Group 1: Nanshan Aluminum (南山铝业) - Nanshan Aluminum is positioned as a rare growth target in the electrolytic aluminum sector, with a focus on dividends and share buybacks, reflecting confidence in its growth potential [4][12] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of CNY 5.0 billion, CNY 5.46 billion, and CNY 5.84 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 12x, 11x, and 10x [4][12] - The report anticipates a 15% upside potential based on a target P/E of 13x for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peer companies [4][12] - Key assumptions include increased alumina production from Indonesia, with projected sales volumes of 2.76 million tons in 2025, 4.36 million tons in 2026, and 4.56 million tons in 2027 [12] - The report highlights that domestic electrolytic aluminum capacity is nearing its peak, while global supply growth is slowing, suggesting a favorable supply-demand balance for the industry [12] Group 2: Hanhigh Group (悍高集团) - Hanhigh Group is expected to achieve revenues of CNY 3.595 billion, CNY 4.525 billion, and CNY 5.653 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of CNY 706 million, CNY 942 million, and CNY 1.237 billion [4][15] - The company is rated as "Buy" based on its current valuation being below the average of comparable companies for 2026 [4][15] - Hanhigh Group's growth is driven by cost reduction and brand strength, with a CAGR of 29% in revenue and 59% in net profit from 2019 to 2024 [12][13] - The company focuses on product innovation and cost efficiency, leveraging its own production capacity to enhance profitability [12][13] Group 3: Market Overview and Investment Strategy - The report identifies a favorable market environment for the spring season, with expectations of continued upward momentum in the stock market due to improved economic indicators and liquidity [22] - The "Top Ten Gold Stocks" for January 2026 include companies like Hualu Hengsheng, Lingyi Zhi Zao, and Alibaba, indicating a diversified investment strategy across sectors [14][22] - The automotive industry is highlighted for its recovery potential, particularly with the introduction of new subsidies and the expected improvement in demand for mid-range vehicles [24]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for investment [8]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated impressive growth, with a revenue CAGR of 29% and a net profit CAGR of 59% from 2019 to 2024, making it a rare high-growth entity in a declining real estate market [10][42]. - The growth is driven by three main factors: product innovation focusing on cost reduction and popular products, channel expansion through offline distributors, and a market strategy emphasizing high-end cost performance [10][42][56]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 35.95 billion, 45.25 billion, and 56.53 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 7.06 billion, 9.42 billion, and 12.37 billion yuan [8][9]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue (in million yuan) is projected as follows: 2,857 for 2024, 3,595 for 2025E, 4,525 for 2026E, and 5,653 for 2027E, with year-on-year growth rates of 28.6%, 25.8%, 25.9%, and 24.9% respectively [3]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company (in million yuan) is forecasted to be 531 for 2024, 706 for 2025E, 942 for 2026E, and 1,237 for 2027E, with growth rates of 59.7%, 32.8%, 33.5%, and 31.3% respectively [3]. - Earnings per share (in yuan) are expected to be 1.48 for 2024, 1.76 for 2025E, 2.35 for 2026E, and 3.09 for 2027E [3]. Company Overview - The company, founded in 2004, specializes in home hardware and has evolved into a diversified innovative enterprise, providing a comprehensive range of high-end hardware solutions [17]. - The company has a strong focus on research and development, with a total of 1,193 patents, including 18 invention patents and 252 utility model patents as of mid-2025 [17]. Growth Drivers - The company's growth is primarily attributed to its core product lines: basic hardware, storage hardware, kitchen and bathroom hardware, and outdoor furniture, with basic hardware showing the highest growth rate [43]. - The basic hardware segment has seen a remarkable CAGR of 64.0% from 2019 to 2024, significantly contributing to the company's revenue growth [43]. - The company has successfully implemented a cost reduction strategy, leading to increased production efficiency and profitability [49][54]. Market Positioning - The company adopts a "high-end cost performance" strategy, effectively capturing market share from both foreign brands and private labels [10][42]. - The brand has received multiple prestigious design awards, enhancing its competitive edge in the hardware industry [10][42]. Channel Expansion - The company has experienced rapid growth in offline distribution, which accounted for 57% of its revenue in 2024, indicating a strong channel strategy [56].

