价格没有出现反转信号前看空 美元兑日元（USDJPY） 短线分水岭157.40区域，价格没有出现反转信号前看空 日内短线关注156.50-60区域空 1月26日，美元指数 月线（长线空） 阻力：101.70 周线（中线空） 阻力：98.80 日线（波段空） 阻力：98.70 四小时（短期） 短线关键分水岭98-98.20区域，日内依托此区域看承压 美元兑加元（USDCAD） 月线（长线多） 支撑：151 周线（中线空） 支撑：155.90 日线（波段空） 支撑：157.60 四小时（短期） 关键分水岭1.3750-60区域，价格没有出现反转信号前看空 日内短线关注1.3750-60区间空 美元兑瑞士法郎（USDCHF） 关键分水岭0.7840-50区域，价格没有出现反转信号前看空 日内短线关注0.7840-50区间空 欧元兑美元（EURUSD） 月线（长线多） 支撑：1.1270 月线（长线空） 阻力：1.3990 周线（中线空） 阻力：1.3870 日线（波段空） 阻力：1.3840 四小时（短期） 月线（长线空） 阻力：0.8320 周线（周线空） 阻力：0.7990 日线（波段空） 阻力：0.7850 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article provides a detailed analysis of various currency pairs, highlighting key support and resistance levels across different time frames, indicating potential trading strategies based on market signals. Currency Analysis - **US Dollar Index (DXY)**: - Monthly (Long-term bearish) resistance at 101.70 - Weekly (Focus on close) resistance at 99 - Daily (Short-term bullish) resistance at 98.40 - Short-term critical threshold at 98.80, bullish outlook until reversal signal appears [11][12] - **USD/JPY**: - Monthly (Long-term bullish) support at 151 - Weekly (Medium-term bullish) support at 155.40 - Daily (Focus on gains/losses) resistance at 156.70 - Short-term critical threshold at 157.40-50, bullish outlook until reversal signal appears [12] - **USD/CAD**: - Monthly (Long-term bearish) resistance at 1.3990 - Weekly (Medium-term focus on close) resistance at 1.3920 - Daily (Short-term bullish) support at 1.3760 - Short-term critical threshold at 1.3870-80, maintain bullish until reversal signal appears [14] - **USD/CHF**: - Monthly (Long-term bearish) support at 0.8320 - Weekly (Focus on close) resistance at 0.7980 - Daily (Short-term bullish) support at 0.7930 - Short-term critical threshold at 0.7970-80, maintain bullish until reversal signal appears [14] - **EUR/USD**: - Monthly (Long-term bullish) support at 1.1270 - Weekly (Focus on close) support at 1.1640 - Daily (Short-term bearish) resistance at 1.1720 - Short-term critical threshold at 1.1660-70, maintain bearish until reversal signal appears [16] - **GBP/USD**: - Short-term critical threshold at 1.3440-50, maintain bearish until reversal signal appears [16] - **AUD/USD**: - Weekly (Medium-term bullish) resistance at 0.6590 - Daily (Focus on close) resistance at 0.6700 - Short-term critical threshold at 0.6700-10, maintain bearish until reversal signal appears [16] - **NZD/USD**: - Monthly (Long-term bullish) support at 0.6450 - Monthly (Long-term bullish) support at 1.3170 - Weekly (Medium-term bullish) support at 1.3310 - Daily (Short-term bearish) resistance at 1.3470 - Short-term critical threshold at 0.6700-10, maintain bearish until reversal signal appears [19] Economic Events - Key economic events to watch on January 12, 2026: - G7 Finance Ministers Meeting (Time TBD) - 16:00 Swiss December Consumer Confidence Index - 17:30 Eurozone January Sentix Investor Confidence Index - Next day 02:00 US 10-Year Treasury Auction - Winning Yield - Next day 02:00 US 10-Year Treasury Auction - Bid-to-Cover Ratio [11][21]

