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“政策+市场”驱动液冷产业扩张
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-10-13 16:16
近日,工业和信息化部等七部门联合印发《深入推动服务型制造创新发展实施方案(2025—2028 年)》,明确提出加强新型信息基础设施建设,深化"5G+工业互联网"融合创新和规模化应用,按需布 局算力基础设施,加速算力与行业融合应用。 "政策红利将进一步释放算力基建的投资潜力,而液冷技术作为解决高密度算力散热难题的核心方案, 已被明确为AI算力基础设施的关键组成部分,其产业价值将持续凸显。"中国电子商务专家服务中心副 主任郭涛在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,随着政策持续加码,液冷产业将从"技术备选"转向"刚 需配置",产业链企业有望在政策与市场的双重驱动下实现快速成长。 液冷技术优势明显 "近年来,人工智能领域竞争日趋激烈,生成式AI商业化进程不断加速,高性能算力需求呈现飞跃式增 长;同时,数据中心绿色化发展已成为行业共识,多重因素推动液冷技术在国内市场实现爆发式增 长。"全联并购公会信用管理委员会专家安光勇表示,液冷技术作为未来AI设备散热领域的重要突破, 正开启高效散热与性能提升的全新时代,为AI设备稳定运行和持续发展提供坚实保障,其市场规模正 快速扩张。 国际数据公司(IDC)数据显示,中国液冷服务器市场 ...
数据中心及AI服务器液冷冷却液行业分析框架
2025-10-13 01:00
数据中心及 AI 服务器液冷冷却液行业分析框架 20251010 摘要 数据中心用电量巨大且绿色化要求日益严格,液冷技术成为必然趋势。 政策驱动下,政府采购数据中心 PUE 标准不断降低,传统风冷散热已无 法满足需求,液冷市场迎来发展机遇。 当前主流液冷技术包括冷板式、静默式和喷淋式,冷板式液冷占据市场 主导地位,但静默式液冷散热能力更强,适用于高功率密度 AI 数据中心, 未来渗透率有望提升。 液冷冷却介质主要分为水基、油基和含氟类三种。水基性价比高,适用 于冷板式;油基用于静默式,各有优缺点;含氟类传热性能优异,但成 本较高,存在环保风险。 含氟类冷却液,特别是轻氟醚,因其良好的材料兼容性和环保特性,将 在高性能场景中成为刚需。新型微通道水冷热板技术也在兴起,但成本 高昂,短期内新旧技术混合使用将是常态。 市场上主要的氟化冷却液产品包括氢氟醚、全氟胺和全氟聚醚。巨化股 份、东岳集团和新洲邦等企业均有相关产品,南通瞻顶研发的 AD40 有 望实现国产替代。 Q&A 当前主流的液冷技术路径包括冷板式液冷、静默式液冷和喷淋式液冷。其中, 冷板式液冷占据市场主流,根据科智咨询的数据,2022 年其市场应用率达到 ...
