煤炭价格环比下降1.0%，同比下降6.7%，其中，炼焦煤、二号无烟块煤、动力煤环比分别下降1.8%、 1.5%和0.6%。 成品油价格环比下降2.1%，同比下降12.6%，其中，0号柴油、95号汽油、92号汽油环比分别下降 2.6%、1.6%和1.5%。 有色金属价格环比上涨8.1%，同比上涨23.5%，其中，铜、铝、锌环比分别上涨8.9%、7.4%和5.3%。 化肥价格环比上涨0.9%，同比下降2.2%，其中，尿素、三元复合肥环比分别上涨1.0%和0.5%。 钢材价格环比上涨0.1%，同比下降6.3%，其中，普通高速线材、热轧带钢、焊接钢管环比均上涨 0.2%。 商务大数据显示，1月份，全国生产资料市场价格环比上涨1.6%。 从主要品种来看： ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of China Heartland Fertilizer (01866) has seen an increase of nearly 5% during trading, with a current rise of 3.67% to HKD 11.59, supported by a trading volume of HKD 26.1 million [1] Group 1: Fertilizer Market Trends - During the Spring Festival period, the average sales price of fertilizers in Hunan Province has increased, with a pre-festival average of CNY 2,627.71 per ton, up 2.7% but down 1.3% year-on-year [1] - The average sales price of nitrogen fertilizers reached CNY 2,191.1 per ton, increasing by 4.2% but down 10.1% year-on-year; the average price for compound fertilizers was CNY 3,064.32 per ton, up 1.7% and up 6% year-on-year [1] - The rise in fertilizer prices is primarily supported by the increase in international fertilizer prices and pre-festival stockpiling demand [1] Group 2: Potash Fertilizer Supply and Demand - China is the world's largest consumer of potash fertilizers, but the supply of potash resources is relatively insufficient [1] - As of the end of January 2026, domestic port inventory of potassium chloride was 2.4947 million tons, a decrease of 345,100 tons year-on-year, representing a decline of 12.15% [1] - Due to the increasing emphasis on food production safety, it is expected that domestic potash safety inventory will rise to over 4 million tons [1] Group 3: Pricing and Contracts - The market average price for potassium chloride at the end of January was CNY 3,295 per ton, with a month-on-month increase of 0.4% and a year-on-year increase of 27.52% [1] - In the international market, a cross-border railway contract was established between Chinese importers and the Russian Ural Potash Company, with the February contract price for potassium chloride set at USD 364 per ton (delivered to Manzhouli), an increase of USD 3 per ton from January [1]

国信证券指出，我国是全球最大的钾肥需求国，而钾肥资源供给相对不足。截至2026年1月底，国内氯 化钾港口库存为249.47万吨，较去年同期减少34.51万吨，降幅为12.15%。未来由于粮食生产安全愈发 被重视，预计国内钾肥安全库存量将提升到400万吨以上。1月底氯化钾市场均价为3295元/吨，环比上 月涨幅为0.4%，同比去年涨幅27.52%。国际市场方面，1月底中国进口商与俄罗斯乌拉尔钾肥公司达成 了跨境铁路合同，2月氯化钾合同价格为364美元/吨(满洲里交货)，较1月价格上涨3美元/吨。 智通财经APP获悉，中国心连心化肥(01866)盘中涨近5%，截至发稿，涨3.67%，报11.59港元，成交额 2609.95万港元。 消息面上，湖南省商务厅市场监测数据显示，春节期间，全省化肥市场销售均价上涨。春节前一周，全 省化肥销售均价2627.71元/吨，上涨2.7%，同比下跌1.3%。分品种看，氮肥销售均价2191.1元/吨，上涨 4.2%，同比下跌10.1%；三元复合肥销售均价3064.32元/吨，上涨1.7%，同比上涨6%。据了解，湖南全 省化肥市场销售均价上扬，国际化肥价格上涨及节前补库需求支撑是化肥价 ...

Group 1 - The national production material market prices decreased by 0.3% from February 2 to February 8 compared to the previous week [1] Group 2 - Non-ferrous metal prices slightly declined, with aluminum, zinc, and copper decreasing by 3.8%, 1.4%, and 0.4% respectively [2] - Steel prices continued to fall, with rebar, hot-rolled strip steel, and ordinary medium plate priced at 3350 yuan, 3510 yuan, and 3627 yuan per ton, decreasing by 0.3%, 0.2%, and 0.2% respectively [2] - Coal prices showed a slight decrease, with anthracite, thermal coal, and coking coal priced at 1134 yuan, 776 yuan, and 1048 yuan per ton, decreasing by 0.4%, 0.1%, and 0.1% respectively [2] Group 3 - Rubber prices experienced a slight decline, with synthetic rubber and natural rubber both decreasing by 0.1% [3] - Basic chemical raw material prices showed minor fluctuations, with sulfuric acid increasing by 1.1%, while soda ash, polypropylene, and methanol decreased by 1.2%, 0.8%, and 0.6% respectively [3] - Fertilizer prices saw a slight increase, with compound fertilizer and urea rising by 0.2% and 0.1% respectively [3] Group 4 - Wholesale prices of finished oil slightly increased, with 95-octane gasoline, 92-octane gasoline, and 0-octane diesel rising by 1.8%, 1.7%, and 1.0% respectively [4]

