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宋雪涛:关税豁免日到期后会发生什么?
雪涛宏观笔记· 2025-07-05 07:59
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing trade negotiations between the United States and various countries, focusing on the U.S. demands in the tariff negotiations and the potential outcomes as the July 9 deadline approaches [2][21]. Group 1: U.S. Demands in Tariff Negotiations - The U.S. aims to use "reciprocal tariffs" as leverage to increase government revenue, reduce fiscal spending, attract foreign investment, enhance supply chain security, and create a more favorable global operating environment for American companies [3]. - One of the primary demands is to expand U.S. exports, particularly in the energy and agricultural sectors, which account for an average of 28% of total U.S. exports over the past five years [4][5]. - The U.S. government seeks to reduce overseas spending, particularly foreign aid, using tariffs as a tool to compel recipient countries to lessen their dependency on U.S. support [6]. - Another key demand is to promote the return of manufacturing to the U.S. to enhance supply chain resilience, especially in critical industries like semiconductors and medical supplies [9][10]. Group 2: Specific Negotiation Developments - The U.S. has made significant progress in negotiations with countries like India, Pakistan, and Switzerland, with expectations of reaching trade agreements or frameworks [15][21]. - The article highlights specific investments from various countries, such as Diageo's $415 million investment in Alabama and Japan's $44 billion investment in a natural gas project in Alaska, indicating active engagement in trade discussions [11]. - The U.S. has also been addressing discriminatory taxes imposed by other countries, particularly the digital services tax (DST), which targets major U.S. tech companies [12][13]. Group 3: Potential Outcomes and Future Negotiations - As the July 9 deadline approaches, the U.S. has shown a fluctuating stance on tariff increases, indicating that the outcome will depend on the substantive compromises made by both parties [14][21]. - Countries like the EU and Japan face significant uncertainties in negotiations due to disagreements over issues like the digital services tax and automotive tariffs [18]. - The article suggests that countries with large trade deficits with the U.S. may agree to purchase more American goods and ease market access in order to reach trade agreements [16][20].
加拿大服软了,30国瑟瑟发抖,早听了中方的劝,也不会有如今下场
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 10:46
Group 1 - Canada announced the cancellation of the digital services tax to facilitate trade negotiations with the U.S., which has drawn significant international attention [1][3] - The digital services tax was initially proposed in 2020, targeting large multinational tech companies with annual revenues exceeding 1.1 billion CAD globally and 20 million CAD in Canada, imposing a 3% tax on certain digital services [1][5] - The Canadian government's decision to abandon the tax has sparked domestic criticism, with some citizens viewing it as a capitulation to U.S. pressure and a loss of national sovereignty [7] Group 2 - The cancellation of the tax was estimated to potentially generate 7.2 billion CAD for the Canadian government over five years, highlighting the financial implications of the decision [3] - Other countries, including Japan, the EU, India, and Australia, are also facing pressure from the U.S. in ongoing trade negotiations, with varying degrees of compliance and resistance [3][5] - The trend of implementing digital services taxes is growing globally, with 35 countries, including France and the UK, already having similar taxes in place, indicating a shift in international tax policy [5][7]
川普威胁停止贸易谈判后,加拿大让步取消数字服务税
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-01 07:21
Group 1 - Canada announced the cancellation of the planned digital services tax, originally set to take effect on June 30, in hopes of reaching a "reciprocal comprehensive trade agreement" with the U.S. [1] - The Canadian Finance Minister will soon propose legislation to abolish the digital services tax, following an agreement between Canadian Prime Minister Carney and U.S. President Trump to resume negotiations by July 21 [1][3] - The digital services tax, which was set at 3% and could have retroactive implications, was seen as a significant financial burden on U.S. tech companies, potentially amounting to $2 billion in additional taxes [3][4] Group 2 - Trump's strong reaction to Canada's proposed tax indicates that the U.S. will not tolerate similar measures from other countries, particularly in trade negotiations [4] - The digital services tax was initially proposed in 2020 and is scheduled to be officially implemented in June 2024, suggesting that it was not solely a bargaining chip in U.S.-Canada negotiations [4] - The recent developments reflect a broader context of U.S. trade policy under Trump, emphasizing protection for American tech companies and signaling to other nations about the consequences of targeting U.S. firms [4][5]
