证券代码：601975 证券简称：招商南油 公告编号：临 2025-018 招商局南京油运股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 到 46.88%。 （三）本次业绩预告未经会计师事务所审计。 二、上年同期经营业绩和财务状况 （一）利润总额：140,427 万元。归属于上市公司股东的净利润：122,034 万元。归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润：102,784 万元。 （二）每股收益：0.2532 元。 三、本期业绩预减的主要原因 （一）国际成品油运输市场受到多重因素影响，运价同比高位回落。以 MR TC7 线（新加坡-澳大利亚东海岸）为例，2024 年上半年平均 TCE 约为 37,717 美元/天，2025 年上半年平均 TCE 约为 19,101 美元/天，同比下降 49.36%。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 （二）业绩预告情况 股东的净利润为 55,000 万元到 59,000 万元，与上年同期相比，将减少 63,034 万 元到 67,034 万元，同比减 ...

大宗商品研究所 航运研发报告 期货从业证号： F3084078 投资咨询证号： Z0018656 航运日报 2025 年 07 月 02 日 | 航运日报 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 第一部分 | | | | 集装箱航运——集运指数（欧线） | | | | | 银河期货集运指数（欧线） | | | | 日报 | | | | | 期货盘面 | | | | | | | | | 期货合约 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量（手） | 增减幅 | 持仓量(手) | 增减幅 | | EC2508 | 1,883.5 | -21.4 | -1.12% | 44,193.0 | -35.80% | 36,335.0 | -10.23% | | EC2510 | 1,367.9 | -15.9 | -1.15% | 14,562.0 | -32.79% | 31,302.0 | -0.65% | | EC2512 | 1,528.0 | -10.0 | -0.65% | 2,984.0 | -14.03% | ...

行 业 及 产 业 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 张慧 A0230524100001 zhanghui@swsresearch.com 闫海 A0230519010004 yanhai@swsresearch.com 研究支持 罗石 A0230524080012 luoshi@swsresearch.com 严天鹏 A0230524090004 yantp@swsresearch.com 张慧 A0230524100001 zhanghui@swsresearch.com 王易 A0230525050001 wangyi@swsresearch.com 刘衣云 A0230524100007 liuyy@swsresearch.com 王晨鉴 A0230525030001 wangcj@swsresearch.com 范晨轩 A0230123070006 fancx@swsresearch.com 郑逸欢 A0230124010001 zhengyh@swsresearch.com 交通运输 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 联系人 范晨轩 (8621)23297818× fancx@swsr ...

在2022年，当集运龙头中远海控以647亿元半年净利、322亿元现金分红刷新市场认知时，这场由供需错配引发的航运盛宴已悄然临近转折点。 2020年启幕的集装箱运输超级周期，让行业在两年间赚取了过去十年的利润总和，14%的股息率与1.5%的存款利率形成刺眼对比。 油运产业链的复杂性源于石油的战略属性。作为现代工业的血液，石油运输早已突破单纯商业行为范畴，成为地缘政治博弈的筹码。历史上三 次石油危机均由政治事件引发，这种特性使得油运市场波动不仅受供需规律支配，更与全球政治经济格局深度绑定。 从产业链结构看，油运分为原油运输与成品油运输两大分支：原油运输连接产油国与炼化中心，航线高度集中于中东至亚太、中东至欧美等战 略通道；成品油运输则呈现区域化特征，亚洲内部航线与中东至东亚航线构成贸易主轴，反映着区域能源消费格局。 运输工具的演进折射出油运的经济逻辑。为追求单位运输成本最小化，油轮大型化成为必然趋势。在原油运输领域，VLCC(超大型油轮)以32- 55万吨的载重吨位占据主导地位，其单船涂装面积相当于170个足球场，堪称海上的移动能源库。这类巨轮的诞生突破了苏伊士运河的通行限 制，却完美适配中日韩等亚洲港口，使得亚 ...

行 业 及 产 业 研究支持 罗石 A0230524080012 luoshi@swsresearch.com 严天鹏 A0230524090004 yantp@swsresearch.com 张慧 A0230524100001 zhanghui@swsresearch.com 王易 A0230123050001 wangyi@swsresearch.com 刘衣云 A0230524100007 liuyy@swsresearch.com 王晨鉴 A0230525030001 wangcj@swsresearch.com 范晨轩 A0230123070006 fancx@swsresearch.com 郑逸欢 A0230124010001 zhengyh@swsresearch.com 联系人 交通运输 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 - 券 研 究 报 告 张慧 A0230524100001 zhanghui@swsresearch.com 闫海 A0230519010004 yanhai@swsresearch.com 范晨轩 (8621)23297818× fancx@swsresearch.com ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Company Overview - The company discussed its performance for the year 2024, highlighting a continuation of positive trends established since 2022, with significant improvements in quality, efficiency, and scale [1] - The total cargo volume reached 46.56 million tons, with a turnover of 100.6 billion ton-kilometers [1] - The company achieved a revenue of 6.475 billion yuan and a total profit of 2.247 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.921 billion yuan, marking a historical high for the third consecutive year [1] Financial Performance - Total assets amounted to 12.927 billion yuan, with total liabilities at 1.95 billion yuan, resulting in a debt-to-asset ratio of 15.08%, a decrease of 6.36 percentage points from the beginning of the year [1] - The total profit increased by 390 million yuan year-on-year, with a growth rate of 20.99% [1] - Revenue from the transportation segment increased by 109 million yuan, attributed to favorable market conditions in 2024 [1][2] - The company disposed of old assets, generating a profit of 251 million yuan from the sale of four refined oil vessels [2] Market Dynamics - The refined oil transportation market has seen an increase in prices due to overall industry growth [2] - The Singapore subsidiary contributed approximately 950 million yuan to net profit, with the refined oil team generating 3.75 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 57.92% of total revenue [3] - The average revenue per vessel in the international market has decreased significantly compared to the previous year, with a noted drop in freight rates in Q4 [6][7] Future Outlook - The international refined oil market is expected to experience fluctuations, with a gradual recovery anticipated in Q1 2025 [6][7] - The company plans to enhance its operational capacity by investing in new vessels, with a focus on MR (Medium Range) tankers [15] - The management emphasized the importance of adapting to geopolitical changes and market demands, particularly in light of sanctions affecting oil transportation [10][22] Strategic Initiatives - The company aims to modernize its fleet by retiring older vessels and investing in new builds, with a total investment of 3.5 billion yuan for 10 new vessels [16] - There is a strategic shift towards increasing operational efficiency and expanding into new markets, particularly in the western regions [15] - The management is committed to maintaining a healthy financial status while exploring new business opportunities in chemical and LNG transportation [18] Risks and Challenges - The company acknowledged potential challenges from increased supply in the refined oil market, which could impact pricing and profitability [20] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly sanctions against Russia and Iran, continue to pose risks to the transportation market [9][10] - The management expressed concerns about the aging global fleet and the need for compliance with evolving industry standards [23] Conclusion - Overall, the company demonstrated strong financial performance and strategic planning for future growth, while remaining vigilant about market risks and geopolitical factors that could influence operations [31][32]