Price Trends Overview - The national production material market prices decreased by 0.4% from January 19 to 25 compared to the previous week [1] Non-Ferrous Metals - Prices of non-ferrous metals saw a slight decline, with zinc, copper, and aluminum decreasing by 2.1%, 2.0%, and 0.8% respectively [2] Rubber and Steel - Rubber prices experienced a minor drop, with natural rubber and synthetic rubber falling by 0.6% and 0.2% respectively - Steel prices also saw a slight decrease, with channel steel, ordinary medium plate, and rebar priced at 3547 yuan, 3637 yuan, and 3363 yuan per ton, declining by 0.3%, 0.2%, and 0.2% respectively [3] Fertilizer and Coal - Fertilizer prices showed slight fluctuations, with urea decreasing by 0.1% and compound fertilizer increasing by 0.1% - Coal prices experienced minor changes, with thermal coal and smokeless lump coal priced at 777 yuan and 1138 yuan per ton, both decreasing by 0.3%, while coking coal increased by 1.2% to 1047 yuan per ton [4] Basic Chemical Raw Materials - Basic chemical raw material prices saw a slight increase, with sulfuric acid rising by 1.1%, while soda ash, polypropylene, and methanol decreased by 0.8%, 0.5%, and 0.4% respectively [5]

Price Trends - The national production material market prices increased by 0.4% from January 12 to January 18 compared to the previous week [1] - Non-ferrous metal prices continued to rise, with zinc, aluminum, and copper increasing by 3.7%, 1.7%, and 1.4% respectively [2] - Fertilizer prices saw slight increases, with urea and compound fertilizer rising by 0.7% and 0.1% respectively [3] Commodity Fluctuations - Rubber prices showed mixed trends, with synthetic rubber increasing by 1.3% while natural rubber decreased by 0.3% [4] - Coal prices experienced slight fluctuations, with thermal coal and coking coal priced at 779 yuan and 1035 yuan per ton, increasing by 0.3% and 0.2% respectively, while anthracite coal decreased by 0.4% to 1141 yuan per ton [4] - Basic chemical raw material prices showed minor fluctuations, with sulfuric acid, soda ash, and methanol all decreasing by 0.1%, while polypropylene increased by 0.6% [5] Fuel and Steel Prices - Wholesale prices of finished oil remained stable with slight declines, as 95-octane gasoline and 92-octane gasoline remained flat, while 0-octane diesel decreased by 0.2% [6] - Steel prices experienced slight declines, with rebar, hot-rolled strip, and channel steel priced at 3369 yuan, 3518 yuan, and 3556 yuan per ton, decreasing by 0.2%, 0.1%, and 0.1% respectively [6]

Group 1 - The national price of production materials increased by 1.5% month-on-month in December [1] Group 2 - Prices of non-ferrous metals rose by 4.2% month-on-month and 13.4% year-on-year, with copper, zinc, and aluminum increasing by 6.2%, 1.8%, and 1.4% respectively [2] - Steel prices increased by 0.6% month-on-month but decreased by 7.4% year-on-year, with rebar, ordinary high-speed wire, and hot-rolled strip rising by 0.9%, 0.9%, and 0.6% respectively [2] - Fertilizer prices rose by 0.4% month-on-month but fell by 5.7% year-on-year, with compound fertilizer and urea increasing by 1.0% and 0.3% respectively [2] - Coal prices decreased by 0.7% month-on-month and 7.5% year-on-year, with coking coal, thermal coal, and No. 2 smokeless lump coal declining by 0.9%, 0.6%, and 0.3% respectively [2] - Prices of refined oil fell by 1.0% month-on-month and 8.4% year-on-year, with No. 0 diesel, 95 gasoline, and 92 gasoline decreasing by 1.3%, 0.6%, and 0.5% respectively [2]

