丨证券研究报告丨 金融工程丨专题报告 [Table_Title] 双创领涨，红利质量占优，攻守兼备红利组合跑 出超额 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 本周 A 股市场持续上行，双创领涨，中证红利和微盘股表现相对落后，但仍实现正收益；聚焦 红利内细分板块来看，红利质量类别相对占优。从市场表现来看，本周 A 股原材料和信息技术 与硬件板块反弹明显，而必选消费和医疗板块相对较弱；聚焦电子板块内部来看，半导体分销 相对占优，涨幅领先于其他子赛道。策略表现上，攻守兼备红利 50 组合跑赢中证红利全收益， 周度超额约 0.52%，周度收益跑至同类产品约 17%分位。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 冷旭晟 覃川桃 SAC：S0490524080001 SAC：S0490513030001 SFC：BUT353 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 主动量化产品周报（二十一） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 双创领涨，红利质量占优，攻守兼备红利组合跑 2] 出超额 [Table_Summary2] 自 2023 年 7 月以 ...

- The report highlights the performance of the A-share market, with the CSI A50 leading the gains and the ChiNext Index showing strong performance[1][6] - The Dividend Enhanced Portfolio outperformed the CSI Dividend Total Return Index, with the Central SOE High Dividend 30 Portfolio and the Balanced Dividend 50 Portfolio achieving weekly excess returns of approximately 0.41% and 0.75%, respectively[6][21] - The Electronic Enhanced Portfolio also outperformed the Electronic Total Return Index, with the Electronic Balanced Allocation Enhanced Portfolio and the Electronic Sector Preferred Enhanced Portfolio achieving weekly excess returns of approximately 1.78% and 1.53%, respectively[6][29]

- The report aims to enhance the original "Defensive and Offensive Dividend Strategy" by incorporating a rotation mechanism based on macroeconomic expectations, adjusting the weights of defensive and offensive scores during the second screening step[3][11][18] - The original strategy involves a two-step stock selection process: first, selecting the top 30% of stocks with high defensive scores from a high-dividend stock pool, and second, selecting the top 30 or 50 stocks based on offensive scores[18] - Defensive score is calculated as: $ 0.5 \times \text{3-year average dividend yield TTM} + 0.3 \times \text{480-day downside volatility} + 0.2 \times \text{3-year non-recurring ROE mean/standard deviation} $[75] - Offensive score is calculated as: $ 0.5 \times \text{forecast dividend yield} + 0.3 \times \text{relative momentum 240_20} + 0.2 \times \text{single-quarter non-recurring net profit year-on-year} $[75] - The enhanced strategy retains the first step of the original strategy and adjusts the weights of defensive and offensive scores based on macroeconomic expectations in the second step[11][74] - When macroeconomic expectations are revised upwards, the strategy selects the top 30 stocks based on offensive scores; when revised downwards, it selects the top 30 stocks based on a combination of 50% offensive and 50% defensive scores[74] - The enhanced strategy shows improved drawdown control, with the maximum drawdown reduced from 27.88% to 24.37% over the entire period from early 2016 to November 7, 2025[11][80][81] - The annualized return of the enhanced strategy is slightly improved, and the annualized volatility is slightly reduced compared to the original strategy[11][80][81] - The enhanced strategy's performance is evaluated by comparing annual returns, maximum drawdowns, and annualized volatility with the original strategy[80][81][82]

- The report introduces two active quantitative strategies: "Dividend Selection Strategy" and "Industry High Winning Rate Strategy," launched by the Changjiang Quantitative Team since July 2023, aiming to provide alternative perspectives and investment choices for investors by tracking market hotspots and selecting industry stocks [7][14][15] - The "Dividend Series" includes two products: "Central State-Owned Enterprises High Dividend 30 Portfolio" and "Balanced Dividend 50 Portfolio," focusing on stable and growth-oriented dividend strategies. The "Industry Enhancement Series" targets the electronics sector, featuring "Electronics Balanced Allocation Enhancement Portfolio" and "Electronics Sector Preferred Enhancement Portfolio," which emphasizes mature sub-sector leading companies [15][16][21] - The "Central State-Owned Enterprises High Dividend 30 Portfolio" outperformed the CSI Dividend Total Return Index this week, achieving a weekly excess return of approximately 0.68%. The "Balanced Dividend 50 Portfolio" showed relatively high volatility recently but has achieved a significant excess return of about 6.14% since the beginning of 2025, ranking around the 40th percentile among all dividend fund products [16][21][23] - The "Electronics Balanced Allocation Enhancement Portfolio" and "Electronics Sector Preferred Enhancement Portfolio" failed to achieve positive excess returns this week. The former slightly underperformed the electronics total return index, while the latter struggled to keep pace [8][31][32]

