Investment Rating - The investment rating for Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) is "Outperform the Market" [6][29]. Core Views - In Q1 2025, the company achieved record high revenue and profit, with total revenue reaching 111.3 billion yuan (YoY +47%) and adjusted net profit of 10.7 billion yuan (YoY +65%), marking a historical high for a single quarter [1]. - The company continues to see strong growth across its business segments, with smartphone, IoT and lifestyle products, internet services, and smart electric vehicles contributing 46%, 29%, 8%, and 17% to revenue, respectively [1]. - The smart electric vehicle and AI innovation business saw revenue of 18.6 billion yuan, with a narrowing loss of 500 million yuan [3]. - The company is focused on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, achieving an operating expense ratio of 13.9% (YoY -2.2pct) [1]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profit Performance - Q1 2025 total revenue was 111.3 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 22.8% (YoY +0.5pct) [1]. - The smartphone business generated 50.6 billion yuan (YoY +8.9%) with a gross margin of 12.4% [2]. - IoT business revenue reached 32.3 billion yuan (YoY +59%) with a gross margin of 25.2% [2]. - Internet services revenue was 9.1 billion yuan (YoY +13%) with a gross margin of 76.9% [2]. Smart Electric Vehicle and AI Business - Revenue from smart electric vehicles was 18.1 billion yuan, with an average selling price (ASP) of 238,000 yuan [3]. - The company delivered 76,000 units of the Xiaomi SU7 series in Q1 2025, with cumulative deliveries exceeding 258,000 units [3]. - The company is expanding its sales service network, with 235 automotive sales stores opened by March 31 [3]. Financial Forecasts - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been raised, with expected net profits of 36.2 billion yuan, 46.4 billion yuan, and 66 billion yuan, representing YoY growth rates of 53%, 28%, and 42% respectively [4]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 484.2 billion yuan, 611 billion yuan, and 721.9 billion yuan, with growth rates of 32.3%, 26.2%, and 18.2% [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the electronic industry [1] Core Insights - The report compares the self-developed SoC chips of OPPO and Xiaomi, highlighting the challenges faced by OPPO's Zheku team and the successes of Xiaomi's Xuanjie team in the competitive smartphone market [6][11] - OPPO's Zheku team faced sustainability issues due to high R&D costs and low market demand, leading to the shutdown of the project [6][12] - Xiaomi's Xuanjie team has shown promising results with the launch of the Xuanjie O1 chip, which outperformed market expectations and is supported by a long-term investment strategy [6][25] Summary by Sections 1. Comparison of Zheku and Xuanjie - The report emphasizes the intense competition in the smartphone market, where self-developed SoC chips are a common goal among major brands [11] - Xiaomi's recent launch of the Xuanjie O1 chip has been positively received, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [6][11] 2. OPPO Zheku - Zheku was established in August 2019 and aimed to build a competitive edge in high-end chip design, expanding to 3,300 employees by May 2023 [12][14] - The team faced significant challenges, including a 28.2% decline in OPPO's smartphone shipments in 2022, which limited the commercial viability of its chips [18][19] - Zheku's total R&D investment reached approximately 10 billion yuan over three years, with a significant portion allocated to personnel costs [17][18] 3. Xiaomi Xuanjie - Xiaomi's Xuanjie team was established in 2014 and has committed to a long-term investment of 50 billion yuan over ten years, with over 13.5 billion yuan invested by Q1 2025 [23][25] - The Xuanjie O1 chip, launched in May 2025, utilizes a 3nm process and has achieved performance metrics that place it among the top-tier chips globally [25][29] - The report notes that Xiaomi's strategy of independent AP and BP chip development allows for flexibility and potential cost reductions in the future [33][34]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the electronic industry [1] Core Insights - The report compares the self-developed SoC chips of OPPO and Xiaomi, highlighting the competitive landscape and the challenges faced by both companies in their chip development efforts [11][12] - OPPO's Zheku team faced significant challenges, including high R&D costs and limited market demand, leading to the project's eventual shutdown [18][19] - Xiaomi's Xuanjie team has shown promising results with its 3nm SoC, indicating a more sustainable path forward due to strategic long-term investments and a growing market presence [25][36] Summary by Sections 1. Introduction: Comparison of Zheku and Xuanjie - The report emphasizes the intense competition among major smartphone