Core Insights - The report indicates a positive outlook for the electric vehicle (EV) market in China, with significant growth in sales and battery installation volumes expected through 2025 [1][2]. Electric Vehicle Market - In October 2025, China's EV sales reached 1.715 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 19.9% and a penetration rate of 51.6% [1][2]. - From January to October 2025, total EV sales amounted to 12.943 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.75% and a penetration rate of 46.7% [1][2]. - The acceleration of major manufacturers transitioning to new energy is contributing to the optimistic market outlook [1][2]. Battery Installation Volume - In October 2025, the installation volume of power batteries in China was 84 GWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 42% [2]. - Cumulatively, from January to October 2025, the total installation volume of power batteries reached 578 GWh, also showing a year-on-year growth of 42% [2]. Lithium Iron Phosphate Battery Performance - In October 2025, the installation volume of lithium iron phosphate batteries was 67.5 GWh, accounting for 80% of total installations, with a year-on-year growth of 44% [2]. - For the same period, ternary battery installations were 16.5 GWh, making up 20% of total installations, with a year-on-year increase of 35.2% [2]. - From January to October 2025, lithium iron phosphate battery installations totaled 470.1 GWh, representing 81% of total installations and a year-on-year growth of 60% [2]. - Ternary battery installations during this period were 107.5 GWh, accounting for 19% of total installations, with a year-on-year decrease of 3% [2]. Leading Companies in Battery Installation - In October 2025, CATL's battery installation volume was 36.1 GWh, representing 43% of total installations and a year-on-year growth of 43% [3]. - BYD's battery installation volume was 17.9 GWh, accounting for 21% of total installations, with a year-on-year increase of 13% [3]. - From January to October 2025, CATL's cumulative battery installation volume was 246.8 GWh, maintaining a 43% share and a year-on-year growth of 35% [3]. - BYD's cumulative battery installation volume was 129.1 GWh, representing 22% of total installations, with a year-on-year increase of 28% [3]. Industry Performance - The electric equipment industry experienced a weekly decline of 0.80%, ranking 23rd among 31 primary industries [4]. - The industry outperformed the CSI 300 index during the same period [4]. - The weekly performance of major indices was as follows: Shanghai Composite Index -0.18%, CSI 300 -1.08%, Shenzhen Component Index -1.40%, and ChiNext Index -3.01% [4]. Stock Performance - The top five stocks in the electric equipment industry by weekly gain were: Huasheng Lithium Battery, Haike New Source, ST Hezhong, Shida Shenghua, and Fangyuan Co [5]. - The top five stocks by weekly loss were: Liangxin Co., Jinpan Technology, Magmi Tech, Zhongheng Electric, and Oulu Tong [6]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on companies within the power battery supply chain that are technologically advanced and hold significant market influence, such as CATL [7].

Core Viewpoint - Zhengli New Energy (03677) is experiencing a stock price increase, attributed to upcoming industry events and advancements in solid-state battery technology [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Zhengli New Energy's stock rose nearly 5%, currently trading at 10.04 HKD with a trading volume of 44.65 million HKD [1] - The company is set to launch its 100 MWh solid-state battery pilot line in the first half of 2026, marking a significant step towards industrialization of solid-state batteries [1] - The company is developing a diverse product portfolio driven by market demand and technology, including lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials for various applications such as electric vehicles, electric aircraft, and electric ships [1] Group 2: Market Position and Projections - In 2024, Zhengli New Energy is projected to capture a 2.0% market share in domestic installations of lithium iron phosphate batteries and 1.8% in PHEV batteries [1] - The company is expected to dominate the domestic market for HEV battery packs, with a market share exceeding 70% in collaboration with New Zhongyuan Toyota [1] - The company is noted for its strong customer resources, intelligent manufacturing capabilities, and cost control advantages, indicating a turning point in its fundamentals [1]

Core Viewpoint - Zhengli New Energy (03677) is experiencing a stock price increase, attributed to upcoming industry events and advancements in solid-state battery technology [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Zhengli New Energy's stock rose nearly 5%, currently trading at 10.04 HKD with a transaction volume of 44.65 million HKD [1] - The company is set to launch its 100MWh solid-state battery pilot line in the first half of 2026, marking a significant step towards industrialization of solid-state batteries [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - The 12th China (Suzhou) International Summit on Battery New Energy Industry will take place from November 11-13, indicating a busy week for the solid-state battery sector [1] - CITIC Securities predicts that the solid-state battery industry will see a surge in new technologies due to the upcoming conferences [1] Group 3: Market Position and Projections - According to CICC, Zhengli New Energy is developing a diverse product portfolio driven by market demand and technology, covering various battery types and applications [1] - The company is projected to achieve a 2.0% market share in domestic installations of lithium iron phosphate batteries and 1.8% in PHEV batteries by 2024 [1] - New Zhongyuan Toyota's HEV battery pack is expected to capture over 70% of the domestic market share [1] - The company is noted for its strong customer base, smart manufacturing, and cost control advantages, indicating a turning point in its fundamentals [1]

