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乌克兰与荷兰签署无人机联合生产备忘录
Yang Shi Xin Wen Ke Hu Duan· 2025-10-10 23:19
Core Points - The meeting between Ukrainian President Zelensky and Dutch Defense Minister Blokhuis resulted in the signing of a memorandum for joint drone production, marking a new phase in Ukraine-Netherlands bilateral cooperation [1] - The discussions focused on establishing a roadmap for joint drone production and implementing the "Ukrainian Priority Needs List" initiative, further solidifying the strategic partnership in the defense industry between Ukraine and the Netherlands [1]
高市早苗料接任日本首相 策略师:利好股市 利空日元
智通财经网· 2025-10-06 02:45
据悉,高市早苗主张财政扩张和政治右倾立场,被视为已故首相安倍晋三的门徒。她呼吁保持宽松货币 政策,认为日本央行不应加息。策略师指出,高市早苗对刺激计划的支持立场有望提振股市,但同时可 能会给日元带来压力。策略师还表示,对日本央行政策的预期可能支撑短期政府债券,而较长期债券则 可能因财政支出增加的担忧而受挫。 他们补充称,高市早苗对经济安全的关注可能会使国防、关键资源和技术股受益。在其领导下,与美国 贸易紧张局势重燃的风险有限,双方在国防、造船和网络安全方面的合作可能会加强。 Lombard Odier Singapore高级宏观策略师Homin Lee表示:"我们认为,日本国债期限溢价有适度扩大的 空间,且东证股价指数周一可能因市场对高市早苗领导下可能出台的亲增长政策举措的预期而呈现积极 的价格走势。""美元兑日元可能面临短期上行压力,因为普遍看法是,高市早苗仍然致力于通货再膨 胀,尽管她在自民党领导层竞选前后的相关政策辩论中已缓和了立场。" Homin Lee表示,虽然高市早苗已排除了可能削减消费税的做法,"但关于在她领导下自民党少数派执政 框架稳定性的问题,可能会给日本国债期限溢价带来轻微的上行压力"。 ...
西方拟再次工业化,美国的战略最为典型,外媒:供应链已被卡脖子
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 07:15
最近美国已经公开表态,威胁要对半导体进口加征100%的关税,美国划出了红线,宣称如果从台岛进 口的芯片产品和美国本土生产的芯片规模持平,也就是50%对50%,美国就不会对进口的芯片加征100% 的关税。美国发出的威胁,已经引起了轩然大波,因为会冲击全球的半导体产业,尤其是对于台岛的出 口产品造成巨大的困扰。一旦美国对来自台岛的芯片加征100%的关税,就会导致台岛芯片工厂的竞争 力的丧失,如今看来民进党当局跪了都没有用,因为美国的大棒还是砸向了台岛。 美国在推动全球化的时候,进行了产业分工,美国放弃了许多传统的制造业,但是如今美国的整体战略 显示,美国正在试图推动再次工业化,为此美国的战略最为典型。美国对于全球贸易伙伴发动了关税 战,美国公开宣称要通过对于进口产品加征关税来推动制造业向美国的转移,显然如今美国是一点都不 装,要利用关税来迫使许多厂商进行选择,因为在美国开始工厂,可以避免所谓的对等关税。实际上美 国不仅仅在芯片领域有动作,在其余的领域也是如此,美国在推动众多的制造业回流。 除了美国之外,其余的西方国家也是蠢蠢欲动,试图推动再次工业化,包括欧洲,在俄乌冲突的刺激之 下,欧洲已经意识到制造业的作用。在 ...
地缘经济论 | 第七章 制造业:创新驱动增长中的角色与关税效果分析
中金点睛· 2025-09-23 23:58
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the importance of solidifying the manufacturing base in the context of the U.S. competitive geopolitical economic strategy, highlighting the mixed views on its effectiveness in improving employment, national defense, and innovation [2][5]. Group 1: Manufacturing Employment and Economic Impact - Manufacturing has a high employment multiplier effect, creating approximately 2.2 indirect jobs for every direct manufacturing job, which is significantly higher than other sectors [11][12]. - Despite the employment multiplier, the average wage in manufacturing is lower than in the service sector, with 2024 manufacturing average hourly wage at $34.5 compared to $35.6 in services [9][11]. - The decline in manufacturing's share of the economy raises concerns about increasing income inequality, as the service sector shows greater wage variability [9][11]. Group 2: National Defense and Manufacturing - Manufacturing is critical for national defense, with the U.S. Defense Industrial Base (DIB) relying heavily on the manufacturing ecosystem [18]. - The reduction in the number of defense contractors and manufacturing personnel does not necessarily indicate a decline in the defense industry, as actual production output has been increasing [18]. - The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted vulnerabilities in the supply chain, reinforcing the need for domestic manufacturing capabilities to ensure national security [18]. Group 3: Innovation and Manufacturing Outsourcing - Manufacturing is seen as a growth engine, particularly for developing countries, while its role in developed countries is more about high R&D investment and driving IT innovation [19][20]. - There is ongoing debate about whether outsourcing manufacturing jobs weakens innovation capabilities in developed countries, with some studies indicating negative impacts on R&D due to increased transaction costs and reduced feedback loops [36][37]. - The modularity and maturity of manufacturing processes influence the extent to which outsourcing affects innovation, with certain industries being more susceptible to negative impacts [38][39]. Group 4: Tariffs and Manufacturing Return - The article explores the potential for tariffs to encourage the return of manufacturing jobs to the U.S., although the effectiveness and economic implications of such tariffs are debated [41]. - The optimal tariff rate is influenced by the price elasticity of supply and demand, which determines the impact of tariffs on domestic manufacturing [41].
