营收、经调整净利润、汽车业务表现等均创下历史新高。其中营收连续三个季度突破千亿，经调整净利 润连续两个季度突破百亿元大关，汽车收入同比暴增，毛利率行业领先，有望下半年迎来盈利。 "人车家全生态"战略确立以及新十年目标提出以来，小米明显变得不一样了。五年千亿研发投入之下， 手机业务持续站稳高端市场，大家电在多个品类迎来高速增长期，汽车业务更是连续创造爆品。在高速 且确定性的增长之下，外界是时候重估小米了。 逆势增长，小米迎来脱胎换骨 今年第二季度，手机市场大盘并未迎来太多好消息。 市场研究机构IDC发布的最新报告显示，2025年第二季度，全球智能手机市场实现了1.0%的微弱同比增 长，达到2.952亿部；而中国智能手机市场出货量为6886万台，同比下降4.1%，结束了此前连续六个季 度的同比增长态势。 而在市场大盘整体承压的背景下，小米依然交出了一份让外界惊艳的财报。今年二季度，小米总收入、 核心业务及创新业务收入、经调整净利润等多项指标，均创下历史新高。 大盘承压的第二季度，小米再次交出亮眼答卷。 财报显示，小米今年第二季度总收入达到1160亿元，同比增长30.5%；净利润为119亿元，同比增长 134.2% ...

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group reported record high core indicators in Q2, with revenue reaching 116 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, and adjusted net profit of 10.8 billion yuan, up 75.4% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Revenue for Q2 was 116 billion yuan, marking a 30.5% year-on-year growth, continuing a trend of exceeding 100 billion yuan for three consecutive quarters [1] - Adjusted net profit reached 10.8 billion yuan, a significant increase of 75.4% year-on-year, with two consecutive quarters surpassing 10 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Automotive and AI Innovations - Revenue from the smart electric vehicle and AI innovation segment exceeded 20 billion yuan, indicating a shift towards scalable growth [2] - In Q2, Xiaomi delivered 81,302 vehicles, with total deliveries surpassing 300,000 by July 10, and over 15.7 million vehicles delivered in the first half of the year [2] - The operating loss for the automotive business narrowed significantly to 300 million yuan, with expectations of profitability in the second half of the year [2] Group 3: Smartphone and IoT Performance - Xiaomi's smartphone revenue reached 45.5 billion yuan, with a continuous positive growth in shipments for eight consecutive quarters, maintaining a top-three global position for 20 quarters [2][3] - IoT and lifestyle product revenue hit 38.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.7%, with smart home appliances seeing a 66.2% increase [2][4] - Internet service revenue grew to 9.1 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.1% year-on-year increase [2] Group 4: Market Position and User Engagement - Despite a challenging global smartphone market, Xiaomi achieved a market share of 16.8% in China, ranking first domestically with 11.5 million new device activations in Q2 [3] - Xiaomi's global monthly active users reached 731 million, with 185 million in mainland China, and the number of connected IoT devices reached 989 million [5] Group 5: High-End Strategy and R&D Investment - Xiaomi's high-end smartphone market share increased to 27.6%, with significant growth in the 4,000-5,000 yuan and 5,000-6,000 yuan price segments [6] - R&D investment reached 7.8 billion yuan in Q2, a 41.2% year-on-year increase, with an expected total investment of 30 billion yuan for the year [7] - The launch of the self-developed 3nm flagship chip and AI glasses indicates Xiaomi's commitment to innovation and technology advancement [7]

Group 1 - Xiaomi recently launched the MIX Flip 2 foldable phone, which is powered by the Snapdragon 8 Gen 2 processor instead of the self-developed玄戒O1 chip, with a starting price of 5999 yuan [1] - Xiaomi's official response to the absence of the玄戒O1 chip in the MIX Flip 2 indicated that the chip was primarily for technical validation and the initial production plan was limited, unable to meet the mass production needs of the foldable product [1] - The玄戒O1 chip is currently only used in a few products, including the Xiaomi 15S Pro and Xiaomi Pad 7 series [1] Group 2 - In Q2 2025, Xiaomi (including REDMI) achieved an activation volume of 11.42 million units, leading the Chinese smartphone market with a market share of 16.63%, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.39% [3] - Vivo (including iQOO) followed closely with an activation volume of 11.24 million units and a market share of 16.37%, but experienced a year-on-year decline of 5.95% [3] - OPPO (including OnePlus and realme) ranked third with 11.17 million units activated and a market share of 16.27%, showing a year-on-year growth rate of 10.48% [3] - Huawei and Apple ranked fourth and fifth, respectively, with activation volumes of 11.04 million and 11.04 million units, both holding a market share of 16.08%, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.96% and 8.46% [3] - There are reports of progress in Xiaomi's next-generation self-developed baseband, but uncertainty remains regarding whether the玄戒O2 will utilize the self-developed baseband [3]