Investment Highlights - Company is covered for the first time by CICC with an "outperform" rating and a target price of HKD 11.40, based on a PE valuation method corresponding to a multiple of 26.0x for 2026. The company is recognized as a leading manufacturer of power and energy storage batteries in China [1] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles continues to rise, with emerging application scenarios opening up growth opportunities. According to Frost & Sullivan, it is expected that China's power battery installation will reach 1,961.4 GWh by 2029, with a CAGR of 29.0% from 2024 to 2029. Additionally, the demand for energy storage, electric ships, and electric aircraft is rapidly growing, creating long-term growth potential for lithium batteries [1] - The company offers a comprehensive product portfolio to meet diverse customer needs, developing multi-path product combinations driven by market demand and technology. The company covers various material types such as lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials, as well as multiple power types like BEV and PHEV, across applications including electric vehicles, electric aircraft, and electric ships. In 2024, the company's domestic installation share for lithium iron phosphate power batteries is projected to be 2.0%, while the share for PHEV batteries is 1.8%, and the market share for the HEV battery pack of New Zhongyuan Toyota exceeds 70% [1] Company Fundamentals - The company is experiencing a turning point in its fundamentals, leveraging flexible manufacturing to achieve high utilization rates and cost control advantages. Despite smaller revenue and shipment scale compared to second and third-tier battery manufacturers, the company is leading the way in fundamental improvements. Looking ahead, the company is expected to continue expanding its customer base and further release scale effects, driving sustained profit improvement [2] - The company has crossed the threshold of scalable profitability, with profitability expected to steadily increase [2] - Potential catalysts for growth include the continuous acquisition of new orders and better-than-expected profit improvements [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s EPS is projected to be RMB 0.20 and RMB 0.40 for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a CAGR of 236% from 2024 to 2026. The current stock price corresponds to a 21.2x P/E for 2026, while the company is given a 26.0x P/E for 2026, leading to a target price of HKD 11.40, indicating a potential upside of 20.6% [2]

Core Viewpoint - CICC initiates coverage on Zhengli New Energy (03677) with an "outperform" rating and a target price of HKD 11.40, indicating a potential upside of 20.6% based on a PE valuation method with a multiple of 26.0x for 2026 [1] Group 1: Company Performance and Projections - The company is a leading manufacturer of power and energy storage batteries in China, with projected EPS of CNY 0.20 and CNY 0.40 for 2025 and 2026 respectively, reflecting a CAGR of 236% from 2024 to 2026 [1] - The company has crossed the inflection point of scalable profitability, with expectations for steady improvement in profitability [1] Group 2: Industry Growth and Market Opportunities - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is continuously increasing, with the Chinese power battery installation expected to grow to 1,961.4 GWh by 2029, corresponding to a CAGR of 29.0% from 2024 to 2029 [2] - Emerging application scenarios such as energy storage, electric ships, and electric aircraft are rapidly growing, opening long-term growth opportunities for lithium batteries [2] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of second and third-tier battery manufacturers leveraging multi-technology and multi-market strategies [2] Group 3: Product Diversification and Customer Demand - The company develops a multi-path product portfolio driven by market demand and technology, covering various materials and power types, including BEV and PHEV, as well as applications in electric vehicles, electric aircraft, and electric ships [3] - The domestic market share for the company's lithium iron phosphate power batteries is projected to be 2.0% in 2024, with PHEV battery market share at 1.8%, and over 70% market share for the HEV battery pack in collaboration with New Zhongyuan Toyota [3] Group 4: Competitive Advantages and Future Outlook - The company benefits from flexible manufacturing leading to high utilization rates and cost control advantages, positioning it favorably among second and third-tier battery manufacturers despite smaller revenue and shipment scales [4] - The company is expected to continue expanding its customer base and releasing scale effects, driving sustained profitability improvements [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company expects continued growth in the lithium iron phosphate market, driven by increasing domestic installation rates and global demand in both the automotive and energy storage sectors [1] Group 1: Automotive Market - In the domestic market, the installation rate of lithium iron phosphate batteries has reached 80% this year [1] - Overseas automakers are gradually switching to lithium iron phosphate batteries, indicating a shift in global automotive trends [1] Group 2: Energy Storage Market - The global demand for energy storage has seen a significant surge this year, with rapid growth in markets outside of China, including North America, Europe, the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and South America [1] - The company anticipates that the lithium iron phosphate market will maintain high growth rates next year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a positive outlook for the development of the new energy vehicle market in China, driven by increasing sales and battery installation volumes [1][2]. Group 1: New Energy Vehicle Sales - In August 2025, China's new energy vehicle sales reached 1.395 million units, a year-on-year increase of 26.82%, with a penetration rate of 48.8% [1][2]. - From January to August 2025, new energy vehicle sales totaled 9.62 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 36.7% and a penetration rate of 45.5% [1][2]. Group 2: Battery Installation Volume - In August, the installation volume of power batteries in China was 62.5 GWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 