| 投资要点 | | --- | 事件： 公司发布2025年半年度报告。2025年上半年公司实现营业收入11.48亿元，同比增长42.87%； 实现归母净利润1.61亿元，同比增长30.85%。其中，2025Q2单季度公司实现营业收入6.12亿 元，同比增长40.77%，环比增长14.30%；实现归母净利润0.88亿元，同比增长41.03%，环比增 长19.52%。公司2025Q2业绩符合我们的预期。 2025Q2业绩符合预期，毛利率环比改善明显。 营收端，公司2025Q2实现营业收入6.12亿元，同比增长40.77%，环比增长14.30%。主要下游客 户2025Q2表现情况：奇瑞汽车批发61.38万辆，环比增长2.28%；吉利汽车批发70.54万辆，环 比增长0.23%；上通五菱批发40.03万辆，环比增长13.40%；长城汽车批发31.30万辆，环比增长 21.88%。毛利率方面，公司2025Q2综合毛利率29.15%，环比提升1.21个百分点，预计主要系公 司收入增长带来的规模效益+持续推进降本增效所致。期间费用方面，公司2025Q2期间费用率 为11.45%，环比下降2.91个百分点，主要系公司二季度 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company achieved significant revenue growth in Q2 2025, with a total revenue of 1.12 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 42.87%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 161 million yuan, up 30.85% year-on-year [1][2]. - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the safety belt and airbag businesses, with the airbag business experiencing a remarkable 72.3% increase in revenue [2][4]. - The company is expanding its global footprint with the commencement of production at its Malaysia factory, which is expected to reach full capacity by Q3 2025 [4]. Revenue Summary - In H1 2025, the company generated revenue of 1.148 billion yuan, with the safety belt business contributing 676 million yuan (up 27.8%), the airbag business 299 million yuan (up 72.3%), and the steering wheel business 148 million yuan (up 283.3%) [2][4]. - The Q2 2025 revenue was 612 million yuan, driven by increased sales from major clients such as Geely and Chery, with Geely's sales reaching 985,000 units (up 29% year-on-year) [2][4]. Profit Summary - The net profit for Q2 2025 was 88 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41.03% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 18.92% [3]. - The gross margin improved to 29.15%, up 1.21 percentage points from the previous quarter, attributed to enhanced production efficiency [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see continued revenue growth as new projects with Stellantis and other emerging clients like Leap Motor and Xpeng ramp up production [2][4]. - The report forecasts net profits of 410 million yuan, 530 million yuan, and 730 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 26.4, 20.3, and 14.7 [5][10].

| 投资要点 | | --- | 事件： 公司发布2025年一季度报告。2025Q1公司实现营业收入5.36亿元，同比增长45.34%，环比下降 18.96%；实现归母净利润0.74亿元，同比增长20.47%，环比增长5.50%。公司2025一季度业绩 符合我们的预期。 2025Q1业绩符合预期，营收保持高速增长： 营收端，公司2025Q1实现营业收入5.36亿元，同比增长45.34%，环比下降18.96%。从主要下游 客户2025Q1表现来看：1、奇瑞汽车批发60.01万辆，环比下降27.42%；2、吉利汽车批发70.38 万辆，环比增长2.46%；3、上汽通用五菱批发35.30万辆，环比下降29.41%；4、长城汽车批发 25.68万辆，环比下降32.33%。毛利率方面，公司2025Q1单季度综合毛利率为27.94%，同比下 降2.74个百分点，环比提升1.38个百分点。期间费用方面，公司2025Q1期间费用率为14.36%， 同比提升2.22个百分点，环比提升4.59个百分点；其中，销售/管理/研发/财务费用率分别为 1.26%/4.60%/7.36%/1.15%，同比分别-1.00/+0.17/+2. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with revenue growth of 45.34% year-on-year, reaching 536 million yuan, while net profit increased by 20.47% year-on-year to 74 million yuan [7] - The company is positioned as a leader in passive safety products, with expectations for continued growth driven by competitive advantages in technology, cost, and service response [7] - The safety belt business is expected to see both volume and price increases, while the steering wheel and airbag business is identified as a new growth curve for the company [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E show a growth trajectory from 1,280 million yuan to 4,799 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 29.09%, 53.94%, 37.03%, 33.54%, and 33.07% respectively [1] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are projected to rise from 197.78 million yuan in 2023A to 698.50 million yuan in 2027E, with growth rates of 67.56%, 31.65%, 50.70%, 32.86%, and 33.98% respectively [1] - The latest diluted EPS is expected to increase from 0.87 yuan in 2023A to 3.09 yuan in 2027E, with corresponding P/E ratios decreasing from 38.66 to 10.95 over the same period [1][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with revenue growth of 45.34% year-on-year, reaching 536 million yuan, despite a quarter-on-quarter decline of 18.96% [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q1 2025 was 74 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.50% [7] - The company is positioned as a leader in passive safety products, with expectations for continued growth in market share and product offerings, particularly in high-performance seat belts and the new steering wheel and airbag products [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E show a consistent upward trend, with total revenue expected to grow from 1,280 