Core Insights - Xiaomi reported its strongest quarterly earnings in history during the Q1 2025 earnings call, with a commitment to invest 200 billion yuan in R&D from 2026 to 2030, focusing on hard technology as a competitive advantage [2][3] - The company aims to enhance its position in the high-end smartphone market and expand its automotive business, despite facing challenges in brand perception and profitability [2][4] R&D Investment Strategy - Xiaomi plans to invest 300 billion yuan in R&D by 2025, totaling over 1,020 billion yuan from 2021 to 2025 [2] - The new five-year plan (2026-2030) includes a projected R&D investment of 200 billion yuan, emphasizing the importance of AI and chip technology [3][5] Market Position and Challenges - Xiaomi holds a strong position in the mid-to-low-end smartphone market but struggles to penetrate the high-end segment, where it faces stiff competition from Apple and Samsung [2][4] - The automotive sector is still in its early growth phase, with challenges related to production capacity and profitability, particularly in the context of low margins and high R&D costs [2][4] Global Expansion and Ecosystem Development - The company aims to leverage its experiences in China to expand globally, focusing on emerging markets like Southeast Asia and Latin America, while also targeting mature markets in Europe and the Middle East [4] - Xiaomi is working on creating a unified ecosystem that integrates smartphones, home appliances, and vehicles to enhance user engagement and ecosystem value [4] AI and Chip Development - Xiaomi is advancing its AI capabilities with the release of the Xiaomi MiMo model, which has shown strong performance in mathematical reasoning and coding competitions [5] - The company launched its first self-developed 3nm flagship smartphone SoC, the Xiaomi玄戒O1, which features 19 billion transistors and is positioned among the top tier in the industry [5][6] Long-term Commitment to Chip Development - Since restarting its chip project in 2021, Xiaomi has committed to a long-term investment plan of at least 500 billion yuan over ten years, with over 135 billion yuan already invested in the chip department [6] - The chip R&D team has grown to over 2,500 members, making it one of the largest in China, with a focus on maintaining strategic patience and continuous investment [6]

Core Insights - Xiaomi Group has reported record-breaking quarterly net profits, with significant growth in revenue and adjusted net profit for Q1 2025 [5][6][7] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Xiaomi's revenue increased by 47.4% year-on-year to 111.3 billion RMB, while adjusted net profit reached 10.7 billion RMB, marking a 64.5% increase [6][8] - The company has achieved three consecutive quarters of sequential growth in adjusted net profit since Q3 2024 [7] Market Position - Xiaomi ranks third in quarterly profit among Hong Kong-listed internet companies, following Tencent and Alibaba [8] - The company's stock price has seen significant increases, with a 121% rise in 2024 and over 50% increase year-to-date in 2025 [10][11] Institutional Investment - Public funds have increased their holdings in Xiaomi, with a total of 49.31 million shares added in Q1 2025, bringing the total market value of holdings to 43.1 billion RMB [12] Business Segments - Revenue from the mobile and AIoT segment reached 92.7 billion RMB, a 22.8% increase, while the smart electric vehicle and AI segment generated 18.6 billion RMB [13] - Xiaomi's smart home appliances saw a remarkable revenue growth of 113.8% in Q1 2025, with significant increases in unit sales for air conditioners, refrigerators, and washing machines [16] R&D and Innovation - Xiaomi's R&D expenditure in Q1 2025 was 6.7 billion RMB, a 30.1% increase, with a record number of R&D personnel [16] - The company plans to invest 200 billion RMB in R&D over the next five years, focusing on product differentiation and technology development [17]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group's