Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - The fiscal and tax system reform during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period is essential for addressing current fiscal constraints and advancing national governance modernization, aiming to inject strong momentum into Chinese-style modernization [4] - The budget system reform is expected to release resource potential, while tax system optimization will adjust the distribution pattern [4] - The restructuring of central-local relations is anticipated to stimulate governance vitality, and comprehensive debt management will enhance fiscal efficiency [4] Group 2: Market Performance - Domestic equity market indices generally rose, while the bond market experienced a pullback, with sustained enthusiasm in the new share market [5] - TMT-themed funds showed significant net value increases, while passive index funds saw continued outflows from technology sector ETFs [5] - Financial, real estate, and new energy sector ETFs experienced notable net inflows, while Hong Kong stock ETFs maintained substantial inflows [5] Group 3: Industry-Specific Developments - In August, domestic downstream consumption of electrolytic copper reached a near six-year low in inventory, with expectations for copper prices to rise due to increased demand in Q4 [6] - Lithium prices have reached approximately 75,000 yuan per ton, with supply disruptions from mines like Zangge Mining potentially driving short-term price increases [6] - The approval process for innovative drug INDs has been shortened to 30 days, significantly enhancing clinical research efficiency and boosting confidence in the domestic innovative pharmaceutical industry [6] Group 4: Company Performance - 康耐特光学 (Kangnait Optical) ranks fifth globally in resin lens sales and first among Chinese manufacturers, with a projected revenue of 2.06 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 17% year-on-year growth [6] - 越秀地产 (Yuexiu Property) reported a sales amount of 5.51 billion yuan in August 2025, a 45% year-on-year decline, while the cumulative sales for January to August 2025 reached 73.01 billion yuan, a 3.7% increase year-on-year [7]

查看完整报告 特别申明： 点击注册小程序 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 康耐特光学是国内领先的树脂眼镜镜片制造商 传统眼镜业务量价齐升，推动镜片需求持续增长 由于近视率和老视率提升、功能性需求增加，眼镜市场呈现量价齐升趋势。根据弗若斯特沙利文，以中国市场 为例，中国镜片人均购买量从2019年的8.6副/百人增长至2024年的10.0副/百人，预计在2029年将增长至13.6副/ 百人；中国镜片人均支出从2019年的人民币21.2元/人增加到2024年的人民币27.1元/人，预计2029年中国镜片 人均支出将达到38.3元/人。眼镜市场量价齐升相应推动镜片需求提升。根据弗若斯特沙利文，预计至2029年 全球眼镜镜片制造厂商出厂销售额将增长至82亿美元，2024年至2029年期间的年复合增长率约为5. ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that 康耐特光学 (Conant Optical) has seen a stock increase of over 5%, specifically a rise of 5.49% to HKD 46.86, with a trading volume of HKD 86.99 million [1] - The company has been included in the Hang Seng Composite Index as announced by the Hang Seng Index Company, with the changes effective from September 8 [1] - 中金 (CICC) emphasizes that 康耐特光学 is a global leader in resin lenses, possessing strong technology, production capacity, and customer barriers [1] Group 2 - The high-refractive index products are accelerating in volume, and the growth path for profits is clear, particularly with the rise of optical lenses for smart glasses [1] - The market has expectations for the value and market share of AR glasses lenses, indicating a potential gap in perception [1] - The company is expected to benefit from increased liquidity following its inclusion in the index [1]

Core Viewpoint - 康耐特光学 (02276) has seen a stock price increase of over 5%, currently at 46.86 HKD, following its inclusion in the Hang Seng Composite Index, effective from September 8 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - 康耐特光学's stock rose by 5.49%, with a trading volume of 86.99 million HKD [1] - The company is recognized as a global leader in resin lenses, with strong technology, production capacity, and customer barriers [1] Group 2: Market Expectations - High refractive index products are accelerating in volume, and the growth path for profits is clear due to the rise of optical lenses for smart glasses [1] - There are expectations for an increase in the value and market share of AR glasses lenses, indicating a potential growth opportunity for the company [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a dual growth driver: traditional resin lenses and the emerging market for smart glasses optical lenses [1] - The inclusion in the index is anticipated to enhance the company's liquidity [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company will be included in 13 indices, including the Hang Seng Composite Index and the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Index, starting from September 8, 2025, which is expected to enhance liquidity [1] Company Overview - The company is a global leader in resin lenses, with strong technology, production capacity, and customer barriers [1] - High refractive index products are rapidly increasing in volume, and the growth path for profitability is clear, driven by traditional resin lenses and smart glasses optical lenses [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, U.S. tariffs impacted revenue, while the second half is expected to see revenue recovery driven by capacity release [1] - Standard lenses increased by 20% due to product structure optimization