西部证券晨会纪要-20250929
Western Securities· 2025-09-29 02:29
Group 1: Medical Devices Industry - The cardiovascular medical device industry has significant growth potential, with the market for cardiac electrophysiology devices in China expected to grow from CNY 65.80 billion in 2021 to CNY 157.26 billion by 2025, and further to CNY 419.73 billion by 2032 [5][6] - The global market for cardiac rhythm management devices increased from USD 9.7 billion in 2016 to USD 10.6 billion in 2021, with a projected growth to USD 12.8 billion by 2030 [5] - The market for coronary artery disease devices in China is also expanding, with the number of patients expected to reach 31.67 million by 2030, and the market for aortic stent grafts projected to grow significantly [6][7] Group 2: AI Cooling Industry - The AI computing upgrade is driving innovation in cooling technologies, with liquid cooling expected to reduce data center energy consumption by 20%-30%, achieving a PUE below 1.2 [8][9] - The liquid cooling market in China is projected to reach USD 1.26 billion in the first half of 2024, with cold plate solutions currently dominating the market due to their maturity and lower infrastructure modification requirements [9][10] - The market for immersion cooling fluids is expected to grow, with silicone oil and fluorinated liquids being key players, although regulatory challenges may arise [10] Group 3: Semiconductor Industry - Aojie Technology (688220.SH) is a leading player in the baseband chip market, with projected revenues of CNY 45.80 billion, CNY 57.35 billion, and CNY 70.72 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [12][13] - The company has a strong presence in both mobile baseband and IoT sectors, with significant growth expected in its ASIC business, which is anticipated to see multiple-fold growth by 2026 [12][14] Group 4: Pharmaceutical Industry - Lifang Pharmaceutical (003020.SZ) is expected to achieve revenues of CNY 18.53 billion, CNY 22.93 billion, and CNY 27.37 billion from 2025 to 2027, with a strong growth trajectory driven by its unique traditional Chinese medicine products [16][17] - The company is set to launch its first generic version of methylphenidate extended-release tablets in April 2025, targeting a large ADHD market in China [17] Group 5: Beverage Industry - IFBH (6603.HK) is positioned to capture a significant share of the coconut water market in China, which is expected to grow at a CAGR of 55% from 2019 to 2025 [19][20] - The company has established a strong brand presence and is leveraging its supply chain advantages to maintain a competitive edge in the market [20] Group 6: Nonferrous Metals Industry - Zhongmin Resources (002738.SZ) is projected to achieve net profits of CNY 6.03 billion, CNY 12.72 billion, and CNY 22.64 billion from 2025 to 2027, driven by its high-margin cesium and rubidium salt business [22][23] - The company is strategically expanding its copper business, which is expected to provide significant growth potential as demand for copper increases [23][24] Group 7: Aerospace Industry - The commercial aerospace sector is anticipated to reach a turning point with increased satellite launches and the development of reusable rockets, which are critical for the growth of satellite internet [29][30] - Companies like Blue Arrow Aerospace and Tianbing Technology are making significant advancements in rocket technology, with planned launches that could enhance China's capabilities in commercial space [30][31]
液冷新纪元:AI算力驱动下的冷却介质机遇
Western Securities· 2025-09-28 11:11
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [6] Core Viewpoints - The upgrade of AI computing power drives innovation in cooling technology, with liquid cooling expected to significantly reduce energy consumption in data centers by 20%-30% and lower PUE to below 1.2 [1][25] - The market for various cooling media is expanding, with cold plate liquid cooling being the current mainstream solution, accounting for over 95% of the market share in China [2] - The penetration of liquid cooling technology is anticipated to increase due to the rising power consumption of chips and the need for efficient cooling solutions [3] Summary by Sections Section 1: Computing Power and Cooling Technology - The continuous increase in chip power consumption drives innovation in cooling technologies, with CPU power design reaching 350-500W and GPU exceeding 800W [1][17] - The total number of data center racks in China is projected to reach 8.1 million by the end of 2023, with data centers consuming about 3% of the total electricity in society [14][17] Section 2: Cooling Media Market - The liquid cooling market is expected to grow significantly, with the Chinese liquid cooling server market projected to reach $1.26 billion in the first half of 2024 [2] - Single-phase cold plate liquid cooling can reduce PUE to 1.20-1.25, showing clear advantages over air cooling [2] Section 3: Liquid Cooling Technologies - Immersion liquid cooling shows potential but has varying opinions on its effectiveness, with silicone oil being favored for its cost-effectiveness and compatibility [3] - The introduction of PFAS regulations may lead to innovations in liquid cooling media, with alternatives like HFO and CO2 being considered [3] Section 4: Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch include Juhua Co., Ltd., Sinochem International, Dongyangguang, and others involved in the production of cooling media [4]
液冷行业深度报告:数据中心带动液冷需求增长,关注上游核心冷媒材料
2025-09-26 02:28