Q1 2025 performance shows significant growth, with revenue increasing by 47.4% year-on-year to 111.3 billion yuan and adjusted net profit surpassing 10.7 billion yuan, a 64.5% increase year-on-year [2][4]. Financial Performance - Xiaomi Group's adjusted net profit has been on a continuous rise for three consecutive quarters, with Q1 2025 setting a new record [4]. - The core business revenue from mobile and IoT reached 92.7 billion yuan, a 22.8% increase year-on-year, with mobile revenue at 50.6 billion yuan (up 8.9%) and IoT revenue at 32.3 billion yuan (up 58.7%) [4]. - Major home appliance sales saw significant growth, with air conditioner shipments exceeding 1.1 million units (up over 65%), refrigerators over 880,000 units (up over 65%), and washing machines over 740,000 units (up over 100%) [4]. Automotive and Innovation Business - Revenue from smart electric vehicles and AI innovation reached 18.6 billion yuan, with approximately 75,900 units of the Xiaomi SU7 series delivered in Q1 2025, totaling over 258,000 units delivered by May 21, 2025 [4][8]. - Xiaomi aims to deliver 350,000 vehicles in 2025, indicating a strong focus on the automotive sector [8]. Market Position and Valuation - Xiaomi Group's stock price has seen significant increases, with a 121% rise in 2022, and a 49.42% increase in 2023 despite recent market fluctuations [7][8]. - The company has a rolling P/E ratio of 52.4, making it the highest valued among companies with a market cap exceeding 1 trillion HKD [7]. Research and Development Investment - In Q1 2025, Xiaomi invested 6.7 billion yuan in R&D, a 30.1% increase year-on-year, with plans to reach 30 billion yuan in total R&D investment for the year [8]. - The company announced a commitment to invest 200 billion yuan in R&D over the next five years, aiming to become a leader in core technology [8]. Fund Management and Market Sentiment - Public funds have increased their holdings in Xiaomi Group, with a total of 49.31 million shares added in Q1, bringing the total market value of holdings to 43.1 billion yuan [11]. - Xiaomi ranks third in market value among Hong Kong stocks, following Tencent and Alibaba, indicating strong institutional interest [11].

Investment Rating - Industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the market by more than 5% in the next six months [40]. Core Insights - The report highlights a strategic plan for 2025, targeting revenue growth of over 30% and an anticipated R&D investment of 30 billion yuan, with a guidance of 200 billion yuan for R&D from 2026 to 2030 [1]. - Xiaomi's recent product launch on May 22 showcased a comprehensive ecosystem with the introduction of the玄戒 O1 3nm flagship chip, which features a transistor count of 19 billion and a performance score exceeding 3 million on AnTuTu [3][4]. - The new products include the Xiaomi 15S Pro, Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra, and the first electric SUV, YU7, which is set to launch in July [3]. - The YU7 SUV offers three power configurations, with a maximum power of 508 kW and a range of up to 835 km, showcasing advanced technology and luxury features [3][20]. Summary by Sections Strategic Planning - The company aims for a revenue growth target of over 30% in 2025 and plans to invest 30 billion yuan in R&D for the same year, with a total of 200 billion yuan planned for the following five years [1]. Product Launch - The launch event introduced several key products, including: - Xiaomi 15S Pro with the玄戒 O1 chip, priced at 5499 yuan for the 16GB+512GB version [3]. - Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra, the first OLED tablet from Xiaomi, priced at 5699 yuan for the 12GB+256GB version [3]. - Xiaomi Watch S4 eSIM, priced at 1299 yuan, featuring 4G connectivity [3]. - The YU7 electric SUV, with a starting price expected to be no less than 300,000 yuan [3]. Performance Metrics - The玄戒 O1 chip features a "2+4+2+2" ten-core architecture, achieving top-tier performance and efficiency, with a GPU that dynamically adjusts power consumption [3][10]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw significant growth in Xiaomi's home appliance sales, with air conditioning sales up 102.7%, refrigerators up 144.9%, and washing machines up 184.4% [3][19].