and an increase in the share of self-owned brands; functional lenses grew by 8.8%; customized lenses saw a decline of 4.9% due to slowed order rhythm from American clients [1] - Revenue growth rates for different regions: China +19%, Asia (excluding China) +22.5%, Europe +6%, and America -1.8% [1] Production Capacity and Market Trends - A new customized production line in Japan is set to start operations in the third quarter, releasing about 20% of customized capacity, which is expected to help recover revenue in America [1] - The global smart glasses shipment volume increased by 110% in the first half of 2025, driven by strong sales of Ray-Ban Meta and new brands like Xiaomi and RayNeo [1] - Meta's market share reached 73%, with new products expected to launch in the second half of the year, indicating continued high growth in the industry [1] Domestic Market Insights - In the first half of 2025, China's smart glasses retail volume reached 468,000 units, a 148% increase [1] - The market is expanding with new products from various brands, and retail volume in China is expected to exceed 1.4 million units by 2025, representing a 216% increase [1] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 remains largely unchanged, with the current stock price corresponding to 39/31 times P/E for 2025/2026 [1] - The target price has been raised by 7% to 58 yuan, corresponding to 47/38 times P/E for 2025/2026, indicating a 20% upside potential from the current stock price [1]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index Company announced the quarterly review results for the Hang Seng Index series as of June 30, 2025, with Conant Optical (02276) being included in the Hang Seng Composite Index, effective after market close on September 5 and starting on September 8 [1] - Conant Optical is likely to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect due to meeting various criteria such as market capitalization, liquidity, and listing time, according to Huatai Securities [1] - CICC initiated coverage on Conant Optical with an "outperform" rating and a target price of HKD 54.00, based on a P/E valuation method corresponding to a 35x P/E for 2026, with expected EPS of HKD 1.14 and HKD 1.42 for 2025 and 2026 respectively, indicating a CAGR of 26% from 2024 to 2026 [1] Group 2 - Conant Optical is recognized as a global leader in resin lens manufacturing, with advanced R&D capabilities and stable customer relationships, suggesting potential for sustained growth through customized lenses, proprietary brands, and smart glasses development [1]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index Company announced the quarterly review results for the Hang Seng Index series as of June 30, 2025, with 康耐特光学 (Conant Optical) being included in the Hang Seng Composite Index, effective after market close on September 5, 2025, and effective from September 8, 2025 [1] - 康耐特光学 is likely to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect due to meeting various criteria including market capitalization, liquidity, and listing duration, as reported by Huatai Securities [1] - CICC initiated coverage on 康耐特光学 with an "outperform" rating and a target price of HKD 54.00, based on a P/E valuation method corresponding to a 35x P/E for 2026, with expected EPS of HKD 1.14 and HKD 1.42 for 2025 and 2026 respectively, indicating a CAGR of 26% from 2024 to 2026 [1] Group 2 - 康耐特光学 is recognized as a global leader in resin lens manufacturing, with advanced R&D capabilities and stable customer relationships, suggesting potential for sustained growth through customized lenses, proprietary brands, and smart glasses development [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent stock performance of Mingyue Optical, which closed at 45.31 yuan on August 13, reflecting a decline of 0.61% from the previous trading day [1] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of optical products, including lenses and frames, and is recognized as one of the significant lens manufacturers in China [1] - On the news front, the actual controller of the company, Xie Gongwan, along with his concerted actions, reduced their holdings by a total of 1.6281 million shares between July 18 and August 11, representing 0.81% of the total share capital after excluding repurchased shares [1] Group 2 - On August 13, the main capital outflow amounted to 16.4903 million yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 34.7235 million yuan over the past five days [1] - The trading volume on August 13 was 47,900 lots, with a transaction value of 216 million yuan, resulting in a turnover rate of 2.51% [1]

