●FPG最新市场脱水消息： 1. 芝商所(CME)的"美联储观察工具"显示，投资者预期今年还会有两次各25个基点的降息，一次在10 月、另一次在12 月，机率各为93%和81%。 FPG特约分析师（chad）观点： 黄金价格创下历史新高，有望挑战更高的价格。金价首个目标是3750美元/盎司，接下来是3800美元/盎 司。假如黄金随后展现更多强势，金价可能会测试3900美元/盎司和4000美元/盎司。尽管相对强弱指数 (RSI)从70反弹后处于超买状态，但它仍暗示多头正在获得牵引力。另一方面，如果金价重挫至3700美 元/盎司下方，这将为金价挑战3650美元/盎司、9月11日低点3613美元/盎司和3600美元/盎司关口扫清道 路。 | | 黄金 (XAUUSD) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日图 K 线呈现: 偏多 日内方向 | | | | | 阻力 3763 | | 3770 | 3781 | | 支撑 3747 | | 3739 | 3726 | | 动能 | 动力强（实时变化）全品种量化周期大于３年，参考价值≥67.1% | | | | 欧元兑美元 (EURUSD ...

●FPG最新市场脱水消息： 1. 美联储公布利率决议后，市场反应剧烈，美股三大指数短线冲高后迅速跳水，美元指数直线下挫，一 度创出2025年以来新低，随后大幅拉升，由跌转涨；金价则自历史高位暴跌。 2. 市场的剧烈波动与美联储主席鲍威尔随后召开的货币政策新闻发布会密切相关。他表示，无需迅速调 整利率，可以把今天的举动看作是风险管理式的降息。 美联储周三降息25个基点，并表示将在接下来到年底这段期间渐进降息。展望前景，美联储主席鲍威尔 表示美联储将"逐次会议做决策"。 ●FPG fortune prime global分析师观点： FPG特约分析师（Felix）观点： | | 黄金 (XAUUSD) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日图 K 线呈现: 偏多 日内方向 | | | | | 3671 阻力 | | 3682 | 3600 | | 支撑 3646 | | 3634 | 3607 | | 动能 | 动力强（实时变化）全品种量化周期大于３年，参考价值≥67.1% | | | | | 欧元兑美元 (EURUSD) | | --- | --- | | 日内方向 | 日图 K ...

Group 1 - The U.S. President Trump has imposed an additional 25% tariff on Indian goods due to India's continued purchase of Russian energy, raising the total tariff rate to 50% [1] - Following the announcement, the iShares MSCI India ETF dropped to an intraday low, while oil prices increased, and the Indian Rupee stabilized at 87.91 against the U.S. dollar [1] - This tariff increase is part of Trump's strategy to reduce trade deficits, revitalize domestic manufacturing, and increase federal revenue, which poses risks to the global economy, including rising costs and potential supply chain disruptions [1] Group 2 - Market expectations for a rate cut in September have surged, with the CME FedWatch tool indicating an 87% probability following a weak employment report [2] - The dismissal of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics chief by Trump has further heightened policy uncertainty [2] - Gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, is expected to perform strongly in the context of increased political and economic uncertainty and a low-interest-rate environment [2] Group 3 - Gold prices are projected to have room for growth, with a short-term target of $3,400, supported by ongoing tariff tensions, economic slowdown, and inflation concerns, as well as a weak dollar [3] Group 4 - The daily direction for gold (XAUUSD) is showing a bullish trend, with resistance levels at 3384, 3362, and 3410, and support levels at 3373, 3357, and 3344 [4] - The momentum for gold is strong, with a quantitative cycle exceeding three years and a reference value of at least 67.1% [4] Group 5 - The daily direction for the Euro against the U.S. dollar (EURUSD) is also showing a bullish trend, with resistance levels at 1.1692, 1.1731, and 1.1795, and support levels at 1.1637, 1.1590, and 1.1552 [5] - The momentum for EURUSD is moderate, with a quantitative cycle exceeding three years and a reference value of at least 67.1% [5]

●FPG最新市场脱水消息： 1. 金价在连续第四日下跌后，周二收复部分失地，因美元回吐稍早部分涨幅，提振了对黄金的需求。美国国债收益率的下降和美国疲软的劳动 力市场报告也促使投资者购买黄金。 2. 北京时间周四02:00，美联储将公布利率决议；北京时间周四02:30，美联储主席鲍威尔将召开货币政策新闻发布会。市场普遍预期美联储将维 持利率不变，焦点摆在美联储主席鲍威尔的发言，是否会释出任何和未来降息时机或降息步调有关的线索。 3. 市场目前押注，到今年年底前只会降息不到50个基点，10 月是最可能开始降息的时间点。但两名美联储成员的反对，可能让降息预期时间点 往前挪移到9月，如此一来，就会鼓舞金价。 ●今日关键指标（事件）： 20:15 美国7月ADP就业人数(万人) FPG特约分析师（chad）观点： 如果鲍威尔以最近宣布的贸易协议缓解了不确定性为由，为9月份的降息敞开大门，美国国债收益率可能会立即下跌，为金价上涨打开大门。另 一方面，如果鲍威尔以最新通胀数据上升为由，避免在此次会议上承诺降息，金价可能会走低。如果金价恢复跌势，并跌破3300美元/盎司，下 一个支撑位将是100日均线和6月30日低点汇合处( ...