截至1月8日，沪指实现了"15连阳"的强劲走势，期间创出了本轮牛市的新高位置4093.87点。 与此同时，两融余额规模的增长再次加速，自2025年12月22日以来，短短11个交易日已增长超过1000亿 元。两融交易的活跃度也在提升，已连续两个交易日超过3000亿元大关。 多家外资机构发布市场展望，对2026年中国市场潜力表达强烈信心。高盛预测，MSCI中国指数和沪深 300指数在2026年将分别上涨20%和12%；瑞银也预计2026年MSCI中国指数的盈利增长有望达到14%。 于券商板块而言，市场交投、两融维持高位，为券商板块业绩向好趋势提供坚实支撑。叠加"稳增长、 稳股市"、"提振资本市场"的政策导向，券商板块景气度有望持续上行。 行情表现上，近两日，券商板块短线回调，资金逢机积极布局。上交所数据显示，券商ETF（512000） 最新单日获资金大举增仓9.44亿元，近两日资金连续净流入11亿元。 券商板块当前估值仍处于历史低位，券商ETF（512000）跟踪的中证全指证券公司指数市净率PB （LF）为1.52倍，位于近10年42.86%分位点的中低水平，与高景气与高增业绩显著背离，滞涨矛盾突 出。 有行情， ...

1月7日，A股冲高回落，沪指一度逼近4100点，午后三大指数集体翻绿。券商早盘活跃，华林证券盘中 两连板，午后板块随市转弱，顶流券商ETF（512000）场内价格一度跌逾2%，现跌1.79%。 值得一提的是，昨日券商久违大涨，资金迅速涌入。主力资金单日狂揽145.49亿元，高居所有申万二级 行业断层第一，东方财富、国泰海通、华安证券、中信证券均获超10亿涌入。杠杆资金方面，多股获大 手笔加仓，东方财富单日获融资净买入9.55亿元，创逾3个月新高。 展望后市，银河证券表示，银河证券表示，国家"稳增长、稳股市"、"提振资本市场"的政策目标将持续 定调板块未来走向，流动性适度宽松环境延续、资本市场环境持续优化、投资者信心重塑等多方面因素 共同推动券商板块景气度上行。券商板块估值处于历史低位，防御反弹攻守兼备。* 数据来源于沪深交易所等。 * 机构观点源于：方正证券 2026 年 1 月 5 日发布《银行、保险、券商年度策略》、银河证券《券商行情稳 中有进，政策资金双向赋能》 2025 年 12 月 23 日发布《券商行情稳中有进，政策资金双向赋能》。 风险提示：券商ETF（512000）被动跟踪中证全指证券公司指数 ...

"开门红"行情如火如荼，沪指大涨1.5%走出惊人的13连阳，一举突破2025年11月14日的阶段高点，刷新 2015年7月以来的逾10年新高。沪深两市成交额达2.83万亿元，为连续第6个交易日突破2万亿，环比进 一步放量。 主力资金密集涌入，今日证券板块获主力资金净流入145.49亿元，高居所有申万二级行业断层第一，东 方财富、国泰海通、华安证券、中信证券均获超10亿涌入。 分析认为，券商量价齐升的核心驱动源于2025年9月以来板块估值已深度调整，叠加年初增量资金接续 入市、行业并购事件催化、行业监管边际宽松，沪指13连阳突破新高提振情绪，券商行情迎来补涨。 数据显示，2025年券商板块整体滞涨，券商ETF（512000）跟踪的中证全指证券公司指数年度仅微涨 2.54%，明显落后于大盘，同期指数市净率PB（LF）为1.52倍，位于近10年42.86%分位点的中低水平， 与高增业绩显著背离。 | 序号 证券代码 | | 证券简称 | 区间涨跌幅 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | [区间首日] 2025-01-01 ［区间尾日］2025-12-31 | | | ...

