近日，全球家庭护理板块首家上市挂牌公司——圣贝拉集团(02508)正式披露其登陆港交所后的首份业 绩答卷。在宏观经济承压、生育率持续走低的大环境下，这家产后护理龙头不仅成功抵御宏观因素震 荡，更一举交出"逆袭级"成绩单。 政策红利加持下的业绩数据跃升 今年7月底，国家育儿补贴方案正式公布，为母婴行业带来重大利好。据光大证券研究所测算，国家育 儿补贴政策有望拉动社会消费品零售总额增长约0.14-0.2个百分点。 在育儿补贴、延长产假、托育费用个税抵扣等"真金白银"政策与女性"悦己"意识、家庭结构变化的双重 催化下，中国产后护理及修复行业渗透率持续提升。根据沙利文报告显示，2025年家庭护理行业的规模 将增长至人民币8,053亿元。其中产后护理及修复行业依旧保持强劲增长势头，根据弗若斯特沙利文的 预测，2025年家庭护理及修复行业的规模将增长至人民币793亿元，预计2025年至2030年的行业複合年 增長率将达到20.4%。华泰证券分析师在最新研报中认为，家庭护理行业板块增长空间在未来仍将进一 步打开。 作为家庭护理头部企业的圣贝拉，率先站上行业风口。相较于其他月子中心，圣贝拉以涵盖新生儿护 理、产后修复、健康食 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][5]. Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue of 450 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, and an adjusted net profit of 38.78 million RMB, up 126.1% year-on-year [1][12]. - The company is benefiting from an effective entrusted management model, leading to accelerated expansion and a significant increase in the number of stores [2][1]. - New business segments, including postpartum recovery and home care services, are showing positive growth trends, contributing to the overall service matrix [1][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company's revenue reached 450 million RMB, with a gross profit margin of 37.6%, up 3.6 percentage points year-on-year [12]. - The adjusted net profit for 1H25 was 38.78 million RMB, reflecting a significant turnaround from a loss in the previous year [12][1]. Business Expansion - The number of maternity centers increased to 113 by the end of 1H25, with a net addition of 36 centers compared to the end of 2024 [2][1]. - The company’s home care service revenue grew by 41.7% year-on-year, indicating strong demand and customer retention [3][12]. Profitability and Efficiency - The marketing expense ratio decreased to 12.0%, and the management expense ratio fell to 22.1%, contributing to improved profitability [4][1]. - The company plans to launch an AI Agent product in the second half of 2025, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and profitability [4][1]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts adjusted net profits of 120.69 million RMB, 204.77 million RMB, and 306.16 million RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5][10]. - The target price is set at 9.76 HKD, reflecting a premium valuation due to the company's growth potential and market position [5][7].

Core Insights - Duoxiwa has been recognized as the "No. 1 Brand of Self-Operated Maternity Care in China" by iiMediaResearch, a leading third-party data mining and analysis agency in the new economy sector [1][4]. Industry Overview - The maternal and infant service market in China is experiencing explosive growth, with the market size projected to reach 76,299 billion yuan in 2024 and 89,149 billion yuan by 2027, driven by policy support and evolving consumer demands [3]. - There is a growing trend among mothers for professional and scientific guidance in postpartum care, with 94.5% of respondents believing that postpartum care is necessary, indicating a strong demand for maternity services [3]. Company Development - Since its establishment in Shenzhen in 2010, Duoxiwa has developed a comprehensive ecosystem focused on maternal and infant health services, including over 3,000 self-operated maternity caregivers and a service satisfaction rate of 98% [5][9]. - Duoxiwa's service model emphasizes quality control and understanding customer needs, focusing on postpartum recovery and newborn care, ensuring professional service delivery [7]. Service Expansion - Duoxiwa offers a full-chain service ecosystem that includes postpartum recovery and training schools for maternal and infant care, aiming to provide a one-stop solution for clients [9]. - The company has initiated themed activities like the "Duoxiwa 513 Good Pregnancy Festival" to address emotional care and build connections with families, showcasing its commitment to both functional and emotional support [9]. Future Strategy - Duoxiwa plans to enhance its service offerings by integrating professional services with emotional care, expanding its reach nationwide, and collaborating with various stakeholders to create a supportive network for maternal and infant care [11]. - The company aims to leverage innovation to provide high-quality and convenient maternal health solutions, positioning itself to lead the industry into a new development phase amid the growing opportunities presented by the "three-child policy" and the "she economy" [11].