Group 1: Global Economic Outlook - Goldman Sachs' chief economist, Hatzios, suggests a bearish stance on the US dollar and a bullish position on gold, anticipating that the Federal Reserve's easing of monetary policy will lower US Treasury yields and the dollar while boosting global stocks and gold [1] - Goldman Sachs maintains a more dovish view on monetary policy outside the US compared to market pricing, particularly in the Eurozone, UK, Canada, and Australia [1] Group 2: China Macro Economy - The two main macroeconomic themes shaping China's economy in the second half of the year are trade and policy, with a projected GDP growth of 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [2] - The government has ample room to achieve its annual GDP growth target of "around 5%" despite a potential slowdown in the second half, leading to a lack of urgency for major easing measures [2] Group 3: Japan Macro Economy - The recent upper house election results in Japan show the ruling coalition lost its majority, which may complicate the passage of legislation [3] - Goldman Sachs expects the Bank of Japan to maintain its dovish stance, with a basic scenario predicting a rate hike in January 2026 [3] Group 4: China Real Estate - By June 2025, the market for publicly offered infrastructure securities investment funds in China has grown to 68 funds with a total market value exceeding 200 billion RMB, reflecting a fivefold increase since launch [4] - Goldman Sachs presents three scenarios for the potential expansion of this market, with the most optimistic scenario suggesting a 10% reduction in the real estate sector's and local government financing platform's outstanding debt [4] Group 5: Chinese Brokerage and Asset Management - Nearly 20 traditional brokerages have reported over 50% year-on-year growth in net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by increased brokerage and investment banking revenues [5] - Goldman Sachs has raised its earnings expectations for covered brokerages, including China International Capital Corporation (CICC), which reported a 55-78% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025 [6] Group 6: Hong Kong Real Estate - Goldman Sachs has upgraded New World Development to neutral while downgrading Sino Land to sell, as the Hong Kong real estate market shows signs of stabilization [9] - The firm expects a sustainable compound annual growth rate in profits driven by project sales, with significant variations in earnings per share forecasts for 2025-2027 [9] Group 7: China Healthcare - Goldman Sachs anticipates a 20% revenue growth for Adagene in 2025, while expecting a 14% growth for United Imaging Healthcare, driven by its performance in China [10] - Conversely, Mindray Medical is projected to see a 26% decline in its Chinese business due to weak performance in the in vitro diagnostics sector [10] Group 8: Guizhou Moutai - Guizhou Moutai plans to establish new sales companies with non-state distributors to stabilize prices and introduce new products, which may support sales growth in 2025 [12] Group 9: Weir Shares - Weir Shares is expected to see stronger growth in the second half of 2025 due to the mass production of new high-end smartphone image sensors [13] - The company is also expanding its automotive image sensor business, benefiting from increased camera usage in new vehicles [13]

Core Viewpoint - Sony is accelerating its transformation into an entertainment technology group by announcing a strategic plan for the spin-off of its financial business, which is seen as a new chapter in corporate transformation [1] Group 1: Financial Business Spin-off - Sony will detail its spin-off plan and growth strategy for the financial unit during its investor day, with plans to distribute over 80% of Sony Financial Group shares to shareholders through a physical dividend [1] - This spin-off marks the first use of Japan's 2023 tax reform policy for partial spin-offs and is the first direct listing case in over 20 years, scheduled for September 29 [1] - The separation will allow for clearer understanding of the different business development goals by separating the capital-efficient non-financial business from the capital-dependent financial business [1] Group 2: Entertainment Expansion - Sony is expanding its entertainment portfolio from gaming to film and music while maintaining its global leadership in smartphone image sensors [3] - The company is considering various strategies for its chip business, including self-operation, strategic investors, or a light wafer fab strategy [3] - Sony has allocated 1.7 trillion yen for capital investments and 1.8 trillion yen for strategic investments over the next three years [4] Group 3: Anime Business Growth - The anime business is expected to contribute 35%-40% of the profits from the film and television sector in the next two to three years, highlighting its potential as a profitable growth area [5] - Sony's influence in the anime sector is increasing through its Aniplex animation planning company and Crunchyroll streaming platform, which are seen as significant opportunities in a growing market [4][5]

【文/观察者网 周盛明 编辑/ 高莘】据《日本经济新闻》5月20日报道，截至4月，日本企业在2023财年 和2024财年期间新建或收购的7座半导体工厂中，仅有3座实现量产。 报道称，这反映出除了人工智能以外，其他领域的芯片需求复苏缓慢。 目前，日本正积极推动本国半导体产业重建，力求增强本土产能。预计2022年至2029年期间，日本半导 体产业的投资总额将达到约9万亿日元（约合人民币4500亿元），而日本政府计划在2030财年之前为半 导体与人工智能领域提供超过10万亿日元（约合人民币5000亿元）的支持。 但根据《日本经济新闻》对9家主要半导体企业过去两年投资情况的调查，这些投入目前尚未取得显著 成果。 另外一方面，日本那些已在新工厂实现量产的公司，在扩产方面也保持谨慎。 报道表示，日本先进半导体制造公司是台积电的子公司，其已于去年12月在其首座工厂启动量产，但有 观察人士认为该厂产能并未被充分利用。 此外，索尼集团（Sony Group）在日本諫早（Isahaya）的生产基地新建的芯片工厂仍有空余产能，但索 尼正根据市场情况犹豫是否追加设备投资。 该工厂原计划用于扩大智能手机图像传感器产能，但由于去年苹果公 ...

来源：内容编译自日经 ，谢谢 。 截至2024年4月，日本企业在2023财年和2024财年新建或收购的七座半导体工厂中，只有三座实 现了量产，反映出除人工智能以外领域的芯片需求复苏依然缓慢。 如果您希望可以时常见面，欢迎标星收藏哦~ 日本正与其他国家一道，在美中紧张关系加剧的背景下，致力于加强本国的半导体生产能力。 预计2022年至2029年期间，日本半导体行业将吸引约9万亿日元（约合620亿美元）的投资；同 时，日本政府计划在2030财年之前为半导体和人工智能领域提供超过10万亿日元的支持。 但根据《日经新闻》对过去两年九家主要半导体公司的投资调查，目前为止这些努力尚未带来显著 成果。 例如，日本瑞萨电子在2024年4月重启了关闭九年的甲府工厂，原计划年初开始量产，但由于电动 汽车等领域所用的功率半导体需求疲软，瑞萨被迫调整计划。 "市场环境依然极不确定。我们将继续保持尽可能谨慎的态度，"总裁柴田英利上月在记者会上表 示，并未提供新的时间表。 芯片制造商正在密切关注市场走向，以降低新厂建设带来的财务负担。即使工厂建设完成，通常也 要在正式投产后才开始计提折旧。 罗姆公司于2023年收购的一座工厂在去年11月 ...