million yuan in 2023A to 4,799 million yuan in 2027E, representing a CAGR of approximately 33.07% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from 197.78 million yuan in 2023A to 698.50 million yuan in 2027E, with a notable growth rate of 33.98% in 2027E [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 0.87 yuan in 2023A to 3.09 yuan in 2027E, indicating strong profitability growth [1][8] Market Data - The company's closing price is 33.78 yuan, with a market capitalization of 7,646.34 million yuan [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 38.66 in 2023A to 10.95 in 2027E, suggesting an attractive valuation over time [1][8]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue growth in Q1 2025, driven by the expansion of new business lines, particularly airbags and steering wheels, despite a slight decline in gross margin due to changes in product mix [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 536 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 45.34% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18.96% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 74 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.50% [2]. - The comprehensive gross margin for Q1 2025 was 27.94%, down 2.74 percentage points year-on-year but up 1.38 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. Group 2: Business Development - The company is actively expanding and deepening collaborations with both domestic and overseas clients, successfully partnering with major players like BYD, NIO, and Li Auto, and has also secured projects with European clients [3]. - The product mix is being optimized, with the average selling price of safety belt assemblies expected to reach 59.03 yuan per unit in 2024, an increase of 6.53% year-on-year [3]. - The company is focusing on in-house production of components, which is anticipated to enhance gross margins, with plans to establish new production capacities in Anhui [3]. Group 3: Investment Outlook - The company maintains a "Buy-A" rating, with projected net profits of 400 million, 550 million, and 700 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 18.7, 13.8, and 10.7 times [3][4]. - A target price of 44.25 yuan per share has been set based on a 25 times PE for 2025 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 536 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 45.34% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18.96%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 74 million yuan, up 20.47% year-on-year and 5.50% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - The company is expected to continue high growth driven by three factors: volume, price, and profit. It is actively expanding collaborations with domestic and overseas clients, optimizing product structure, and promoting in-house production of components [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a comprehensive gross margin of 27.94%, down 2.74 percentage points year-on-year but up 1.38 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The period expense ratio was 14.36%, an increase of 2.22 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 12.8 billion yuan in 2023 to 51.0 billion yuan in 2027, with net profit expected to rise from 2.0 billion yuan to 7.0 billion yuan over the same period [5][12]. Growth Drivers - The company is deepening cooperation with key clients such as Chery, Geely, and Wuling, while also expanding into the new energy vehicle market with clients like BYD and NIO. It has also secured a project with a European client for global vehicle safety belt systems [3]. - The average selling price of safety belt assemblies is expected to reach 59.03 yuan per unit in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.53% [3]. Valuation - The report estimates the company's net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 4.0 billion yuan, 5.5 billion yuan, and 7.0 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18.7, 13.8, and 10.7 times [4][12]. - A target price of 44.25 yuan per share is set for the next six months, based on a 25 times PE ratio for 2025 [4].

| 投资要点 | | --- | 期间费用方面，公司2024Q4单季度期间费用率为9.77%，环比下降2.40个百分点；其中，销售/ 管理/研发/财务费用率分别为1.49%/3.06%/4.36%/0.86%，环比分别-0.40/-0.93/-0.91/-0.16个百分 点，公司2024Q4期间费用率环比明显下降主要系公司2024Q4收入环比大幅增长带来的规模效 应所致。 减值损失方面，公司2024Q4计提信用减值损失0.35亿元，预计主要系公司对部分客户应收账款 计提减值所致 未经许可，不得转载或者引用。 计提减值所致。 归母净利润方面，公司2024Q4单季度实现归母净利润0.70亿元，环比增长3.37%；对应归母净 利润10.54%，环比下降2.76个百分点。 2024Q4营收同环比大幅增长，减值损失短期拖累业绩 ： 营收端，公司2024Q4单季度实现营业收入6.61亿元，同比增长41.93%，环比增长30.41%。从主 要下游2024Q4表现来看：奇瑞批发82.68万辆，环比增长31.09%；吉利批发68.69万辆，环比增 长28.63%；上汽通用五菱批发50.01万辆，环比增长85.22%；长城批发3 ...