三元材料613

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碳酸锂数据日报-20251010
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-10-10 06:21
| | 锂云母 | 1110 | -15 | ■ 电硕-工恢价差 元/吨 | 一 电池级碳酸锂-平均价 - 工业级碳酸锂-平均价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (Li20:1.5%-2.0%) ( | | | | | | | 锂云母 (Li20:2.0%-2.5%) | 1835 | -20 | | 碳酸锂注册仓单(吨) | | | 磷锂铝石 (Li20:6%-7%) | 6080 | | | | | | 磷锂铝石 (Li20:7%-8%) | 7190 | | | | | | 正极材料 | 平均价 | | | | | | 磷酸铁锂(动力型) | 33640 | | | | | | 三元材料811(多晶/动力型) | 152350 | 2000 | | | | | 三元材料523(单晶/动力型) | 123850 | 1500 | | | | | 三元材料613(单晶/动力型) | 129850 | 2500 | | | | | 名称 | 现值 | 変化值 | | | | | 电碳-工碳 | 2250 | | | | | 价 差 | 电碳-主力合约产 ...
碳酸锂数据日报-20250926
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-09-26 03:24
ITG国贸期货 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 碳酸锂数据日报 国贸期货研究院 谢灵 投资咨询号: Z0015788 从业资格号: F3040017 2025/09/26 有色金属研究中心 研究助理 陈宇森 从业资格号: F03123927 数据来源:SMM. 公开新闻整理 100000 锂化合物 平均价 涨跌 SMM电池级碳酸锂 73750 -100 3000 80000 SMM工业级碳酸锂 71500 -100 2500 收盘价 涨跌幅 期货合约 60000 2000 碳酸锂2510 73740 0.63% 碳酸锂2511 74040 0. 93% 40000 碳酸锂2512 0. 76% 74060 1000 碳酸锂2601 > 74000 0. 87% 20000 500 碳酸锂2602 73680 0. 71% 平均价 锂矿 锂辉石精矿(CIF中国) 856 0 4-6 (1 i 20 · 5 5%-6%) 利润估算 种类 外购锂辉石精矿现金成本 75328 H 利 tt 江 外购锂辉石精矿利润 -2650 外购锂云母精矿现金成本 78729 F 外购锂云母精矿利润 -8042 行业 ...
碳酸锂数据日报-20250905
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-09-05 02:52
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View - Due to the previous resource - end disturbances, production scheduling has increased slightly. On the demand side, as new energy vehicles are in the off - season, the increase in production scheduling of cathode factories is limited. In terms of inventory, social inventory fluctuates at a high level, showing a pattern of inventory moving from upstream to downstream, but the actual consumption is not large, and downstream companies have stocked up a large amount of raw materials, weakening their subsequent purchasing power. It is expected that the supply - demand will be in a tight balance in September. Overall, although the supply - demand is in a tight balance, downstream companies have sufficient inventory and the terminal market is in the off - season, so the futures price is expected to fluctuate weakly. During this process, be vigilant about small rumors from the mining end before the 30th [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content Lithium Compound Prices - The average price of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate is 75,000 yuan/ton, down 900 yuan/ton; the average price of SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 72,700 yuan/ton, down 900 yuan/ton [1]. Lithium Ore Prices - The average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) is 874 yuan/ton, up 2 yuan/ton [1]. Futures Contract Prices - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2509 is 73,000 yuan/ton, with a decline of 0.27%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2510 is 73,340 yuan/ton, with an increase of 0.88%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2511 is 73,420 yuan/ton, with an increase of 1.05%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2512 is 73,580 yuan/ton, with an increase of 1.1%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2601 is 73,560 yuan/ton, with an increase of 1.16% [1]. Positive Electrode Material Prices - The price of lithium iron phosphate (power - type) is 33,995 yuan/ton, down 215 yuan/ton; the price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power - type) is 118,700 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan/ton; the price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power - type) is 123,625 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan/ton [2]. Price Differences - The difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2,300 yuan/ton; the difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is 1,580 yuan/ton, down 2,440 yuan/ton; the difference between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is - 80 yuan/ton, down 60 yuan/ton; the difference between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is - 240 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan/ton [2]. Inventory - The total weekly inventory is 140,092 tons, down 1,044 tons; the weekly inventory of smelters is 39,475 tons, down 3,861 tons; the weekly inventory of downstream is 55,207 tons, up 2,407 tons; the weekly inventory of others is 45,410 tons, up 410 tons; the daily registered warehouse receipts are 830 tons [2]. Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate externally is 75,475 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 1,567 yuan/ton; the cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate externally is not clearly given, and the profit is - 6,991 yuan/ton [2].
