投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】31号 【天然橡胶周报（RU&NR)】 宏观事件再生扰动，橡胶延续弱势表现 国贸期货 能源化工研究中心 2025-10-13 | 影响因素 | 驱动 | 主要逻辑 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | （1）国内产区：节间云南产区雨水偏多，原料释放缓慢，但受节前期现走跌拖拽，原料价格表现偏弱。海南产区多有雨水天气扰动，整体原料供应仍处于 | | 供给 | 中性 | 偏紧格局。（2）泰国产区：假期泰国产区降水较多，下周泰国全国将再次迎来一轮强降雨天气，特别是曼谷、中部、东部及南部地区，将成为降雨集中区 | | | | 域，局部可能出现暴雨天气，雨水天气或对原料供给造成影响。（3）越南产区：本周越南产区天气较上周改善，割胶作业干扰程度减轻，但尚未恢复至正 | | | | 常水平，产区库存仍偏低， 本土原料流通压力仍在，加工厂为保证交单，维持稳定采购力度，支撑价格保持坚挺 。 | | | | （1）截至上周中国全钢胎样本企业产能利用率为66.39%，环比+0.03个百分点，同比+6.27个百分点；半钢胎样本企业产能利用率为72.64%，环比-0.10个 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Hainan Natural Rubber Industry Group Co., Ltd., has received a regulatory inquiry from the Shanghai Stock Exchange regarding its 2024 annual report, highlighting concerns about its financial performance and disclosure practices [1]. Business and Performance - The company reported a revenue of RMB 48.577 billion in the agricultural sector, with a net profit of -RMB 5.81 billion, indicating a long-term non-operating loss [1]. - The domestic revenue remained stable with a gross margin of 4.68% [1]. - The company has not disclosed detailed segment information for its main business activities, which include rubber planting, processing, and trading [2]. Revenue Breakdown - The main business revenue is categorized as follows: - Rubber trading: RMB 36.32 billion - Rubber initial processing: RMB 15.88 billion - Rubber planting: RMB 1.85 billion - Rubber deep processing: RMB 0.80 billion [3]. - The total revenue from rubber products reached RMB 48.335 billion, with significant contributions from both domestic and international markets [3]. Domestic vs. International Sales - Domestic sales showed a higher growth rate compared to international sales, attributed to the increasing demand for natural rubber in China, which is a major consumer market [4]. - The gross margin for domestic sales was lower than that for international sales due to factors such as market competition and higher production costs domestically [5]. Business Structure and Subsidiaries - The company operates through various subsidiaries, with full ownership in several entities involved in rubber planting, processing, and trading [6]. - The total assets of the company were reported at RMB 2.698 billion, with a net asset value of RMB 1.201 billion [6]. Customer and Supplier Relationships - The company has identified its top five customers, including Sichuan Haida Rubber Group and Shandong Linglong Tire Co., with significant increases in transaction amounts [7][9]. - The top five suppliers include companies like Sichuan Chuanxiang Tongli Trade Co., with notable increases in procurement amounts [9]. Internal Transactions - Internal transactions between the parent company and subsidiaries are structured to optimize production and sales functions, ensuring efficient resource allocation [6].

以下文章来源于CFC能源化工研究 ，作者中信建投期货 CFC能源化工研究 . 从宏观经济的周期出发，从三大一次能源的基础供需起步，回归到产业一线，精耕到品种细节，守望初心—金融如何更好地服务实体，中信建投期货能化 团队努力尝试展现品种背后的暗流涌动，尝试预估未来波澜壮阔的行情曲谱，我们在路上，我们在思考，我们在服务！ 欢迎加入交易理想国知识星球 文 | 刘书源 来源 | CFC能源化工研究 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 主要逻辑 4月16日，随着商品市场走弱，全球主要天然橡胶期货合约迎来回调。相较于单边价格的波动，上期所天然橡胶期货合约（下简 称"RU"）迎来的期限结构的强Back式收敛。全乳胶的供需平衡一般无法定价其单边价格，其单边价格更多取决于其基本面与20号胶基 本面的强弱关系，而全乳胶的供需平衡更多地去定价价差结构，期限结构便是其中之一。 今年国内云南和海南产区的天气条件显著优于去年同期，均未出现明显的高温少雨，在树况相对理想的情况下，均已按照往年季节性陆 续开割。故，从总量角度而言，国内天然橡胶（包含全乳胶）的产量在近期并未受太大影响；国内乳胶下游行业或在3月原料库存消化 后，于4月初开始 ...