Core Insights - Xiaomi held its 15th anniversary strategic product launch event on May 22, showcasing new products including the Xiaomi 15S Pro and the first SUV, the Xiaomi YU7, along with the new Xiaomi Xuanjie O1 and T1 chips [1] Group 1: Product Launch and Achievements - Xiaomi has achieved three significant milestones: maintaining a top-three global smartphone market share for 19 consecutive quarters, successfully transitioning its automotive, chip, and smart factory initiatives from concept to reality, and completing its full ecosystem strategy [1] - The company has invested over 100 billion yuan in R&D over the past five years, with an additional 200 billion yuan planned for the next five years [1] - The Xuanjie O1 chip has successfully entered the flagship chip tier, while the Xuanjie T1 chip integrates a self-developed 4G baseband [1][2] Group 2: Chip Specifications - The Xuanjie O1 chip utilizes second-generation 3nm technology, featuring 19 billion transistors and a compact area of 109mm², with a ten-core CPU and 16-core GPU [2] - The CPU configuration includes two ultra-large cores, four performance cores, two efficiency cores, and two super-efficiency cores, with a peak frequency of 3.9GHz and multi-core scores exceeding A18 Pro [2] - The Xuanjie T1 chip supports 4G eSIM independent communication and has been tested with over 7000 use cases across 100+ cities [2] Group 3: SUV Launch and Market Position - The cumulative delivery of the Xiaomi SU7 series has surpassed 258,000 units, with the YU7 series set to launch in July, featuring three versions: standard, Pro, and Max [2][3] - The YU7 standard version boasts an impressive range of 835km, making it the leader in range among mid-to-large pure electric SUVs [3] - The YU7 series includes advanced features such as panoramic display, 700 Tops of assisted driving computing power, laser radar, and continuously variable damping [3] Group 4: Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 506.27 billion yuan, 605.21 billion yuan, and 700.89 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 35.71 billion yuan, 45.78 billion yuan, and 59.89 billion yuan [3] - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for these years are 36, 28, and 21 times, respectively [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Insights - The company has launched several products to celebrate its 15th anniversary, including the Xiaomi 15S Pro, Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra, and Xiaomi Watch S4, all featuring the self-developed SoC chip, Xuanjie O1 [1][2]. - The Xuanjie O1 chip, built on a second-generation 3nm process, is positioned to compete with Apple's A18 Pro in terms of performance and energy efficiency [2]. - The company plans to invest an additional 200 billion yuan in R&D over the next five years [1]. - The SUV YU7 was also unveiled, with a maximum range of 835 km and equipped with a 96.3 kWh lithium iron phosphate battery, expected to launch in July [2]. Financial Projections - The adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are approximately 33.75 billion yuan, 42.60 billion yuan, and 55.06 billion yuan, respectively [3]. - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 365.91 billion yuan, 483.38 billion yuan, 595.47 billion yuan, and 726.59 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 35.04%, 32.11%, 23.19%, and 22.02% [5][11]. - The adjusted EPS for the same years is expected to be 1.09 yuan, 1.30 yuan, 1.64 yuan, and 2.12 yuan [5][11]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on high-end product development, aiming to enhance the value of its consumer electronics [2]. - The automotive business is expected to contribute significantly to the company's growth, with a delivery target of 350,000 vehicles for the year [2].