- The "Dividend 50 Combination" strategy is designed to outperform the CSI Dividend Total Return Index by focusing on a balanced approach between growth and stability. The strategy includes stocks with high dividend yields and stable financial performance, aiming to capture excess returns in volatile markets[6][13][20] - The "Electronic Sector Preferred Enhanced Combination" strategy targets leading companies in mature sub-sectors within the electronic industry. It emphasizes stocks with strong fundamentals and growth potential, aiming to achieve positive excess returns relative to technology-themed funds[13][23][30] - The "Dividend 50 Combination" strategy achieved a weekly excess return of approximately 0.85% relative to the CSI Dividend Total Return Index, and a cumulative excess return of 7.35% since the beginning of 2025, placing it in the top 32% of all dividend-related fund products[20][22] - The "Electronic Sector Preferred Enhanced Combination" strategy delivered a weekly excess return of approximately 0.42%, outperforming the median return of active technology-themed funds during the same period[30][31]

- The report highlights the "Dividend Enhanced Combination" strategy, which focuses on high-dividend stocks and aims to outperform the CSI Dividend Index. However, this strategy underperformed the CSI Dividend Total Return Index during the week[4][11][22] - The "Electronic Balanced Allocation Enhanced Combination" strategy is designed to achieve balanced exposure within the electronics sector. It outperformed the Electronics Total Return Index with a weekly excess return of approximately 0.27%, ranking in the 36th percentile among technology-themed fund products[4][25][31] - The "Electronic Sector Preferred Enhanced Combination" strategy targets mature sub-sector leaders within the electronics industry. This strategy is part of the industry enhancement series introduced by the research team[10][25]

- The report discusses the performance of various quantitative strategies, including the "Dividend Selection Strategy" and the "Industry High Success Rate Strategy," which were launched by the Changjiang Financial Engineering team since July 2023[5][13][15] - The "Dividend Selection Strategy" includes two products: the "Central State-Owned Enterprises High Dividend 30 Portfolio" and the "Balanced Dividend 50 Portfolio"[15] - The "Industry Enhancement Series" focuses on the electronics sector and includes two products: the "Electronics Balanced Allocation Enhancement Portfolio" and the "Electronics Sector Preferred Enhancement Portfolio"[15] Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. **Model Name: Central State-Owned Enterprises High Dividend 30 Portfolio** - **Model Construction Idea**: Focuses on high dividend stocks within central state-owned enterprises[15] - **Model Construction Process**: The portfolio is constructed by selecting 30 high dividend stocks from central state-owned enterprises, aiming to outperform the CSI Dividend Total Return Index[15] - **Model Evaluation**: The model has shown to outperform the CSI Dividend Total Return Index by approximately 0.01% in the reported period[16][25] 2. **Model Name: Electronics Balanced Allocation Enhancement Portfolio** - **Model Construction Idea**: Aims to balance allocation within the electronics sector to achieve enhanced returns[15] - **Model Construction Process**: The portfolio is constructed by selecting stocks within the electronics sector and balancing the allocation to achieve a defensive attribute and enhanced returns[15] - **Model Evaluation**: The model outperformed the electronics index by approximately 0.81% in the reported period[6][35] 3. **Model Name: Electronics Sector Preferred Enhancement Portfolio** - **Model Construction Idea**: Focuses on leading companies in mature sub-sectors within the electronics industry[15] - **Model Construction Process**: The portfolio is constructed by selecting leading companies in mature sub-sectors within the electronics industry, aiming to achieve enhanced returns[15] - **Model Evaluation**: The model outperformed the electronics index by approximately 1.48% in the reported period[6][35] Model Backtest Results 1. **Central State-Owned