），2025年7月 在产品应用方面， 314Ah等大容量储能电芯出货增加带动湿法隔膜应用占比提升。同时新一代大容 量储能电池产品（500+/600+Ah）也将加速湿法隔膜厚度由9μm向7μm发展。 此外，高穿刺5μm产品已经大规模应用，当前月出货超1亿平，第二代高穿刺强度5μm隔膜已送样头 部电池客户，穿刺强度接近500gf。 ●本报告数据更新至2025年6月。 ●本报告部分数据来自于企业调 ...

前不久，在恩捷股份(002812)技术创新论坛上，公司正式发布了其5μm超薄锂电池隔膜产品。这是公司目前量产的"最薄"动力电池隔膜。 近日，证券时报·e公司记者探访恩捷股份玉溪基地，实地观摩了其5μm产品的生产流程，并就动力电池隔膜行业发展趋势，固态电池材料研发进程等，与公 司相关技术负责人进行了直接对话。 记者在现场看到，产线处于全封闭生产状态，仅有少量技术人员。 玉溪基地有关负责人表示，这个基地系恩捷股份5μm产品专属产线集群，按"灯塔工厂"标准设计施工，实现了产线的数字化、自动化和模块化，通过部署数 字化系统以及AI算法，实现数据实时监控与优化。基地合计规划16条产线，占地面积超过480亩，目前的月产能为1900万平方米。 锂电池隔膜是锂电池正负极之间的一层薄膜，其厚度仅为头发丝的十分之一。在锂电池进行电解反应时，隔膜能够分隔正负极，防止短路现象的发生，同时 允许电解质离子自由通过。作为锂电池四大材料之一，隔膜的成本约占锂电池成本的10%，是研发难度最大、技术含量最深、附加值最高、投资强度最大的 锂电池材料。 通常情况下，隔膜厚度的减少和强度提升是相悖的。程旭表示，公司此番通过结构调控、多机链协同等技术 ...

"若锂电隔膜行业企业能贯彻相关倡议，遵循提升质量要求与避免低价倾销原则，行业将能回归良性竞 争。不仅企业能逐步恢复盈利能力，还能进一步投入新产品开发和安全性提升等方面。"李昇认为。 高工锂电相关人士表示，"反内卷"让行业重新回到可持续、健康的增长，这具有更重要的意义。以锂电 为代表的技术含量高、绿色化产业，将会成为中国经济新一轮增长的主要动能。企业真正的创新不是牺 牲利润，而是技术投入，只有这样，企业才能真正分享到发展红利。 （文章来源：上海证券报） 据介绍，参会企业达成五项共识：一是价格自律。将价格稳定在成本线以上，以利企业的生存。二是科 学释放产能。结合市场供需动态，科学调控生产节奏，参考供需比60%的合理区间。三是暂停扩产。由 于供需较大失衡，未来两年以消化现有产能为主，暂缓新扩产计划，集中优化存量。四是加强产业链合 作。加强产业链交流，成本信息共享，共同维护产业链的健康生态，实现互利共赢、可持续发展的长远 目标。五是社会监督。希望产业链相关协会和社会监督，承诺在合理售价下，保证生产供给符合标准要 求产品。 此次会议被视为响应国家"反内卷"等政策的具体实践，标志着行业向协同创新、高质量发展迈出重要一 步 ...

Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of Jinli Co. by Foshan Plastics Technology is poised to be the largest merger in China's lithium battery separator industry, valued at over 5 billion RMB, but faces scrutiny from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange due to the stark contrast between Jinli's declining performance and optimistic profit commitments [1][3][7]. Summary by Sections Acquisition Details - Foshan Plastics Technology plans to acquire Jinli Co. for a total consideration of 5.08 billion RMB, with 4.68 billion RMB paid in shares and 400 million RMB in cash. The company also aims to raise up to 1 billion RMB from its controlling shareholder [1]. - This transaction significantly surpasses the previous record set by Enjie Co. in 2020, which was valued at 2.02 billion RMB [1]. Performance Concerns - Jinli Co.'s asset scale is approximately 2.5 times that of Foshan Plastics Technology, leading to market perceptions of a "snake swallowing an elephant" scenario [2]. - Jinli's net profit plummeted from 364 million RMB in 2022 to 135 million RMB in 2023, with projections indicating a loss of 91 million RMB in 2024 [3]. Profit Commitments - The acquisition proposal includes a performance commitment of achieving a total of 1.2 billion RMB in profits over the next three years, with specific targets of 230 million RMB in 2025, 360 million RMB in 2026, and 610 million RMB in 2027 [4]. Industry Context - The lithium battery separator industry is currently experiencing a downturn, with a reported revenue decline of over 10% in 2024, despite a 30% increase in shipment volume. The average price of wet separators has dropped significantly, from 0.7 RMB per square meter in late 2024 to 0.5 RMB in the second quarter of 2025 [4][5]. - Industry leader Enjie Co. has even issued a profit warning for the first half of 2025, indicating ongoing challenges [4]. Strategic Justifications - In response to regulatory inquiries, Foshan Plastics Technology emphasized strategic synergies, market demand, and technological advantages as justifications for the acquisition. They cited a projected compound annual growth rate of 17.5% for lithium battery separator shipments from 2024 to 2027 [5]. - The company plans to integrate procurement needs to reduce costs and leverage each other's customer bases for market expansion [5]. Market Position and Growth - Jinli Co. achieved the highest market share in the wet separator sector in 2024, with a gross margin of 21%, significantly above the industry average of 15.56% [6]. - The company has increased its domestic market share from 12% in 2023 to 18% in 2024 and is actively expanding its customer base internationally [6]. Supply Chain Management - Jinli Co. has reduced its reliance on foreign suppliers, with the proportion of imported PE and PVDF dropping to approximately 66% and 32%, respectively, by May 2025, thereby mitigating supply chain risks [6]. Future Outlook - Despite achieving a net profit of 88.88 million RMB in the first five months of 2025, Jinli Co. must generate an additional 141 million RMB in the remaining months to meet its 2025 profit commitment [6]. - The outcome of this acquisition will not only impact the future of Foshan Plastics Technology and Jinli Co. but also reflect the broader trends in the lithium battery industry during this period of adjustment [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - The company Xingyuan Material (300568) has increased its stake in Ferrotec (6890.T) to over 5%, signaling its commitment to expanding into the semiconductor sector and establishing a second growth curve amid declining lithium battery separator prices [1][2]. Group 1: Company Strategy - Xingyuan Material is a leader in the lithium battery separator market, holding over 80% of the global market share, but faces pressure to diversify due to slowing growth in the new energy sector [2][3]. - The investment in Ferrotec, a company with strong vertical integration in semiconductor equipment and materials, aligns with Xingyuan's strategy to respond to national industrial security and ensure sustainable development [2][3]. Group 2: Market Position and Collaboration - Ferrotec holds approximately 60% market share in semiconductor equipment cleaning in China and has a significant presence in various segments globally, including a 35% share in thermoelectric semiconductor coolers [3][4]. - The partnership between Xingyuan Material and Ferrotec is expected to create synergies in technology and market access, enhancing both companies' capabilities in the semiconductor industry [5][7]. Group 3: Future Prospects - The semiconductor market presents vast opportunities, and Xingyuan Material's strategic investments, including a partnership with RSTechnologies, aim to strengthen its position in semiconductor materials [4][5]. - The establishment of a factory in Malaysia by Xingyuan Material, alongside Ferrotec's operations in the same region, provides a platform for collaborative growth in international markets [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [6]. Core Views - The company is a leading domestic manufacturer of lithium battery separators, actively expanding its global presence and product offerings in response to the solid-state battery trend [9][12]. - The company has established a strategic partnership with Zhongke Shenlan to develop solid-state electrolyte membranes, enhancing its product portfolio [35][40]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for solid-state batteries, with significant investments in production capacity planned for the coming years [45][49]. Summary by Sections 1. Traditional Separator Leader, Diversifying Future - The company has over 20 years of experience in the separator industry, being the first in China to export both dry and wet process separators [9]. - In 2024, the company achieved a market share of 17.6% in separator shipments, maintaining its position as the second-largest domestic supplier [12]. 2. Embracing the Solid-State Battery Wave - The solid-state battery trend is gaining momentum, with significant government support and industry developments [20]. - The company has launched innovative rigid skeleton separators and various polymer electrolyte separators, which are expected to reduce costs and enhance product value [9][35]. 3. Welcoming the AI Era, Acquiring Quality Overseas Assets - The company is acquiring leading global semiconductor equipment and components firms to strengthen its position in the semiconductor and new energy materials sectors [9]. 4. Forward-Looking Layout of Embodied Intelligence, Positioning in Electronic Skin - The electronic skin market is projected to grow significantly, with the company investing in related technologies and partnerships to capture this emerging opportunity [9]. 5. Investment Recommendations - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 45 billion, 54 billion, and 68 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 4.3 billion, 5.4 billion, and 6.5 billion yuan [9]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, supported by its technological advantages and strategic initiatives in solid-state and semiconductor sectors [9][45].

