向新而兴，提质升级。"十四五"期间，中国银行山东省分行（以下简称"山东中行"）紧紧围绕山东产业 特点，立足传统产业改造提升、新兴产业培育壮大、未来产业超前布局，创新金融服务模式，为科创企 业全生命周期精准输送金融活水。截至11月末，山东中行科技金融贷款余额突破1330亿元，服务覆盖 6800余户科技型企业。 前瞻布局，金融呵护商业航天 从火箭制造到卫星应用，从"仰望星空"到布局星网，山东省商业航天产业依托海阳东方航天港，形 成"海上发射+配套制造+卫星应用"全链条产业链。 信创国产化是当前我国信息技术领域的一个重要发展方向，旨在通过自主研发和创新，实现信息技术应 用的自主可控，减少对外部技术的依赖，并规避潜在的技术制裁和风险。 山东中行持续聚焦国家战略新兴领域，紧盯"卡脖子"技术壁垒创新突破，在对"信创"领域持续研究过程 中，将某技术公司锁定为目标客户。了解到企业付款需求后，山东中行第一时间上门对接，深入研究行 业现状及前景，充分验证企业收入增长合理性及未来市场表现，高效为企业批复授信，成为主要同业首 家获批授信的机构。 作为空天产业链主企业之一，某科技公司以空天信息产业布局为主营业务，围绕空天信息产业上下游 ...

中 泰 证 券 研 究 所 专 业 ｜ 领 先 ｜ 深 度 ｜ 诚 信 2 ➢ 信贷动能拆分：信贷增速预计继续小幅下探，新基建+新型工业化+科技金融支撑信贷动能。1、动能一：新基建贷款——增速有望回升，结 构持续调整，新基建承接动能。2、动能二：制造业贷款——仍能保持韧性，传统产业"固本升级"5年10万亿市场空间；全国工业中长期 贷款占比不到15%，有提升空间。3、动能三：科技金融贷款——有望维持高增；全国高新技术企业贷款占比仍只有10%，有提升空间。4、 地产：企稳回升需要超预期政策，预计对公、零售地产相关信贷需求仍较疲软。5、消费：2026难见趋势性拐点。国补方向（或偏向服务消 费方向）的消费信贷、信用卡有望有温和回暖，整体消费信贷需求难见趋势性扭转。 ➢ 银行收入拆分：预计利息收入回暖带动营收回暖，预计26E上市银行营收同比+2.5%,净利润同比+2.3%。1、息差：测算26E息差下行2.5bp。 资产端降幅有望小于25年，负债端支撑力度有望维持，若仅考虑存量货币政策（化债、历年存贷重定价等），测算26E息差回暖1.4bp。若 年初对称降息20bp，综合考虑存量及新增政策，测算26E息差下降2.5bp， ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Banking Sector - **Forecast Year**: 2026 Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Loan Structure Predictions for 2026**: - Real estate loans are expected to maintain a stable proportion - Manufacturing loans will benefit from high-end manufacturing and industrial upgrades - Technology finance loans are anticipated to grow significantly but come with risks - Wealth management focusing on high-net-worth clients is identified as a major growth area [1][3][4] 2. **Financial Policy Focus for 2026**: - The core of financial policy will support the development of new productive forces, with a focus on technology finance - A bottom-line thinking approach will be maintained to prevent systemic financial risks, with potential policy easing if economic or real estate markets face pressure [4][5] 3. **Investment Opportunities in Banking**: - Bank stocks are characterized by weak cyclical attributes, expected to continue in 2026 - High-quality regional rural commercial banks, large banks, and banks with a significant proportion of high-net-worth clients are seen as more competitive in technology, manufacturing, and wealth management sectors [6] 4. **Infrastructure Loan Outlook for 2026**: - Infrastructure loans are expected to rebound, supported by a 500 billion policy financial tool and the rapid growth of new infrastructure projects like clean energy [7] 5. **Manufacturing Loan Resilience**: - Manufacturing loans are projected to remain resilient, supported by the "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizing high-end manufacturing and traditional industry upgrades [8] 6. **Challenges and Opportunities in Technology Finance**: - Technology finance is a key development area with high growth potential, but banks must manage associated risks effectively [9][15] 7. **Trends in Wealth Management**: - High-net-worth clients are identified as the main source of opportunities in wealth management, with a trend of resident deposits flowing into the stock market expected to continue [2][10] 8. **Trends in Infrastructure Investment**: - Traditional infrastructure projects are expected to continue a slow decline, while new infrastructure areas like AI and clean energy will see strong demand [11] 9. **Manufacturing Export Outlook**: - Manufacturing exports are expected to be supported by market structure adjustments, with a moderate slowdown in growth anticipated [12] 10. **Financial Support for New Industrialization**: - Measures include increasing support for traditional industry upgrades and green finance, with banks required to include new industrialization in their long-term strategies [14] Additional Important Insights - **Real Estate and Consumption Outlook**: - The real estate market is expected to remain stable, with potential policy measures to stabilize the market if necessary [17] - Consumer performance in 2025 is described as generally weak, with a need for significant policy support to improve consumption rates [20][21] - **Impact of New Internet Loan Regulations**: - New regulations affecting internet loans with interest rates above 24% may pose risks to certain market segments, particularly in lower-tier markets [22] - **Investment Targets for 2026**: - Quality regional rural commercial banks and certain urban banks are highlighted as promising investment targets, with average dividend yields exceeding 4% for A-shares and