Enterprises High Dividend 30 Portfolio** - **Outperformance**: Approximately 0.01% over the CSI Dividend Total Return Index[16][25] 2. **Electronics Balanced Allocation Enhancement Portfolio** - **Outperformance**: Approximately 0.81% over the electronics index[6][35] 3. **Electronics Sector Preferred Enhancement Portfolio** - **Outperformance**: Approximately 1.48% over the electronics index[6][35]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods - **Model Name**: Dividend Growth Strategy **Model Construction Idea**: Focuses on identifying stocks with strong dividend growth potential, aiming to outperform pure dividend assets by leveraging growth-oriented metrics[5][14] **Model Construction Process**: The strategy selects stocks based on their historical dividend growth rates and projected growth potential. It emphasizes companies with consistent dividend increases and robust financial health. Specific metrics or formulas were not detailed in the report[5][14] **Model Evaluation**: Demonstrated superior performance compared to pure dividend assets, indicating its effectiveness in capturing growth opportunities within dividend-paying stocks[5][14] - **Model Name**: Dividend Quality Strategy **Model Construction Idea**: Targets high-quality dividend stocks by assessing financial stability and sustainability of dividend payouts[5][14] **Model Construction Process**: The strategy evaluates companies based on financial metrics such as return on equity (ROE), debt-to-equity ratio, and earnings stability. It prioritizes firms with strong balance sheets and consistent profitability. Specific formulas were not provided[5][14] **Model Evaluation**: Outperformed pure dividend assets, showcasing its ability to identify stable and reliable dividend-paying companies[5][14] - **Model Name**: Balanced Dividend 50 Portfolio **Model Construction Idea**: Combines defensive and growth-oriented dividend stocks to achieve a balanced risk-return profile[13][23] **Model Construction Process**: The portfolio is constructed by selecting 50 stocks that exhibit both high dividend yields and growth potential. It uses a combination of dividend yield, growth metrics, and financial stability indicators. Detailed formulas were not disclosed[13][23] **Model Evaluation**: Achieved significant excess returns relative to the benchmark, highlighting its balanced approach's effectiveness[13][23] - **Model Name**: High Dividend 30 Portfolio **Model Construction Idea**: Focuses on high-dividend-yielding stocks, particularly from central and state-owned enterprises, to provide stable income[13][23] **Model Construction Process**: The portfolio selects 30 stocks with the highest dividend yields among central and state-owned enterprises. It emphasizes income generation and stability. Specific formulas were not mentioned[13][23] **Model Evaluation**: Delivered consistent excess returns, demonstrating its suitability for income-focused investors[13][23] - **Model Name**: Electronic Balanced Allocation Enhanced Portfolio **Model Construction Idea**: Aims to achieve balanced exposure within the electronics sector by diversifying across sub-industries[13][31] **Model Construction Process**: The portfolio allocates investments across various electronics sub-industries, balancing growth and stability. It uses sector-specific metrics to identify leading companies. Detailed formulas were not provided[13][31] **Model Evaluation**: Achieved positive returns but underperformed the electronics sector index, indicating room for improvement in capturing sector-wide trends[13][31] - **Model Name**: Electronics Sector Select Enhanced Portfolio **Model Construction Idea**: Focuses on mature sub-industry leaders within the electronics sector to capture stable growth[13][31] **Model Construction Process**: The portfolio targets leading companies in mature electronics sub-industries, emphasizing financial stability and market leadership. Specific formulas were not disclosed[13][31] **Model Evaluation**: Delivered positive returns but failed to outperform the electronics sector index, suggesting limited effectiveness in capturing broader sector dynamics[13][31] --- Model Backtesting Results - **Dividend Growth Strategy**: Weekly average return exceeded 2%, outperforming pure dividend assets[5][14] - **Dividend Quality Strategy**: Weekly average return exceeded 2%, outperforming pure dividend assets[5][14] - **Balanced Dividend 50 Portfolio**: Weekly excess return of approximately 0.99% relative to the CSI Dividend Total Return Index; year-to-date excess return of 6.04%[13][23] - **High Dividend 30 Portfolio**: Weekly excess return of approximately 0.76% relative to the CSI Dividend Total Return Index[13][23] - **Electronic Balanced Allocation Enhanced Portfolio**: Weekly return of approximately 5.01%, underperforming the electronics sector index[13][31] - **Electronics Sector Select Enhanced Portfolio**: Weekly return of approximately 3.91%, underperforming the electronics sector index[13][31]

