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西部证券晨会纪要-20250826
Western Securities· 2025-08-26 02:54
Group 1 - Core conclusion for 汇顶科技 (603160.SH): The company is a global leader in fingerprint sensors, with strong growth potential across its four core businesses: sensing, AI computing, connectivity, and security. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 55.24 billion, 65.8 billion, and 78.4 billion CNY, with net profits of 8.56 billion, 10.78 billion, and 12.68 billion CNY respectively [1][9] - In the first half of 2025, 汇顶科技 achieved revenue of 22.51 billion CNY, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 35.7% to 4.31 billion CNY. The gross margin was 43.3% and net margin was 19.1% [6][7] - The company launched several new products, including a new light sensor and enhanced NFC solutions, which are expected to drive growth during the upcoming consumer electronics peak season [8][9] Group 2 - Core conclusion for 聚辰股份 (688123.SH): The company is experiencing significant growth in its DDR5 SPD and automotive-grade EEPROM products, with revenue projections for 2025-2027 at 13.09 billion, 17.95 billion, and 24.03 billion CNY, and net profits of 4.42 billion, 6.32 billion, and 8.67 billion CNY respectively [2][13] - In the first half of 2025, 聚辰股份 reported revenue of 5.75 billion CNY, an increase of 11.69% year-on-year, and net profit of 2.05 billion CNY, up 43.50%. The gross margin improved to 60.25% [11][12] Group 3 - Core conclusion for 芒果超媒 (300413.SZ): The company maintains stable performance in its 芒果 TV platform, with revenue projections for 2025-2027 at 14.47 billion, 15.10 billion, and 18.95 billion CNY, reflecting year-on-year growth of 6%, 4%, and 25% respectively [3][16] - In the first half of 2025, 芒果超媒 achieved revenue of 59.64 billion CNY, a decrease of 14.31% year-on-year, with net profit of 7.63 billion CNY, down 28.31%. The company is focusing on content investment to enhance user engagement [15][16] Group 4 - Core conclusion for 特宝生物 (688278.SH): The company is experiencing high growth in its product pipeline, particularly with 派格宾, and is actively expanding its early-stage innovative pipeline. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 36.96 billion, 49.38 billion, and 64.70 billion CNY, with net profits of 10.91 billion, 14.42 billion, and 18.98 billion CNY respectively [4][20] - In the first half of 2025, 特宝生物 reported revenue of 15.1 billion CNY, a growth of 27.0%, and net profit of 4.3 billion CNY, up 40.6% [18][19] Group 5 - Core conclusion for 华峰化学 (002064.SZ): The company is projected to achieve stable long-term growth despite a decline in revenue in the first half of 2025. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 277.84 billion, 293.43 billion, and 305.67 billion CNY, with net profits of 21.33 billion, 28.64 billion, and 31.46 billion CNY respectively [29][31] - In the first half of 2025, 华峰化学 reported revenue of 121.37 billion CNY, a decrease of 11.70%, and net profit of 9.83 billion CNY, down 35.23% [29][30]
开源证券:白酒弱复苏中筑底 黄酒契合新消费趋势
智通财经网· 2025-06-03 07:02
智通财经APP获悉,开源证券发布研报称,当前白酒行业正处于磨底阶段,名酒批价淡季稳健,库存也 没有继续积累。目前头部酒企正通过模式创新来应对周期压力,通过场景转型、客群转型、拓展白酒文 化体验等寻找新增长点,积极破局。白酒行业短期受需求疲软及情绪扰动承压,但基本面筑底迹象渐 显,加估值低位与分红提升,配置价值依然稳固。值得关注的是,黄酒正逐步打破 "传统中老年饮 品"刻板印象,向年轻聚饮等场景渗透。虽然品类教育与消费者心智转化仍需要时间,但已经逐步打开 黄酒发展空间。 端午节终端动销同比走弱,主因消费力恢复缓慢及商务宴请场景收缩。近期《党政机关厉行节约反对浪 费条例》重申公务禁酒,引发市场担忧情绪,但政务消费近年来已被压缩较低水平,实质影响有限。 (1)山西汾酒(600809.SH):汾酒短期面临需求压力,但中期成长确定性较高。汾牌产品结构升级同时杏 花村、竹叶青同时发力,全国化进程加快。 (2)贵州茅台(600519.SH):公司将深化改革进程,以更加务实的姿态,强调未来可持续发展。公司分红 率提升,此轮周期后茅台可看得更为长远。 开源证券认为,当前白酒行业正处于磨底阶段,名酒批价淡季稳健,库存也没有继续积 ...