Report Industry Investment Rating - Apple: Neutral [4] - Red dates: Neutral to bullish [8] Core Views - Apple: The apple market is currently in a relatively stable state with no prominent contradictions in the fundamentals. The short - term price is expected to remain stable. The overall apple spot market is in a dull state, with low inventory levels supporting the price of inventory fruits. The quality of early - maturing fruits is poor, leading to mediocre sales of both early - maturing and inventory fruits. The supply of early - maturing varieties such as Gala in the western region and Luoli in Shandong will be on the market successively, and attention should be paid to the coloring of Gala, as a concentrated supply of red fruits may impact inventory fruits [3][4] - Red dates: The red date market has intensified differences in the new - season production forecast. The short - term trend of the futures market may still be oscillating strongly under the influence of capital sentiment. However, since red dates are still in the traditional off - season of consumption and the inventory of old dates remains high, if the production reduction expectation cannot be fulfilled, the price of red dates may return to a weak state under the pressure of high inventory [7][8] Market News and Important Data Apple - Futures: The closing price of the Apple 2510 contract yesterday was 8178 yuan/ton, up 51 yuan/ton from the previous day, an increase of 0.63% [1] - Spot: The price of 80 first - and second - grade late Fuji in Shandong Qixia was 3.80 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day; the price of more than 70 semi - commercial late Fuji in Shaanxi Luochuan was 4.50 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day. The spot basis AP10 - 578 in Qixia was down 51 from the previous day, and the spot basis AP10 + 822 in Luochuan was down 51 from the previous day [1] Red dates - Futures: The closing price of the Red Date 2601 contract yesterday was 11550 yuan/ton, down 135 yuan/ton from the previous day, a decrease of 1.16% [5] - Spot: The price of first - grade gray jujubes in Hebei was 9.50 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous day. The spot basis CJ01 - 2050 was up 135 from the previous day [5] Recent Market News Apple - The market of stored Fuji apples remains stable and dull, with slow overall transactions. Early - maturing Gala and Luoli apples have been successively listed for trading. In the western production areas, the remaining supply of goods is limited, and spot merchants mainly sell their own inventory. In the Shandong production area, the number of merchants is small, and they are still cautious in purchasing, mostly picking and bargaining. The overall出库 speed is slow, and the sales are still mainly low - priced striped red apples. In the early - maturing aspect, bagged Gala apples have been widely removed from bags and are successively listed for trading. This week, the supply of Gala apples in Tongchuan and Weinan will increase. In the Shandong production area, Luoli apples are being traded in an orderly manner, and the purchasing enthusiasm of merchants is acceptable. The demand in the sales area market is poor, and the impact of seasonal fruits is still obvious [2] Red dates - In the main production areas of Xinjiang gray jujubes, jujube farmers are actively carrying out field management during the growth period of jujube trees. Some jujube orchards reported that the fruit - setting situation of the first - crop flowers was average, but the fruit - setting of the second - and third - crop flowers was good due to the temperature drop and rainfall in early July. In the Hebei Cuierzhuang market, 10 trucks of jujubes arrived at the parking area, with the reference prices of special - grade jujubes at 10.80 yuan/kg, first - grade at 9.80 yuan/kg, second - grade at 8.40 yuan/kg, and third - grade at 6.90 yuan/kg, and the prices increased slightly by 0.10 - 0.20 yuan/kg, with nearly 50% of the arrivals being traded. In the Guangdong Ruyifang market, 1 truck of jujubes arrived, and the price of high - quality goods was strong, with the reference prices of special - grade jujubes at 11.50 yuan/kg, first - grade at 10.50 yuan/kg, and second - grade at 8.50 yuan/kg, and the prices increased by 0.10 - 0.20 yuan/kg, with a small amount of trading in the morning market [6] Market Analysis Apple - Yesterday, the apple futures price closed up, reaching a half - month high. The delayed supply of new - season Gala apples and the low inventory in recent years have led to a continued upward trend in the futures price. Attention should be paid to the impact of the large - scale listing of Gala apples on the market and the weather changes in the main production areas. Last week, the trading of early - maturing apples in the western region was limited, bagged Gala apples were sporadically listed, and bagged Qinyang apples were basically out of the market. In the Shandong production area, the sales of stored Fuji apples were slightly faster than the previous week, but the overall transactions were still limited, and merchants were not active in purchasing, especially for large and high - quality fruits. In terms of price, early - maturing fruits were weak, and the price of stored fruits was stable during the week. In the wholesale markets of the sales areas, the