Core Viewpoint - The report on Xingyuan Material (300568) highlights its leadership in the diaphragm industry and its proactive global expansion strategy, with a buy rating and a target price of 14.58 yuan [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Xingyuan Material is a leading domestic manufacturer of diaphragms, with over 20 years of experience in the industry and the first company in China to export both dry and wet diaphragm technologies [2]. - The company is projected to achieve a 17.6% market share in diaphragm shipments in 2024, maintaining its position as the second-largest player in China for five consecutive years [2]. - The management team possesses extensive industry experience and strategic capabilities, actively pursuing global expansion, including production in Sweden and a planned 20 billion square meters capacity in Malaysia by mid-2025 [2]. Group 2: Product Development and Innovation - The company is embracing the solid-state battery trend by launching multiple solid-state diaphragm products, supported by favorable policies [2]. - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed with Zhongke Shenlan Huize, which will lead to the establishment of a GWh solid-state battery production line by Q3 2025 [2]. - The company has developed innovative rigid skeleton diaphragms and various polymer electrolyte diaphragms, and has the capability to produce oxide/polymer solid-state electrolyte powders [2]. Group 3: Strategic Investments - In response to the AI era, the company is acquiring high-quality overseas assets, including a partnership with Ferrotec to enhance collaboration in the semiconductor and new energy materials sectors [2]. - The company is positioning itself in emerging markets such as semiconductor and electronic skin technologies, which are expected to drive future growth [3]. Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 4.5 billion yuan in 2025, 5.4 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.8 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 430 million yuan, 540 million yuan, and 650 million yuan respectively [3]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.3 yuan, 0.4 yuan, and 0.5 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with price-to-earnings ratios of 38x, 30x, and 25x [3].

Core Viewpoint - As of July 18, 2025, 1540 A-share listed companies have disclosed their half-year performance forecasts, with 674 companies expecting positive results, indicating a mixed performance outlook in the market [1] Group 1: Performance Forecasts - 43.77% of the companies forecast positive results, with 418 expecting an increase, 193 turning losses into profits, and 57 showing slight growth [1] - Companies like Enjie Technology are focusing on global capacity layout and product structure optimization to improve profitability [1] - Lianjian Technology aims to enhance performance through business structure optimization and international expansion [2] Group 2: Price Trends and Market Dynamics - Guangxin Technology reports a rising trend in the prices of insulation fiber materials since 2021, driven by increased demand and a higher proportion of direct sales [2] - Jin Dawei expects a net profit of 221 million to 260 million yuan for the first half of 2025, driven by sales growth in coenzyme Q10 and vitamins [3] - Jiantou Energy anticipates a net profit of 880 million yuan, with a focus on optimizing production and financing structures to enhance operational efficiency [3] Group 3: Recent Financial Disclosures - Shentong Technology reported a revenue of 816 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a 22.46% increase, with net profit rising by 111.09% [4] - Zhongyan Chemical's revenue decreased by 5.76% to 5.998 billion yuan, with a significant drop in net profit due to market pressures [4] - Upcoming disclosures include companies like Wohua Pharmaceutical and Ruihu Mould, expected to report on July 22 and 23, respectively [5]

Group 1: Overseas Expansion - The company's Hungary Phase I project is operational, and it is shipping to overseas customers [2] - The U.S. facility is completed, and equipment installation is underway, with samples being sent to overseas clients [2] Group 2: Impact of Solid-State Batteries - Semi-solid batteries still require separators, and some products have been supplied to relevant clients [2] - Full solid-state battery commercialization will take time, needing collaboration across the supply chain and ongoing technological advancements [2] Group 3: Profit Improvement Strategies - The company aims to enhance profitability through global capacity expansion and increasing overseas customer share [3] - Product structure optimization by increasing the proportion of coated films and developing high-value-added products [3] - Implementation of refined management practices to reduce costs and improve operational efficiency [3] Group 4: Key Clients for Overseas Bases - Major clients include LGES, Ultium Cells, and a large overseas automotive company [4] - Contracts include a supply agreement with Ultium Cells for up to $66.25 million worth of separators in 2025 [4] - A supply agreement with LGES for approximately 3.55 billion square meters of separators from 2025 to 2027 [4] - A contract with a well-known U.S. automotive company for about 973 million square meters of separators from 2026 to 2030 [4] Group 5: Industry Landscape and Company Position - The separator industry is undergoing consolidation due to price competition, with the company maintaining steady sales growth [5] - The company is positioned as a global leader in the separator market, focusing on accelerating globalization and enhancing competitiveness [6] Group 6: Solid-State Battery Developments - The company has established capabilities for mass production of semi-solid battery separators [7] - Research and production efforts are underway for lithium sulfide and solid electrolyte membranes in the full solid-state sector [7] Group 7: Competitive Barriers in Overseas Markets - The company has established overseas production capacity and a strong customer base, along with a robust intellectual property framework [8] - It was one of the first in the Chinese lithium battery industry to establish overseas production, with significant capacity in Hungary and the U.S. [8] - Long-term partnerships with global battery manufacturers enhance its market position [8]