Summary of Liquid Cooling Industry Report Industry Overview - The report focuses on the liquid cooling industry, particularly in data centers, driven by the increasing demand for efficient cooling solutions due to high power density and thermal flow density requirements of modern chips [1][2][3]. Key Insights and Arguments - **Liquid Cooling Demand**: The demand for liquid cooling systems in data centers is expected to grow significantly, especially with the rise of AI data centers, which are projected to reach approximately 7GW by 2024 and continue to grow rapidly through 2028 [8]. - **Cooling Technologies**: Two main types of liquid cooling solutions are currently used in data centers: cold plate and silent cooling. Cold plate systems can be further divided into single-phase and multi-phase systems, while silent cooling includes oil-based and fluorinated liquids [4][7]. - **Chip Cooling Requirements**: NVIDIA's new generation of chips, such as the Ruby series, has increased power requirements, necessitating more efficient cooling solutions like phase change liquid cooling [5]. - **Energy Efficiency Management**: Data center energy efficiency management is becoming more refined, moving from chip-level to cabinet integration, with a focus on direct cooling solutions for high-heat areas [6]. Material Insights - **Cooling Fluids**: Various cooling fluids are discussed, including synthetic hydrocarbons and organic silicone oils, which have advantages such as low impurity content and good oxidation resistance, but also drawbacks like low flash points [9][10]. - **Fluorinated Liquids**: Fluorinated liquids provide excellent cooling performance with uniform temperature distribution but are costly and primarily produced by 3M, which plans to exit the market by the end of 2025 [12][16]. - **Environmental Concerns**: PFAS substances pose significant environmental hazards, prompting the search for alternatives like perfluoropolyether (PFPE), which is more degradable but less stable than perfluoramines [17][18]. Market Dynamics - **3M's Market Exit**: The anticipated exit of 3M from the fluorinated liquid market is expected to create opportunities for domestic companies to fill the gap, potentially leading to lower prices for cooling solutions [16][21]. - **Production and Cost Trends**: The price of perfluorinated compounds is currently around 600,000 to 700,000 yuan per ton, significantly higher than the 300,000 to 400,000 yuan per ton range from 2019 to 2021. Future production capacity improvements could lower prices back to previous levels [16]. Additional Important Content - **Key Players**: Notable companies in the organic silicone production space include Dow, Wacker, and domestic firms like Runhe Materials, which are innovating in the field [14]. - **Future Developments**: The report highlights ongoing research and development in alternative cooling solutions, including the use of hydrogen fluoride ethers in semiconductor cleaning and cooling applications [20]. This comprehensive overview captures the essential elements of the liquid cooling industry as discussed in the report, emphasizing the technological advancements, market dynamics, and environmental considerations shaping the future of data center cooling solutions.
产业交流会-液冷行业
2025-09-26 02:28
Summary of Liquid Cooling Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The liquid cooling industry is evolving with significant attention on NVIDIA's GB300 and the upcoming LOBIN structure, transitioning from traditional air cooling to advanced cooling solutions like microchannel cooling plates (MLCP) and bidirectional energy boards [1][2][6] Key Trends and Technologies - **Bidirectional Energy Boards**: Expected to become mainstream by 2026, currently facing design complexity and material selection challenges. R134 and 1,233ZD are the main candidates for refrigerants, each with pros and cons [1][4][3] - **Microchannel Cooling Plates (MLCP)**: Aiming to enhance cooling efficiency by integrating the cooling plate directly with chip packaging, though costs are significantly higher (3 to 7 times traditional plates) [7][6] - **Refrigerant Selection**: The industry is cautious about the transition to new refrigerants, with R134A likely to coexist with newer options due to its maturity and cost-effectiveness [2][13] Future Directions - **Integration of Technologies**: Companies are exploring the combination of bidirectional energy boards with silent cooling methods to address GPU cooling challenges [5][6] - **Material Innovations**: New materials such as quick connectors, CDU, and stainless steel hoses are expected to enhance overall system performance [8][6] - **Economic and Environmental Considerations**: The choice of immersion cooling fluids will focus on cost, performance, and environmental impact, with options like silicone oil and perfluoropolyether (PFPE) being prominent [9][10] Challenges and Considerations - **Design and Implementation**: The complexity of bidirectional energy board design and the need for better sealing and pressure tolerance in the phase change process are significant challenges [4][6] - **Market Dynamics**: The partnership between Dow and Intel has seen slow progress due to pricing mechanisms and responsibility allocation issues, impacting the adoption of silicone oil in data centers [11][9] Emerging Materials - **Liquid Metal**: Offers excellent thermal conductivity but is still in early experimental stages due to high costs and oxidation issues [14][15] - **New Tri-block Materials**: Recent advancements in tri-block materials have improved stability and reduced volatility, making them viable for semiconductor temperature control [17][16] Market Outlook - **Cost Trends**: The cost of K-type PFPE is expected to decrease below 300 RMB per kilogram in the long term, while Y-type PFPE remains high due to supply chain constraints [18][19] - **GWP Concerns**: The high Global Warming Potential (GWP) of PFPE remains a challenge, with no effective methods currently available to significantly reduce it [19][10] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call regarding the liquid cooling industry, highlighting trends, challenges, and future directions.
