行 华福证券 机械设备 2026 年 02 月 08 日 业 研 究 机械设备 全球核电发展提速，装机目标或超三倍核能愿景 投资要点： 世界核协会最新报告显示全球核电装机目标远超预期 行 业 定 期 报 告 世界核协会最新报告显示，若各国落实核电开发目标，2050 年全 球核电装机容量有望达 1446GWe，远超三倍核能宣言的 1200GWe 目 标。目前全球有 440 台在运核电机组，70 台在建，2024 年核能发电量 创历史新高，多国也已承诺支持三倍装机目标。报告测算不同阶段核 电增长动力各有不同，2030 年前靠在建机组，2035 年前靠规划项目， 2035 年后则由拟建、潜在项目及政府计划支撑，同时各国还有约 542GWe 无具体项目支撑的装机目标，政策保障力度也存在差异。 明确装机需求，多方协同推动目标落地 报告明确了 2026 至 2050 年各阶段核电年均装机需求，其中 2046 到 2050 年每年需装机 65.3GWe，约为核电建设历史峰值速度的两倍。 为实现目标，WNA 提出多项建议，各国政府需将核电纳入长期规划、 制定可行产业战略、支持核电机组延寿并完善相关机制，金融机构要 实施技术中 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "stronger than the market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [13]. Core Insights - Major technology and new energy companies are entering the nuclear power sector, creating a diversified new landscape for nuclear energy in China. Companies like Alibaba and Geely are investing in coastal nuclear power projects, focusing on stable energy to support computing power demands [3][4]. - The policy environment is increasingly favorable for private investment in nuclear power, with the proportion of private capital expected to rise to 10% by 2024. This trend is supported by the integration of AI and nuclear energy, which is anticipated to deepen as the demand for computing power grows [4]. - Small Modular Reactors (SMR) are highlighted as a key solution to meet the energy demands of AI, with significant interest from technology giants. Companies are developing tailored energy solutions for data centers using SMR technology [5]. Company Summaries - **Jingye Intelligent**: Plans to establish a subsidiary focused on SMR technology for AI data center power supply [6]. - **Jia Electric**: Its main helium fan is the only power device for the fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactor's primary circuit, leading in the nuclear power business segment [6]. - **Guoguang Electric**: Provides critical components for the ITER project, focusing on filter and cladding systems [6]. - **Lanshi Heavy Industry**: Covers the entire nuclear energy supply chain from upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [6]. - **Kexin Electromechanical**: Produces high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products and has developed domestic alternatives for new fuel transport containers [6]. - **Hailu Heavy Industry**: Services various reactor types, including third and fourth-generation reactors and fusion reactors [6]. - **Jiangsu Shentong**: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly valves and ball valves for new nuclear power projects in China [6].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - The entry of technology and new energy giants into the nuclear power sector is creating a diversified new landscape, with companies like Alibaba and Geely participating in coastal nuclear power projects in China [3][4]. - The policy environment is supportive, with increasing participation of private capital in nuclear projects, projected to reach a 10% stake by 2024, and further support for private enterprises by 2026 [4]. - The integration of AI and nuclear energy is anticipated to deepen, with a focus on "computing power + nuclear energy" and the implementation of a "wind-solar-nuclear-storage integration" model in coastal bases [4]. Summary by Sections Industry Participation - Major technology companies are investing in nuclear power through equity stakes, focusing on stable energy to support computing needs, while new energy firms are providing storage solutions and core equipment manufacturing [3][4]. - The domestic nuclear equipment localization rate has reached 93.4%, establishing an ecosystem led by state-owned enterprises, empowered by private capital, and supported by technology [3]. Future Outlook - The demand for AI computing power is expected to drive the development of small modular reactors (SMR) as a key solution for energy needs, with significant interest from technology giants [5]. - Companies like Jingye Intelligent are advancing SMR technology, with plans to establish a subsidiary focused on powering AI data centers [6]. Recommended Companies - Jingye Intelligent: Plans to establish a subsidiary focused on SMR for AI data centers [6]. - Jiadian Co.: Leading position in the nuclear power sector with its helium fan products [6]. - Guoguang Electric: Key components for the ITER project [6]. - Lanshi Heavy Industry: Covers upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [6]. - Kexin Electromechanical: Producing high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products [6]. - Hailu Heavy Industry: Services for various reactor types including third and fourth generation [6]. - Jiangsu Shentong: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade valves in new nuclear projects [6].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% over the next 6 months [15]. Core Insights - Rolls-Royce SMR collaborates with Skanska to advance the prototype development of seismic bearings, which will be installed beneath the reactor building to ensure structural safety and functional integrity. This project aims to validate seismic technology and modular construction methods, thereby reducing the risks associated with fleet deployment. The 470 MW small modular reactor (SMR) has 90% of its components prefabricated in factories, and the standardized seismic bearing design has passed multiple seismic profile pre-certifications, allowing for global deployment without the need for customized redesigns [4]. - X-energy has signed a ten-year framework agreement with SGL Carbon to secure the supply of graphite materials necessary for the deployment of the Xe-100 small modular reactor. This agreement covers component support for the first four-unit project at the Seadrift site in Texas and capacity reservation for 12 units in Washington state. The Xe-100 is based on high-temperature gas-cooled reactor technology, with graphite being a critical component [5]. - The small modular reactor (SMR) is seen as a key solution to meet the growing energy demands of artificial intelligence (AI). Tech giants are collaborating with SMR and nuclear fusion companies to create tailored energy solutions for data centers. The commercialization of fission is expected to occur earlier than fusion. Domestic company Jingye Intelligent is advancing its key technology development for SMR, with a clear technical route and an initial core R&D team established [6]. Company Summaries - Jingye Intelligent plans to establish a subsidiary, Jinghan Energy, focusing on power supply for AI data centers [6]. - Jiadian Co., Ltd. produces the main helium fan, which is the only power device in the primary circuit of fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactors, and its subsidiary, Harbin Electric Machinery, leads in nuclear main pump products within the nuclear power business segment [6]. - Guoguang Electric's filter and cladding systems are key components of the ITER project [6]. - Lansi Heavy Industry covers upstream nuclear fuel systems, midstream nuclear power plant equipment, and downstream spent fuel reprocessing [6]. - Kexin Electromechanical has manufactured high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products, achieving import substitution for new fuel transport containers [6]. - Haili Heavy Industry services third and fourth-generation reactors as well as thermonuclear fusion reactors (ITER) [6]. - Jiangsu Shentong has secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly valves and nuclear-grade ball valves for newly constructed nuclear power projects in China [6].

Core Viewpoint - The company,佳电股份, is positioned as a leader in the nuclear power product sector, having achieved full coverage of its "华龙一号" motor products and plans to expand its market presence both domestically and internationally [2] Group 1: Product Development and Market Position - The company has developed a prototype of the K3 class 10kV motor for the "华龙一号" project, which has passed industry certification, filling a domestic gap and reaching international advanced levels [2] - The company’s subsidiary, 哈电动装, is noted for its capabilities in designing and manufacturing both axial seal type nuclear main pumps and third-generation nuclear power shielded main pump motors [2] - The self-developed nuclear main pump has been successfully applied in major national nuclear power projects such as "华龙一号", "国和一号", and "玲龙一号", establishing the company as a significant supplier in the domestic nuclear main pump equipment market [2] Group 2: Competitive Landscape and Future Strategy - The main domestic competitors in the nuclear power business include 东方电气 and 上海电气 [2] - The company aims to leverage its technological and qualification advantages to maintain its leading position in the domestic market while actively exploring opportunities in overseas markets [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company,佳电股份, is positioned as a leader in the nuclear power product sector, having achieved full coverage of its "Hualong One" motor products and plans to expand its market presence both domestically and internationally [1] Group 1: Product Development and Market Position - The company has developed a prototype of the K3 class 10kV motor for the "Hualong One" project, which has passed industry certification, filling a domestic gap and reaching international advanced levels [1] - The company's subsidiary, 哈电动装, is one of the few in China capable of designing and manufacturing both the axial seal type nuclear main pump and its motor, as well as the third-generation nuclear power shielded main pump motor [1] - The self-developed nuclear main pump has been successfully applied in major national nuclear power projects such as "Hualong One," "Guohe One," and "Linglong One," establishing the company as a key supplier of nuclear main pump equipment in China [1] Group 2: Competitive Landscape and Future Strategy - The main domestic competitors in the nuclear power business include 东方电气 and 上海电气 [1] - The company aims to leverage its technological and qualification advantages to solidify its leading position in the domestic market while actively exploring opportunities in overseas markets [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company,佳电股份, is positioned as a leader in the nuclear power product sector, having achieved full coverage of its "Hualong One" motor products and plans to expand its market presence both domestically and internationally [1] Group 1: Product Development and Market Position - The company has developed a prototype of the K3 class 10kV motor for the "Hualong One" project, which has passed industry certification, filling a domestic gap and reaching international advanced standards [1] - The company’s subsidiary, 哈电动装, is one of the few in China capable of designing and manufacturing both the axial seal type nuclear main pump and its motor, as well as the third-generation nuclear power shielded main pump motor [1] - The self-developed nuclear main pump has been successfully applied in major national nuclear power projects such as "Hualong One," "Guohe One," and "Linglong One," establishing the company as a key supplier of nuclear main pump equipment in China [1] Group 2: Competitive Landscape and Future Strategy - The main domestic competitors in the nuclear power business include 东方电气 and 上海电气 [1] - The company plans to leverage its technological and qualification advantages to maintain its leading position in the domestic market while actively exploring opportunities in overseas markets [1]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - Meta has signed a nuclear power agreement exceeding 6 GW, becoming the largest nuclear power purchaser among large tech companies. The agreement includes significant small modular reactor (SMR) projects, supporting Oklo's project in Ohio with up to 1.2 GW of power