碳酸锂数据日报-20250808
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-08-08 07:47
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The market is still uncertain about whether the mica mines in Jiangxi will stop production. If there is a short - term suspension for rectification and then复产 after the mining certificates are compliant, considering the large recent downstream stocking and the supplement from surrounding compliant mines, the impact on the balance sheet is expected to be limited. There may be a further increase in futures prices from a market sentiment perspective, but the upside is limited as the previous increase has already priced in the impact of the suspension [2]. - If the mining certificates are successfully renewed and production does not stop, the supply will remain in a loose pattern. Considering the large downstream stocking, full previous pricing, and small increase in downstream production scheduling, the futures prices may be revised downwards and return to the fundamental logic [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Compounds - The average price of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate is 71,100 yuan, with a daily increase of 150 yuan; the average price of SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 69,000 yuan, with a daily increase of 150 yuan [1]. Lithium Futures Contracts - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2508 is 70,000 yuan, with a daily increase of 3.24%; for 2509, it is 71,920 yuan, with a 5.3% increase; for 2510, it is 72,200 yuan, with a 5.31% increase; for 2511, it is 72,300 yuan, with a 5.36% increase; for 2512, it is 72,580 yuan, with a 5.34% increase [1]. Lithium Ore - The average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) is 757 yuan, with a daily increase of 9 yuan. The price of lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) is 1090 yuan, with a daily increase of 25 yuan; for lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%), it is 1750 yuan, with a 60 - yuan increase; for phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%), it is 5550 yuan, with a 275 - yuan increase; for phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%), it is 6500 yuan, with a 300 - yuan increase [1][2]. Cathode Materials - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 32,570 yuan, with a 35 - yuan increase; the average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 145,260 yuan, with a 30 - yuan increase; the average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 116,945 yuan, with a 50 - yuan increase; the average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 122,535 yuan, with a 20 - yuan increase [2]. Price Spreads - The difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2100 yuan, with a change of 0.2 yuan; the difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 1200 yuan, with a change of - 2530 yuan; the difference between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is - 280 yuan, with a change of - 80 yuan; the difference between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is - 380 yuan, with a change of - 20 yuan [2]. Inventory - The total weekly inventory is 142,418 tons, with an increase of 692 tons. The weekly inventory of smelters is 50,999 tons, with a decrease of 959 tons; the weekly inventory of downstream is 48,159 tons, with an increase of 2271 tons; the weekly inventory of others is 43,260 tons, with a decrease of 620 tons; the daily registered warehouse receipts are 16,443 tons, with an increase of 1420 tons [2]. Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate externally is 68,214 yuan, and the profit is 1863 yuan; the cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate externally is 75,753 yuan, and the profit is - 7557 yuan [2].
碳酸锂数据日报-20250805
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-08-05 09:24
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The report presents the latest data on lithium carbonate, lithium ore, cathode materials, and related price spreads and inventories. It also mentions that the Central Political Bureau will govern disorderly competition in enterprises and promote capacity management in key industries. In addition, it is expected that the futures price may face certain trends in the short - term due to factors such as the normal production of mines in Jiangxi, the cooling of the "anti - involution" sentiment caused by price drops, small increases in demand - side production schedules, and limited procurement space for downstream buyers [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Compounds - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 71,350 with no change, and SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 69,250 with no change [1]. - Among lithium carbonate futures contracts, the closing price of lithium carbonate 2508 is 69,200 with a 1.05% increase; lithium carbonate 2509 has a 0.09% increase; lithium carbonate 2510 has a 0.06% increase; lithium carbonate 2511 has a - 0.09% decrease; lithium carbonate 2512 has a - 0.35% decrease [1]. Lithium Ore - The average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) is 760 with a change of 5 [1]. - The prices of lithium mica with different Li₂O contents are: 1085 for Li₂O: 1.5% - 2.0%, 1710 for Li₂O: 2.0% - 2.5%; the prices of amblygonite are 5350 for Li₂O: 6% - 7% (with a change of 75) and 6280 for Li₂O: 7% - 8% (with a change of 85) [2]. Cathode Materials - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 32,630, the average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 145,170 with a 20 increase, the average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 116,855 with a 30 increase, and the average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 122,485 with a 10 increase [2]. Price Spreads - The difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate (electro - carbon - industrial carbon) is 2100; the difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is 2310 with a 200 change; the difference between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is 120 with an 80 change; the difference between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is - 120 with a 200 change [2]. Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 141,726 with a - 1444 change, the inventory of smelters (weekly, tons) is 51,958 with a - 3427 change, the inventory of downstream (weekly, tons) is 45,888 with a 3073 change, the inventory of others (weekly, tons) is 43,880 with a - 1090 change, and the registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 12,603 with a 5998 change [2]. Profit Estimation - The cash cost of externally purchased lithium spodumene concentrate is 68,441, and the profit is 75,292; the profit of externally purchased lithium mica concentrate is - 6850 [3].
