BASF Capital Markets Day Summary Company Overview - **Company**: BASF (OTCPK:BASF.Y) - **Event**: 2025 Capital Markets Day - **Date**: October 02, 2025 - **Location**: Antwerp, Belgium Key Industry Insights - **Chemical Industry Context**: The chemical industry is facing significant macroeconomic challenges, but BASF remains confident in its strategic direction and initiatives despite these headwinds [10][26]. Core Business Strategy - **Winning Ways Strategy**: BASF launched a new strategy focusing on portfolio steering, capital allocation, and establishing a performance culture [9][11]. - **Core vs. Standalone Businesses**: BASF differentiates between core businesses (chemicals, materials, industrial solutions, nutrition and care) and standalone businesses, with a clear focus on enhancing the core [15][16]. - **Financial Ambitions**: The goal is to increase EBITDA from $5.4 billion to $7.9 billion by 2028 for core businesses [15]. Financial Performance and Targets - **Midterm Financial Targets**: BASF confirmed targets of €10 billion to €12 billion EBITDA before special items and cumulative free cash flow of €12 billion from 2025 to 2028 [26]. - **Dividend Policy**: BASF aims to maintain a dividend of at least €2.25 per share annually, with total shareholder distributions expected to reach at least €12 billion between 2025 and 2028 [27]. Operational Highlights - **Antwerp Site**: The Antwerp site is the second largest Verbund site for BASF, showcasing high energy integration and housing all eight core business units [5][6]. - **Cost-Saving Initiatives**: BASF is implementing a €2.1 billion cost-saving program targeting 10% of fixed costs, with a run rate savings of $1.6 billion expected by the end of the year [34][35]. Value Chain Focus - **Polyurethanes and Ethylene Oxide**: The conference highlighted the importance of the polyurethanes and ethylene oxide value chains, which represent significant portions of BASF's core business [7][57]. - **Innovation and Sustainability**: BASF emphasizes innovation in its core businesses, with 15% of sales coming from products launched in the last five years, driven by sustainability trends [52][53]. Standalone Business Updates - **Automotive Catalyst Business**: The internal carve-out of the automotive catalyst business is seen as a success, with expected cumulative cash flow contributions of approximately $4 billion from 2024 to 2030 [19]. - **Battery Market Challenges**: The battery market remains volatile, prompting BASF to reduce fixed costs and ramp down capital spending [20][21]. - **Coatings Business Divestment**: BASF successfully divested its decorative paints business in Brazil for $1.15 billion and is exploring options for the rest of its coatings business [22][23]. Future Outlook - **IPO Readiness**: BASF is preparing its agricultural solutions business for a potential IPO by 2027, reflecting confidence in its integrated business model [24][25]. - **Market Positioning**: BASF aims to leverage its strong market positions, with 75% of core businesses holding top three market positions in their respective markets [46]. Conclusion - BASF is committed to executing its strategic initiatives, focusing on core business growth, cost efficiency, and innovation while navigating a challenging macroeconomic environment. The company remains optimistic about its future performance and market positioning.

专题报告—铂钯 smingfTable_Title] 铂钯上市系列专题二： 铂钯价格深度复盘及品种间联动关系解析 | | | [★Ta3b5le年_S历um史m铂ar钯y]价格复盘 铂钯的波动率在金属中位居前列，过去十年钯和铂的日均波动率 分别为 1.58%和 1.22%，反映两者对供应扰动和资金流动高度敏 感。1997~2001 年和 2017~2023 年为钯金牛市，而 2002~2008 年 为铂金牛市。铂钯的价格走势深受供需结构演变及宏观环境影 响，需求替代作为铂钯价格波动的长期逻辑，价格极值则由宏观 波动、供应扰动和外部事件冲击给予（价格复盘见正文）。 ★成本支撑 有 色 金 属 原生铂钯供应与 Capex 相关性较弱，主因南非和俄罗斯矿端扰动 较多，矿端成本中期对铂钯价格形成强劲底部支撑。2024 年全球 铂矿总维持成本同比上升 11.8%至 884 美元/盎司，铂现以 1350 美元/金衡盎司的价格运行，矿企进一步减产的可能性降低，但 若要刺激出更多供应，或需要更高的价格。 ★铂钯比 铂钯比反映需求替代与金融属性溢价。替代的核心驱动是长期显 著的相对溢价，次要驱动有供应链安全和政策刺激等。替代周 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The listing of platinum and palladium futures and options meets the hard - demand of China's platinum and palladium industry, and is significant for the futures market to serve China's green development strategy and improve the global pricing mechanism of platinum and palladium [2]. - The price curves of platinum and palladium reflect the comprehensive game of automobile technology iteration, supply shocks, and macro - sentiment. The future price difference between them depends on fuel cell penetration, mine supply recovery speed, and the expansion rhythm of the recycling system [66][71]. - Gold acts as a "ballast stone" in asset allocation, while platinum is a high - elasticity gaming chip for the automotive industry and hydrogen economy [74]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Platinum and Palladium Concept and Industry Chain Overview - **Concept and Characteristics** - Platinum is a silver - white, high - density, ductile, and chemically stable precious metal with high melting and boiling points, excellent catalytic performance, and strong corrosion resistance. It is used in electronics, automotive catalysts, jewelry, etc. [6][10] - Palladium is also a platinum - group metal, with lower density than platinum, excellent ductility, and chemical stability. It has unique strong hydrogen - absorption ability and is mainly used in automotive catalysts (especially for gasoline vehicles), electronics, etc. [11][14] - **Industry Chain Characteristics** - Supply: Platinum has an Russia - South Africa duopoly supply pattern, while palladium is dominated by South Africa. Platinum mining has high costs due to deep - mining, while palladium is a by - product of nickel mining with lower costs [20]. - Demand: Platinum has rigid jewelry demand in the Asian market, so its demand elasticity is low. Palladium has no substitutes in automotive catalysts, so its demand elasticity is high [20]. - Pain Points: The industry chain faces problems such as single - origin supply