Group 1 - The national disciplinary inspection and supervision system received over 16,800 cases related to disciplinary inspection and supervision personnel in the first half of the year [1] - A total of 14,000 cases involving disciplinary inspection and supervision personnel were processed, with 4,872 individuals receiving inquiries and discussions [1] - 2,042 cases were filed against disciplinary inspection and supervision personnel, resulting in 1,666 disciplinary actions and 101 referrals to judicial authorities [1] Group 2 - Disciplinary actions included 49 at the department and bureau level and 319 at the county and division level [1] - The "four forms of accountability" were applied to criticize and handle 6,006 disciplinary inspection and supervision personnel [1] - The first form of accountability was used for 4,242 individuals, the second for 1,439, the third for 199, and the fourth for 126 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.50%, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a rate change, reflecting a cautious approach amid economic uncertainties [1][4]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Decisions - The Federal Reserve's policy statement indicates a slowdown in U.S. economic growth in the first half of the year, which may provide grounds for future rate cuts if the trend continues [1]. - The recent meeting saw two Federal Reserve governors voting against the decision to maintain rates, highlighting the influence of external pressures, particularly from President Trump, who has called for rate cuts [1][2]. - Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that it is too early to determine if a rate cut will occur in September, emphasizing the need for more economic information before making a decision [4]. Group 2: Economic Outlook - Experts predict that the Federal Reserve may not lower rates until December, with expectations that inflation will rise and economic growth will slow down, leading to a more cautious approach [6]. - The Chicago Fed's index measuring the overall financial environment has dropped to its lowest level in over three years, indicating a relatively loose financial environment despite the high rates [6]. Group 3: Market Reactions - Following the Fed's statements, the probability of a rate cut in September decreased from approximately 65% to just below 50% [4]. - Gold prices fell over 1.5%, dropping below $3280 per ounce, while U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with significant declines in precious metal companies [8][9]. - The copper market reacted negatively to President Trump's announcement of a 50% tariff on imported semi-finished copper products, leading to an 18% drop in copper prices [16].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the reports. 2. Core Viewpoints - Due to geopolitical conflicts and tariff uncertainties, the game in the market is difficult, and it is recommended to participate with a light position or wait and see [1][2]. - The short - term market may mainly rebound. Risk - preferring investors are advised to try to go long on the 2510 contract below 1300 and try to go short on the EC2512 contract above 1650, setting stop - loss and take - profit levels. In the context of international situation turmoil, it is recommended to wait and see for arbitrage strategies. For the long - term, it is advised to take profits when the contracts rise and wait for the market to stabilize after a pullback before making further judgments [3]. 3. Summary by Related Content Market Sentiment and Macro Factors - The threat of US tariffs on copper and pharmaceuticals led to a 17% overnight increase in New York copper, boosting market bullish sentiment [1]. - Trump's tariff policies, including the postponement of the "reciprocal tariff" implementation to August 1st and the announcement of tariff rates for 14 trading partners, have an impact on the market. The market has digested the negative information, and bullish sentiment is high [2][4]. Shipping Indexes - On July 7, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (SCFIS) for the European route was 2258.04 points, up 6.3% from the previous period; for the US West route, it was 1557.77 points, down 3.8% [1]. - On July 4, the Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) composite index was 1285.2 points, down 7.92% from the previous period; the European route was 1442.5 points, down 0.03%; the US West route was 1176.6 points, down 24.27% [1]. - The Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) announced price on July 4 was 1763.49 points, down 98.02 points from the previous period. The SCFI European route price was 2101 USD/TEU, up 3.50%; the US West route was 2089 USD/FEU, down 18.97% [1]. - The China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) composite index on July 4 was 1342.99 points, down 1.9% from the previous period; the European route was 1694.30 points, up 3.3%; the US West route was 1084.28 points, down 10.5% [1]. Futures Market - On July 8, the main contract 2508 closed at 2006.2, with a 7.16% increase, a trading volume of 57,700 lots, and an open interest of 35,100 lots, an increase of 536 lots from the previous day [2]. - The daily limit for contracts 2506 - 2604 is adjusted to 16%, the margin is adjusted to 26%, and the daily opening limit for all contracts 2506 - 2604 is 100 lots [3]. PMI and Investor Confidence Index - The eurozone's June manufacturing PMI preliminary value was 49.4, the service PMI was 50 (a two - month high), and the composite PMI was 50.2. The Sentix investor confidence index was 0.2 [1]. - The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI in June was 50.4, up 2.1 percentage points from May [1]. - The US June Markit manufacturing PMI preliminary value was 52, the service PMI was 53.1, and the composite PMI was 52.8 [1].