around 5% for H-shares [23]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the banking industry [2] Core Insights - The underlying logic of economic and financial policies supports "new quality productivity" and "bottom-line thinking" [2][3] - New growth points for the banking industry in 2026 include: - Infrastructure loans are expected to rebound, with ongoing structural adjustments, particularly in digital and green infrastructure [2][3] - Manufacturing loans are expected to remain resilient due to sustained export strength and opportunities from traditional industry upgrades and green finance [2][3] - Technology finance loans continue to grow rapidly, especially in the artificial intelligence industry chain [2][3] - Wealth management, particularly for high-net-worth clients, is expected to see significant growth [2][3] - Real estate and consumption are expected to stabilize, with marginal policy easing anticipated in 2026, although a "steady upward" trend requires unexpected policy support [2][3] - The mapping of business to investment indicates that banking operations can remain stable, with bank stocks transitioning from "pro-cyclical" to "weak-cyclical" [2][3] Summary by Sections Economic and Financial Policy Framework - The focus is on developing new quality productivity to break through economic growth ceilings, which is the core direction for future financial resource allocation [9] - Bottom-line thinking emphasizes the prevention of systemic risks related to real estate and local debt, providing a stable macro environment for the transition between old and new growth drivers [9][10] New Infrastructure Loans - Infrastructure investment in 2025 shows a significant slowdown, with a cumulative year-on-year growth rate of 1.51%, down 7.84 percentage points from 2024 [20] - New infrastructure, particularly digital and green projects, is expected to drive growth in 2026, with a focus on regional coordination and urban renewal [20][24] Manufacturing Loans - Manufacturing loans are expected to maintain resilience, supported by exports and traditional industry upgrades, with a market potential of 10 trillion over five years [31] - The growth of green finance remains significant, with major banks increasing their green credit ratios [31] Technology Finance - Technology finance is projected to maintain high growth, with a year-on-year increase of over 17% in high-tech loans [31] - There is a notable disparity in technology loan ratios between large and small banks, indicating room for growth in smaller institutions [31] Wealth Management - The wealth management sector is experiencing a shift from "scale-driven" to "precise matching," benefiting high-net-worth clients [31] Real Estate and Consumption - Real estate policies are expected to see marginal easing, with a focus on stabilizing the market in 2026 [31] - Consumption is projected to continue under a "policy support" framework, with internal dynamics needing to strengthen [31]

Core Viewpoint - The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) Hechi Branch is committed to supporting technological self-reliance and high-quality local economic development by enhancing financial services for technological innovation, thereby injecting continuous financial momentum into regional economic transformation and upgrading [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Support for Technological Innovation - As of September 2025, the bank's technology finance loans increased by 192 million yuan, representing a growth of 36.64% compared to the beginning of the year [1]. - The bank actively collaborates with local government departments to understand regional industrial development directions and priorities, establishing a clear service roadmap for targeted financial support [1]. Group 2: Addressing Challenges and Optimizing Services - The bank identified a funding circulation issue faced by a local liquor company, which required a tailored medium to long-term financing solution, resulting in a total of 64 million yuan in loans to support the company's industrial upgrade [2]. - A green channel for technology finance services has been established to simplify approval processes and enhance efficiency, ensuring rapid funding support for technology enterprises [2]. - The bank offers comprehensive financial service solutions that integrate financing and intelligence, aiming to enhance the value of enterprises within the regional innovation ecosystem [2].

