国泰君安期货·能源化工 纸浆周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·高琳琳 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002332 日期：2026年3月1日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint CONTENTS 行业资讯 01 行情数据 02 基本面数据 03 本周观点总结 04 行业资讯 行情走势 基差与月差 现货价格 供给 库存 需求 本周观点总结 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 行业资讯 1 行业资讯 资料来源：中纸网，隆众资讯 4 行情数据 1.【常熟港纸浆库存统计】截至2026年2月26日，中国纸浆常熟港库存68.5万吨，较上周期增涨8.7万吨，环比增涨14.5%。本周常熟港库存呈现累库走势。 2.【青岛港纸浆库存统计】截至2026年2月26日，中国青岛港港内及港外仓库纸浆库存152.0万吨，较上周上涨8.2万吨，环比上涨5.7%。本周期青岛港库存周期内 呈现累库的走势。 3.【高栏港纸浆库存统计】截至2026年2月26日，中国纸浆高栏港库存6.2万吨，较上周上涨3.0万吨，环比上涨93 ...

国泰君安期货·能源化工 纸浆周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·高琳琳 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002332 日期：2026年3月1日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 行业资讯 1 行业资讯 1.【常熟港纸浆库存统计】截至2026年2月26日，中国纸浆常熟港库存68.5万吨，较上周期增涨8.7万吨，环比增涨14.5%。本周常熟港库存呈现累库走势。 2.【青岛港纸浆库存统计】截至2026年2月26日，中国青岛港港内及港外仓库纸浆库存152.0万吨，较上周上涨8.2万吨，环比上涨5.7%。本周期青岛港库存周期内 呈现累库的走势。 3.【高栏港纸浆库存统计】截至2026年2月26日，中国纸浆高栏港库存6.2万吨，较上周上涨3.0万吨，环比上涨93.8%。本周期高栏港库存呈现累库的趋势。 4.【中国纸浆主流港口样本库存周数据统计】截至2026年2月26日，中国纸浆主流港口样本库存量：240.1万吨，较上期累库20.6万吨，环比上涨9.4%，春节后主 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a significant investment project in the bio-based materials sector, highlighting a partnership between the Yueyang government and China Chengtong Holdings Group to establish a 200,000-ton bio-based materials project, which is expected to become the world's largest production capacity for specialty cellulose [4][5][9]. Group 1: Project Overview - The total investment for the project is 30.3 billion yuan, making it the second-largest single industrial project in Hunan Province, following ethylene refining [8]. - The project will be constructed in two phases: the first phase involves an investment of 17 billion yuan to build 1.1 million tons of specialty cellulose and 450,000 tons of household paper, with production expected to start by the end of 2027 [12]. - Once fully operational, the project is projected to generate an annual output value of 25.05 billion yuan [12]. Group 2: Specialty Cellulose Insights - Specialty cellulose refers to high-value cellulose derivatives that have been chemically or physically modified, including acetate cellulose and nitrate cellulose [7][13]. - The primary product from this project is likely to be dissolving pulp, which is used to produce viscose fibers, a key material in the textile industry [14][16]. - The global demand for dissolving pulp is significant, with projections indicating that by 2024, the global consumption will reach approximately 6.2 million tons, with China being the largest consumer [19][20]. Group 3: Market Context and Implications - China currently imports over 4 million tons of dissolving pulp annually to meet domestic demand, indicating a high dependency on foreign sources [20][23]. - The establishment of this 200,000-ton capacity is expected to significantly reduce China's import reliance, potentially cutting it by nearly half [33]. - The project aligns with the broader trend of domestic industrialization and the shift towards bio-based materials as alternatives to petrochemical products, especially in the context of carbon neutrality goals [29][30]. Group 4: Strategic Advantages - Yueyang's strategic advantages include its port access, established petrochemical industry, and available land resources, which facilitate the project's implementation [24][33]. - The project is backed by China Chengtong, a major state-owned enterprise, which enhances its financial and operational capabilities [26][28]. - The operational management is likely to be handled by Hunan Juntai New Materials Technology Co., a subsidiary of Yueyang Lin Paper, which has a strong market presence in dissolving pulp production [27][28].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a significant investment of 30.3 billion yuan by China Chengtong Holdings Group in collaboration with the Yueyang government to establish a 2 million ton bio-based materials project, which is expected to become the world's largest production capacity upon completion [2][3]. Project Overview - The project involves the construction of a 2 million ton specialty cellulose and 450,000 ton household paper production base, with a total investment of 30.3 billion yuan [3][5]. - The project will be developed in two phases: the first phase will invest 17 billion yuan to build 1.1 million tons of specialty cellulose and 450,000 tons of household paper, starting construction in the first half of 2026 and expected to be operational by the end of 2027, generating an annual output value of 13.05 billion yuan [8]. - The second phase will focus on an additional 900,000 tons of specialty cellulose, with the timeline dependent on the completion of the first phase [8]. Specialty Cellulose Insights - Specialty cellulose refers to high-value cellulose derivatives that have undergone chemical or physical modification, including acetate cellulose and nitrate cellulose [7][9]. - The project is likely to focus on dissolving pulp, which is a key raw material for producing viscose fibers used in clothing [10][12]. - The global demand for dissolving pulp is projected to reach approximately 6.2 million tons in 2024, with China being the largest consumer, requiring over 4 million tons annually, leading to a significant import dependency [15][16]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - Upon completion, Yueyang Lin Paper is expected to become the world's leading producer of dissolving pulp, significantly reducing China's import needs by nearly half [18][22]. - The project is strategically located in Yueyang, which has advantages such as port access, a developed petrochemical industry, and ample land resources for large-scale projects [19][25]. Operational and Strategic Implications - The operational management of the project is likely to be handled by Hunan Juntai New Materials Technology Co., a subsidiary of Yueyang Lin Paper, which has recently expanded its capabilities in the dissolving pulp market [24][30]. - The investment aligns with the growing trend towards bio-based materials as alternatives to petrochemical products, indicating a shift in the industry towards sustainable practices [26][27].