证券研究报告 | 债券市场专题研究 | 债券研究 债券市场专题研究 报告日期：2026 年 01 月 11 日 动量波动策略应对春季躁动 过去一周流动性风格表现最好，该风格下强势转债过去一周收益率均值+4.57%， 显著高于其他风格。春季躁动行情已进入主升阶段，可转债市场的核心矛盾从长 期的"估值性价比"转向短期的"资金与情绪博弈"，流动性改善成为贯穿当前行 情的绝对主线。在市场交投活跃、风险偏好上行的阶段，流动性风格往往能提供 显著且稳健的超额收益：1）增量资金入场：新入场资金多带有交易属性，天然偏 好成交活跃、进出便捷的高流动性标的，以快速实现建仓与调仓；2）情绪传导机 制：市场热点快速轮动，高流动性个券能更高效地汇聚市场关注，形成"流动性 溢价到资金流入"的正反馈循环；3）规模效应：在整体成交量能上台阶后，大中 盘转债的流动性优势被放大，其定价效率提升，波动特性更贴近正股。因此，流 动性改善不仅是市场现象，更是当前阶段获取超额收益的关键风格来源。 ❑ 春季躁动下淡化择时，以交易思维应对高价高估新环境。 策略维度，投资者应从过去侧重防御、挖掘"双低"价值的配置思维，转向更具 进攻性的交易思维。核心在于把握 ...

天合光能公告称，截至2025年12月31日，"天23转债"累计30.14亿元已转换为公司股票，转股数量1.88亿 股，占转股前公司已发行股份总额的8.66%；尚未转股的可转债金额为58.51亿元，占发行总量的 66.01%。自2025年10月1日至12月31日，"天23转债"共有30.13亿元转股，转股数量1.88亿股。转股后公 司总股本由21.79亿股增至23.43亿股。控股股东高纪凡及其一致行动人等股东持股比例因转股被动稀 释，江苏有则创投集团有限公司完成减持计划。 ...

Market Performance - The Asia-Pacific stock markets collectively declined on November 5 due to the impact of the U.S. stock market's "Black Tuesday," but the A-shares showed an independent trend with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.23% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.37% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.8943 trillion yuan, a decrease of 44.1 billion yuan compared to the previous day, with over 3,300 stocks rising across the market [1] - Japanese and South Korean stock markets closed lower, with the Nikkei 225 index down by 2.5% and the Korean Composite Index down by 2.85% [1] Bond Market - On November 5, the main contracts for domestic government bond futures closed lower, with the 30-year government bond futures (TL2512) down by 0.90 yuan, a decline of 0.08% [1] - The 10-year government bond futures (T2512) fell by 0.015 yuan, a decrease of 0.01%, while the 5-year (TF2512) and 2-year (TS2512) contracts also experienced minor declines [1] Commodity Futures - The domestic commodity futures market saw more declines than gains on November 5, with the shipping index (European line) main contract continuing to perform strongly [1] Convertible Bonds - On November 5, the China Securities Convertible Bond Index rose by 0.74% to 486.21 points, with a trading volume of 69.5 billion yuan [2] - Notable gainers included Zhongneng Convertible Bond, which increased by 20%, and others like Dihua Convertible Bond and Tian 23 Convertible Bond, which rose by 6.30% and 5.65% respectively [2] ETFs - The ETF market showed mixed results on November 5, with the leading photovoltaic ETF rising by 5.59%, followed by the electric grid equipment ETF and the innovative energy ETF, which increased by 5.31% and 5.18% respectively [2] Industry Outlook - According to a report from CICC, the fundamentals of the securities industry are beginning to improve, indicating potential growth opportunities under high-quality development, with a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the securities sector by 2026 [3]

Core Points - The China Convertible Bond Index rose by 0.74% to 486.21 points with a trading volume of 69.5 billion yuan on November 5 [1] - Notable gainers included Zhongneng Convertible Bond, which increased by 20%, and Electric Chemical Convertible Bond, which rose by 6.30% [1] - Decliners included Zhongqi Convertible Bond, which fell by 2.81%, and Xinfeng Convertible Bond, which decreased by 1.74% [1] Summary by Category Performance Overview - The China Convertible Bond Index closed at 486.21 points, reflecting a 0.74% increase [1] - Total trading volume reached 69.5 billion yuan [1] Top Gainers - Zhongneng Convertible Bond: increased by 20% to 184.80 yuan with a trading volume of 366,000 units and a market cap of 6.15 billion yuan [2] - Electric Chemical Convertible Bond: rose by 6.30% to 183.52 yuan with a trading volume of 102,000 units and a market cap of 1.85 billion yuan [2] - Tian23 Convertible Bond: up by 5.65% to 141.05 yuan with a trading volume of 371,000 units and a market cap of 5.16 billion yuan [2] - Dazhong Convertible Bond: also increased by 5.65% to 187.00 yuan with a trading volume of 152,000 units and a market cap of 2.72 billion yuan [2] Notable Decliners - Zhongqi Convertible Bond: decreased by 2.81% to 325.55 yuan with a trading volume of 101,400 units and a market cap of 3.32 billion yuan [2] - Xinfeng Convertible Bond: fell by 1.74% to 151.12 yuan with a trading volume of 22,310 units and a market cap of 333 million yuan [2] - Xinzhi Convertible Bond: down by 1.38% to 241.75 yuan with a trading volume of 90,100 units and a market cap of 217 million yuan [2]