碳酸锂数据日报-20250801
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-08-01 05:58
Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Core View of the Report - The meeting of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee on July 30 pointed out the need to deepen reforms, promote the development of new - quality productivity through scientific and technological innovation, and optimize market competition order. It also mentioned governing disorderly competition among enterprises and promoting capacity governance in key industries. The market sentiment may cool down due to the Politburo's stance on anti - involution and "low - price" expressions. In the short term, although downstream stocking is significant, downstream production scheduling has not increased, and the actual consumption of inventory is limited. There is a possibility of capital re - entry, and prices are expected to be mainly in a weak oscillation. Industrial players can consider hedging on price rallies [3]. Summary by Related Catalogs Lithium Compound Prices - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 72,000 yuan/ton, down 950 yuan [1]. - SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 69,900 yuan/ton, down 950 yuan [1]. - The price difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2,100 yuan/ton, with no change [2]. Lithium Compound Futures - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2508 is 68,000 yuan/ton, down 4.87% [1]. - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2509 is 68,280 yuan/ton, down 4.66% [1]. - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2510 is 68,440 yuan/ton, down 4.01% [1]. - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2511 is 68,600 yuan/ton, down 3.98% [1]. - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2512 is 69,120 yuan/ton, down 3.46% [1]. Lithium Ore Prices - The price of lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) is 766 yuan, down 10 yuan [1]. - The price of lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) is 1,120 yuan, down 20 yuan [2]. - The price of lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) is 1,750 yuan, down 25 yuan [2]. - The price of phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%) is 5,325 yuan, down 350 yuan [2]. - The price of phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) is 6,250 yuan, down 375 yuan [2]. Cathode Material Prices - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 32,885 yuan, down 305 yuan [2]. - The average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 145,130 yuan, up 90 yuan [2]. - The average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 116,895 yuan, down 100 yuan [2]. - The average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 122,455 yuan, up 80 yuan [2]. Price Spreads - The price difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is 3,720 yuan, an increase of 1,370 yuan [2]. - The price difference between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is - 280 yuan, an increase of 60 yuan [2]. - The price difference between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is - 440 yuan, a decrease of 60 yuan [2]. Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 141,726 tons, down 1,444 tons [2]. - The inventory of smelters (weekly, tons) is 51,958 tons, down 3,427 tons [2]. - The inventory of downstream enterprises (weekly, tons) is 45,888 tons, up 3,073 tons [2]. - The inventory of other sectors (weekly, tons) is 43,880 tons, down 1,090 tons [2]. - The registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 5,545 tons, down 6,731 tons [2]. Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate externally is 68,893 yuan, and the profit is 7,621 yuan [3]. - The cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate externally is not clearly stated, and the profit is - 7,136 yuan [3].
