| 倒计时27天 | | | --- | --- | | CINE2025固态电池展暨固态电池行业年会 | | | 起点固态电池、起点锂电、SSBA固态电池联盟 | 主办单位： | | 协办单位及固态年会总冠名： | 茹天科技 | | 2025年11月6-8日 | 活动时间： | | 活动地点： | 广州南沙国际会展中心（2楼船厅及广州厅） | | 展商规模200+、参会企业2000+、专业观众20000+ | 活动规模： | | 2025起点固态电池金鼎奖颁奖典礼、SSBA固态电池产业联盟理事会 | 同期活动： | | 金钠科技/茹天科技/海四达钠星/融捷能源/易事特钠电/泰和科技/隐功科技/科迈罗/国科炭美/晟钠新能/中钠能源/乔岳智能/津工能源/科达新能 | 第一批展商及赞助商： | | 源/时代思康/富钠能源/极电特能/华普森/瑞扬新能源/亮见钠电/叁星飞荣/珠海纳甘新能源/皓升新能源/扬广科技/银川苏银产业园/兆钠新能源/精诚模具/儒特股份/希 | | | 倍动力/先导干燥/瓦时动力/博粤新材料/苏州翼动新能/亿隆能源/钠创新能源/瑞森新材料/海裕百特/凯德利/长篙新材/清研电子 | /孚悦科技 / ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Enjie Co., Ltd., is experiencing strong order volumes and high capacity utilization, with stable growth in downstream customer demand and orders, indicating potential for increased shipments by 2025 [2] Group 1: Company Performance - The company has abundant orders on hand and high capacity utilization, with downstream demand showing stable growth [2] - The second half of the year is typically a peak season for separator demand, and with the anticipated stable growth in downstream demand, the company's separator capacity may become slightly tight [2] - The separator industry has seen a significant slowdown in new capacity additions, leading to a convergence of the oversupply situation as demand continues to grow, potentially leading to a balanced supply state in the future [2] Group 2: Overseas Market Advantages - The company is one of the earliest players in the Chinese lithium battery supply chain to establish overseas production capacity, having started the construction of its Hungary Phase I project in 2020 with a capacity of 400 million square meters, and announced a U.S. factory project in January 2024 with a capacity of 700 million square meters [2] - The company has a well-established intellectual property (IP) system, holding multiple proprietary and Teijin-authorized patents, and has laid out patents in several countries including Japan, South Korea, the United States, and Europe, ensuring supply security and stability for customers [2] - The company maintains long-term deep cooperation with globally renowned battery manufacturers and has cultivated overseas sales channels for many years [2]

证券代码：002812 证券简称：恩捷股份 债券代码：128095 债券简称：恩捷转债 云南恩捷新材料股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-011 | | 特定对象调研 □分析师会议 ☑ | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | 活动类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | □其他 | | 参与单位名 | 嘉实基金、Bernstein、Qatar Investment Authority、Capital international | | 称及人员姓 | Investors、Munro lnvestment、Carrhae Capital LLP、Springs Capital（Hong Kong） | | 名 | Ltd 等机构 | | 时间 | 2025 年 9 月 16 日 | | 地点 | 上海恩捷行政楼 | | 上市公司接 | 恩捷股份副总经理禹雪、投资者关系经理徐晶晶 | | 待人员姓名 | | | | 公司就投资者以下问题进行回复： | | | 1、公司海外市场优势？ | | | 公司有海外产能、众多海外客户 ...

Group 1 - Strong downstream demand and continuous over-expected lithium battery production data, with an estimated growth of over 15% quarter-on-quarter in lithium battery production by Q3 2025 [1] - The membrane industry has reached a consensus to avoid selling below cost and to refrain from blind expansion, leading to a reduction in expansion plans among some companies [2] - The top two companies in the membrane industry have reached full production capacity, indicating a tight supply-demand balance among leading enterprises [2] Group 2 - The demand for energy storage has exceeded expectations, with global energy storage cell shipments reaching 240 GWh in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 106% [3] - The shift from policy-driven to profit-driven markets in domestic energy storage is leading to a shortage of high-quality storage products [3] - The market for wet-process membranes is expected to increase, driven by higher safety and performance requirements for energy storage and fast-charging applications [4] Group 3 - The membrane industry is likely to see a price turning point due to tight capacity among leading enterprises and limited supply release [2] - Leading companies are actively developing next-generation coated membranes, enhancing product competitiveness and potentially increasing industry concentration [4] - The strong order backlog for leading energy storage manufacturers is expected to sustain robust production in the near term [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [3][4]. Core Insights - The lithium battery production is expected to grow by over 15% quarter-on-quarter by Q3 2025, driven by strong downstream demand [2]. - The lithium separator industry is anticipated to reach a price turning point due to recent agreements among companies to avoid below-cost sales and unnecessary capacity expansion [8][17]. - The head companies in the separator industry are experiencing tight capacity, with the top two companies operating at full capacity, leading to a balanced supply-demand situation [8][17]. - The global energy storage market is witnessing significant growth, with a 106% year-on-year increase in global energy storage cell shipments in the first half of 2025 [24]. - The report highlights the increasing performance requirements for separators, particularly in fast-charging applications and energy storage systems, which may lead to a higher market concentration [28]. Summary by Sections Industry Scale - The industry comprises 300 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 621.54 billion [4]. Key Companies and Financial Metrics - Key companies include Enjie Technology, Xingyuan Material, China National Materials, and Fospower Technology, with varying earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [4]. Separator Industry Dynamics - The separator industry is currently facing widespread losses, with only a few companies like Xingyuan Material remaining profitable [8]. - The industry has reached a consensus to avoid price wars and unnecessary capacity expansion, which is expected to stabilize prices [17]. Downstream Demand - The energy storage sector is experiencing unexpected demand growth, with significant increases in orders and shipments [24][25]. - The domestic market is transitioning from policy-driven to market-driven growth, enhancing the overall demand for energy storage solutions [25][26]. Performance Requirements and Innovations - The report notes that the demand for high-quality separators is increasing due to safety and performance requirements in fast-charging and energy storage applications [28]. - Companies are actively exploring new technologies and markets, such as solid-state batteries and semiconductor materials, to diversify their offerings and mitigate risks from slowing lithium battery demand [29].