电子值机失灵,欧盟紧急应对!欧洲多国机场遭“神秘”网络攻击
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-09-21 22:40
美国哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)称,目前尚不清楚网络攻击幕后是谁,可能是黑客、犯罪组织,甚至是国家行为体。报道援引网络安全专家的话 称,由于高度依赖共享的数字系统,航空业已成为网络犯罪分子"越来越有吸引力的目标"。这类攻击通常通过供应链发起,利用同时被多家航空 公司和机场使用的第三方平台。一旦某个供应商被攻破,连锁反应可能立刻显现,并迅速跨境蔓延,引发广泛干扰。 据路透社报道,此次欧洲多座机场运营受阻,是由于为全球多家航空公司提供航班值机和登机服务的柯林斯航空航天公司受到网络攻击。路透社 认为,这起事件是近期全球范围内针对政府和企业的一系列黑客攻击的一部分,受影响领域涵盖医疗、国防、零售和汽车等。不久前,英国豪车 制造商捷豹路虎也曾因黑客入侵而被迫停产。 英国广播公司(BBC)援引柯林斯航空航天公司的母公司RTX的话称,在此次事件中主要受到影响的是电子值机和行李托运服务,但可通过人工 办理登机手续来减轻影响。据伦敦希思罗机场称,"技术问题"影响了提供给多家航空公司的软件,导致部分航班延误。布鲁塞尔机场则表示,周 五晚上的网络攻击导致旅客需以人工方式办理登机牌及登机手续。而BER则因该问题出现更长的等候时间。目前 ...
路透:欧洲企业正在为中国稀土管控做出更多准备
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 05:46
Group 1 - The China-EU Chamber of Commerce reported that despite an agreement reached in July to expedite rare earth exports to the EU, strict export controls from China are expected to lead to more shutdowns and losses for European companies [1][3] - Jens Eskelund, the chairman of the China-EU Chamber of Commerce, stated that members are still facing significant bottlenecks despite the commitments made during the July 24 summit [3] - China has implemented export controls on certain rare earths and rare earth magnets following the tariffs announced by former U.S. President Trump, causing production delays and large-scale shutdowns for automotive manufacturers in Europe and other regions [3] Group 2 - The majority of the world's rare earths are processed and refined in China, which are widely used in automotive manufacturing and defense industries [3] - Although China agreed to expedite export licenses for critical raw materials during the summit with EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, this has not met the EU's demands for extended license periods or the cancellation of export licenses [3] - Since the summit, the approval process for licenses has begun to slow down, leading to an increase in complaints and requests for assistance from members of the China-EU Chamber of Commerce [4]
财经观察:“K字签证”如何打开人才交流新思路?
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-08-24 23:11
Group 1 - The introduction of the K visa aims to attract foreign young scientific and technological talents to China, reflecting the country's emphasis on international talent acquisition and cultural exchange [1][2][4] - The K visa will be issued to foreign youth with degrees in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics from recognized institutions, providing more entry convenience compared to existing visa categories [2][9] - The K visa is set to take effect on October 1, 2025, and will facilitate activities in education, technology, culture, entrepreneurship, and business for its holders [2][8] Group 2 - The global competition for talent has intensified, with various countries, including South Korea and Japan, implementing new visa policies to attract skilled professionals [5][6][7] - The K visa's design allows for easier access without requiring prior employment or invitation in China, which is expected to enhance the efficiency of international talent integration [8][9] - The introduction of the K visa is anticipated to boost demand in sectors such as tourism, education, and business, necessitating the development of supportive infrastructure and services [9][10] Group 3 - Experts emphasize the importance of creating a conducive environment for foreign talents to stay in China, including career development pathways and a sense of belonging [10] - The K visa is seen as a strategic move to improve China's global talent competitiveness and influence, potentially leading to a "talent-technology-standard" diffusion effect [8][9] - The successful implementation of the K visa will depend on integrating resources from universities and technology parks to provide interactive platforms for foreign talents [10]
一场应对“苏军压境、美军封海”的备战,重塑了中国工业命脉
Hu Xiu· 2025-08-20 02:30
Group 1 - The article discusses the resurgence of great power politics and geography in the context of ongoing global conflicts, emphasizing the need for strategic geographical considerations in national planning [1][5][12] - It highlights the historical significance of China's "Third Line Construction" during the Cold War, which aimed at industrial and military preparedness in less vulnerable inland areas [2][13][20] - The current national strategy aims to optimize production layouts and strengthen strategic hinterland construction, drawing parallels with the historical context of the Third Line Construction [3][36][39] Group 2 - The concept of "strategic hinterland" is defined as regions away from coastal areas, focusing on the development of inland areas to enhance national security and economic resilience [3][12][37] - The article emphasizes the importance of industrial backup and geographical restructuring in the new era, advocating for a balance between openness and the development of inland regions [2][40][41] - It notes that the current strategic hinterland construction must transcend the limitations of the Third Line Construction, incorporating modern industrial systems and ecological considerations [36][39][44] Group 3 - The article points out that the Third Line Construction significantly reshaped China's economic geography, creating a modern industrial system centered on national defense [20][21][23] - It discusses the challenges faced during the Third Line Construction, including inefficiencies and the need for better site selection and layout [31][32][33] - The legacy of the Third Line Construction is seen as a foundation for contemporary strategic hinterland development, with an emphasis on learning from past experiences [47][48]
德国启动1000亿欧元基金,能否自救?
