Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The lotion and cream categories are fundamental in skincare, primarily used for moisturizing and nourishing the skin, with distinctions based on texture, oil content, and suitable skin types/seasons [7] - Moisturizing remains the core demand with a 31% share, but its growth rate is stable at 5%, indicating a mature stage with limited growth potential. Nourishing creams, although only 5% of the market, show the highest growth rate at 16%, indicating a rising demand for high-nutrition lotions and creams [9][10] - The market is experiencing a shift, with a notable decline in demand for soothing, firming, and anti-wrinkle products, suggesting a saturation of these categories [9][10] Market Trends - The online sales landscape is shifting, with Douyin's sales share increasing from 44% to 49% and volume share from 47% to 67% between 2023 and 2025, while Tmall's shares are declining [16][22] - The average price on Tmall has risen significantly, while Douyin's average price dropped sharply, indicating a strategy focused on volume through lower pricing [15][20] - The overall market growth is slowing, with a projected sales growth of only 4.3% from 2024 to 2025, suggesting that companies need to adapt to channel characteristics [22] Competitive Landscape - The top brands on Tmall are dominated by high-end products, with significant sales figures, while Douyin shows a more fragmented market with rapid growth among new brands [24][26] - Domestic brands are leading in low-price, high-volume segments, while international brands maintain a high-price, low-volume strategy [26] - The report highlights the importance of product differentiation and the need for brands to focus on emerging trends and consumer demands to capture market share [11][12] Consumer Behavior - There is a significant demand for products targeting sensitive skin and repair, which are identified as "blue ocean" opportunities due to supply shortages [11] - The report indicates that high-demand, low-supply segments present opportunities for growth, while high-supply, low-demand segments require careful evaluation [12] Brand Strategies - Brands are increasingly leveraging live streaming and influencer partnerships to enhance visibility and sales, with a notable shift towards using influencers to reach broader audiences [50][57] - The report emphasizes the importance of maintaining a balance between high-end positioning and market penetration through various pricing strategies [41][42]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the facial skincare industry, particularly in the e-commerce segment, with a projected growth rate of 19.4% year-on-year [9]. Core Insights - The facial skincare category is leading the beauty and skincare market, with significant sales growth on e-commerce platforms, especially on Douyin, which is expected to surpass 1340.39 billion in sales by 2024 [9][10]. - Tmall's market share is declining, projected to drop to 30.5% by 2024, while Douyin is rapidly gaining market share [9][10]. - The report highlights various product categories within facial skincare, noting that while some categories are experiencing growth, others are facing declines [12][14][16]. E-commerce Market Trends - The overall e-commerce market for facial skincare is expected to grow by 19.4% year-on-year, with Douyin becoming the leading platform [9]. - Tmall's sales are projected to decline, while Douyin's sales are expected to grow significantly, reaching 1340.39 billion by 2024 [9][10]. - The report provides detailed sales figures for major platforms, indicating a shift in consumer preferences towards Douyin [10]. Product Category Performance - The report categorizes facial skincare products into several key segments, including serums, creams, masks, and cleansers, with varying growth rates across these categories [8][12][14][16]. - Specific product categories such as lotions and toners are showing positive growth, while others like facial scrubs and certain masks are declining [12][14][16]. - Douyin shows remarkable growth in categories like facial care sets and liquid serums, with growth rates of 48.6% and 54.0% respectively [16][17]. Brand Performance - The report lists top-performing brands in the facial skincare market, highlighting significant sales figures and growth rates for brands like Proya, L'Oreal, and Estee Lauder [19][20][21]. - Proya is noted for its strong growth, with a sales increase of 103.9%, while other brands like Sk-II and Olay are experiencing declines [19][20][21]. - The competitive landscape is shifting, with emerging brands gaining traction alongside established players [19][20][21].