32% [2]. - Cumulatively, from January to August 2025, the total installation volume of power batteries reached 418 GWh, with a year-on-year growth of 43% [2]. Group 3: Battery Type Performance - In August, the installation volume of lithium iron phosphate batteries was 51.6 GWh, accounting for 83% of total installations, with a year-on-year increase of 47% [2]. - The installation volume of ternary batteries was 10.9 GWh, making up 17% of total installations, with a year-on-year decrease of 9.9% [2]. - From January to August 2025, the installation volume of lithium iron phosphate batteries was 340.4 GWh, representing 81% of total installations and a year-on-year increase of 65% [2]. - The installation volume of ternary batteries during the same period was 77.2 GWh, accounting for 18% of total installations, with a year-on-year decrease of 10% [2]. Group 4: Leading Companies in Battery Installation - In August, CATL's battery installation volume was 26.45 GWh, representing 42% of total installations, with a year-on-year growth of 26% [3]. - BYD's battery installation volume was 13.02 GWh, accounting for 21% of total installations, with a year-on-year increase of 11% [3]. - From January to August 2025, CATL's cumulative battery installation volume was 178.2 GWh, representing 43% of total installations, with a year-on-year growth of 33% [3]. - BYD's cumulative battery installation volume during the same period was 95.2 GWh, accounting for 23% of total installations, with a year-on-year increase of 33% [3]. Group 5: Industry Performance - The electric equipment industry experienced a weekly change of 0.53%, ranking 22nd among 31 primary industries, underperforming compared to the CSI 300 index [4]. - The weekly performance of major indices included a rise of 1.52% for the Shanghai Composite Index, 1.38% for the CSI 300, 2.65% for the Shenzhen Component Index, and 2.10% for the ChiNext Index [4]. - In the sub-sectors, the performance of electric motors II, other power equipment II, photovoltaic equipment, wind power equipment, batteries, and grid equipment varied, with electric motors II showing a significant increase of 10.76% [4].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese power battery industry is facing dual challenges of market pressure and intellectual property barriers as it seeks to expand internationally, particularly in the context of recent competitive moves by South Korean companies and legal setbacks for domestic firms [2][8]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The international market is becoming the next battleground for the Chinese electric vehicle supply chain, with overseas investments projected to reach $16 billion in 2024, surpassing domestic investments of $15 billion for the first time [3]. - Leading Chinese battery manufacturers, such as CATL, are accelerating their overseas expansion, with significant investments in factories across Europe and Southeast Asia [3][4]. - By mid-2025, Chinese companies are expected to occupy six of the top ten global power battery manufacturers, holding a combined market share of 68.7% [4]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Chinese companies are leveraging their complete supply chain and cost control advantages to compete effectively in the mid-to-low-end market, while also investing in technology research and development [5]. - Despite the rising market share of Chinese firms, established international players like LG Energy and Panasonic still maintain advantages in high-end technology and brand recognition [5]. Group 3: Challenges in International Expansion - Chinese battery companies face significant policy barriers and intellectual property risks when entering international markets, particularly in the U.S. and Europe [8][9]. - The U.S. has implemented restrictive policies that limit the participation of Chinese suppliers in its market, while European policies are more cautious, leading to slower expansion for Chinese firms [8][9]. - Legal challenges, such as the patent dispute involving XINWANDA and LG Energy, highlight the vulnerabilities of Chinese companies in navigating international intellectual property laws [8][9]. Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - To overcome these challenges, Chinese battery companies need to seek national support to address discriminatory policies and create a fair competitive environment [11]. - Companies should focus on markets with favorable policies, such as Southeast Asia and countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative, to build operational experience and expand their presence [12]. - Continuous investment in technological innovation, particularly in next-generation technologies like solid-state batteries, is essential for maintaining a competitive edge and achieving a transition from "product export" to "technology export" [13].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the domestic installation of lithium iron phosphate batteries has reached 80% this year, with overseas automakers gradually switching to these batteries, indicating a sustained market growth [1] - In the energy storage market, global demand has surged this year, with rapid growth observed in markets outside of China, including North America, Europe, the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and South America [1] - Overall, it is expected that the lithium iron phosphate market will continue to maintain high growth rates next year [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the lithium iron phosphate (LFP) market is expected to maintain rapid growth, driven by increasing domestic installation rates and a shift among overseas automakers towards LFP batteries [1] - In the power market, the domestic installation share of lithium iron phosphate has reached 80% this year, indicating strong adoption [1] - In the energy storage market, global demand has surged this year, with rapid growth observed in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and South America, in addition to China [1] Group 2 - The overall outlook for the lithium iron phosphate market remains positive, with expectations of continued high growth into next year [1]