12月26日，券商板块走势活跃，400亿顶流券商ETF（512000）场内价格一度上探1.89%，收涨0.86%，日线3连阳，向上收复 半年线，全天成交额18.3亿元，环比放量超8亿。 今年以来，券商板块整体表现不佳，作为"牛市旗手"，券商ETF（512000）跟踪的中证全指证券公司指数年内仅微涨3.96%， 表现明显落后于大盘，与高增业绩显著背离，滞涨矛盾突出。同期板块市净率估值PB（LF）为1.5倍，仅位于近10年41.57%分 位点的中低水平。分析认为，主因或系前两年的悲观情绪蔓延以及板块缺少独立催化。 | 序号 证券代码 | | 证券简称 | 区间涨跌幅 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | [区间首日] 本年初 [区间尾日] 2025-12-26 | | | | | | [单位] % | | | 399975.SZ | | 证券公司 | | 3.9641 | | 2 | 000001.SH | 上证指数 | | 18.2565 | | 3 399001.SZ | | 深证成指 | | 30.6232 | | 4 399006.SZ | | 创业板指 ...

截至12月23日，A股市场融资余额最新报25145.96亿元，较前一增加148.59亿元。这是自A股两融市场开设以来，融资余额首度站上2.5万亿元，续创历史新 高。 12月25日，券商板块维持小幅红盘震荡，个股多数飘红，截至发稿，东北证券涨超3%，财通证券、锦龙股份涨超1%。400亿顶流券商ETF（512000）场内 价格现微涨0.17%，沿着5日均线小碎步爬升。 | 综合屏 F9 前复权 超级叠加 画线 工具 Q 2 > 分时 多日 = | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 512000.SHI券商ETFI 2025/11/17 收0.582 幅-1.19%(-0.007) 开0.58回 | | 0.582 +0.001 +0.17% | | | | | MA5 0.591↓ MA10 0.594↓ MA20 0.597↓ MA60 0.604↓ MA120 0.575↑ M▼ ■ | | SSE CNY 10:02:26 交易中 查看L2全景 | | | | | 0.625-> | 0.630 | 净值走势 华宝中证全指证券公 | | | ...

万联证券指出，证券行业仍有广阔的增量业务空间，在全面深化资本市场改革，推动行业高质量发展进 程中，头部券商有望通过并购重组以及提高杠杆率进一步做优做强，中小机构在差异化特色化发展上也 有望迎来更多具体政策支持和引导，看好券商业绩继续提升、估值修复。具体标的上，建议关注头部券 商中估值相对较低的标的、并购重组潜在受益标的，以及在细分赛道上表现突出的中小券商。 有行情，买券商！券商ETF（512000）及其联接基金（A类 006098；C类007531）被动跟踪中证全指证 券公司指数，一键囊括49只上市券商股，是集中布局头部券商、同时兼顾中小券商的高效率投资工具。 券商ETF（512000）最新基金规模超400亿元，年内日均成交额超10亿元，为A股规模、流动性居前的顶 流券业ETF。 提醒：近期市场波动可能较大，短期涨跌幅不预示未来表现。请投资者务必根据自身的资金状况和风险 承受能力理性投资，高度注意仓位和风险管理。 数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等。 风险提示：以上产品由基金管理人发行与管理，代销机构不承担产品的投资、兑付和风险管理责任。投 资人应当认真阅读《基金合同》、《招募说明书》、《基金产品资料概要》等基 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a strong rally led by the brokerage sector, with significant inflows and positive policy changes supporting this trend [1][4][10]. Group 1: Market Performance - The top-performing brokerage ETF (512000) opened high and saw a price increase of over 3%, closing up 2.1%, marking three consecutive days of gains [1][8]. - Individual brokerage stocks also performed well, with notable increases such as a nearly 7% rise for Industrial Securities and over 4% for Northeast Securities [1][8]. Group 2: Policy Support - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced measures to expand capital space and leverage limits for brokerages, which is expected to enhance capital efficiency and profitability for leading firms [2][10]. - A recent adjustment in risk factors for insurance companies' investments in major indices is projected to release an additional 108.6 billion yuan into the market, providing substantial liquidity support [2][10]. Group 3: Financial Metrics - The net profit growth for the 49 listed brokerages in the first three quarters was 61.6%, while the price-to-book ratio stands at 1.47, indicating a relative undervaluation compared to historical levels [2][10]. - The brokerage sector is experiencing a divergence between high earnings growth and low valuations, creating potential for valuation recovery [2][10]. Group 4: Capital Inflows - Significant capital inflows into the brokerage sector were noted, with a net inflow of 5.946 billion yuan on December 5 and an additional 6.708 billion yuan recently [3][11]. - The brokerage ETF (512000) has seen a total net inflow of 1.881 billion yuan over the past 20 days, leading among similar ETFs [3][11]. Group 5: Investment Tools - The brokerage ETF (512000) and its linked funds provide an efficient investment tool that encompasses 49 listed brokerage stocks, catering to both large and small firms [6][13].