碳酸锂数据日报-20250630
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-30 06:21
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The current core contradiction lies in the downstream's strategy of "purchasing only for immediate needs + multiple small - batch purchases", and there is no production cut at the mining end. In the short term, the purchase by downstream traders drives the price to rebound, but the inventory is not actually absorbed by the end - users, giving hedging space to the lithium salt end and further creating upward pressure. In the short term, the futures price of lithium carbonate is expected to be mainly in a weak oscillation [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content Lithium Compound Prices - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 61,150 with an increase of 550; SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 59,550 with an increase of 550 [1]. Lithium Futures - Futures contracts such as lithium carbonate 2507, 2508, 2509, 2510, and 2511 all show price increases, with price increases of 3.03%, 3.06%, 3.33%, 3.23%, and 3.27% respectively [1]. Lithium Ore Prices - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China, Li20: 5.5% - 6%) has an average price of 629 with an increase of 4; lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) has an average price of 720 with an increase of 20; lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) has an average price of 1255 with an increase of 20; phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%) has an average price of 4450 with a decrease of 200; phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) has an average price of 5300 with a decrease of 200 [1][2]. Cathode Material Prices - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 30,455 with an increase of 130; the average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 142,600 with a decrease of 30; the average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 114,455 with an increase of 130; the average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 120,235 with a decrease of 20 [2]. Price Spreads - The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 1600 with no change; the price spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 2150 with a decrease of 1250; the price spread between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is - 100 with a decrease of 20; the price spread between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is - 60 with a decrease of 140 [2]. Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 136,837 with an increase of 1936; the inventory of smelters (weekly, tons) is 59,032 with an increase of 407; the inventory of downstream (weekly, tons) is 40,635 with an increase of 269; the inventory of others (weekly, tons) is 37,170 with an increase of 1260; the registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 21,998 with a decrease of 592 [2]. Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate externally is 60,767, and the profit is - 466; the cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate externally is not clearly stated, and the profit is - 7131 [3]. Industry News - Zimbabwe will ban the export of lithium concentrate from 2027 to further promote local processing. It has already banned the export of lithium ore in 2022 [3].
碳酸锂数据日报-20250626
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-26 03:30
Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Report's Core View - The rebound of futures prices is mainly due to market rumors, but the credibility of these rumors is low and their impact on the fundamentals is limited. The current core contradiction lies in the downstream's "just - in - time procurement + multiple small - batch" approach and no obvious signs of production cuts. The price rebound provides hedging space for the lithium salt sector, further creating upward pressure. In the short term, the lithium carbonate futures prices are likely to be weak and fluctuate [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Lithium Compound Prices - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price: 60,200 yuan, up 300 yuan [1] - SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price: 58,600 yuan, up 300 yuan [1] - Price difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate: 1,600 yuan [2] 2. Lithium Carbonate Futures - Lithium carbonate 2507 closing price: 61,180 yuan, up 1.02% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2508 closing price: 60,880 yuan, up 0.89% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2509 closing price: 60,800 yuan, up 0.96% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2510 closing price: 60,740 yuan, up 0.76% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2511 closing price: 60,740 yuan, up 1.2% [1] 3. Lithium Ore Prices - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China, Li2O: 5.5% - 6%): 619 yuan, up 2 yuan [1] - Lithium mica (Li2O: 1.5% - 2.0%): 685 yuan, up 20 yuan [2] - Lithium mica (Li2O: 2.0% - 2.5%): 1,210 yuan, up 20 yuan [2] - Phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li2O: 6% - 7%): 4,875 yuan, down 350 yuan [2] - Phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li2O: 7% - 8%): 5,725 yuan, down 350 yuan [2] 4. Cathode Material Prices - Lithium iron phosphate (power type) average price: 30,230 yuan, up 70 yuan [2] - Ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) average price: 142,690 yuan, down 70 yuan [2] - Ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) average price: 114,225 yuan, up 50 yuan [2] - Ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) average price: 120,305 yuan, down 70 yuan [2] 5. Price Spreads - Price difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract: - 680 yuan, up 120 yuan [2] - Price difference between the near - month and the first - continuous contract: 100 yuan, down 20 yuan [2] - Price difference between the near - month and the second - continuous contract: 300 yuan, down 20 yuan [2] 6. Inventory - Total inventory (weekly, tons): 134,901 tons, up 1,352 tons [2] - Smelter inventory (weekly, tons): 58,625 tons, up 972 tons [2] - Downstream inventory (weekly, tons): 40,366 tons, down 320 tons [2] - Other inventory (weekly, tons): 35,910 tons, up 700 tons [2] - Registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons): 22,370 tons, down 5 tons [2] 7. Profit Estimation - Cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate externally: 60,147 yuan, profit: - 786 yuan [3] - Cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate externally: 64,891 yuan, profit: - 7,024 yuan [3] 8. Industry News - Zimbabwe will ban the export of lithium concentrate from 2027 to promote local processing [3]