phenomenon of high - quality apples getting high prices was obvious, and the overall sales were still slow. This week, the supply of early - maturing bagged Gala apples will increase successively, and attention should be paid to the quality and price trends. Overall, the apple spot market remains dull, with low inventory levels supporting the price of stored fruits. The poor quality of early - maturing apples with many green - returning phenomena has led to mediocre sales of both early - maturing and stored fruits. This week, early - maturing varieties such as Gala in the western region and Luoli in the Shandong production area will be successively listed for supply. Attention should be paid to the coloring of Gala apples, and if red fruits are supplied in a concentrated manner, it may have a certain impact on stored fruits [3] Red dates - The red date futures closed down yesterday, ending a continuous upward trend. Festival stocking is gradually starting, but the consumption of inventory is limited. The temperature in the production areas is high, and the quality of new - season jujubes remains to be verified. Currently, jujubes are in the fruit expansion period, and attention should be continuously paid to the impact of weather changes in the production areas on the yield and quality. In the new - season production areas, some jujube orchards reported that the fruit - setting situation of the first - crop flowers was average, but the fruit - setting of the second - and third - crop flowers was good due to the temperature drop and rainfall in early July. Last week, there was windy weather in some areas, causing some fruit drops in a small number of jujube orchards in windy areas, and attention should be continuously paid to weather changes this week. In the sales areas, the trading atmosphere in the market has improved recently, and the price of high - quality goods is strong. Since new jujubes entered the critical period of flowering and fruit - setting in June, the market has been continuously trading based on the expectation of new - season production reduction, and the sensitivity to new - season changes in the production areas has increased. According to the research data statistics of Mysteel Agricultural Products, the physical inventory of 36 sample points this month was 9784 tons, a decrease of 255 tons from the previous week, a month - on - month decrease of 2.54%, indicating a decline in sample - point inventory [7] Strategy Apple - Maintain a neutral strategy. Since there are no prominent contradictions in the apple fundamentals, it is expected that the price will remain stable in the short term [4] Red dates - Adopt a neutral - to - bullish strategy. The differences in the new - season production forecast of red dates are intensifying, and the short - term trend of the futures market may still be oscillating strongly under the influence of capital sentiment. However, due to the high inventory of old dates and the traditional off - season of consumption, if the production reduction expectation cannot be fulfilled, the price of red dates may return to a weak state under the pressure of high inventory [8]

Group 1 - The domestic futures market for agricultural products showed a mostly positive trend, with apple futures experiencing a price increase of approximately 1.91%, reaching a high of 8192.00 yuan/ton [1] - The main contract for apples opened at 8100.00 yuan/ton and fluctuated between a low of 8062.00 yuan and a high of 8192.00 yuan, indicating a strong performance in the market [1] - Southwest Futures noted that the main contract represents the new season's purchase price, with a slight increase in national production, contradicting previous reduction expectations [1] Group 2 - Guotai Junan Futures highlighted that the supply of early-ripening apples has decreased in recent years, leading to a significant price differentiation in the market, with high-quality apples commanding higher prices [2] - The new season's apple bagging quantity is slightly lower than the previous season, and the purchase prices for early-ripening apples in the northwest region are higher than last year, providing some support for late-ripening varieties [2] - The market is advised to consider buying on dips in the short term, focusing on the performance of the new season's apple production [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The apple market currently has low inventory and is in the off - season of demand, with general spot sales. The new - season apple production is expected to change little compared to this season. The market supply - demand contradiction is not significant, and the short - term trend is expected to be volatile. It is recommended to wait and see [18]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Apple Spot Analysis - In the western region, there was limited trading of early - maturing apples this week. Paper - bag Gala apples were sporadically on the market, and the trading of paper - bag Qinyang apples was almost finished. In Shandong, the inventory Fuji apples' sales were slightly faster than last week, but overall transactions were still low. The prices of early - maturing apples were weak, and the inventory apples' prices were stable during the week. In the wholesale markets of sales areas, high - quality apples fetched high prices, but the overall