- The report introduces several active quantitative strategies launched by the Changjiang Quantitative Team since July 2023, including the Dividend Selection Strategy and the Industry High Winning Rate Strategy[6][13] - The "Dividend Quality" segment showed relatively active performance with a weekly average return of approximately 1.64%, indicating excess returns compared to pure dividend assets[6][16] - The "Central State-Owned Enterprises High Dividend 30 Portfolio" and the "Balanced Dividend 50 Portfolio" both outperformed the CSI Dividend Total Return Index this week, with excess returns of approximately 0.61% and 1.51%, respectively[6][22] - The "Balanced Dividend 50 Portfolio" achieved positive returns this week[6][22] - The "Electronic Balanced Allocation Enhanced Portfolio" and the "Electronic Sector Preferred Enhanced Portfolio" both achieved positive returns this week, although they did not outperform the electronic industry index[7][31] - The "Electronic Sector Preferred Enhanced Portfolio" had a weekly return of approximately 6.20%, outperforming the median of technology-themed fund products[7][31] Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Dividend Selection Strategy; Model Construction Idea: Focuses on selecting stocks with high dividend yields and quality; Model Construction Process: The strategy involves screening stocks based on dividend yield, payout ratio, and other fundamental factors to construct a portfolio that aims to provide stable and high returns; Model Evaluation: The strategy has shown to provide excess returns compared to pure dividend assets[6][13][16] 2. Model Name: Industry High Winning Rate Strategy; Model Construction Idea: Focuses on selecting stocks within high-performing industries; Model Construction Process: The strategy involves identifying industries with strong performance and selecting stocks within those industries based on various fundamental and technical factors; Model Evaluation: The strategy aims to provide alternative perspectives and investment choices for investors by tracking market hotspots and selecting individual stocks within high-performing industries[6][13] Model Backtesting Results 1. Dividend Selection Strategy, Excess Return: 1.64%[6][16] 2. Central State-Owned Enterprises High Dividend 30 Portfolio, Excess Return: 0.61%[6][22] 3. Balanced Dividend 50 Portfolio, Excess Return: 1.51%[6][22] 4. Electronic Sector Preferred Enhanced Portfolio, Weekly Return: 6.20%[7][31] Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Dividend Quality; Factor Construction Idea: Focuses on stocks with high dividend quality; Factor Construction Process: The factor involves screening stocks based on dividend yield, payout ratio, and other fundamental factors to identify stocks with high dividend quality; Factor Evaluation: The factor has shown to provide excess returns compared to pure dividend assets[6][16] 2. Factor Name: Industry Performance; Factor Construction Idea: Focuses on stocks within high-performing industries; Factor Construction Process: The factor involves identifying industries with strong performance and selecting stocks within those industries based on various fundamental and technical factors; Factor Evaluation: The factor aims to provide alternative perspectives and investment choices for investors by tracking market hotspots and selecting individual stocks within high-performing industries[6][13] Factor Backtesting Results 1. Dividend Quality Factor, Weekly Average Return: 1.64%[6][16] 2. Industry Performance Factor, Weekly Return: 6.20%[7][31]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods - **Model Name**: "Offense and Defense Dividend 50 Portfolio" **Model Construction Idea**: This model aims to enhance returns by selecting high-dividend stocks with a balance of growth and stability, outperforming the benchmark dividend indices[6][15] **Model Construction Process**: The portfolio