美元兑瑞郎自0.7871低点企稳反弹，当前交投于0.8050附近，位于布林带中轨0.7976上方。布林带上轨 位于0.8065，下轨在0.7887，整体带宽收窄，显示波动率有所减弱，市场处于蓄势阶段。 汇价在上行过 程中，已逼近关键阻力位0.8100，该位置与布林上轨及前期密集成交区形成共振，短期存在一定的技术 性压力。 周四（8月14日）美元兑瑞郎汇率今日开盘报0.8042，昨日收盘于0.8043，截至发稿前美元/瑞郎报 0.8055，涨幅0.15%，最高价0.8058，最低价0.8042。瑞士7月CPI年率小幅上升，但仍接近负值，表明瑞 士央行可能仍在今年晚些时候将利率降至零以下。 瑞士统计局表示，7月份CPI较去年同期上涨0.2%，而6月份的CPI年率为0.1%。最新数据发布之前，美 国对大多数瑞士商品征收了令人震惊的39%关税，这一税率高于特朗普政府早些时候发出的信号。瑞士 央行6月将基准利率降至零，试图抑制对瑞士法郎的需求。瑞士法郎一直是投资者青睐的避险货币。瑞 郎的升值减少了对瑞士出口产品的需求，其中包括药品和奢侈手表。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The imposition of a 39% tariff on Swiss imports by the U.S. is expected to significantly impact the Swiss economy, particularly affecting its export-driven sectors [1] Economic Impact - The Swiss government is currently analyzing the situation following the announcement of the tariffs [1] - The estimated reduction in the Swiss economy due to these tariffs is approximately 0.6% [1] - If pharmaceutical products, currently exempt, are included in the tariff, the downward pressure on the economy will increase substantially [1] Growth Projections - Despite the tariffs, the Swiss economy is projected to continue growing, although at a significantly slower rate [1]

Core Viewpoint - Switzerland's inflation rate has increased in June but remains close to deflation levels, indicating a potential for the Swiss National Bank to lower interest rates below zero later this year [1] Group 1: Inflation Data - The annual inflation rate in Switzerland for June rose by 0.1% compared to the same month last year, while the inflation rate for May was -0.1% [1] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) reflects this slight increase, suggesting a modest recovery in price levels [1] Group 2: Monetary Policy Implications - The Swiss National Bank lowered the benchmark interest rate to zero last month to curb demand for the Swiss franc [1] - The rapid appreciation of the Swiss franc has negatively impacted demand for Swiss exports, including luxury watches and pharmaceuticals [1] Group 3: Currency Impact - Since the beginning of the year, the Swiss franc has appreciated nearly 15% against the US dollar, leading to lower prices for imported goods and services [1] - This currency strength has contributed to a downward spiral in inflation rates within Switzerland [1]