Group 1: Report Summary - Report Date: May 25, 2025 [1] - Report Title: "Microstructure Crowding High, Convertible Bonds Guard Against Phased Adjustment" [1] - Analysts: Chen Xi, Liu Wei [2] Group 2: Market Review Asset Performance - Shanghai Composite Index and Wind All-A Index declined by 0.57% and 0.63% respectively, with the daily average trading volume of the whole market reaching 1.17 trillion yuan. The April industrial added value increased by 6.1% year-on-year, and the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5.1% year-on-year, in line with expectations. However, high micro-cap stock crowding and the rapid rise of US Treasury bonds led to a market correction [2]. - S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell by 2.61% and 2.47% respectively, related to the rapid rise of US Treasury bonds [2]. - London gold price rose by 4.86%, related to Moody's downgrade of the US sovereign rating and the rise of US Treasury bonds [2]. Convertible Bond Market - CSI Convertible Bond Index dropped 0.11%. As of May 23, the median convertible bond price, conversion premium rate, and pure bond premium rate were 120 yuan, 30.21%, and 14.18% respectively [2]. - In terms of industries, Medicine & Biology, Nonferrous Metals, and Automobiles performed well. The good performance of medicine may be related to SSGJ - 707, and nonferrous metals were mainly related to the sharp rise of gold. The market continued to rotate rapidly, lacking a leading sector [2]. Convertible Bond Terms - Bojun, Borui, Rundong, and Hao 24 decided not to redeem, while Hongchang, Hangyin, Falang, and Outong are expected to meet the redemption conditions. Jingke, Xiangjia, Fangyuan, Wentai, Leizhi, Meijin, Wenke, and Jianyou will not adjust the conversion price downward [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics Economic Data - On May 19, the National Bureau of Statistics released April economic data. The industrial added value of large - scale industries increased by 6.1% year - on - year, and the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5.1% year - on - year. From January to April, the national fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) increased by 4.0% year - on - year, with infrastructure investment increasing by 5.8%, manufacturing investment by 8.8%, and real estate development investment decreasing by 10.3%. The April economic data was generally in line with expectations but slightly weakened month - on - month, mainly related to the weak production of export enterprises in April. Infrastructure remained the main driving force of the economy [4]. Corporate Events - On May 22, at the 15th - anniversary strategic new product launch of Xiaomi, the Xiaomi 15S Pro and Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra will be the first to be equipped with the SoC chip Xuanjie O1, and the Xiaomi YU7 made its debut. The 3nm Xuanjie O1 is manufactured by TSMC, and the YU7 is the first SUV, but the price is expected to be announced in July [4]. International Events - On May 16, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 due to the increase in the US government's debt and interest payment ratio. On May 19, the yield of 30 - year US Treasury bonds exceeded 5% during intraday trading. The rapid rise of US Treasury bonds may tighten global liquidity and increase market risk aversion [4]. Market Index Events - On May 21, the Beixin 50 and micro - cap stock index hit record highs, possibly related to market speculation on small - cap companies. However, the current micro - cap stock crowding is obvious. The trading volume ratio of CSI 2000 to SSE 50 has reached a historical high, second only to November 2023 and December 2024. Attention should be paid to the possible adjustment caused by the retreat of micro - cap stocks [5]. Upcoming Events - Next week, pay attention to the May PMI data and the Huawei Zunjie S800 press conference [5]. Group 4: Convertible Bond Views Market Situation Analysis - This week's key market events include the record highs of the Beixin 50 and micro - cap stock index and the sharp rise of US Treasury bonds. The recent rapid rotation of market styles and the significant increase in the micro - cap stock index have led to overly obvious small - cap crowding and poor microstructure. After hitting record highs on May 21, there was a significant correction on May 22. Coupled with the tightening of global liquidity caused by the rapid rise of overseas US Treasury bonds, it is further negative for micro - cap stocks sensitive to liquidity [6]. - The market has fully priced in the "reciprocal tariffs" and "tariff easing" since April and the expectations for domestic policies under the tariff background. Before the Sino - US joint statement, the market had basically returned to the level before the "reciprocal tariffs" in terms of total volume, and the sectors that were significantly affected by tariffs had also rebounded significantly [6]. Outlook - Looking ahead, the phased new logic may be "deterioration of microstructure and tightening of liquidity", which may lead to phased market self - adjustment and correction. On one hand, the microstructure has deteriorated significantly due to the continuous rapid rotation of styles and the speculation on small - cap stocks. On the other hand, historical experience shows that the rapid rise of US Treasury bonds may trigger an adjustment in micro - cap stocks. The current rise of US Treasury bonds caused by Moody's downgrade of the US sovereign rating may also lead to liquidity tightening and trigger an adjustment in micro - cap stocks [7]. Recommended Targets - Stable targets include Shangyin, Changyin, Hua'an, Lantian, Wenshi and other convertible bonds; elastic targets include Zhongchong Zhuan 2, Daotong, Yinlun, Jizhi, Limin, Qianglian, Anji, Dinglong and other convertible bonds [7]