Report Overview - The report analyzes the convertible bond holdings of public funds in Q3 2025, including scale, industry and style preferences, and factor performance [1][9] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Report's Core View - As of Q3 2025, public funds held convertible bonds worth 303.8 billion yuan, with the market value ratio increasing to 38.94%. Funds prefer convertible bonds with low BS pricing premium, high conversion value, large balance, and low conversion premium ratio. Factors such as maturity, implied volatility, and pure bond value have performed well this year [1][9] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Publicly - Held Convertible Bond Scale - As of Q3 2025, 1581 public funds held convertible bonds, with a total scale of 303.8 billion yuan, accounting for 38.94% of the total convertible bond market value [9][13] 3.2 Convertible Bond Funds and Heavy - Held Convertible Bonds - Funds with large convertible bond holdings in Q3 2025 include Boshi CSI Convertible and Exchangeable Bond ETF, Haifutong Shanghai Stock Exchange Investment - Grade Convertible and Exchangeable Bond ETF, etc., all with holdings over 7 billion yuan. Funds with a high proportion of convertible bonds include Huashang Convertible Bond Selection A, Rongtong Convertible Bond A, etc., all with a proportion over 105% [15] 3.3 Convertible Bond Holding Industry Distribution - In terms of market value, the banking, power equipment and new energy, basic chemicals, and electronics industries have the largest holdings, all over 20 billion yuan. The banking industry accounts for 19%. Power equipment and new energy, banking, and basic chemicals are over - allocated, while power and utilities, non - banking, and construction are under - allocated [9][20] 3.4 Convertible Bond Holding Style Distribution - 21 style factors are constructed from four aspects: convertible bond valuation, underlying stock, trading, and terms. The market's funds prefer convertible bonds with low BS pricing premium, high conversion value, large scale, and low conversion premium ratio [22][27] 3.5 Convertible Bond Holding Factor Performance - From December 31, 2024, to October 29, 2025, factors such as maturity, implied volatility, implied volatility premium for 1 year, pure bond value, and peak factor have performed relatively well, with information ratios above 1.7 [29][30]

Group 1 - Trina Solar announced a downward adjustment of the conversion price for its "T23" convertible bonds from 25.00 CNY/share to 16.00 CNY/share, effective from August 18, 2025 [1] - The adjustment reflects the company's strategy to optimize its capital structure, which is expected to impact both the company's stock price and the bond market [1] Group 2 - The China Chemical and Physical Power Industry Association has initiated a proposal to maintain fair competition and promote healthy development in the energy storage industry, receiving support from 152 companies across various sectors, including lithium-ion and sodium-ion batteries [2] - The widespread response from industry players indicates a strong consensus on the need for self-regulation and standardization within the energy storage sector, which could lay a solid foundation for long-term industry growth [2] Group 3 - China Shenhua responded to investor inquiries regarding the recent capacity checks by the energy bureau, stating that it expects limited impact on its coal production due to compliance with production arrangements [3] - The company's emphasis on compliance and stable production capacity is likely to support its performance stability despite recent increases in commodity futures prices [3]

Key Points - The company announced a downward adjustment of the conversion price for the "Tian 23 Convertible Bond" from 25.00 CNY/share to 16.00 CNY/share, effective from August 18, 2025 [4][5] - The initial conversion price was set at 69.69 CNY/share, which was adjusted multiple times due to various corporate actions, including stock incentive plans and dividend distributions [2][3] - The adjustment was triggered as the company's stock price fell below 85% of the current conversion price for at least 15 trading days within a 30-day period [5] - The company held several board meetings and a shareholder meeting to approve the downward adjustment of the conversion price, ensuring compliance with the terms outlined in the prospectus [5][6] - The adjusted conversion price must not be lower than the average trading price of the company's A-shares over the 20 trading days prior to the shareholder meeting [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the overdue status of commercial acceptance bills issued by the company, indicating potential liquidity issues and financial management concerns [1]. Group 1 - As of July 31, 2025, the total overdue balance of commercial acceptance bills amounts to 18.58 million yuan, with 1.80 million yuan already paid [1]. - The remaining unpaid overdue commercial acceptance bills total 16.78 million yuan [1]. Group 2 - The article provides a brief overview of various convertible bonds, including their redemption status and adjustments, indicating market activity and investor interest [2]. - Specific convertible bonds mentioned include Tian23, Huamao, Yaoshi, and others, with varying statuses on redemption and adjustments [2].

Group 1 - The company announced a downward adjustment of the conversion price for the "Tian 23 Convertible Bond" to 16 CNY per share, effective from August 18, 2025 [1] - The previous conversion price was 25 CNY per share, indicating a significant reduction of 36% [1] - Trading of the company's stock will be suspended from August 15, 2025, and will resume on August 18, 2025, when the new conversion price takes effect [1] Group 2 - If the downward adjustment clause is triggered again, the company's board will decide whether to exercise the adjustment rights [1]

Group 1 - The stock price of Trina Solar (688599) closed at 15.62 yuan on August 1, 2025, with an increase of 0.64% and a trading volume of 232,900 shares, amounting to a total transaction value of 367 million yuan [1] - On August 1, 2025, the net inflow of main funds into Trina Solar was 28.74 million yuan, accounting for 7.83% of the total transaction value [1][3] - During July 2025, Trina Solar reported a total guarantee amount of 2.09 billion yuan, which represents 7.92% of the company's most recent audited net assets [1][3] Group 2 - As of July 31, 2025, Trina Solar has repurchased a total of 15,315,910 shares, which is 0.70% of the total share capital, with a total expenditure of approximately 252.96 million yuan [2][3] - The company has a total guarantee balance of 60.61 billion yuan, which is 229.79% of the most recent audited net assets [1] - The investment firm Hangzhou Guangyao reduced its holdings of "Tian 23 Convertible Bonds" by 8,882,750 shares, representing 10.02% of the total issuance [1][3]