brands in developing self-made SoC chips, with OPPO and Xiaomi as focal points [11] 2. OPPO Zheku: Ambitions and Challenges - Zheku was established in August 2019, rapidly expanding to 3,300 employees by May 2023, with a focus on high-end chip design [12][14] - The team faced a significant setback with the 4nm flagship chip, which failed to progress due to low market demand and declining sales [18][19] 3. Xiaomi Xuanjie: Steady Progress - Xiaomi's self-developed team was founded in 2014, with a commitment to invest 500 billion yuan over ten years, leading to the successful launch of the 3nm SoC Xuanjie O1 [23][25] - The Xuanjie O1 chip has outperformed expectations in performance benchmarks, indicating a strong competitive position [25][29] 4. Economic Analysis of R&D Investments - Zheku's R&D expenditures totaled approximately 10 billion yuan over three years, with high personnel costs contributing to financial strain [17][18] - Xiaomi's Xuanjie team has invested over 135 billion yuan in R&D, with a focus on achieving economies of scale to reduce chip costs [33][34]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group [3][6] Core Views - Xiaomi Group achieved record high revenue and profit in Q1 2025, with total revenue of 111.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.4%, and adjusted net profit of 10.7 billion yuan, up 64.5% year-on-year [1][3] - The smartphone segment regained the top market share in China, with a global shipment of 41.8 million units, a 3% increase year-on-year, and a global market share of 14.1% [1][3] - The IoT business is focusing on high-end and international expansion, with revenue reaching 32.3 billion yuan and a gross margin of 25.2% in Q1 2025 [2][3] - The automotive segment reported revenue of 18.6 billion yuan, with the new SUV model YU7 expected to become a bestseller upon pricing announcement [2][3] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Xiaomi Group are 486.7 billion yuan in 2025, 634.5 billion yuan in 2026, and 764.8 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 33%, 30%, and 21% respectively [3][5] - Adjusted net profit for the main consumer electronics business is expected to be 41.9 billion yuan in 2025, 52.0 billion yuan in 2026, and 61.1 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 25%, 24%, and 18% respectively [3][5] - The report anticipates a significant increase in automotive adjusted net profit, projecting a turnaround to 10.1 billion yuan in 2026 and 20.6 billion yuan in 2027 [3][5] Key Financial Metrics - The report provides a detailed financial forecast, including revenue, adjusted net profit, and earnings per share (EPS) for the years 2023 to 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [5][13] - The expected adjusted EPS is projected to be 1.6 yuan in 2025, 2.4 yuan in 2026, and 3.1 yuan in 2027 [3][5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 29 in 2025 to 15 in 2027, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [3][5]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry [31]. Core Insights - The TMT sector experienced varied performance in the week of May 19-23, with declines in major segments such as electronics (-2.17%) and computing (-3.02%), while sub-sectors like other communication equipment (+1.81%) showed positive growth [3]. - The AI ecosystem is continuously improving globally, highlighted by Nvidia's introduction of NVlink Fusion, which allows partners to integrate their CPUs or ASICs into Nvidia's architecture, enhancing AI system customization [3]. - In China, Huawei's launch of PCs running on the Harmony OS marks a significant step in domestic operating system development, potentially challenging Windows and MacOS market shares [3]. - Xiaomi's release of self-developed chips, including the 3nm process-based Xuanjie O1, positions the company competitively in the global SoC market [3]. Weekly Market Review - The TMT sector's performance from May 19-23 showed declines across major industries, with the media sector down by 0.16%, electronics by 2.17%, communication by 2.31%, and computing by 3.02% [3]. - The top-performing sub-sectors included other communication equipment (+1.81%) and gaming III (+1.63%), while the worst performers were communication network devices and components (-3.87%) and integrated circuit packaging and testing (-3.50%) [3]. Industry News and Key Company Announcements - Significant events included Nvidia's announcement of new AI technologies at Computex 2025 and Google's I/O developer conference showcasing a 50-fold increase in AI usage [3][17]. - Huawei's launch of Harmony OS PCs and Xiaomi's introduction of self-developed chips are pivotal in advancing domestic technology and reducing reliance on foreign systems [3][19]. - The report highlights the rapid growth of AI applications, with companies like OpenAI and Google making strides in AI capabilities and market penetration [3][19].