证券代码：001221 证券简称：悍高集团 悍高集团股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-003 投资者关系 活动类别 特定对象调研 分析师会议 媒体采访 业绩说明会 新闻发布会 路演活动 现场参观 其他（请文字说明其他活动内容） 策略会 参与单位名 称及人员 百嘉基金、宝盈基金、博时基金、财通证券、财通资管、创华投资、 沣谊投资、广发证券、国海证券、国联民生、国任保险、国盛证券、 国泰海通、宏利基金、华福证券、华能信托、华泰柏瑞、汇添富基金、 嘉实基金、建信基金、交银施罗德、金信基金、钜洲投资、南方基金、 鹏华基金、奇盛基金、人保资产、泰禾资本、天弘基金、西部证券、 新思哲(香港)、信达澳亚、煜德投资、长城基金、长信基金、招商证 券、浙商证券、智联投资、中金公司、中泰证券、中信建投证券、中 邮证券、中招商基金、卓臻基金 44 家机构，共计 69 人 （排名不分 先后） 时间 2025 年 12 月 6 日-12 月 31 日 地点 公司星际总部会议室及策略会现场 1 | | 副总经理、董事会秘书 夏祺 | | --- | --- | | 接待人员 | 证券事务代表 刘平 | | 姓名 | 高级投 ...

上 市 公 司 ——降本与品牌力打造"高端性价比"，护航高增长 投资要点： ⚫ 风险提示：降本幅度低于预期的风险、行业竞争加剧的风险、产品质量风险。 财务数据及盈利预测 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 深 度 轻工制造 2025 年 12 月 31 日 悍高集团 (001221) | | 2024 | 2025Q1-3 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 2,857 | 2,497 | 3,595 | 4,525 | 5,653 | | 同比增长率（%） | 28.6 | 24.3 | 25.8 | 25.9 | 24.9 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 531 | 483 | 706 | 942 | 1,237 | | 同比增长率（%） | 59.7 | 38.1 | 32.8 | 33.5 | 31.3 | | 每股收益（元/股） | 1.48 | 1.31 | 1.76 | 2.35 | 3.09 | | 毛利率（%） | 35.8 | 37.8 | 37.8 | 38.8 | 39. ...

2025年12月23日，美国经济分析局发布延后数据，显示第三季度国内生产总值按年率计算增长4.3%，较第二季度的3.8%进一步提速，创下两年来的最快增 速。这一数据超出市场预期，主要得益于消费支出增长3.5%、企业投资扩大以及贸易政策的稳定。与此同时，核心个人消费支出通胀率升至2.9%，显示经 济在保持增长的同时面临一定的通胀压力。 此次数据因政府停摆影响推迟发布，仅进行两次估算，最终修订数据预计于2026年1月22日公布。美联储对此表示，美国经济预计在2026年实现温和反弹， 并计划仅再降息一次。在这一宏观经济背景下，中国跨境卖家如何把握美国市场的增长机遇，成为亟待探讨的议题。本文将深入分析美国经济数据背后的趋 势、对中国卖家的具体影响，并提供切实可行的策略建议。 一、美国经济现状与政策背景解读 1.1 2025年第三季度经济数据深度分析 美国2025年第三季度GDP增长达到4.3%，不仅高于前一季度的3.8%，也远超市场普遍预期的3.9%-4.0%区间。这是自2023年以来的最高增速，标志着美国经 济在经历了一段时间的温和增长后，进入了一个加速复苏阶段。增长的主要驱动力来自以下三个方面： 与此同时，核心P ...

截至11月28日，悍高集团股东户数2.04万，较上期减少16.36%；人均流通股1708股，较上期增加 19.56%。2025年1月-9月，悍高集团实现营业收入24.97亿元，同比增长24.26%；归母净利润4.83亿元， 同比增长38.07%。 分红方面，悍高集团A股上市后累计派现1.44亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，悍高集团十大流通股东中，交银先进制造混合A（519704）位居 第一大流通股东，持股89.78万股，为新进股东。香港中央结算有限公司位居第二大流通股东，持股 69.95万股，为新进股东。交银趋势混合A（519702）位居第三大流通股东，持股67.16万股，为新进股 东。交银均衡成长一年混合A（010936）位居第四大流通股东，持股64.00万股，为新进股东。交银启诚 混合A（014038）位居第五大流通股东，持股63.52万股，为新进股东。银华成长智选混合A（024455） 位居第六大流通股东，持股52.27万股，为新进股东。长信金利趋势混合A（519994）位居第八大流通股 东，持股50.00万股，为新进股东。交银瑞元三年定期开放混合（019401）位居第十大流通股东，持股 ...

12月19日，悍高集团跌0.05%，成交额7063.55万元。两融数据显示，当日悍高集团获融资买入额801.18 万元，融资偿还450.74万元，融资净买入350.43万元。截至12月19日，悍高集团融资融券余额合计1.05 亿元。 融资方面，悍高集团当日融资买入801.18万元。当前融资余额1.05亿元，占流通市值的5.10%。 融券方面，悍高集团12月19日融券偿还0.00股，融券卖出0.00股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额0.00 元；融券余量0.00股，融券余额0.00元。 截至11月28日，悍高集团股东户数2.04万，较上期减少16.36%；人均流通股1708股，较上期增加 19.56%。2025年1月-9月，悍高集团实现营业收入24.97亿元，同比增长24.26%；归母净利润4.83亿元， 同比增长38.07%。 分红方面，悍高集团A股上市后累计派现1.44亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，悍高集团十大流通股东中，交银先进制造混合A（519704）位居 第一大流通股东，持股89.78万股，为新进股东。香港中央结算有限公司位居第二大流通股东，持股 69.95万股，为新进股东。交银趋势混合 ...