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The lotion and cream category is fundamental in skincare, primarily used for moisturizing and nourishing the skin, with a focus on different textures and oil content [8] - Moisturizing remains the core demand in the market, accounting for 31% of the total efficacy share, but its growth rate is only 5%, indicating a mature stage with limited growth potential [10][11] - Nourishing creams, while only 5% of the market, show the highest growth rate at 16%, indicating a rising demand for high-nutrition products [10] - The market is experiencing a shift, with a decline in demand for traditional benefits like hydration and anti-aging, suggesting a saturation of these offerings [10][11] Market Overview - The online sales landscape is shifting, with Douyin's sales share increasing from 44% to 49% and Tmall's decreasing from 56% to 51% between 2023 and 2025 [17][19] - The average price on Tmall has risen significantly, while Douyin has adopted a low-price strategy to capture market share [17][19] - Overall sales growth is slowing, with a projected increase of only 4.3% from 2024 to 2025, indicating a potential market peak [19] Product Demand Analysis - Key selling points such as glycerin and moisturizing are in high demand, but the market is competitive, requiring differentiation to maintain an edge [13][14] - Sensitive skin and repair claims represent a blue ocean opportunity, with significant demand and insufficient supply, making them key areas for growth [13] - The report highlights a notable disparity in supply and demand for various product claims, with high demand for moisturizing and sensitive skin products but lower supply [14] Brand Performance - Top brands in the Tmall platform are dominated by high-end names like SkinCeuticals and Helena Rubinstein, with significant market shares [21][22] - Domestic brands like Proya and Winona are performing well in terms of growth, while established brands like Proya are experiencing declines [21][23] - The report notes that international brands maintain a high-end positioning with lower sales volumes, while domestic brands focus on competitive pricing to capture market share [23] Sales Channel Dynamics - The report indicates that Douyin's sales strategy focuses on low prices to drive volume, while Tmall emphasizes premium products [17][19] - The sales performance of brands varies significantly between platforms, with Douyin showing a higher volume of sales but at lower price points [19][23] - The report suggests that brands need to adapt their strategies to the unique characteristics of each sales channel to optimize performance [19] Consumer Trends - There is a growing consumer preference for products that offer high nutritional value, indicating a shift in consumer priorities towards more effective skincare solutions [10] - The report emphasizes the importance of understanding consumer behavior and adapting product offerings to meet evolving demands [10][13]

Group 1: Global Market Trends - The global cosmetics market is expected to exceed $600 billion by 2025 and reach $720 billion by 2030, driven by emerging markets, middle-class expansion, and digitalization, with a notable 77% year-on-year growth in beauty GMV on platforms like Douyin and TikTok Shop [10][11][12] - The competition landscape is evolving towards a multi-polar structure, with a shift in the value chain focus towards upstream raw material technology and offline experiences [15] - The Asia-Pacific region is projected to be the global growth engine, with a CAGR of approximately 6% from 2023 to 2025, while Latin America is expected to grow at around 19% during the same period [16] Group 2: Chinese Market Development - The Chinese cosmetics market is showing signs of moderate recovery, with retail sales of cosmetics in the first three quarters of 2025 reaching 328.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.9%, and is expected to exceed 450 billion yuan for the entire year [18][19] - Online channels accounted for 54.13% of sales in the first nine months of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 12.34%, indicating a significant shift towards e-commerce [22][27] - Domestic brands are gaining market share, with over 56% of the market in the first nine months of 2025, and their sales growth rate is 2.46 times that of foreign brands [33][34] Group 3: Consumer Demand Changes - The primary consumer demographic is women aged 25-35 in first and second-tier cities, but there is a notable increase in demand from men (35.74% share, up over 20% from 2022) and the elderly (84% increase in the 45+ age group) [18] - Consumers are increasingly making small, frequent purchases, focusing on ingredient efficacy (51.63% attention) and cost-effectiveness, with a shift from basic skincare to efficacy-driven products [18][35] - Personalized skincare needs are becoming more prominent, with a growing demand for multifunctional products and specific scenarios such as post-night shift recovery and outdoor skincare [35] Group 4: Industry Innovations and Regulations - The report highlights the importance of innovation in raw materials and regulatory frameworks, with a focus on enhancing safety standards and supporting new ingredient innovations [40][41] - The regulatory environment is becoming stricter, aligning with international standards, and emphasizing the integration of ESG principles into the industry [40][41] - The future of the industry will focus on deepening efficacy, segmenting scenarios, and cultural empowerment, with technological advancements in biotechnology and digital technologies [40][41]

