Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the controlled nuclear fusion industry, highlighting its potential as a strategic choice for achieving carbon neutrality goals [4]. Core Insights - Controlled nuclear fusion is seen as a revolutionary energy solution due to its abundant energy, zero emissions, and high safety [4]. - The industry is entering a critical phase with multiple technological pathways, primarily magnetic confinement and inertial confinement, both of which are advancing towards engineering validation [4]. - The development of the industry chain is emphasized, with a focus on materials and equipment as core challenges [4]. - Support from policies and capital is accelerating the commercialization process, with significant investments from both domestic and international entities [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Multiple Technological Pathways: Magnetic Confinement and Inertial Confinement as Mainstream - The report discusses the two main approaches to fusion research: magnetic confinement (e.g., Tokamak, stellarator) and inertial confinement (e.g., NIF in the US) [4][11]. - Both technologies are progressing towards engineering applications, with magnetic confinement focusing on steady-state operation and inertial confinement aiming for ignition efficiency [4]. 2. Collaborative Development of the Industry Chain: Focus on Materials and Equipment - The industry chain includes upstream superconducting materials and radiation-resistant tungsten alloys, midstream equipment for ITER and domestic experimental reactors, and downstream applications led by companies like China National Nuclear Corporation [4][5]. - Key companies in the upstream include Jingda Co., Yongding Co., and West Superconducting [5]. 3. Policy and Capital Support: Future Extension Space is Promising - China's 14th Five-Year Plan explicitly supports nuclear fusion research, with significant investments from state-owned enterprises and research institutions [4][29]. - International investments have exceeded $6.2 billion, indicating strong global interest in fusion technology [4]. 4. Beneficiary Companies in the Industry Chain: Focus on Long-Term Growth Potential - The report identifies several companies with long-term growth potential, including West Superconducting, Lianchuang Optoelectronics, and Yongding Co., which are involved in key materials and equipment for fusion projects [5][49][54]. - The report highlights the importance of these companies in advancing fusion technology and their roles in major projects like the "Spark One" hybrid reactor [4][5].

Summary of Controlled Nuclear Fusion Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The controlled nuclear fusion industry is experiencing significant milestones, with projects like ITER completing the construction of core pulse superconducting magnet systems and China's Circulation No. 3 renovation project starting, with total investments reaching several hundred million [1][2][3] - Major economies including the US, UK, Japan, and the EU are accelerating the commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion, aiming for energy structure transformation and environmental protection [1][6] Key Developments - The EAST project in Hefei has started two months ahead of schedule and demonstrated power generation capabilities, marking a major breakthrough in making controlled nuclear fusion a reality [2] - The industry is transitioning from scientific validation to engineering validation, with various construction and design tenders being launched [3][18] - Significant contributions from China include advancements in superconducting tokamak technology by institutions like the Southwest Institute of Physics and the Chinese Academy of Sciences [5] Future Projections - Commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion is expected to begin after 2035 or 2040, with experimental pile construction and equipment tenders occurring beforehand [1][9] - 2025 is seen as a pivotal year for the industry, with projects like EAST and Spark entering construction and equipment phases, potentially attracting hundreds of billions in investments [3][16] Market Dynamics - The market for controlled nuclear fusion is projected to expand significantly due to increased experimental pile construction and equipment tenders, alongside advancements in AI and high-temperature superconducting materials [13][10] - The total investment for a single tokamak device is approximately $1.2 billion, with the market for superconducting technology potentially reaching $14.8 billion if high-temperature superconducting technology is utilized [14][15] Key Players and Components - Key components in the controlled nuclear fusion industry include magnet systems, filters, blanket systems, vacuum chambers, and vacuum dewars, with magnet systems accounting for a significant portion of costs [17] - Companies with high participation in the controlled nuclear fusion sector include Lianchuang Optoelectronics, Yongding Co., Yinlong Co., Jinda Co., and Guoguang Electric, all of which are involved in critical product segments [19] Investment Opportunities - The industry is forming a resonance effect, accelerating the industrialization process, with increased capital market attention and strategic investments from companies like PetroChina and Shanghai Future Energy [7][8] - The focus on core components and equipment manufacturing in the controlled nuclear fusion supply chain presents significant investment opportunities [17][19]

文 ｜ 裘翔 刘春彤 杨家骥 高玉森 连一席 遥远 在彻底取消所有对华单边关税措施前，中美贸易谈判可能进展有限；国内的政策是托底和应对式的，4月只是第一波以试验和预防为特征 的政策；筹码出清相对彻底且对业绩不敏感的主题阶段性占优；市场整体情绪位置不算低，科技板块相对医药和消费更接近冰点，对风偏 回升更敏感。配置上，5月关注新技术和产业题材轮动、海外科技映射链修复以及服务业扩内需政策落地。 在彻底取消所有对华单边关税措施前， 中美贸易谈判可能进展有限 近期特朗普针对关税问题表态持续反复，美股市场反应较为敏感。但我们认为国内投资者不需要花精力关心这些高频变化，特朗普试图灵活 利用关税武器来制造谈判筹码，而中国商务部新闻发言人何亚东表示"如果美方真的想解决问题，就应该正视国际社会和国内各方理性声音， 彻底取消所有对华单边关税措施，通过平等对话，找到解决分歧的办法"。我们建议还是关注特朗普未来一年面临的两大约束，一是7~8月需 要推进债务上限谈判和减税法案通过，二是明年中期选举。尽管目前特朗普的民调支持率已经开始明显下降，但这属于每个美国总统百日新 政后正常的回落，而特朗普两次任期的民调本身就比其他美国总统偏低，目前 ...