Investment Rating - The report maintains a "strong buy" rating for Alibaba, Pinduoduo, JD.com, and Vipshop, indicating a positive outlook for these companies in the e-commerce sector [18][19][20]. Core Insights - The restaurant and tourism sector index increased by 3.52%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which decreased by 0.4%, and the ChiNext Index, which rose by 2.3% [5][6]. - The e-commerce sector is expected to see a rise in monetization rates and cloud business growth, with a focus on AI and chip catalysts, particularly recommending Alibaba [5][16]. - The travel sector is anticipated to maintain high growth, with recommendations for OTA and scenic spots, as well as transportation and hotels driven by business travel demand [5][16]. - Meituan's long-term competitiveness and investment value remain intact despite competitive disruptions [5][16]. Industry Overview - The report highlights that the restaurant and tourism sector has shown a year-to-date increase of 13.81%, while the retail sector has risen by 8.32% [6]. - The e-commerce sector is projected to recover in valuation, with a focus on Alibaba, Pinduoduo, JD.com, and Vipshop as key players [16]. - The report notes that the competitive landscape in e-commerce has been overly pessimistic, with expected profit growth for companies in the sector [16]. Key Company Recommendations - **Alibaba**: Expected to see steady growth in e-commerce monetization and cloud business, with projected non-GAAP net profits of 1242 billion, 1701 billion, and 2210 billion for FY2026-2028 [18]. - **Pinduoduo**: Anticipated revenue growth with a focus on sustainable high-quality growth, projecting non-GAAP net profits of 1224 billion, 1580 billion, and 1891 billion for 2025-2027 [18]. - **JD.com**: Expected to maintain solid growth with projected non-GAAP net profits of 276 billion, 491 billion, and 634 billion for 2025-2027 [18]. - **Vipshop**: Projected to maintain a positive trend with non-GAAP net profits of 89 billion, 93 billion, and 94 billion for 2025-2027 [18]. Recent Developments - Meituan's international brand Keeta has launched operations in Kuwait, marking its third key location in the Middle East, aligning with local consumer demands and the "2035 National Vision" for digital transformation [5][25]. - Taobao Flash Sale and Ele.me are launching group buying services, focusing on restaurant group purchases, to compete with Meituan and Dazhong Dianping [5][26].

Group 1: Macro Asset Tracking - The bond market experienced a day of volatility with long-term bonds declining more than short-term ones, indicating a bearish trend for bonds while the A-share market remains bullish [1][16] - The A-share market showed a slight decline with a trading volume of 2.35 trillion, suggesting a potential short-term adjustment phase despite the overall bullish trend [2][20] - The current equity risk premium (ERP) for the A-share market is at 4.02%, significantly lower than historical lows, indicating potential for further declines in the ERP [2][20] Group 2: A-Share Market Insights - The A-share market's total market value to GDP ratio stands at 0.75, indicating a significant distance from historical peaks, suggesting room for growth [2][20] - The ratio of household deposits to A-share market value is currently at 1.7, indicating that the process of capital moving into the stock market may still be ongoing [2][20] - Technical indicators suggest that the A-share market still has upward potential, and a strategy of buying on dips is recommended [2][20] Group 3: US Market Overview - The US stock market indices reached new highs, with the Nasdaq up 0.94%, indicating a continuation of bullish sentiment [3][23] - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut of 25 basis points and stable economic growth provide a supportive backdrop for risk assets [3][23] - The labor market shows signs of slowing, but the overall economic fundamentals remain strong, supporting further upward movement in the market [3][23] Group 4: Currency Market Analysis - The onshore RMB against the USD reported at 7.1123, showing an increase, while the dollar weakened due to disappointing non-farm payroll data [4][30] - The technical outlook for the offshore RMB is bullish, suggesting a potential strategy of going long on RMB assets rather than shorting the dollar [4][30] Group 5: Commodity Market Trends - The Wenhua Commodity Index fell by 0.12%, with coal and new energy sectors leading gains, while polyester and oil sectors lagged [6][34] - The commodity market is advised to maintain a bullish outlook, focusing on long positions while managing risks [6][34]

Core Viewpoint - Taobao Flash Sale and Ele.me are launching a group buying business, starting with a focus on food and beverage offerings [1] Group 1: Business Launch Details - The group buying service will be available on Taobao, Alipay, and Gaode starting September 20 [1] - Initial trials will take place in Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Jiaxing, with plans to expand to other first and second-tier cities across the country [1]

Core Insights - Alibaba's Taobao Flash Sale and Ele.me are launching an in-store merchant group buying business, initially focusing on food and beverage offerings [1] - The pilot program for the group buying service will start on September 20 in key business districts of Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Jiaxing, with plans to expand to major first- and second-tier cities nationwide [1] - The group buying service will feature a unified supply from Taobao Flash Sale and Ele.me, accessible through Taobao, Alipay, and Gaode, which are Alibaba's major traffic platforms [1] Group Buying Business Details - The first batch of group buying categories includes high-frequency consumer items such as beverages, Chinese cuisine, pastries, fast food, and local snacks [1] - Notable brands participating in the initial launch include national chains like Nayuki Tea, Zunbao Pizza, and Tao Tao Ju, as well as local brands like Xunxiangji and Xuji Seafood [1] - The team responsible for the in-store group buying business is primarily based at Ele.me, consisting of several hundred members [1] Strategic Moves by Alibaba - On September 10, Alibaba's Gaode launched the world's first travel behavior-based ranking product, Gaode Street Ranking, indicating a strategic push into the in-store business [1] - This initiative aims to reshape the evaluation system for offline services, positioning Gaode, which has 170 million daily active users, as a super entry point for lifestyle services [1] - Alibaba is intensifying its focus on in-store business development, reflecting a broader strategy to enhance its service offerings in the offline market [1]

报道称，饿了么此前就已在上述3个内部的重点城市进行到店业务的内部测试。据悉 ，第一批上线的团 购品类包括饮品、中式正餐、面包甜点、连锁快餐、特色小吃等高频消费品类，上线品牌比如有奈雪的 茶、尊宝披萨、陶陶居等全国连锁餐饮品牌，以及巡湘记、徐记海鲜等本地餐饮品牌。 智通财经APP获悉，据报道，阿里巴巴(09988)旗下高德地图推出"高德扫街榜"10天后，淘宝闪购和饿了 么将上线到店的商家团购业务，优先做餐饮团购。淘宝闪购的团购业务，将于明日(9月20日)在上海、 深圳、嘉兴等三个城市多个核心商圈率先启动试点，此后陆续在全国一二线城市推出。周六是淘宝闪购 即时配送到家业务一周里的订单高峰日，也能赶上十一黄金周的客流高峰。该业务由淘宝闪购和饿了么 提供同一团购，但会同时在淘宝、支付宝、高德3个阿里体系最大的流量瑞上线。 ...