Core Viewpoint - The news discusses the current state of various currency pairs, highlighting key support and resistance levels, as well as critical price zones where no reversal signals have been observed. Currency Analysis - **US Dollar Index (DXY)**: The critical watershed is in the 99.10-20 area, maintaining a bearish outlook until a reversal signal appears [1]. - **USD/JPY**: Monthly support is at 150.40, with a short-term watershed at 155.60-70, maintaining a bearish stance until a reversal signal is observed [2][17]. - **USD/CAD**: Monthly support is at 150.40, with a critical watershed at 155.60-70, maintaining a bearish outlook until a reversal signal appears [14]. - **USD/CHF**: Monthly support is at 1.3960, with a critical watershed at 1.3970, maintaining a bearish stance until a reversal signal is observed [4][14]. - **EUR/USD**: Monthly support is at 1.1180, with a critical watershed at 0.8020-30, maintaining a bearish outlook until a reversal signal appears [6][16]. - **GBP/USD**: Monthly support is at 1.3100, with a critical watershed at 1.3260-70, maintaining a bullish stance until a reversal signal is observed [20]. - **AUD/USD**: Monthly support is at 0.6430, with a critical watershed at 1.3260-70, maintaining a bullish outlook until a reversal signal appears [20]. - **NZD/USD**: A critical watershed is in the 0.6575-85 area, maintaining a bullish stance until a reversal signal is observed [9][21]. - **Other Currencies**: The analysis includes various support and resistance levels for other currency pairs, indicating a mix of bullish and bearish sentiments across different time frames [3][5][11][18][19][23]. Economic Events - Key economic events to watch include: - 15:00: U.S. Department of Commerce press conference - 16:00: Swiss unemployment rate for November - 18:00: Eurozone retail sales for October - 20:30: U.S. Challenger job cuts for November - 21:30: U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending November 29 - 23:00: U.S. global supply chain pressure index for November - 23:30: U.S. EIA natural gas inventory for the week ending November 28 [12][23].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices are experiencing upward momentum due to expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, despite the hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan [1][2][3] - The Federal Reserve's dovish comments and the weak economic performance following the government shutdown have heightened market expectations for a rate cut [1] - The Bank of Japan's governor has signaled a possible interest rate hike, which could negatively impact gold prices as it is a non-yielding asset [1][2] Group 2 - Analyst Felix from FPG suggests that while gold prices are generally trending upwards, the tightening of monetary policy by central banks, particularly the Bank of Japan, poses a risk to gold price increases [2] - Analyst Chad notes that gold prices have decisively broken the $4200 per ounce level and are expected to test the November 13 high of $4245 per ounce, with potential further increases towards $4300 per ounce if the $4250 level is surpassed [3] - The current market dynamics indicate strong momentum for gold prices, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggesting further upward potential [3][4]

Group 1 - The ADP employment report indicates that 42,000 private sector jobs were added in October, exceeding market expectations of 28,000, suggesting a strong labor market which may reduce the likelihood of interest rate cuts and keep rates elevated for a longer period [1] - Federal Reserve officials have mixed views on interest rates; while some welcome the strong employment data, others highlight ongoing inflation pressures and signs of labor market weakness [1] - The U.S. Supreme Court is questioning the legality of President Trump's tariffs, which could lead to the government refunding over $100 billion in tariffs if the ruling is unfavorable, impacting importers and altering trade dynamics [1] Group 2 - Gold prices surged over 1% due to risk aversion despite strong U.S. employment data, as investors are concerned about high stock valuations and uncertainties surrounding Trump's tariffs [2] - The price of gold is currently around $3,929 per ounce, with a critical resistance level at $4,000 per ounce; a breakthrough could lead to further gains, while a drop below $3,886 could trigger selling pressure [3] Group 3 - The EUR/USD pair shows a bullish trend with resistance levels at 1.1516, 1.1525, and 1.1535, while support levels are at 1.1496, 1.1489, and 1.1478 [5]

Group 1 - The U.S. government is considering terminating some trade relations with China, including those related to edible oils, as stated by President Trump [1] - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell hinted at a potential 25 basis point rate cut later this month, despite the government shutdown affecting the Fed's economic assessment [2] - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell by 3 basis points to 4.029%, while the real yield dropped nearly 3.5 basis points to 1.728%, which is favorable for gold prices [2] Group 2 - FPG analyst Felix believes that gold prices are likely to rise above the $4100 per ounce mark, driven by dovish comments from Powell and increased safe-haven buying due to U.S.-China trade tensions [3] - Technical indicators show that gold remains in a strong upward trend, with the 20-day simple moving average currently at $3863.90 per ounce [3] - Analyst Chad indicates that gold has room for further increases, with support levels at $4123.20, $4090.00, and $4078.10 per ounce, and resistance at $4200.00 per ounce [4] Group 3 - Current market indicators for gold show a bearish daily direction, with resistance levels at 4186, 4200, and 4210, and support levels at 4170, 4161, and 4149 [5] - The momentum for gold is strong, with a quantitative reference value greater than 67.1% [5] - The euro to dollar exchange rate shows a bearish daily direction, with resistance at 1.1628, 1.1657, and 1.1714, and support at 1.1603, 1.1577, and 1.1554 [6]