is constructed by combining stocks with high dividend yields, growth potential, and low volatility. The selection process involves filtering stocks based on dividend-related factors and optimizing the portfolio to achieve a balance between growth and defensive characteristics[6][15] **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates strong performance, consistently outperforming the benchmark dividend indices and ranking in the top percentile among dividend-focused funds[6][21] - **Model Name**: "Central SOE High Dividend 30 Portfolio" **Model Construction Idea**: This model focuses on central state-owned enterprises (SOEs) with high dividend payouts, aiming to capture stable returns from these entities[15] **Model Construction Process**: The portfolio is constructed by selecting 30 central SOEs with the highest dividend yields. The selection criteria emphasize stability and consistent dividend payouts[15] **Model Evaluation**: The model shows stable performance, delivering excess returns over the benchmark dividend indices[15][21] - **Model Name**: "Electronic Sector Enhanced Portfolios" **Model Construction Idea**: These models aim to enhance returns within the electronic sector by focusing on high-growth sub-sectors and leading companies in mature sub-sectors[15][31] **Model Construction Process**: 1. **Balanced Allocation Enhanced Portfolio**: This portfolio is constructed by evenly allocating weights across various electronic sub-sectors to achieve diversification[15] 2. **Sector Leader Enhanced Portfolio**: This portfolio focuses on leading companies in mature sub-sectors, emphasizing their growth potential and market dominance[15][31] **Model Evaluation**: Both portfolios demonstrate positive returns, with the Sector Leader Enhanced Portfolio delivering higher excess returns relative to the electronic sector index[31] Model Backtesting Results - **Offense and Defense Dividend 50 Portfolio**: - Weekly excess return: ~1.41% over the CSI Dividend Total Return Index[6][21] - Year-to-date excess return: ~3.52% over the CSI Dividend Total Return Index[21] - Weekly performance percentile: ~11% among dividend-focused funds[6][21] - **Central SOE High Dividend 30 Portfolio**: - Weekly excess return: ~0.35% over the CSI Dividend Total Return Index[6][21] - **Electronic Sector Enhanced Portfolios**: - **Balanced Allocation Enhanced Portfolio**: Weekly excess return: ~0.89% over the electronic sector index[31] - **Sector Leader Enhanced Portfolio**: Weekly excess return: ~0.89% over the electronic sector index[31] Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods - **Factor Name**: Dividend Quality **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor evaluates the stability and sustainability of a company's dividend payouts[16][18] **Factor Construction Process**: The factor is calculated using metrics such as dividend payout ratio, historical dividend growth rate, and earnings stability. Companies with higher scores on these metrics are ranked higher[16][18] **Factor Evaluation**: The factor demonstrates strong predictive power for identifying high-performing dividend stocks[16][18] - **Factor Name**: Dividend Growth **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor focuses on the growth potential of a company's dividends over time[16][18] **Factor Construction Process**: The factor is derived from the historical growth rate of dividends and projected earnings growth. Companies with consistent and high dividend growth rates are ranked higher[16][18] **Factor Evaluation**: The factor shows significant excess returns compared to pure dividend yield factors[16][18] - **Factor Name**: Low Volatility Dividend **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor targets stocks with high dividend yields and low price volatility[16][18] **Factor Construction Process**: The factor is constructed by combining dividend yield with a volatility measure (e.g., standard deviation of returns). Stocks with high yields and low volatility are ranked higher[16][18] **Factor Evaluation**: The factor provides a defensive characteristic, outperforming during market downturns[16][18] Factor Backtesting Results - **Dividend Quality Factor**: - Weekly excess return: ~1.94% over the CSI Dividend Index[18] - **Dividend Growth Factor**: - Weekly excess return: ~0.92% over the CSI Dividend Index[18] - **Low Volatility Dividend Factor**: - Weekly excess return: ~0.69% over the CSI Dividend Index[18]