21世纪经济报道· 2025-08-11 02:56
Group 1 - The German government is preparing to launch a €100 billion investment fund to ensure the security of strategic sectors such as defense, energy, and critical raw materials, aiming to leverage up to ten times that amount in private capital [3][4][5] - Germany has experienced two consecutive years of GDP contraction, and recent industrial output data shows a significant decline, raising concerns about the effectiveness of the new government's investment initiatives [3][12] - The investment fund is part of a broader strategy to address long-standing issues of insufficient investment in Germany, which has been highlighted in various reports indicating a shortfall of €400 billion to €600 billion in necessary investments [4][6] Group 2 - The focus of the investment fund includes improving energy infrastructure, revitalizing the defense industry, and supporting small and medium-sized enterprises, aligning with the government's emphasis on strategic autonomy [5][6] - The government plans to use a 1:10 ratio to attract private investment, with only €10 billion coming from public funds, indicating a reliance on market participation to achieve the fund's goals [6][9] - The recent investment initiative, "For German Manufacturing," aims to mobilize €631 billion by 2028, involving major corporations like Siemens and BMW, marking one of the largest investment plans in decades [8][9] Group 3 - The U.S. tariff policies have created significant uncertainty in global trade, impacting investment decisions in Germany, which is heavily reliant on exports [10][13] - Recent economic data indicates a potential downturn, with forecasts suggesting that the U.S. tariffs could reduce Germany's GDP by 0.5% this year, further complicating the economic recovery [12][13] - The German economy's export-oriented nature and its substantial trade surplus with the U.S. make it particularly vulnerable to changes in trade policy, necessitating a diversification of export markets [10][13]
国际金融市场早知道:8月7日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 00:27
Group 1: Global Manufacturing and Trade - In July, the global manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) was reported at 49.3, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a weakening recovery in global manufacturing [1] - President Trump signed an executive order imposing an additional 25% tariff on Indian imports, resulting in a total tariff rate of 50% on Indian goods entering the U.S. starting August 7 [1] - Japan expressed concerns over the U.S. tariff announcement, stating it contradicts prior agreements and could lead to higher tariffs for Japan, prompting a request for correction from the U.S. [1] Group 2: Economic Policy and Central Bank Actions - San Francisco Fed President Daly indicated that policy adjustments may be necessary in the coming months due to a softening labor market, emphasizing the need to recalibrate monetary policy to address various risks [2] - Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari suggested that the economic slowdown might warrant interest rate cuts, with expectations of two rate cuts by the end of the year [2] - The Reserve Bank of India maintained its benchmark interest rate at 5.5%, keeping a neutral policy stance amid global uncertainties [2] Group 3: Market Dynamics - U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the S&P 500 rising by 0.73% to 6345.06 points, the Dow Jones increasing by 0.18% to 44193.12 points, and the Nasdaq gaining 1.21% to 21169.42 points [3] - Oil prices fell due to OPEC's production increase, with West Texas Intermediate crude oil down 1.37% to $64.27 per barrel and Brent crude oil down 1.29% to $66.77 per barrel [3] - International precious metal futures showed mixed results, with COMEX gold futures down 0.08% to $3431.8 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 0.3% to $37.935 per ounce [3] Group 4: Bond Market and Currency Movements - U.S. Treasury yields were mixed, with the 10-year yield rising by 1.77 basis points to 4.226% while the 2-year yield fell by 1.26 basis points to 3.708% [4] - The U.S. dollar index decreased by 0.55% to 98.22, with most non-U.S. currencies appreciating against the dollar [4] - The onshore Chinese yuan closed at 7.1900 against the dollar, down 24 basis points from the previous trading day, while the offshore yuan rose by 38 basis points to 7.1848 [4]