sales were still slow. Next week, the supply of early - maturing paper - bag Gala apples will increase, and attention should be paid to their quality and price trends [8]. - In Shandong, the trading atmosphere has not improved significantly. Buyers are not active in purchasing large and high - quality apples and tend to bargain. Most fruit farmers and sellers sell at the market price, and some are eager to sell. The remaining supply in Shandong is mainly in Qixia and Penglai, and the traded apples are mostly low - priced slice - red apples. In Qixia, the prices of 80 first - and second - grade slice - red apples are 3.30 - 4.00 yuan/jin, 80 first - and second - grade striped apples are 3.50 - 4.50 yuan/jin, general apples are 2.80 - 3.30 yuan/jin, and third - grade apples are 2.00 - 2.50 yuan/jin. In Shaanxi, the inventory apples are mainly self - consumed by merchants, with slow sales. The prices of high - quality apples are temporarily stable. In Xianyang, early - maturing Gala apples have problems such as greening and poor coloring due to high temperatures. In Weinan and Tongchuan, rainfall after bag - removal is beneficial for Gala apples' coloring. Currently, a small amount of Gala apples are on the market, with a significant price gap between high - quality and low - quality ones. For example, in Chengcheng, the price of early - maturing paper - bag Gala apples starting from 70 with 30% redness is around 4.2 - 4.3 yuan/jin, and high - quality ones are around 4.5 yuan/jin [8]. 3.2 Supply Analysis - As of August 7, 2025, the national cold - storage inventory ratio was about 3.91%, a decrease of 0.45 percentage points in this period (20250731 - 0806), and 2.93 percentage points lower than the same period last year. The de - stocking rate was 93.86%. In Shandong, the cold - storage capacity ratio was 6.48%, a decrease of 0.67 percentage points. The overall cold - storage shipment volume was lower than last week, and the current shipment was mainly concentrated in the main production areas. The number of merchants inspecting goods in cold - storage increased slightly this week, and the transactions also improved, but most of the goods were not sent to the market after the transaction, and the actual shipment volume decreased. The cold - storage shipment speed was lower than last year, mainly affected by the low prices of other seasonal fruits. Cold - storage operators were eager to ship, especially for some lower - quality goods. In Shaanxi, the cold - storage capacity ratio was 3.58%, a decrease of 0.46 percentage points. There was little remaining inventory in cold - storage, and there was almost no trading in the cold - storage. Merchants shipped their own goods according to market demand. High temperatures and low prices of other fruits significantly impacted the apple demand, and the merchants' shipment volume decreased [13]. - As of August 6, 2025, the apple cold - storage inventory in the main production areas of the country was 53.39 tons, a decrease of 8.02 tons compared to last week. The sales speed slowed down slightly compared to last week and was basically the same as last year [13]. 3.3 Demand Analysis - In the Chalong market in Guangdong, the number of early - morning arriving vehicles decreased slightly compared to last week, with an average of about 14.6 vehicles per day. The typhoon and rainy weather this week affected apple consumption. The low prices of seasonal fruits increased their sales, and some spot merchants switched to seasonal fruits, which impacted the apple market sales. The number of arriving vehicles in the market remained at a low level, the terminal consumption slowed down slightly, and second - and third - level wholesalers purchased on demand [16]. - According to the data from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the average wholesale price of 6 key - monitored fruits on August 7 was 7 yuan/kg, slightly lower than last Friday, and it was at the median level in recent years [16]. - In the 2024 - 2025 production season, the profit of storage operators of 80 first - and second - grade apples in Qixia was 0.5 yuan/jin, a decrease of 0.1 yuan/jin compared to last week [16]. - The market arrival volume this week continued to be low, slightly increasing compared to last week. The sales were stable, and the prices were stable. The arrival volume in the wholesale market was not much different from last week and generally remained at a low level. Recently, the supply of new - season early - maturing apples in the market increased, and the cold - storage supply decreased. According to Zhuochuang Information, the apple arrival volume in the Guangzhou Chalong market was about 131 vehicles, an increase of 9 vehicles compared to last week. The apple sales speed in the market was stable. High temperatures in many places recently made watermelons and other fruits the mainstream demand in the market, which significantly impacted other fruits. The overall apple demand was weak, and most merchants were not very enthusiastic about operating apples, with a low shipment volume to the market. The mainstream transaction prices in the market remained stable [16]. 3.4 Trading Strategy - For single - side trading, it is recommended to wait and see [18]. - For arbitrage, it is recommended to wait and see [18]. - For options, it is recommended to wait and see [17].