Core Insights - Industrial Bank is committed to establishing technology finance as its "fourth business card" and is actively building a technology finance ecosystem [1] - As of the end of September, Industrial Bank's Shanghai branch has exceeded 85 billion yuan in technology finance loans, with a loan balance of nearly 60 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 19.5% since the beginning of the year [1] - The bank has served over 18,000 technology finance clients, emphasizing the importance of directing more financial resources towards technological innovation [1] Group 1 - The bank aims to support technology innovation enterprises that have technical barriers and can address national strategic needs, highlighting the integration of finance and technology as a crucial mission [1] - A recent event titled "Xinghuo Technology - Entering Investment Institutions" was held to bridge the gap between the technology industry and capital markets, facilitating high-quality development for technology enterprises [1] - The bank plans to focus on national technology innovation strategies, deepen investment-loan collaboration, and integrate financial and industrial resources to support hard technology enterprises and the construction of Shanghai as an "international financial center" [1] Group 2 - Representatives from several biopharmaceutical companies discussed common challenges in the industry, noting the high reliance on credit loans due to the sector's light asset and high R&D investment characteristics [2] - Industrial Bank's Shanghai branch will continue to conduct the "Xinghuo Technology" series of activities to enhance its comprehensive service capabilities in technology finance, providing integrated financial services throughout the entire lifecycle of technology enterprises [2] - The bank aims to leverage Shanghai's advantages as a science and technology innovation center to provide more precise and efficient financial support for hard technology enterprises, contributing to Shanghai's goal of becoming a globally influential technology innovation hub [2]

Core Insights - Shanghai Pudong Development Bank (SPDB) reported a revenue of 132.28 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.88%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 38.82 billion yuan, up 10.21% year-on-year [1] - The bank's total assets reached 9.89 trillion yuan, growing by 4.55% compared to the end of the previous year, with total loans (including bill discounting) amounting to 5.67 trillion yuan, an increase of 280.6 billion yuan or 5.20% [1] - The asset quality improved, with non-performing loans (NPL) decreasing to 72.89 billion yuan, resulting in an NPL ratio of 1.29%, down 0.07 percentage points from the end of the previous year [1] Financial Performance - SPDB's cost-to-income ratio stood at 27.53% [1] - The average daily interest-earning assets in the parent company saw an increase in the proportion of loans (excluding bill discounting) by approximately 2.58 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Total liabilities reached 9.05 trillion yuan, a growth of 3.83% from the end of the previous year, with total deposits amounting to 5.621 trillion yuan, up 9.19% [1] Business Development - The bank focused on key sectors and regions, enhancing its "digital and scenario-based" development capabilities, with significant growth in technology finance, serving over 250,000 technology enterprises and achieving a technology finance loan balance exceeding 1 trillion yuan [2] - Supply chain finance showed robust growth, with the bank serving 32,700 supply chain customers, a 72.91% increase, and online supply chain business volume reaching 574.86 billion yuan, up 267.65% [2] - Green finance services were strengthened, with a green credit balance of 700.24 billion yuan, a 22.70% increase, and carbon reduction loans amounting to 27.36 billion yuan [2] Specialized Services - SPDB contributed to the construction of Shanghai as an international financial center by enhancing investment and trading capabilities, launching approximately 40 first-of-their-kind market products in the first three quarters [3] - The bank's merger and acquisition (M&A) loan balance reached 237.8 billion yuan, a 14.53% increase, with new M&A loans issued amounting to 83.4 billion yuan, up 33.33% [3] - The bank maintained a leading position in risk hedging services, serving over 23,000 corporate clients with hedging transaction volumes exceeding 750 billion yuan, a growth of over 50% [3]

Core Viewpoint - Guizhou Bank has demonstrated steady growth in its mid-year performance for 2025, with total assets exceeding 600 billion yuan and a focus on serving the real economy through various financial initiatives [1][2][3][4][5][6] Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, Guizhou Bank's total assets reached 603.75 billion yuan, a 2.33% increase from the beginning of the year [1] - The bank reported operating income of 6.102 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.129 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 2.26% and 0.31% respectively [1] - The net interest margin improved by 0.22 percentage points to 1.90%, indicating strong operational resilience [1] Service to the Real Economy - Guizhou Bank has actively engaged in five key areas: technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance, achieving significant results [2][3][4] - In technology finance, the bank's loan balance reached 9.812 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 21.57% [2] - The green finance loan balance was 61.293 billion yuan, growing by 4.4% from the start of the year [2] - Inclusive finance efforts supported 58,500 clients, with a loan balance of 54.067 billion yuan [3] - Pension finance loans increased by 57.22% to 1.621 billion yuan [3] - Digital finance loans reached 4.005 billion yuan, marking a 28.57% increase [3] Digital Transformation - Guizhou Bank has