risk, low demand elasticity for platinum in jewelry, and high demand elasticity and low secondary - supply recovery rate for palladium [20]. - **Industry Chain Structure** - Upstream: It is mainly the supply of primary minerals from South Africa, Russia, etc. The key challenges include high - cost mining, ESG risks, and geopolitical issues [23]. - Mid - stream: It involves refining and processing, using complex hydrometallurgy. Core participants include mining giants' refineries, professional refiners, traders, and banks [25]. - Downstream: It is the manufacturing and distribution of products, with applications in automotive catalysts, jewelry, MLCCs, etc. Key manufacturers come from different industries [27]. - Recycling: Secondary supply mainly comes from waste automotive catalysts, electronic waste, etc., accounting for about 25% of platinum supply and 30% of palladium supply [34]. 2. Platinum and Palladium Supply - Demand Conditions - **Supply - side Factors** - Mineral Supply: It is highly concentrated in South Africa and Russia. Supply is affected by factors such as the COVID - 19 pandemic, power crises, and geopolitical issues, leading to significant fluctuations [37]. - Recycling Supply: It accounts for an increasing proportion, buffering supply - side fluctuations. However, the recycling volume is affected by precious - metal price fluctuations [38]. - **Demand - side Factors** - Automotive Catalysts: Palladium is the core material for gasoline - vehicle exhaust catalysts, accounting for 84% of global palladium demand in 2023. Platinum is mainly used in diesel - vehicle catalysts, with a 45% demand share in 2023. There is a substitution effect between them, but short - term substitution is limited [42]. - Industrial and Investment Demand: China is the largest platinum - demand country, using it for jewelry, chemical catalysts, and the hydrogen - energy industry. Europe is the largest palladium - demand country, with strong demand in the automotive industry. Emerging fields such as hydrogen fuel cells and 5G electronics are long - term demand growth points [43]. - **Inventory - side Factors** - Global platinum and palladium reserves have shown a trend of "first decline, then rise, and then stability" in the past 30 years. The sharp increase in 2024 is due to resource re - evaluation and large - scale resource upgrades in South Africa and Zimbabwe [48]. - **Import - Export Factors** - China's platinum - group metal resources are scarce, and the industry depends on imports. Import and export are affected by geopolitical, policy, and production - capacity factors. China encourages recycling technology R & D and hydrogen - energy industry investment to reduce import risks [51]. - Seasonal Patterns: Platinum imports peak from November to January and in September - October, and are low in February. Palladium imports peak from December to February and may have small peaks in July - August [54]. 3. Platinum and Palladium Spot and Futures Market Prices - **Futures Market Prices** - From 2011 to 2025, the futures prices of platinum and palladium can be divided into three stages. The price difference between them is mainly affected by automotive technology changes, supply - demand imbalances, and economic expectations [66]. - **Spot Market Prices** - From 2007 to 2025, the spot prices of platinum and palladium can also be divided into three stages. The price difference is mainly due to the "technology change" in automotive catalysts and the development of the recycling system [70]. - **Platinum - Gold Price Comparison** - In terms of price, gold is rarely surpassed by platinum. In terms of trend rhythm, gold shows a "step - by - step slow - bull" trend, while platinum has large fluctuations. In terms of divergence, the gold - platinum price ratio has reached a historical extreme, reflecting the dual discount of platinum [73][74]. 4. Platinum and Palladium Futures and Options Introduction - **Futures Contracts** - Platinum and palladium futures contracts have a trading unit of 1000 grams/hand, a minimum price change of 0.05 yuan/gram, a daily price limit of 4%, and a minimum margin of 5%. They use physical delivery, and the delivery months are February, April, June, August, October, and December [78]. - **Options Contracts** - Platinum and palladium options contracts are based on their respective futures contracts. They have a trading unit of 1 hand (1000 grams) of the underlying futures contract, a minimum price change of 0.05 yuan/gram, and an American - style exercise method [100].

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated strong performance in Q1, driven by effective efficiency measures and solid business fundamentals, with positive contributions from various business segments [1][2]. Group 1: Q1 Performance - The Catalytic Business Group showed strong results, particularly in automotive catalysts, benefiting from its market position and customer coverage [1]. - The Recovery Business Group also performed well, with rising prices of precious metals enhancing the performance of precious metal refining and management businesses [1]. - Demand for gold and silver as safe-haven investments supported the jewelry and industrial metals sectors amid macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties [1]. Group 2: Special Materials and Battery Solutions - The Special Materials Business Group's overall performance met expectations, with the Battery Materials Solutions Group also aligning with forecasts [2]. Group 3: Impact of US Tariff Policy - The new US tariff policy, effective from April, is expected to have limited direct impact on the company's operations by 2025, thanks to customer contract structures and a flexible global supply chain [3]. Group 4: 2025 Outlook - The company confirmed its 2025 outlook, projecting adjusted EBITDA to be between €720 million and €780 million, assuming stable metal prices and no significant new developments [4].