Core Viewpoint - The report on Enjie Co., Ltd. indicates that while the company faces cyclical industry pressures, the expected ramp-up of solid-state products presents potential growth opportunities [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.5%, but reported a net loss of 90 million yuan, marking a shift from profit to loss [2]. - The gross margin was 15.5%, down 5.49 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was -1.6%, down 7.7 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - In Q2 2025, revenue was 3.03 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 23.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.2%, but the net loss was 120 million yuan [2]. - The company’s production capacity utilization rate has been steadily increasing, contributing to a significant rise in shipment volumes, although pricing pressures have negatively impacted revenue growth [2][3]. Market Dynamics - The price of wet-process 7um products decreased by 25% year-on-year to 0.74 yuan per square meter in H1 2025, with specific product prices also declining [2]. - A consensus has been reached in the lithium battery separator industry regarding price discipline and a halt on capacity expansion, which is expected to stabilize prices in the second half of the year [2]. Product Development - The company’s subsidiary, Hunan Enjie, has accelerated the launch of solid-state products, with significant production milestones achieved in 2025 [3]. - Enjie has established a strong product portfolio including lithium sulfide, electrolytes, and electrolyte membranes, with performance metrics that lead the industry [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading player in the global separator market, with strategies to enhance market share through increased capacity utilization and cost reduction [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 11.5 billion yuan, 13.5 billion yuan, and 16.1 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 8 million yuan, 500 million yuan, and 830 million yuan respectively [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Xingyuan Material, is facing dual challenges of cyclical adjustments and technological transformation in the lithium battery separator industry, which is transitioning from rapid growth to rational competition. Financial deterioration, concerns over overseas expansion, and uncertainties surrounding solid-state battery technology are revealing deep-seated risks for the company [1]. Financial Performance - The company's gross margin is projected to drop sharply from 45.57% in 2022 to 28.07% in 2024, with further decline to 26.50% in the first half of 2025, nearing the industry's breakeven point [2]. - Revenue is expected to grow by 17.5% to 3.506 billion yuan in 2024, but net profit is forecasted to decline by 36.9% to 371 million yuan. In the first half of 2025, revenue is anticipated to increase by 15% to 1.9 billion yuan, while net profit may be halved to 100 million yuan, with non-recurring net profit plummeting by 75% [2]. Competitive Landscape - The ongoing decline in profitability reflects the company's limitations in cost control and technological barriers. Unlike integrated companies like CATL and Enjie, Xingyuan Material lacks bargaining power in raw material procurement and is forced to bear more cost pressure in price wars [3]. - The company faces significant competition in the domestic market, leading it to view overseas expansion as a critical strategy. In 2024, the overseas gross margin is expected to reach 49.38%, compared to only 26.50% domestically [3]. Debt and Expansion Risks - As of March 2025, the company's total short-term and long-term borrowings exceed 11 billion yuan, with cash reserves below 3 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio exceeding 70%. This "debt-driven" expansion model poses multiple risks, including the pace of capacity release and potential losses from overcapacity [3][4]. - The company is expanding its production capacity in Sweden, Malaysia, and North Carolina, but faces the risk of a "build-lose-refinance" cycle if overseas capacity does not match market demand [4]. Geopolitical and Currency Risks - The company is exposed to geopolitical and currency fluctuation risks, particularly in the context of increasing localization demands in the U.S. and Europe. The construction of the North Carolina facility faces high costs and uncertainties related to labor negotiations and environmental approvals [4]. - The company's overseas revenue is dollar-denominated, and fluctuations in the USD/CNY exchange rate could erode profit margins if not effectively hedged [4]. Technological Transition Challenges - The company is investing in solid-state electrolyte membranes, but this transition faces uncertainties, including the choice of technology route, production bottlenecks, and the establishment of a pricing system for solid-state membranes [5][6]. - The solid-state battery technology landscape is complex, with various competing technologies, and the company’s current technological advancements may not align with market demands, risking substantial R&D investments [6]. New Business Ventures - In addition to its core business, the company is exploring semiconductor materials and electronic skin technologies, but these new ventures have long cultivation periods and may not provide immediate financial relief amid current pressures [7]. - The semiconductor materials sector is characterized by high technical barriers and lengthy certification processes, while the electronic skin market is still in its infancy, with significant uncertainties regarding market size and technology alignment [7]. Strategic Outlook - The company is at a crossroads, needing to navigate the cyclical downturn in its traditional business while pursuing technological breakthroughs in solid-state batteries and new materials. The heavy debt burden and the uncertain progress of new ventures pose significant challenges to its future [8].