Core Viewpoint - Han Gao Group's stock price increased by 1.88% on December 18, with a trading volume of 124 million yuan, indicating positive market sentiment towards the company [1]. Financing and Trading Data - On December 18, Han Gao Group had a financing buy-in amount of 4.4691 million yuan and a financing repayment of 4.8417 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of -372,600 yuan [1]. - As of December 18, the total balance of margin trading for Han Gao Group was 101 million yuan, which accounts for 4.93% of its circulating market value [1]. - There were no shares sold or repaid in the securities lending market on December 18, with a total securities lending balance of 0 yuan [1]. Company Overview - Han Gao Group, established on September 13, 2004, is located in Shunde District, Foshan City, Guangdong Province, and is set to be listed on July 30, 2025 [1]. - The company specializes in the research, design, production, and sales of home hardware and outdoor furniture, focusing on high-quality products with original designs [1]. - The revenue composition of Han Gao Group includes: basic hardware (44.95%), storage hardware (28.67%), kitchen and bathroom hardware (12.80%), outdoor furniture (8.56%), and other products (2.69%) [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Han Gao Group achieved a revenue of 2.497 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.26% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 483 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.07% [2]. Shareholder Information - As of November 28, the number of shareholders for Han Gao Group was 20,400, a decrease of 16.36% from the previous period [2]. - The average circulating shares per person increased by 19.56% to 1,708 shares [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 144 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing [3]. - The top ten circulating shareholders as of September 30, 2025, include several new institutional investors, with the largest being交银先进制造混合A, holding 897,800 shares [3].

浙商证券研报指出，悍高集团是境内五金及户外家具制造领域的龙头企业，主营业务收入和盈利能力稳 健增长。公司自产比例提升，规模优势显现，同时海外企业经营压力增大、国产五金加速替代进口产 品，在多渠道销售模式支撑下，有望加快产能扩张及市场投放节奏，未来成长可期。公司五金类产品随 铺设产能投产，市占率加速提升，借助品牌化优势提高盈利能力，拉动国产五金行业消费升级；户外家 具方面，公司借助户外用品市场在全球持续扩大，产品在境内外同时放量，形成公司发展第二曲线。首 次覆盖给予"买入"评级。 ...

Core Insights - Hanhigh Group is a leading enterprise in the domestic hardware and outdoor furniture manufacturing sector, with steady growth in main business revenue and profitability [1] - The company is expected to accelerate capacity expansion and market deployment due to increased self-production ratio, scale advantages, and the pressure on overseas enterprises [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 is projected to reach 2.857 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.6%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 531 million yuan, up 59.7% [3] - For the first three quarters of 2025, revenue is 2.497 billion yuan, a 24.27% increase year-on-year, and net profit is 483 million yuan, up 38.07% [3] - From 2019 to 2024, revenue and net profit CAGR are 28.91% and 59.36%, respectively, driven by product scale expansion and management optimization [3] Product Structure - Basic hardware is the main driver of revenue growth, with continuous high growth since 2020, including a 111.37% increase in 2021 [3] - Outdoor furniture revenue is expected to reach 262 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 39.69%, accounting for 9.18% of total revenue [3] Channel Structure - Offline distribution accounts for 56.33% of total revenue in 2024, with sales reaching 1.609 billion yuan, a 26.48% increase [4] - Cloud commerce revenue is 294 million yuan, up 59%, while online e-commerce contributes 312 million yuan, a 24.67% increase [4] Industry Landscape - The hardware industry is characterized by a large number of small enterprises, with leading domestic companies like Hanhigh Group gradually breaking through [5] - The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.6%, reaching 324.45 billion yuan by 2028, driven by consumer demand for quality hardware [5] Outdoor Furniture Demand - The increase in per capita GDP and service consumption spending is driving the demand for outdoor furniture [6] - Revenue from outdoor furniture is projected to grow significantly in 2024, following a decline in previous years [6] Competitive Advantage - Hanhigh Group is positioned to capture market share in the mid-to-high-end hardware market due to the structural exit of foreign brands [6] - The company has improved its gross and net profit margins, surpassing those of imported high-end hardware enterprises [6] Growth Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 3.569 billion, 4.426 billion, and 5.364 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 25%, 24%, and 21% respectively [9] - Net profit for the same period is expected to be 719 million, 917 million, and 1.137 billion yuan, with growth rates of 35%, 28%, and 24% respectively [9]