Core Insights - The national production material market prices increased by 1.0% from January 5 to January 11 compared to the previous week [1] Group 1: Metal Prices - Non-ferrous metal prices continued to rise, with aluminum, copper, and zinc increasing by 5.2%, 3.3%, and 2.8% respectively [2] Group 2: Rubber Prices - Rubber prices saw a slight increase, with synthetic rubber and natural rubber rising by 1.7% and 1.4% respectively [3] Group 3: Fertilizer and Steel Prices - Fertilizer prices experienced a slight increase, with urea and compound fertilizer rising by 0.6% and 0.2% respectively - Steel prices showed a slight recovery, with hot-rolled strip steel, welded steel pipes, and channel steel priced at 3521 yuan, 3712 yuan, and 3560 yuan per ton, increasing by 0.7%, 0.5%, and 0.5% respectively [4] Group 4: Coal Prices - Coal prices exhibited slight fluctuations, with thermal coal priced at 777 yuan per ton, increasing by 0.4%, while anthracite and coking coal decreased by 0.9% and 0.4% respectively [4] Group 5: Chemical Raw Material Prices - Basic chemical raw material prices showed minor fluctuations, with methanol and polypropylene increasing by 1.1%, while sulfuric acid and soda ash decreased by 0.4% and 0.3% respectively [4] Group 6: Oil Prices - Wholesale prices of finished oil experienced a slight decline, with 0 diesel, 95 gasoline, and 92 gasoline decreasing by 0.6%, 0.3%, and 0.2% respectively [5]

Group 1: Agricultural Products Market - The national market prices for edible agricultural products remained stable compared to the previous week, with a slight increase in production material prices by 1.0% [1] - Average wholesale prices for six types of fruits saw minor increases, with citrus, watermelon, and bananas rising by 1.7%, 1.4%, and 0.5% respectively [1] - Wholesale prices for meat products experienced slight fluctuations, with pork priced at 18.67 yuan per kilogram, increasing by 0.9%, while beef and lamb decreased by 0.2% [1] - Average wholesale price for 30 types of vegetables was 5.68 yuan per kilogram, showing a decrease of 0.9%, with specific vegetables like zucchini, cabbage, and tomatoes dropping by 8.2%, 5.0%, and 4.4% respectively [1] Group 2: Production Materials Market - Prices for non-ferrous metals continued to rise, with aluminum, copper, and zinc increasing by 5.2%, 3.3%, and 2.8% respectively [2] - Rubber prices saw a slight increase, with synthetic rubber and natural rubber rising by 1.7% and 1.4% respectively [2] - Fertilizer prices experienced minor increases, with urea and compound fertilizers rising by 0.6% and 0.2% respectively [2] - Steel prices showed slight recovery, with hot-rolled strip steel, welded steel pipes, and channel steel priced at 3521 yuan, 3712 yuan, and 3560 yuan per ton, increasing by 0.7%, 0.5%, and 0.5% respectively [2] - Coal prices showed slight fluctuations, with thermal coal priced at 777 yuan per ton, increasing by 0.4%, while anthracite and coking coal decreased by 0.9% and 0.4% respectively [2] - Prices for basic chemical raw materials experienced minor fluctuations, with methanol and polypropylene increasing by 1.1%, while sulfuric acid and soda ash decreased by 0.4% and 0.3% respectively [2] - Wholesale prices for finished oil products saw slight declines, with 0 diesel, 95 gasoline, and 92 gasoline decreasing by 0.6%, 0.3%, and 0.2% respectively [2]

Group 1 - The national production material market prices increased by 0.3% from the previous week during the period from December 29, 2025, to January 4, 2026 [1] - Prices of non-ferrous metals continued to rise, with copper, aluminum, and zinc increasing by 2.9%, 1.4%, and 0.7% respectively [1] Group 2 - Rubber prices saw a slight increase, with synthetic rubber and natural rubber rising by 0.8% and 0.2% respectively [2] - Basic chemical raw material prices were mainly up, with polypropylene and sulfuric acid both increasing by 0.2%, while methanol decreased by 0.1% [2] - Fertilizer prices remained stable, with urea and compound fertilizers holding steady compared to the previous week [2] - Steel prices showed a slight decline, with rebar priced at 3360 yuan per ton, remaining stable, while ordinary medium plates and channel steel decreased by 0.2% to 3639 yuan and 3544 yuan per ton respectively [2] Group 3 - Wholesale prices of finished oil experienced a slight decline, with 0 diesel, 95 gasoline, and 92 gasoline decreasing by 0.6%, 0.5%, and 0.4% respectively [3] - Coal prices saw a minor decrease, with coking coal, thermal coal, and anthracite priced at 1037 yuan, 774 yuan, and 1156 yuan per ton, declining by 1.4%, 0.4%, and 0.3% respectively [3]