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.76 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.5%, but incurred a net loss of 90 million yuan, marking a shift from profit to loss [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.03 billion yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth of 23.6% and 11.2% respectively, but also reported a net loss of 120 million yuan [1] - The company's gross margin decreased to 15.5%, down 5.49 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin fell to -1.6%, a decline of 7.7 percentage points year-on-year [1] Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue growth was driven by increased shipment volumes, but pricing pressures led to a weaker revenue growth rate compared to shipment growth [1] - The average price of the company's products, specifically the 7um film, decreased by 25% year-on-year to 0.74 yuan per square meter in H1 2025, impacting revenue growth [1] - The company plans to stabilize prices and has reached key agreements in the lithium battery separator industry to pause capacity expansion and implement price discipline [1] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain high revenue growth in the second half of 2025, supported by increasing production capacity in Hungary and stabilization of product prices [1] - The company’s subsidiary, Hunan Enjie, has begun production of lithium sulfide and signed a significant investment agreement for solid-state electrolytes, indicating potential for future growth [2] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the separator industry, with strategic initiatives to enhance capacity utilization and cost efficiency, while also expanding into international markets [2] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 11.5 billion yuan, 13.5 billion yuan, and 16.1 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2] - Expected net profits for the same years are projected to be 8 million yuan, 500 million yuan, and 830 million yuan, with earnings per share of 0.01, 0.52, and 0.86 yuan [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that Xingyuan Material (300568) is expected to benefit from stable pricing and increased volume, with solid progress in solid-state products, leading to a "buy" rating from China Galaxy Securities [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 100 million yuan, down 58.5% year-on-year [2]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was 1.01 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 7.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.5% [2]. - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 25.1%, down 6.43 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 6.4%, down 8.22 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company expects to ship approximately 2.2 billion square meters in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 38% [2]. Market Strategy and Outlook - The company adopted a strategy of maintaining supply and price stability, benefiting from downstream demand, and is optimistic about future price increases in the industry [2][3]. - The company has launched several solid-state electrolyte films and has strategic partnerships to enhance its position in the solid-state battery market [3]. - The company is positioned as a global leader in lithium battery separator supply, with plans to expand production capacity in Southeast Asia, Europe, and North America [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 4.4 billion yuan, 5.4 billion yuan, and 6.8 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 420 million yuan, 560 million yuan, and 660 million yuan for the same years [3][6]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.3 yuan, 0.4 yuan, and 0.5 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 39x, 29x, and 25x [3].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the growth and trends in the Chinese lithium battery separator market, highlighting significant increases in shipment volumes and the evolving applications of wet and dry separators. Group 1: Market Overview and Trends - In the first half of 2025, China's separator material shipment volume is projected to reach 13.6 billion square meters, representing a year-on-year growth of 49% [4] - Wet separators are expected to account for 11.2 billion square meters of this volume, with a year-on-year increase of 58%, capturing 82% of the market share [4] - Dry separators are anticipated to ship 2.4 billion square meters, showing an 18% year-on-year growth [4] - The total shipment volume for lithium battery separators in China is expected to exceed 29 billion square meters in 2025, with a growth rate of over 30% [4] Group 2: Product Applications and Innovations - The increase in shipments of large-capacity energy storage cells, such as 314Ah, is driving the application of wet separators [7] - New generation large-capacity energy storage battery products (500+/600+Ah) are accelerating the thickness reduction of wet separators from 9μm to 7μm [7] - High puncture strength 5μm products are now being widely used, with monthly shipments exceeding 100 million square meters [7] - The second generation of high puncture strength 5μm separators has been sent to battery customers for testing, achieving a puncture strength close to 500gf [7] Group 3: Pricing and Cost Trends - The price of dry separator base films has remained at cost levels for nearly two years, leading to significant losses for many dry separator companies, with potential price increases expected in the second half of the year [7] - In Q2, the price of wet separator base films saw a decline of over 10% compared to the previous quarter, with expectations for prices to stabilize at current levels for the remainder of the year [7] - Overall, separator prices are projected to show a downward trend throughout the year [7] Group 4: Capacity and Industry Dynamics - The industry's enthusiasm for capacity expansion is decreasing, with expectations for new capacity additions to remain between 4-6 billion square meters per year over the next 2-3 years [7] - The slowdown in capacity expansion, combined with the rapid growth in downstream lithium battery demand, is expected to increase the industry's capacity utilization rate by 3-6 percentage points annually [7]