液冷冷却液+AI数据中心+氟化工,最全龙头公司产业链梳理(附名单)
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 15:48
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the growing importance of liquid cooling technology in data centers due to increasing power consumption and heat generation from AI server chips, highlighting the shift from traditional air cooling to liquid cooling solutions. Group 1: Liquid Cooling Technology Types - Liquid cooling technology is categorized into two main types: cold plate and immersion cooling, with cold plate cooling holding a 91% market share in 2022 due to its maturity and compatibility [3][31]. - Immersion cooling, while having the highest heat dissipation capability, accounts for about 8% of the market and is represented by companies like Shuguang Data and Guangdong He Yi [4][31]. - Cold plate cooling primarily uses water-based coolants, offering advantages such as low cost and fast heat dissipation [5]. Group 2: Cooling Liquid Material Systems - The main types of cooling liquids include water-based, oil-based, and fluorinated coolants [7]. - Water-based coolants are mainly used in single-phase cold plate cooling, supplied by companies like Compton and Unification [8]. - Oil-based coolants are used in single-phase immersion cooling, with suppliers like China Petroleum and Unification [8]. - Fluorinated coolants are crucial for high reliability and extreme physical conditions, with companies like Juhua and Dongyue Group achieving large-scale production [8]. Group 3: Microchannel Liquid Cooling Breakthroughs - Microchannel cold plate technology is becoming a focus for AI chip manufacturers, with companies like Nvidia and Microsoft pushing for MLCP standards [9]. - Domestic companies such as Highlan and Feirongda are gaining certifications and expanding their market share in this area [9]. Group 4: Market Size and Price Logic - By 2028, the global AI data center installation capacity is expected to reach 59 GW, corresponding to a cooling liquid demand exceeding 89,000 tons [10]. - The Chinese market for liquid-cooled data centers is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 51.4%, with the industry scale expected to exceed 100 billion yuan by 2027 [10]. Group 5: Leading Projects - Major companies like Alibaba, Shuguang, Huawei, and Lenovo are implementing liquid-cooled data center demonstration projects, with Alibaba achieving a PUE of 1.12 in its 5A green liquid-cooled data center [14][15]. - Shuguang has realized the world's first large-scale commercial application of immersion phase change liquid cooling [15]. - Huawei's cloud data center in Ulanqab utilizes indirect evaporative cooling, achieving a PUE of 1.15 [16]. Group 6: Mainstream Cooling Pathways - The article outlines the mainstream cooling pathways, including water-based, oil-based, and fluorinated cooling liquids, emphasizing the rapid growth of the liquid cooling market [18][21].
行业分析框架:国信化工、数据中心及AI服务器液冷冷却液
Guoxin Securities· 2025-09-25 05:15
2025年09月25日 证券研究报告| 国信化工·数据中心及AI服务器液冷冷却液 行业分析框架 行业研究 · 行业专题 基础化工·氟化工 投资评级:优于大市(维持) 证券分析师:杨林 证券分析师:张歆钰 010-88005379 021-60375408 yanglin6@guosen.com.cn zhangxinyu4@guosen.com.cn S0980520120002 S0980524080004 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 核心观点 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 Ø 随着数算中心规模、功率不断提升,高效冷却技术快速发展,液冷主要解决高能耗、高发热难题。据《智算中心液冷产业全景研究报告》, 2024年我国算力中心总耗电量达1660亿kWh,占全社会总用电量的1.68%。2020年国家工信部公布《全国数据中心应用发展指引(2020)》, 全国在用超大型数据中心平均PUE达1.46,大型数据中心平均PUE为1.55;2023年4月,财政部、生态环境部、工信部联合印发《绿色数据中心 政府采购需求标准(试行)》中提出,2023年6月起,数据中心电能比不高于1.4,2025 ...