Group 1 - The global beauty market is expected to exceed $600 billion by 2025, driven by emerging markets, middle-class expansion, and digital e-commerce [1][12][14] - China's cosmetics market shows a moderate recovery, with retail sales reaching 328.82 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.9%, and is projected to surpass 450 billion yuan for the year [1][20][21] - The market structure is shifting from a unipolar to a multipolar competition, with the Asia-Pacific region becoming a core growth area and Latin America leading global growth [1][17][18] Group 2 - Consumer demand is evolving, with a significant increase in male consumers (over 20% year-on-year) and a rise in the elderly demographic (84% increase) [2][9] - The trend towards rational consumption is emerging, with nearly 80% of consumers focusing on product ingredients, and personalized skincare needs are becoming more prominent [2][37] - Domestic brands are gaining market share, with local brands' sales increasing by 8.33% year-on-year, significantly outpacing foreign brands [2][35][36] Group 3 - The cosmetics industry is transitioning from scale expansion to quality enhancement, with a focus on efficacy, scene segmentation, and cultural empowerment [3][20] - The integration of biotechnology, digital technology, and material science is expected to reshape the industry landscape [3][17] - Regulatory frameworks are becoming more refined, with a comprehensive approach to innovation and safety in cosmetics [42][43][44]

Core Insights - The report focuses on the annual gifting scenarios for fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) on the Tmall platform, highlighting key gifting periods and consumer behavior trends [1][12]. Gifting Scenario Analysis - Gifting scenarios exhibit distinct time characteristics, with May and December identified as peak months due to events like Mother's Day and Christmas, leading to high search volumes for related keywords [1][12]. - Birthday gifting remains consistently active throughout the year, accounting for over 35% of search exposure, suggesting a need for year-round marketing strategies [1][17]. - Valentine's Day gifting sees significant search activity, particularly for keywords related to gifts for girlfriends, indicating a shorter decision-making cycle [1][19]. Consumer Demographics and Preferences - The birthday gifting demographic is predominantly female, with 30% of consumers aged 18-24, while the romantic gifting demographic has a balanced gender ratio, with a higher concentration of consumers aged 25-34 [2][24]. - In birthday gifting, skincare products like facial serums and body care are preferred, while for Valentine's Day, facial masks and perfumes dominate the skincare category [3][37]. Consumer Behavior and Media Preferences - The conversion cycle for romantic gifting is approximately 3 days, while birthday gifting takes about 10 days, indicating a need for pre-event marketing efforts [4][34]. - Birthday gifting benefits significantly from search channels and live streaming, while romantic gifting also utilizes external advertising to reach potential consumers [5][35]. Brand Marketing Solutions and Innovations - Tmall has introduced the "ShowMax" gifting model, which effectively captures core consumer groups through targeted keyword searches, resulting in a 12% increase in consumer engagement [6][41]. - Innovative advertising formats for Valentine's Day, such as large-scale ads and interactive formats, have shown a 200% increase in click-through rates compared to standard ads [7][50]. Summary - Tmall's gifting scenarios are centered around birthdays, Valentine's Day, and holiday events, with distinct differences in consumer demographics, product preferences, and media channels. Brands are encouraged to tailor their strategies to these specific gifting occasions to enhance brand influence and sales efficiency [8][37].

Group 1 - The online beauty skincare market has reached a sales volume of 316.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.7%, although the average price has declined [1][8][11] - Facial care sets and serums are performing well, while men's skincare is rapidly growing; however, masks and creams have seen a decline [1][11][14] - The demand for anti-aging products is prominent, with mainstream ingredients like peptides and plant-based components such as ginseng and astragalus showing significant growth [1][2][20] Group 2 - Ginseng-related products have a market size of 11.6 billion yuan, with notable sales during promotional periods, primarily in facial care sets [2][30][31] - Astragalus products have a market size of 2.3 billion yuan, with significant growth in the second half of the year, focusing on creams and lotions [2][30] - Although the market for artemisia is small, it has shown impressive year-on-year growth, mainly in serums and creams, with a target audience aged 21-30 [2][30] Group 3 - The anti-aging market is expected to have a broad outlook in 2025, becoming a key factor for consumers when choosing skincare products [2] - Natural plant ingredients are gaining traction due to environmental concerns and consumer demand, leading to continuous innovation in extraction, formulation, and processes [2][20] - The integration of various natural plant extracts is a primary selling point for many products, with brands focusing on anti-aging claims [2][37]