Core Viewpoint - CICC initiates coverage on Conant Optical (02276) with an "outperform" rating and a target price of HKD 54.00, based on a P/E valuation method corresponding to a 35x P/E for 2026, with expected EPS of 1.14 and 1.42 for 2025 and 2026 respectively, indicating a CAGR of 26% from 2024 to 2026 [1] Group 1: Industry Growth and Market Potential - Traditional lens market is expected to grow steadily, with Frost & Sullivan projecting global lens sales to reach approximately USD 8.2 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 5.8% from 2024 to 2029. China is the largest lens producer globally, accounting for 26% of global exports in 2024, with the company being the second-largest resin lens seller worldwide [2] - The AI glasses market is experiencing rapid expansion, with Wellsenn forecasting global sales to exceed 10 million units for the first time in 2026, and Frost & Sullivan predicting sales to surpass RMB 100 billion by 2029. Major tech companies are launching products and investing in R&D, establishing a clear first-mover advantage [2] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships and Supply Chain - The company has a deep partnership with Mitsui Chemicals, ensuring stable customer collaboration. The availability of raw materials is relatively stable, with high-index lens materials being monopolized by Mitsui. The company is the longest-standing domestic partner of Mitsui, offering a comprehensive product range [3] - The company employs a C2M model with a flexible production line capable of handling 7 million SKUs, achieving delivery within 2-3 days, which reduces intermediaries and improves inventory turnover and response speed compared to traditional multi-layer distribution [3] - The company has long-term contracts with global leaders like Luxottica and Essilor, resulting in high order stickiness. Additionally, the company is accelerating penetration into the domestic market through its own brand, which has become a major source of revenue growth [3] Group 3: Brand Development and Technological Advancements - The company's own brand is steadily growing, with its revenue share increasing annually and gross margins higher than ODM business, contributing to overall profit improvement [4] - The company is leveraging integrated bonding technology to establish a technological barrier in the smart glasses sector, having collaborated with leading North American clients for development and small-scale orders. Multiple tech companies are simultaneously advancing AR glasses, positioning the company to benefit from industry expansion [4] - The company continues to expand its product line for functional and customized lenses, with such revenue expected to account for over half of total revenue by 2024, maintaining double-digit growth. The youth myopia lens market is concentrated among a few brands, and the company is launching various new specifications while expanding its grassroots hospital collaboration network, with expectations for gradual market share increase [4] Group 4: Market Perception and Catalysts - The company is perceived to be undervalued in terms of its technological barriers in the resin lens sector, with expectations that its market share and product rollout pace in the smart glasses field will exceed market forecasts [5] - Potential catalysts include the expansion of its own brand and the ramp-up of AI glasses production [5]

Core Viewpoint - CICC initiates coverage on Conant Optical (02276) with an "outperform" rating and a target price of HKD 54.00, based on a P/E valuation method corresponding to a 35x P/E for 2026, with expected EPS of 1.14 and 1.42 for 2025 and 2026 respectively, indicating a CAGR of 26% from 2024 to 2026 [1] Industry Overview - Traditional lens market is expected to grow steadily, with Frost & Sullivan projecting global lens sales to reach approximately USD 8.2 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 5.8% from 2024 to 2029. China is the largest lens producer globally, accounting for 26% of global exports in 2024, with the company being the second-largest in resin lens sales [2] - The AI glasses market is experiencing rapid expansion, with Wellsenn forecasting global sales to exceed 10 million units for the first time in 2026, and Frost & Sullivan predicting sales to surpass RMB 100 billion by 2029. Major tech companies are launching products and investing in R&D, establishing a clear first-mover advantage [2] Company Strengths - Strong partnership with Mitsui Chemicals ensures stable customer collaboration, with the company being the longest domestic partner of Mitsui and having the most comprehensive product range. The availability of raw materials is relatively stable, and the company employs a C2M model with flexible production lines allowing for 2-3 day delivery, enhancing inventory turnover and response speed compared to traditional distribution [3] - The company is steadily building its own brand, with revenue contribution increasing year by year and gross margins higher than ODM business, improving overall profitability. The company has developed integrated bonding technology for smart glasses, collaborating with leading North American clients and receiving R&D and small trial orders, positioning itself to benefit from industry growth [4] - The company continues to expand its product line for functional and customized lenses, with such revenue accounting for over half of total revenue in 2024, maintaining double-digit growth. The youth defocus lens market is becoming increasingly concentrated, and the company is launching multiple new specifications while expanding its grassroots hospital cooperation network, with market share expected to gradually increase [4] Market Perception - The firm believes the market underestimates the company's technological barriers in the resin lens sector and anticipates that the company's market share and product rollout pace in the smart glasses sector will exceed expectations. Potential catalysts include the expansion of its own brand and the ramp-up of AI glasses [5]