行业分析框架:国信化工:数据中心及AI服务器液冷冷却液
Guoxin Securities· 2025-09-25 02:57
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The rapid growth of data centers and the increasing power demands necessitate efficient cooling technologies, with liquid cooling addressing high energy consumption and heat generation issues. By 2024, China's computing centers are expected to consume 166 billion kWh, accounting for 1.68% of the total electricity consumption [2][2] - The main liquid cooling technologies include cold plate and immersion cooling, with cold plate cooling being the most widely used due to its mature technology. Liquid cooling offers multiple advantages such as high heat transfer efficiency, energy savings, and reduced noise [2][2] - The market for cooling liquids is projected to grow significantly, with an estimated demand of approximately 89,000 tons for AI data centers by 2028, alongside 19,000 tons from traditional server installations [2][2] Summary by Sections 1. Main Cooling Paths - Liquid cooling technology is categorized into indirect cooling (mainly cold plate) and direct cooling (including immersion and spray cooling). Cold plate cooling is the most prevalent, while immersion cooling offers higher heat dissipation capabilities but comes with higher operational costs [2][2][2] 2. Water-Based Cooling Liquids - Water-based cooling liquids are primarily used in single-phase cold plate cooling, offering good thermal conductivity and low cost. However, they may pose risks of microbial growth [50][50] 3. Oil-Based Cooling Liquids - Oil-based cooling liquids, including mineral oil and synthetic oil, are mainly applied in single-phase immersion cooling. They are cost-effective and environmentally friendly but have lower thermal conductivity compared to synthetic alternatives [56][56] 4. Market Space Estimation - The liquid cooling market in China is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 51.4% from 2019 to 2027 [17][17] 5. Commercialization of Liquid Cooling Technology - The commercialization of liquid cooling technology is increasing, with major IT companies like Alibaba, Baidu, and Tencent implementing successful liquid cooling applications [27][27]
国信化工·数据中心及AI服务器液冷冷却液行业分析框架
Guoxin Securities· 2025-09-25 02:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The rapid growth of data centers and the increasing power demands necessitate efficient cooling technologies, with liquid cooling addressing high energy consumption and heat generation issues. By 2024, China's computing centers are expected to consume 166 billion kWh, accounting for 1.68% of the total electricity consumption [2][2] - The main liquid cooling technologies are cold plate and immersion cooling, with cold plate cooling being the most widely used due to its mature technology. Liquid cooling offers multiple advantages, including high heat exchange efficiency, energy savings, and reduced noise [2][2] - The market for cooling liquids is projected to grow significantly, with an estimated demand of approximately 89,000 tons for AI data centers by 2028 and an additional 19,000 tons from traditional server installations [2][2] Summary by Sections 1. Main Cooling Pathways - Liquid cooling technology is categorized into indirect cooling (mainly cold plate) and direct cooling (including immersion and spray cooling). Cold plate cooling is the most common, while immersion cooling offers higher heat dissipation capabilities but at a higher operational cost [2][2][2] 2. Water-Based Cooling Liquids - Water-based cooling liquids are primarily used in single-phase cold plate cooling, offering good thermal conductivity and low cost. However, they may pose risks of algae and bacteria growth [48][50] 3. Oil-Based Cooling Liquids - Oil-based cooling liquids, including mineral oil and synthetic oil, are mainly used in single-phase immersion cooling. They are cost-effective and environmentally friendly but have lower thermal conductivity compared to other options [53][56] 4. Market Space Estimation - The liquid cooling market in China is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 51.4% from 2019 to 2027 [17][17] 5. Commercialization of Liquid Cooling Technology - The commercialization of liquid cooling technology is increasing, with major IT companies like Alibaba, Baidu, and Tencent implementing successful liquid cooling applications [27][27]