Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains its profit forecast for Midea Real Estate (03990), expecting a year-on-year growth of 19% and 13% in core net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-26, reaching 601 million and 682 million respectively, while raising the target price by 36% to HKD 5.8 per share, corresponding to a 5.5% dividend yield for 2025 and a 23% upside potential [1] Group 1 - Midea Real Estate's 1H25 performance met market expectations, with revenue increasing by 41% to 1.997 billion, and core net profit attributable to the parent company rising by 119.4% to 312 million [2] - The inclusion of development services in the interim report significantly supported revenue and profit growth, with development service revenue of 505 million and operating profit of 162 million recorded in 1H25 [3] - The company expanded its property management and asset operation businesses, with property management revenue increasing by 9% to 930 million, while asset operation revenue rose by 14% to 275 million [4] Group 2 - The company is committed to enhancing its core competitiveness by deepening its layout in the real estate development industry chain, expecting development service revenue to reach approximately 1 billion for the full year of 2025 [5] - Midea Real Estate plans to maintain a competitive dividend policy, continuing its practice of semi-annual dividends, which is expected to provide a solid foundation for shareholder returns [6]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 228 million for the first half of 2025, representing a 12.3% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - Gross profit was RMB 47.8 million, a decrease of 23.4% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 21.0%, down 9.7 percentage points from 2024 [1] - The net profit after tax was RMB 19.8 million, reflecting a 16.1% decline compared to the previous year [1] Revenue Breakdown - Property services revenue reached RMB 140 million, accounting for 61.4% of total revenue, up from RMB 125 million in 2024, marking a 12.3% year-on-year growth [1] - Asset operation services generated RMB 80.1 million, representing 35.2% of total revenue, an increase of 19.8% from RMB 66.9 million in 2024 [1] - Investment and development revenue was RMB 7.8 million, making up 3.4% of total revenue, a decrease of 32.2% from RMB 11.5 million in 2024 [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the recent performance and financial status of Dexin Service Group, indicating a significant decline in stock price and financial metrics despite a recent uptick in share price [1][2] - As of July 14, the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.26%, while Dexin Service Group's stock price increased by 15.94% to HKD 0.8 per share, with a trading volume of 1,000 shares and a turnover of HKD 800 [1] - Over the past month, Dexin Service Group has experienced a cumulative decline of 13.75%, and a year-to-date decline of 38.39%, underperforming the Hang Seng Index by 20.34% [1] Group 2 - Financial data shows that for the year ending December 31, 2024, Dexin Service Group achieved total revenue of CNY 933 million, a year-on-year decrease of 2.32%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 38.47 million, down 37.71% year-on-year [1] - The company's gross profit margin stands at 20.1%, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 48.53% [1] - Currently, there are no institutional investment ratings for Dexin Service Group [1] Group 3 - In terms of industry valuation, the average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the real estate sector is 10.09 times, with a median of -0.16 times, while Dexin Service Group's P/E ratio is 15.24 times, ranking 62nd in the industry [1] - Other companies in the sector have varying P/E ratios, with Baishida Holdings at 0.72 times, Hengda Group Holdings at 1.71 times, China New City at 2.4 times, Ruosen Life Services at 2.82 times, and Xinyuan Services at 3.09 times [1] Group 4 - Dexin Service Group, established in 2004, is recognized as a leading service provider in the property management industry, focusing on five major business segments: basic property services, modern urban services, value-added living services, asset operation services, and industrial consulting services [2] - The company holds various qualifications, including being a first-class property service enterprise in China and has established a strong presence in the Yangtze River Delta region, managing nearly 150,000 households and over 39.24 million square meters of property [2] - Dexin Service Group has been listed among the top 100 property service companies in China for 11 consecutive years, ranking 20th in 2024 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue but achieved robust growth in net profit, indicating a resilient performance despite market challenges [2][6]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 20.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.9% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 450 million yuan, an increase of 34.0% [1]. - The gross margin decreased by 2.7 percentage points to 11.8%, and the expense ratio (excluding R&D expenses) increased by 1.2 percentage points to 7.1% [2]. - The net profit growth was primarily driven by an increase in the proportion of project equity transferred [2][6]. Sales and Land Acquisition - The company recorded sales of 35.1 billion yuan in Q1 2025, down 12.8% year-on-year, but the decline was less severe compared to the previous year [3]. - The total land acquisition amount reached 20 billion yuan, a significant increase of 102.0%, with a land acquisition intensity of 57% [3]. - The company focused on core first- and second-tier cities, with 93% of land acquisition in these areas, ensuring a solid foundation for future sales performance [3]. Financial Stability - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company had a debt-to-asset ratio of 60.5% (excluding advance receipts) and a net debt ratio of 51.1%, indicating a relatively low leverage level [4]. - The average financing cost was 2.99% at the end of 2024, maintaining the lowest level in the industry [4]. - The operational efficiency has been declining but the rate of decline has slowed, suggesting a potential stabilization [4]. Business Development - The asset operation business generated a total income of 7.46 billion yuan in 2024, with a stable EBITDA return rate of 6.42% [5]. - The urban service business achieved revenue of 4.46 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a growth of 19.9% [5]. - The company has established three domestic and international REITs platforms, enhancing the value of its existing assets and maintaining a leading position in exploring new business models [5]. Future Outlook - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 4.2 billion, 4.5 billion, and 4.9 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 19.9X, 18.6X, and 16.9X [6]. - Despite a high apparent P/E ratio, the actual P/B ratio is relatively low, indicating significant long-term value that is not yet reflected in the current valuation [6].