碳酸锂数据日报-20250625
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-25 05:49
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - The lithium carbonate futures price is expected to decline in the short term, and there is a possibility of a negative feedback loop between the lithium carbonate price and the ore price in the later stage [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Compound Prices - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price is 59,900 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton [1] - SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price is 58,300 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton [1] Lithium Futures Prices - Lithium carbonate 2507 closed at 61,020 yuan/ton, up 2.01% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2508 closed at 60,900 yuan/ton, up 2.66% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2509 closed at 60,700 yuan/ton, up 3.06% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2510 closed at 60,580 yuan/ton, up 3.17% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2511 closed at 60,500 yuan/ton, up 3.28% [1] Lithium Ore Prices - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) price is 617 yuan/ton, unchanged [1] - Lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) price is 665 yuan/ton [2] - Lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) price is 1190 yuan/ton [2] - Phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%) price is 5225 yuan/ton, down 335 yuan/ton [2] - Phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) price is 6075 yuan/ton, down 390 yuan/ton [2] Cathode Material Prices - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 30,160 yuan/ton, down 15 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 142,760 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 114,175 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 120,375 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] Price Spreads - The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 1600 yuan/ton [2] - The price spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 800 yuan/ton, down 1630 yuan/ton [2] - The price spread between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is 120 yuan/ton, down 240 yuan/ton [2] - The price spread between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is 320 yuan/ton, down 280 yuan/ton [2] Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 134,901 tons, up 1352 tons [2] - The smelter inventory (weekly, tons) is 58,625 tons, up 972 tons [2] - The downstream inventory (weekly, tons) is 40,366 tons, down 320 tons [2] - The other inventory (weekly, tons) is 35,910 tons, up 700 tons [2] - The registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 22,375 tons, down 4404 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate is 60,012 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 948 yuan/ton [3] - The cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate is 64,430 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 6856 yuan/ton [3] Industry News - Zimbabwe will ban the export of lithium concentrate from 2027 to promote local processing [3]
碳酸锂数据日报-20250623
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-23 05:25
Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core Viewpoint - The downstream adopts a "just - in - time procurement + multiple small - batch" strategy, which has weak support for prices. The supply side continues to resume work, suppressing the futures price. The ore price remains basically stable. It is expected that the lithium carbonate futures price will decline in the short term. There are no signs of production cuts at the ore end, and there is a possibility that the lithium carbonate price will form a negative feedback with the ore price again later [3] Summary by Related Catalogs Lithium Compound Prices - The average price of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate is 60,400 yuan, down 50 yuan; the average price of SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 58,800 yuan, down 50 yuan [1] Lithium Compound Futures - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2507 is 59,820 yuan, with a decline of 0.93%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2508 is 59,360 yuan, with a decline of 1.56%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2509 is 58,900 yuan, with a decline of 1.93%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2510 is 58,860 yuan, with a decline of 1.9%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2511 is 58,800 yuan, with a decline of 1.93% [1] Lithium Ore Prices - The price of lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) (Li₂O: 5.5% - 6%) is 620, down 1; the price of lithium mica (Li₂O: 1.5% - 2.0%) is 685, down 10; the price of lithium mica (Li₂O: 2.0% - 2.5%) is 1210, down 15; the price of phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li₂O: 6% - 7%) is 5625; the price of phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li₂O: 7% - 8%) is 6540, down 55 [1][2] Price Spreads - The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 1600 yuan/ton; the price spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is 1500 yuan, with a change of 1110 yuan; the price spread between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is 460 yuan, with a change of 300 yuan; the price spread between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is 920 yuan, with a change of 560 yuan [2] Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 134,901 tons, an increase of 1352 tons; the inventory of smelters (weekly, tons) is 58,625 tons, an increase of 972 tons; the inventory of downstream (weekly, tons) is 40,366 tons, a decrease of 320 tons; the inventory of others (weekly, tons) is 35,910 tons, an increase of 700 tons; the registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 27,793 tons, a decrease of 2164 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of externally purchased lithium spodumene concentrate is 60,226 yuan, and the profit is - 668 yuan; the cash cost of externally purchased lithium mica concentrate is 64,891 yuan, and the profit is - 6828 yuan [3] Industry News - Zimbabwe will ban the export of lithium concentrate from 2027 to further promote local processing. As a top lithium - producing country in Africa, Zimbabwe has banned the export of lithium ore since 2022 [3]