Group 1 - The global潮玩 (trendy toy) market is experiencing rapid expansion, with the market size growing from 631.2 billion RMB in 2019 to 773.1 billion RMB in 2023, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.2%. It is expected to reach 993.7 billion RMB by 2028, with a projected CAGR of 5.1% over the next three years [1][6][21] - North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific are the top three markets, with sizes of 243.3 billion RMB, 214.0 billion RMB, and 213.6 billion RMB respectively in 2023. China is a major player in both production and consumption, with a projected潮玩 market size of 72.7 billion RMB in 2024, growing at a rate of 26% [1][7][21] - Supply chain management is a core competitive advantage for潮玩 companies, with advancements in technology reducing the product sampling cycle from six months to 72 hours, enabling small-batch production and lowering costs for independent designers [1][8][33] Group 2 - The trend of channel penetration and deep exploration is emerging as a new growth driver in a saturated market. The population in third-tier cities and below is 950 million, with a projected 7.8% increase in disposable income in 2024.潮玩 consumption penetration has tripled since 2020, indicating significant growth potential in these markets [2][10][11] - Leading brands are leveraging strategies such as celebrity collaborations, limited edition designs, and multi-channel engagement to create consumer events. However, risks such as speculation in the secondary market and regulatory uncertainties must be monitored [2][12] - The investment value assessment of the潮玩 sector should focus on four core dimensions: supply chain resilience, operational depth, distribution breadth, and craftsmanship precision. Companies excelling in these areas are more likely to dominate the market and achieve higher valuations [12][14] Group 3 - The潮玩 market is characterized by a dual-track competition, with established brands like LEGO and Bandai focusing on collectible products, while Chinese brands like泡泡玛特 and 布鲁可 are innovating through differentiated product offerings [24][31] - The潮玩 industry is transitioning from being a "cultural input country" to a "cultural output country," driven by cultural confidence, technological innovation, and sound business logic [24][31] - The market is witnessing a diversification of sales channels, with core urban areas, school surroundings, and community retail terminals becoming new sales venues. Brands are also utilizing online platforms to create an integrated sales approach [44][46]

Core Insights - Fanatics Collectibles' TOPPS has established a strategic partnership with Alibaba's Aiyu and Tmall Chao Wan, launching its first official online flagship store in China to provide local consumers access to TOPPS' global new products [1][7] Group 1: Company Overview - TOPPS issued the world's first modern sports trading card in 1951 and has consistently focused on enhancing card quality and innovation standards, driving the industry forward [3] - The company has collaborated with numerous sports leagues, including the NBA, UEFA, Bundesliga, F1, MLB, and NHL [3] Group 2: Product Launch and Market Response - To celebrate the opening of its first online flagship store, TOPPS launched several popular IP products and exclusive items for the Chinese market, including a China-exclusive NBA Match Attax basketball trading card and various series featuring Disney, SpongeBob, Premier League, Star Wars, and MLB [5] - Many products from the hobby series, such as those featuring Disney and SpongeBob, sold out immediately, indicating a highly active trading card market and strong consumer enthusiasm for TOPPS [5] Group 3: Strategic Support and Future Plans - Aiyu and Tmall Chao Wan are providing comprehensive operational support for TOPPS, including store preparation, product selection, warehousing, membership system setup, marketing activities, and brand maintenance [7] - TOPPS plans to leverage the full-service capabilities of Aiyu and Tmall to offer globally synchronized product launches and localized service experiences, further solidifying its brand position and long-term value in the Chinese trading card market [7]

Core Insights - Guangbo Group hosted a specific investor research and site visit on September 25, 2025, attended by institutions such as CCB Pension and Changjiang Securities [1] Group 1: Investor Relations Activity - The investor relations activity included a company exhibition tour and product introduction, showcasing the company's efforts to expand its product range and create a diverse portfolio of trendy categories [1] - The company highlighted its classic stationery series and new product lines, including collectible cards, plush toys, and lifestyle products, aimed at meeting various consumer interests [1] Group 2: Product Development and Market Strategy - Collectible cards have gained popularity among young players through storyline collaborations, establishing a foundation for the card category and demonstrating the company's capabilities in IP collaboration and trendy product development [1] - The plush category is being accelerated with the launch of classic IP series such as "Anpanman" and "Hatsune Miku," designed to appeal to both fashion accessory and home decor markets [1] - The lifestyle product series focuses on integrating trends into daily life, offering aesthetically pleasing items like water bottles and home decor that blend anime elements with practical functions [1] Group 3: Trendy Toy Market Focus - Guangbo Group is strategically entering the trendy toy market, leveraging its strengths in cultural and conventional stationery while rapidly developing products that align with popular domestic toy categories [1] - The company aims to enhance its design and quality competitiveness through the creation of a comprehensive product matrix, targeting niche segments within the trendy toy market [1] Group 4: Future Directions and IP Strategy - Future plans include expanding trendy toy retail channels and deepening collaborations with boutique toy stores and cultural lifestyle shops to increase product category representation and drive sales [1] - The company will continue to develop both major and niche IPs, with major IPs like "Detective Conan" driving significant traffic and niche IPs reaching specific consumer segments, creating differentiated value for trendy toy products [1]

Investment Rating - The report rates the card industry as "Outperform" [3] Core Insights - The card industry is identified as a "lightweight" growth engine within the global entertainment and cultural sector, integrating entertainment, collection, and culture [3][7] - The unique value logic of trading card games (TCGs) is based on their tactical value and scarcity, distinguishing them from ordinary cards [3][8] - The Chinese trading card market has rapidly grown, becoming the largest globally, with a market size projected to reach RMB 263 billion by 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 56.6% from 2019 [42][77] Summary by Sections 1. Card Industry Overview - Cards are categorized into game cards and collectible cards, with trading cards being a significant focus due to their strategic gameplay and community engagement [7][9] - Trading cards combine rule-based gameplay, cultural content, social attributes, and collectible aspects, creating a high-engagement player ecosystem [3][8] 2. Market Dynamics - The consumer base for card products is primarily elementary school students, with 70% of offline purchasers falling into this category [35] - The report highlights a strong purchasing habit among consumers, with 42% maintaining stable monthly purchases, indicating high user loyalty [37] 3. Regional Market Analysis - The U.S. market is characterized by a mature event system and a strong player base, while Japan leverages its anime IPs for card development, showcasing unique entertainment and social aspects [42][62] - The Chinese market has evolved from imitation to innovation, with local companies developing unique paths and capturing significant market share [79][81] 4. Business Model and Growth Logic - The card industry's business model is driven by IP, diverse products, and a multi-channel sales approach, with a focus on building an IP matrix and enhancing user engagement through events and online communities [84] - The average direct material cost for trading cards is projected to be RMB 0.25 per pack, with an average selling price of RMB 1.70 per pack, resulting in a gross margin of 71.3% [3]