Core Viewpoint - The brokerage sector is experiencing fluctuations, with the top-tier brokerage ETF (512000) hitting a new low since August 26, reflecting market volatility and investor sentiment [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November, the brokerage ETF (512000) tracks the CSI All Share Securities Companies Index with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.45, placing it at the 35th percentile over the past decade, indicating potential for valuation recovery [3]. - The brokerage ETF (512000) reached a historical milestone with its fund size surpassing 40 billion yuan for the first time on November 6, with an average daily trading volume exceeding 1 billion yuan, making it one of the largest and most liquid ETFs in the A-share market [3]. Group 2: Investment Sentiment - The non-bank financial sector is currently in a state of extreme underweight, suggesting a strong potential for increased allocation from public funds following the release of the draft guidelines for performance comparison benchmarks for publicly offered securities investment funds [3]. - Recent trading activity shows a significant inflow of funds into the brokerage ETF (512000), with a net inflow of 250 million yuan recorded recently, totaling 850 million yuan over the past four days, indicating strong buying interest [5].

Core Viewpoint - The brokerage sector is experiencing a divergence between performance and valuation, with high profitability amid market activity, yet stock prices and valuations remain under pressure [2][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - On the first trading day of December, the brokerage sector showed positive fluctuations, with the top-tier brokerage ETF (512000) opening lower but turning positive, gaining 0.35% and achieving a trading volume exceeding 4 billion yuan within half a day [1]. - Individual stocks within the sector mostly rose, with Guolian Minsheng increasing over 3%, and other major brokerages like Huatai Securities, Guotai Junan, and CITIC Securities rising more than 1% [1]. Group 2: ETF and Fund Flows - The brokerage ETF (512000) has seen significant inflows, with a net inflow of 497 million yuan over the week of November 24-28, leading among 14 similar ETFs, and over 2.1 billion yuan in the past 20 days [3]. - The ETF, which tracks the CSI All Share Securities Companies Index, has a historical fund size exceeding 40 billion yuan as of November 6, with an average daily trading volume of over 1 billion yuan [5]. Group 3: Valuation Metrics - As of the end of November, the brokerage ETF (512000) tracked index has a year-to-date change of -0.09%, significantly lagging behind the broader market indices [2]. - The price-to-book (PB) ratio for the brokerage sector has decreased to 1.45 times, placing it at the 35th percentile over the past decade, indicating an increasing value proposition for investors [2].

Core Viewpoint - The brokerage industry is experiencing significant positive developments with the announcement of major asset restructuring plans by China International Capital Corporation (CICC), Xinda Securities, and Dongxing Securities, which will lead to a merger creating a new brokerage giant with nearly 1 trillion yuan in total assets [1] Group 1: Industry Developments - The restructuring is a crucial step in consolidating securities licenses under Central Huijin and aligns with the financial power strategy to build a first-class investment bank [1] - Regulatory support for industry consolidation is evident, with mergers and acquisitions seen as effective means for brokerages to achieve external growth and enhance overall industry competitiveness [1] - The merger is expected to improve resource allocation and promote healthy market development, contributing to higher industry concentration and economies of scale [1] Group 2: Market Performance - Despite a recovering market and improving fundamentals, the brokerage sector's stock performance has lagged behind broader market indices, with the CSI Securities Company Index rising only 3.25% year-to-date compared to significant gains in other indices [1][2] - The disparity between performance and stock price has created a notable valuation gap, with expectations for a "Davis Double" in 2026 as the sector's valuation remains at historical lows [2] - Significant capital inflows have been observed, with the brokerage ETF (512000) seeing a net inflow of 13.521 billion yuan over the past 60 days [2] Group 3: Investment Tools - The brokerage ETF (512000) and its linked funds provide an efficient investment tool that tracks the CSI Securities Company Index, encompassing 49 listed brokerage stocks [4] - The ETF has reached a historical milestone with its fund size surpassing 40 billion yuan, indicating strong liquidity and interest in the sector [4]