prioritized digital transformation as a key driver for high-quality development, integrating it with the five key areas of focus [4][5][6] - The bank has made significant advancements in data governance and standardization, enhancing its data-driven decision-making capabilities [4] - The implementation of an intelligent risk control system has improved risk management, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.69%, down 0.03 percentage points from the beginning of the year [5] - The bank has deployed artificial intelligence technologies to enhance operational efficiency, with over 4,300 users served by its intelligent Q&A system [6] Future Outlook - Guizhou Bank aims to continue its digital transformation, enhancing its service model, operational capabilities, and risk management to support the high-quality development of the local economy [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the critical role of financial services in supporting the innovation and development of technology enterprises in China, particularly in the context of the ongoing global technological innovation wave and the country's goal of becoming a technology powerhouse [2][21]. Group 1: Financial Services and Technology Enterprises - Financial services are deemed a "necessity" for technology enterprises, as highlighted by the CEO of Qianlang Intelligent Technology, who discussed the importance of banking partnerships in overcoming challenges related to cross-border payments and funding efficiency [7][8]. - The collaboration between Qianlang Intelligent and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank showcases how tailored financial products can address specific needs of technology firms, enhancing their operational efficiency and international expansion [7][19]. - The article illustrates that the demand for financial services is not limited to funding but extends to comprehensive financial management solutions that adapt to the evolving needs of technology companies [7][8]. Group 2: Case Studies of Financial Support - Estun Automation, a leading player in the industrial robotics sector, has benefited from a long-term partnership with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, which has provided various financial products, including working capital loans and supply chain financing [14][15]. - The financial services landscape has evolved, allowing private manufacturing enterprises like Estun Automation to access innovative financing options that were previously unavailable, thus facilitating their growth and development [14][15]. - The case of Jiachensihai Biotechnology illustrates the importance of stable financial support in the competitive landscape of innovative pharmaceuticals, where timely funding can significantly impact research and development progress [17][19]. Group 3: The Role of Financial Innovation - The article highlights the ongoing transformation within banks to better understand and meet the unique needs of technology enterprises, moving beyond traditional service models to offer more relevant financial solutions [21]. - Financial institutions are increasingly focusing on providing "warm" financial empowerment, which is crucial for the innovation pathways of technology companies, ensuring they have the necessary resources to thrive [21]. - The integration of financial services into the operational strategies of technology firms is seen as a key factor in achieving high-quality development within China's technology sector [21].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the critical role of financial services in supporting the innovation and development of technology enterprises in China, particularly in the context of the ongoing global technological transformation and the need for financial institutions to adapt their services to meet the unique needs of these companies [1][10]. Group 1: Financial Services for Technology Enterprises - Financial services are considered a "necessity" for technology companies, as highlighted by the CEO of Qingtong Intelligent Technology, who noted the importance of banking partnerships in overcoming challenges related to overseas expansion and funding efficiency [2][3]. - The collaboration between Qingtong Intelligent and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank (SPDB) has facilitated better management of overseas funds and improved funding efficiency through innovative banking products [3][4]. - The financial landscape for technology enterprises has evolved, with SPDB providing various financial products tailored to different stages of company development, including technology loans and support for overseas investment [3][6]. Group 2: Case Studies of Technology Companies - Estun Automation, a leading player in the industrial robotics sector, has benefited from a long-term partnership with SPDB, which has provided diverse financial products such as working capital loans and supply chain financing, enabling the company to expand its operations [5][6][7]. - The financial services landscape has improved for private manufacturing enterprises, with innovative products like technology loans and supply chain financing now available, which were previously difficult to obtain [6][7]. - Jiachen Xihai, a biotechnology company, received a comprehensive credit line of 60 million yuan from SPDB, which is crucial for maintaining a competitive edge in the rapidly evolving RNA drug and vaccine market [8][9]. Group 3: Importance of Financial Support in Innovation - Stable financial support is essential for technology breakthroughs, as highlighted by Jiachen Xihai's CEO, who stressed that timely funding is critical to avoid delays that could jeopardize competitive positioning [8][9]. - The article illustrates that financial services play a pivotal role in the innovation journey of technology companies, enabling them to navigate challenges and seize opportunities in their respective fields [10].