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - The CME's "FedWatch Tool" indicates that investors expect two more rate cuts of 25 basis points each this year, with probabilities of 93% in October and 81% in December [1] - Federal Reserve Governor Milan has advocated for aggressive rate cuts, suggesting a 50 basis point reduction is more appropriate than the previously discussed 25 basis points [1] - Multiple Federal Reserve officials, including Chairman Powell, are scheduled to speak this week, drawing investor attention for clues on future policy direction [1] Group 2: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices have surged to historical highs, driven by expectations of further monetary easing from the Federal Reserve and ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly the Russia-Ukraine conflict [2] - Analyst Chad predicts gold could reach targets of $3750, $3800, and potentially challenge $3900 and $4000 per ounce, despite current overbought conditions indicated by the RSI [3] - The daily chart for gold shows a bullish trend, with resistance levels at $3763, $3770, and $3781, and support levels at $3747, $3739, and $3726 [4] Group 3: Currency Market Insights - The EUR/USD pair is also showing a bullish trend, with resistance levels at 1.1827, 1.1854, and 1.1905, and support levels at 1.1786, 1.1746, and 1.1696 [5] - The market is awaiting key economic indicators, including the U.S. current account balance and PMI data, which could influence currency movements [5]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate decision led to significant market volatility, with major U.S. stock indices initially rising before sharply declining, and the dollar index hitting a new low since 2025 before rebounding [1] - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the rate cut of 25 basis points was a "risk management" move, suggesting a gradual approach to future rate adjustments [1] - Powell stated that the Fed will make decisions on a "meeting-by-meeting" basis moving forward, indicating a cautious outlook on monetary policy [1] Group 2 - FPG analysts noted that the Fed's uncertainty signals led to profit-taking in gold prices, resulting in a healthy correction or consolidation phase, with a key support level at $3,550 per ounce [2] - Analyst Chad highlighted that gold prices could retest historical highs, with potential upward targets of $3,750 and $3,800 per ounce, despite short-term overbought signals [2] - The first support level for gold is identified at $3,650 per ounce, with further targets at the September 11 low of $3,613 and $3,600 if the price breaks below [2] Group 3 - The daily chart for gold (XAUUSD) shows a bullish bias with resistance at $3,671 and support at $3,646, indicating strong momentum [3] - The daily chart for the euro against the dollar (EURUSD) also reflects a bullish trend, with resistance levels at 1.1831, 1.1861, and 1.1886, and support at 1.1771 and 1.1735 [4]

Group 1 - The U.S. President Trump has imposed an additional 25% tariff on Indian goods due to India's continued purchase of Russian energy, raising the total tariff rate to 50% [1] - Following the announcement, the iShares MSCI India ETF dropped to an intraday low, while oil prices increased, and the Indian Rupee stabilized at 87.91 against the U.S. dollar [1] - This tariff increase is part of Trump's strategy to reduce trade deficits, revitalize domestic manufacturing, and increase federal revenue, which poses risks to the global economy, including rising costs and potential supply chain disruptions [1] Group 2 - Market expectations for a rate cut in September have surged, with the CME FedWatch tool indicating an 87% probability following a weak employment report [2] - The dismissal of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics chief by Trump has further heightened policy uncertainty [2] - Gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, is expected to perform strongly in the context of increased political and economic uncertainty and a low-interest-rate environment [2] Group 3 - Gold prices are projected to have room for growth, with a short-term target of $3,400, supported by ongoing tariff tensions, economic slowdown, and inflation concerns, as well as a weak dollar [3] Group 4 - The daily direction for gold (XAUUSD) is showing a bullish trend, with resistance levels at 3384, 3362, and 3410, and support levels at 3373, 3357, and 3344 [4] - The momentum for gold is strong, with a quantitative cycle exceeding three years and a reference value of at least 67.1% [4] Group 5 - The daily direction for the Euro against the U.S. dollar (EURUSD) is also showing a bullish trend, with resistance levels at 1.1692, 1.1731, and 1.1795, and support levels at 1.1637, 1.1590, and 1.1552 [5] - The momentum for EURUSD is moderate, with a quantitative cycle exceeding three years and a reference value of at least 67.1% [5]

Group 1 - Gold prices showed signs of recovery after a four-day decline, dropping from approximately $3438/oz to $3301/oz, with momentum indicators suggesting sellers are taking a breather [1][2] - The market anticipates the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates, with focus on Chairman Powell's comments regarding potential future rate cuts, which could influence gold prices [1][3] - If Powell opens the door for a rate cut in September, U.S. Treasury yields may drop, potentially boosting gold prices; conversely, if he avoids committing to a rate cut due to rising inflation data, gold prices may decline [3] Group 2 - Current resistance levels for gold are at $3337, $3348, and $3361, while support levels are at $3322, $3312, and $3302 [4] - The daily direction for gold is showing a bullish trend, while the relative strength index (RSI) indicates a bearish outlook, suggesting potential further declines if key levels are breached [2][4]