由于中国采购量增加以及贸易商为应对欧佩克+可能释放的更多原油供应提前调整仓位布局推高了油轮 运费，美国原油对亚洲买家的吸引力正逐步下降。 此外，贸易商还指出，中东原油市场指标正快速走弱，具体表现为迪拜原油基准价差收窄，以及阿曼原 油、穆尔班原油等品种的价差同步缩小。这意味着，与远道而来的美洲原油相比，邻近的波斯湾国家原 油价格将更具竞争力。 值得注意的是，就在欧佩克+持续向市场增加原油供应的同时，美国国内原油市场却出现了供应趋紧的 初步迹象。美国政府数据显示，该国原油库存已连续第二周下降，目前库存水平降至今年1月以来的最 低水平。 据知情贸易商透露，中国炼油企业正抓紧下单采购原油，确保货物能在年底前到港，以用尽中国政府发 放的进口配额。这一需求直接推高了超大型油轮(VLCC)的使用率，导致可用于美洲至亚洲航线的油轮 数量减少。 波罗的海交易所数据显示，当前美国至中国航线的VLCC日租金已超过7万美元。尽管这一数字低于中 东至中国航线9万美元的日租金水平，但美洲航线的耗时至少多出两周，这使得整体运输成本大幅增 加。 利用地区价差从美国向亚洲出口原油的所谓"套利贸易"已成为近几个月现货市场的显著特征。本周印度 巴 ...

Group 1: Gold Market Insights - The gold market has become a focal point for global investors, with spot gold prices trading around $3536.79 per ounce, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 34.5% [1] - Spot gold prices recently surpassed the historical high of $3500 per ounce, reaching a peak of $3539.88, driven by concerns over a weak U.S. economy, trade policy uncertainties, and global geopolitical risks [1] - Upcoming U.S. economic data releases, including July factory orders and JOLTs job openings, along with speeches from several Federal Reserve officials, are expected to significantly impact the gold market [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The gold market is currently in a bullish trend, with the last wave of upward movement identified between the $3475-$3470 range, and key support and resistance levels at $3450 and $3500-$3508 respectively [2] - Investors are advised to focus on low long positions while being cautious with high short positions, paying close attention to critical support and resistance levels [2] Group 3: Oil Market Overview - The oil market is also under scrutiny, with Brent crude and WTI prices holding steady at $69.13 and $65.63 per barrel respectively, supported by sanctions and declining inventories [4] - Economic data weakness poses a risk to demand outlook, and future price movements will depend on OPEC+ policy decisions and the pace of global economic recovery [4] - Technical analysis indicates a downward subjective trend in the medium term for oil, while the short-term trend appears upward, with key support and resistance levels identified at $64.0-$63.0 and $67.0-$68.0 [4] Group 4: Investment Philosophy - The company emphasizes the importance of practical trading and advice over flashy rhetoric, advocating for sound risk management and good investment returns to enhance the investment experience for retail investors [4] - The company highlights the significance of having a knowledgeable mentor and technical team to guide investors, as external perspectives can lead to better decision-making [4][5] - Investors are reminded to prioritize safety and authority when selecting platforms and mentors, as well as to consider operational risks before focusing on profitability [5]

汇通财经APP讯——周一早盘，国际油价延续温和回落。布伦特原油期货 下跌0.39%，报每桶65.59美元 ；美国 西德克萨斯中质原油下跌 0.19%，报61.86美元。 投资者普遍认为，短期内原油市场的最大不确定性来自美国政策立场的转变。 据市场调查显示，俄罗斯原油的最大买家为亚洲国家，其次为印度。这意味着美国任何进一步的制裁都可能引发全球能源市场更大波 动。 美国总统特朗普上周五与俄罗斯总统普京在阿拉斯加会晤后，双方在推动和平谈判上展现出更一致的立场，而非单纯寻求停火。 "真正被市场消化的，是美国可能针对主要买家的二级制裁。而特朗普已明确表示，至少对亚洲国家不会立即采取额外措施。"——RBC Capital分析师Helima Croft 与此同时，投资者也在等待美联储 主席鲍威尔本周于杰克逊霍尔的讲话，以判断货币政策的未来方向。市场预期，美联储或将在9月17日 的FOMC会议前继续保持观望。 特朗普计划在周一与乌克兰总统泽连斯基及欧洲领导人会面，试图推动快速和平方案以结束这场被称为"欧洲八十年来最严重的冲突"。 "鲍威尔很可能维持审慎立场，依赖即将公布的就业和通胀数据，再决定是否降息。"——IG市场分析师T ...