and TerraPower's two small reactors with a future purchase agreement for 2.1 GW [3][4]. - The demand for electricity in U.S. data centers is projected to increase by at least 30% by 2030, making electricity a bottleneck for AI industry development. Nuclear power, being clean and stable, provides long-term energy security for Meta's AI data centers, promoting the implementation of new small reactor technologies and aligning with low-carbon goals [4][5]. Summary by Sections Nuclear Power Agreements - Meta's agreements include collaborations with Oklo and TerraPower, focusing on small modular reactors to meet the growing energy demands of AI data centers [3][4]. Energy Demand and AI - The report highlights the increasing electricity consumption in data centers and positions small modular reactors as a key solution to address the energy needs of AI technologies [4][5]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests monitoring several companies involved in the SMR sector, including: 1. Jingye Intelligent, which plans to establish an SMR subsidiary focused on AI data center power supply [5]. 2. Jiadian Co., whose helium fan is the only power device for the fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactor [5]. 3. Guoguang Electric, which provides critical components for ITER projects [5]. 4. Lanshi Heavy Industry, covering upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [5]. 5. Kexin Electromechanical, which has developed high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products [5]. 6. Hailu Heavy Industry, servicing various reactor types including third and fourth generation [5]. 7. Jiangsu Shentong, which has secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade valves in new nuclear power projects in China [5].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% over the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - The year 2026 is highlighted as a pivotal year for global nuclear energy, transitioning from ambition to action, with small modular reactors (SMRs) emerging as a significant development focus. Numerous SMR projects are underway in the U.S. and Canada, with construction already started at the Darlington site in Canada [3][5]. - The nuclear power sector is witnessing steady progress in various countries, including Hungary, the Czech Republic, and Poland, as well as advancements in nuclear projects in Egypt and Rwanda. China continues to advance its nuclear power projects, showcasing strong industrial capabilities [3]. - The industry is focusing on financing and supply chain development, with increased participation from private investors. The second World Nuclear Supply Chain Conference will be held in Manila, and the operational launch of the Onkalo deep geological repository in Finland will provide a model for nuclear waste management [4]. Summary by Sections Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) - SMRs are seen as a key solution to meet the growing energy demands of artificial intelligence, attracting ongoing interest from technology giants. Companies like Jingye Intelligent are advancing their SMR technology development, with plans to establish a subsidiary focused on powering AI data centers [5][6]. Industry Events and Collaboration - The year 2026 marks significant anniversaries for the Chernobyl and Fukushima disasters, prompting the industry to learn from past experiences and enhance nuclear safety cooperation. Various industry events, including the World Economic Forum and the World Nuclear Fuel Cycle Conference, will facilitate communication with the financial sector and energy users [4]. Investment Opportunities - Several companies are recommended for attention: 1. Jingye Intelligent: Plans to establish an SMR subsidiary focused on AI data center power supply [6]. 2. Jiadian Co.: Leading position in the nuclear power sector with its helium blower product [6]. 3. Guoguang Electric: Key components for the ITER project [6]. 4. Lanshi Heavy Industry: Covers upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [6]. 5. Kexin Electromechanical: Producing high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products [6]. 6. Hailu Heavy Industry: Services various reactor types including third and fourth generation reactors [6]. 7. Jiangsu Shentong: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade valves in new nuclear power projects [6].

Core Viewpoint - The company, through its subsidiary Harbin Electric Machinery Co., Ltd., aims to establish a world-class nuclear main pump manufacturing base, highlighting the significance and technological complexity of nuclear main pumps in the nuclear power industry [1]. Group 1: Technology and Industry Position - The nuclear main pump is described as the "heart" of the reactor cooling system, being the only rotating and most critical equipment within the nuclear island, which presents significant manufacturing challenges [1]. - Harbin Electric Machinery is noted as the only domestic company capable of designing and manufacturing both shaft-sealed nuclear main pumps and third-generation nuclear power shielded main pump motors [1]. Group 2: Company Achievements and Future Plans - The company has successfully applied its independently developed nuclear main pumps in major national nuclear power projects such as "Hualong One," "Guohe One," and "Linglong One," establishing itself as a key supplier in the domestic nuclear main pump market [1]. - Significant advancements in self-controlled technology have been achieved through continuous innovation and practice, resulting in a comprehensive domestic capability in design, manufacturing, materials, and inspection [1]. - The company plans to continue enhancing nuclear main pump technology, promote standardization and intelligent upgrades of equipment, and further advance the localization process of nuclear main pumps, contributing to the growth of China's nuclear power sector [1].