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双环传动 | 发布员工持股计划 明确业绩增长目标【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-07-11 11:52
Core Viewpoint - The company has launched a 2025 employee stock ownership plan aimed at enhancing talent retention and driving long-term growth through performance-based incentives [1][2]. Group 1: Employee Stock Ownership Plan - The employee stock ownership plan covers a wide range of participants, including directors (excluding independent directors), supervisors, senior management, middle management, and core employees, totaling up to 358 individuals, with 16.45% of shares allocated to directors and senior management [2]. - The plan has a duration of 36 months, with performance targets tied to both company-wide and individual performance metrics. The first 50% of shares can be unlocked after 12 months if the company's net profit reaches at least 1.3 billion RMB, with a tiered unlocking mechanism based on performance [2]. - The total amount of employee self-funded capital is capped at 163.99 million RMB, with a share price set at 15.78 RMB per share [1][2]. Group 2: Business Expansion and Market Position - The company has achieved a 40%-50% market share in the domestic new energy market for its drive gear products, with significant order growth attributed to its high-performance coaxial reducers [3]. - The company is accelerating the construction of its Hungary facility to cater to European market demands, aiming to enhance its influence and market share in Europe through localized production [3]. - The company is a leader in precision drive systems and is expanding its global footprint while developing intelligent drive mechanisms and robotic joint businesses, indicating strong long-term growth potential [5]. Group 3: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 10.47 billion RMB, 12.47 billion RMB, and 14.96 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.30 billion RMB, 1.52 billion RMB, and 1.89 billion RMB [7]. - The expected growth rates for revenue are 19.2% in 2025, 19.1% in 2026, and 20.0% in 2027, while net profit growth rates are projected at 27.2%, 16.8%, and 24.4% for the same years [7]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.54 RMB in 2025, 1.79 RMB in 2026, and 2.23 RMB in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 20, 17, and 14 [7].
双环传动 | 2024:业绩稳健向上 机器人减速器加速增长 【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-04-27 14:41
01 事件概述 2024年公司营业收入87.8亿元,同比+8.8%;归母净利10.2亿元,同比+25.5%;扣非归母净利10.0亿元,同比+24.8%。2024Q4公司营收20.4亿元,同比-7.4%,环比-15.7%;归 母净利2.86亿元,同比+26.0%,环比+7.9%;扣非归母净利2.90亿元,同比+14.6%,环比+12.4%。 02 分析判断 ► 24Q4 业绩符合预期 产品结构变化导致毛利环比提升 1)收入端: 2024Q4公司营收20.4亿元,同比-7.4%,环比-15.7%;归母净利2.86亿元,同比+26.0%,环比+7.9%;收入同环比下降主要系2024Q4钢材销售业 务收缩所致,钢贸业务2024H1/H2收入分别5.3/1.0亿元。乘用车业务方面,2024Q4乘用车销量885.9万辆,同比+12.4%,环比+32.2%,公司2024H1/H2收入分 别23.6 /29.6亿元,保持稳步增长。 2)毛利端: 2024Q4公司毛利率31.0%,同比+6.5pct,环比+7.1pct,毛利率提升主因:1)毛利较低的钢贸销售业务占比下 降;2)规模效应加强,乘用车齿轮业务毛利率提升; 3)费用 ...
双环传动(002472):系列点评十:业绩稳健向上,机器人减速器加速成长
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-27 08:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing steady revenue growth, with projected revenues of CNY 87.8 billion in 2024, representing an 8.8% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of CNY 10.2 billion, up 25.5% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company is expanding its global presence, particularly in the electric vehicle market, where it holds a market share of 40%-50% in domestic new energy vehicles [3]. - The report highlights the growth potential in the robotics sector, particularly in high-precision reducers, with a gross margin of 29.1% for this segment [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenues of CNY 20.4 billion, down 7.4% year-on-year and 15.7% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to a contraction in steel sales [2]. - The gross margin for Q4 2024 improved to 31.0%, an increase of 6.5 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to a decrease in low-margin steel trading and improved margins in passenger vehicle gear business [2]. - The net profit for Q4 2024 was CNY 2.86 billion, reflecting a 26.0% year-on-year increase and a 7.9% quarter-on-quarter increase [2]. Growth Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are CNY 104.7 billion, CNY 124.7 billion, and CNY 149.6 billion, respectively, with corresponding net profits of CNY 12.4 billion, CNY 15.2 billion, and CNY 18.7 billion [4][5]. - The report anticipates a steady increase in earnings per share (EPS) from CNY 1.21 in 2024 to CNY 2.21 in 2027 [5]. Market Expansion - The company is accelerating its overseas expansion, particularly in Hungary, to cater to European market demands and enhance its influence in the region [3]. - The report emphasizes the company's focus on developing intelligent drive mechanisms and robotics, aiming to increase the value per vehicle [3][4].