加拿大“屈服”了 欧洲还在坚持 特朗普又抱怨日本不买美国大米
Xin Hua She· 2025-07-01 00:19
Group 1: Canada and US Trade Negotiations - Canada has agreed to cancel its digital services tax to facilitate trade negotiations with the US, which the White House claims is a significant victory for American tech companies [2][3] - The US will "immediately resume" trade talks with Canada following the cancellation of the digital services tax, with a goal to reach an agreement by July 21 [2][3] - The White House attributes this change to President Trump's strong negotiation style and emphasizes the importance of maintaining good trade relations with the US [2][3] Group 2: EU's Position on Digital Legislation - The European Union has stated that its digital legislation, including the Digital Markets Act and Digital Services Act, will not be part of the trade negotiations with the US [4] - The EU remains firm on its sovereign decision-making regarding digital legislation and aims to reach a trade agreement with the US by July 9 [4][5] - The US has previously criticized the EU's digital regulations as unfair and has imposed significant fines on American companies for violations [4][5] Group 3: US-Japan Trade Relations - President Trump has expressed dissatisfaction with Japan's refusal to import US rice despite facing a rice shortage, indicating a potential letter to Japan regarding trade [6][7] - Trump has labeled the US-Japan trade relationship as "unfair," highlighting a significant trade deficit and suggesting that Japan should import more US goods [7][8] - The US has imposed a 25% tariff on imported cars, and negotiations with Japan regarding tariffs are ongoing, with a deadline set for July 9 [8]
美国威胁“终止与加拿大所有贸易谈判”,加迅速撤销“数字税”
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-06-30 22:48
Group 1 - The Canadian government announced the cancellation of the digital services tax originally set to take effect on June 30, in order to advance trade negotiations with the United States [1][3] - The digital services tax, proposed in 2020 and officially announced in June 2022, would have imposed a 3% tax on revenues of major tech companies like Amazon, Google, and Meta, retroactive to 2022 [3] - The initial payment for the tax was expected to exceed $2 billion for U.S. companies, which prompted U.S. President Trump to threaten to terminate all trade negotiations with Canada [3] Group 2 - Canada is the largest buyer of U.S. goods, with imports totaling $349 billion last year, while Canadian exports to the U.S. reached $413 billion, making Canada the third-largest source of U.S. imports [3] - The cancellation of the digital services tax is seen as a move to facilitate substantial progress in negotiations regarding the new economic and security relationship between Canada and the U.S. [3] - The U.S. government is also facing ongoing tariff adjustments, with President Trump indicating that he does not see the need to extend the 90-day grace period for tariffs set to expire on July 9 [4]
特朗普宣布中止与加拿大所有贸易谈判 因后者征收数字服务税
智通财经网· 2025-06-27 23:42
Group 1 - The core issue revolves around Canada's decision to implement a digital services tax (DST) on U.S. tech companies, which has led to heightened tensions in U.S.-Canada trade relations [1][2] - President Trump announced the immediate termination of all trade negotiations with Canada in response to the DST, labeling it a direct attack on the U.S. [1] - The digital services tax will affect both local and international tech companies, including major U.S. firms like Amazon, Google, and Meta, and is set to be enforced starting June 31, 2023 [2] Group 2 - The U.S. and Canada have maintained a close economic relationship, with bilateral goods trade totaling approximately $762 billion in 2023 [2] - Following Trump's announcement, financial markets reacted with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices initially declining before recovering to close higher, indicating market sensitivity to trade tensions [1]