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2019-2025年9月中旬纸浆(进口针叶浆)市场价格变动统计分析
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-09-30 03:50
2019-2025年9月中旬纸浆(进口针叶浆)市场价格变动统计图 数据来源:国家统计局 相关报告:智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国再生纸浆行业市场现状调查及未来趋势研判报告》 根据国家统计局公布的数据,林产品类别下的纸浆(进口针叶浆)2025年9月中旬市场价格为5599.5元/ 吨,同比下滑8.57%,环比下滑0.73%,纵观近5年同时期其价格,2022年9月中旬达到最大值,有7484.7 元/吨。 ...
2019-2025年8月下旬纸浆(进口针叶浆)市场价格变动统计分析
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-09-21 02:27
2019-2025年8月下旬纸浆(进口针叶浆)市场价格变动统计图 相关报告:智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国再生纸浆行业市场现状调查及未来趋势研判报告》 根据国家统计局公布的数据,林产品类别下的纸浆(进口针叶浆)2025年8月下旬市场价格为5677.6元/ 吨,同比下滑8%,环比下滑1.57%,纵观近5年同时期其价格,2022年8月下旬达到最大值,有7255元/ 吨。 数据来源:国家统计局 ...
2019-2025年8月中旬纸浆(进口针叶浆)市场价格变动统计分析
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-09-07 00:26
根据国家统计局公布的数据,林产品类别下的纸浆(进口针叶浆)2025年8月中旬市场价格为5767.9元/ 吨,同比下滑5.39%,环比下滑0.08%,纵观近5年同时期其价格,2022年8月中旬达到最大值,有7247.3 元/吨。 2019-2025年8月中旬纸浆(进口针叶浆)市场价格变动统计图 数据来源:国家统计局 相关报告:智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国再生纸浆行业市场现状调查及未来趋势研判报告》 ...
纸浆周报:延续弱势,关注需求企稳情况-20250905
Guo Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-05 11:37
Group 1: Report Title and Date - The report is titled "Continued Weakness, Focus on Demand Stabilization - Guoxin Futures Pulp Weekly Report" and was released on September 5, 2025 [2] Group 2: Market Performance - The main pulp futures contract SP2511 showed a slight rebound but remained in a weak overall trend [7] Group 3: Fundamental Analysis Pulp Market Prices - As of September 4, the weekly average price of imported softwood pulp was 5,652 yuan/ton, down 0.44% from the previous week, with the decline narrowing by 0.69 percentage points. The weekly average price of imported hardwood pulp was 4,210 yuan/ton, up 0.48% from the previous week, turning from a decline to an increase [11] Cumulative Pulp Imports from January to July - In July 2025, China imported 2.877 million tons of pulp, with an import value of 1.7652 billion US dollars and an average unit price of 613.56 US dollars/ton. The cumulative import volume and value from January to July increased by 6.5% and 3.4% respectively compared to the same period last year [15] Port Inventory - As of September 4, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major Chinese regions and ports such as Baoding, Tianjin Port, Rizhao Port, Qingdao Port, Changshu Port, Shanghai Port, Gaolan Port, and Nansha Port was 2.0574 million tons, up 0.52% from the previous week, turning from a decline to an increase [19][34] European Pulp Consumption and Inventory in July - In July 2025, the total European port inventory decreased by 1.91% month-on-month and increased by 19.19% compared to July 2024. Only the port inventories in the Netherlands/Belgium/France/Switzerland increased by 1.72% month-on-month, while the port inventories in the UK, Germany, Italy, and Spain decreased by 26.03%, 6.96%, 1.45%, and 7.22% respectively [22] Downstream Pulp Utilization Rates - Wastepaper pulp accounts for 63% of China's total pulp consumption, wood pulp accounts for 31%, and imported wood pulp accounts for 21%. Non-wood pulp accounts for 6%. As of September 4, the operating rate of double-coated paper remained flat, that of offset paper decreased by 0.47 percentage points, that of white cardboard increased by 0.19 percentage points, and that of tissue paper decreased by 0.38 percentage points [27] Group 4: Future Outlook - The pulp inventory in major Chinese regions and ports increased by 0.52% from the previous week, turning from a decline to an increase. Some major hardwood pulp producers have raised their prices. The recent weak rebound in the market did not prompt the pulp market to follow suit. Downstream paper mills have limited acceptance of high prices and mainly purchase at low prices. The market showed a slight rebound. It is recommended to wait and see and focus on the stabilization of demand [34]
国泰海通:7月浆纸价格下跌放缓 箱瓦纸下旬拉涨
智通财经网· 2025-08-14 08:40
Group 1: Core Insights - The report from Guotai Junan indicates a slowdown in the decline of pulp and paper prices in July, with expectations for a rebound in pulp prices and stabilization in white paper prices, while black paper continues to rise [1] - The cultural paper segment faces ongoing supply-demand imbalances, with rising waste paper prices providing some support for corrugated paper prices [1] Group 2: Cultural Paper - As of July 29, the average market price for 70g wood pulp high white double glue paper was 5,094 RMB/ton, a decrease of 57 RMB/ton (1.11%) month-on-month and a drop of 525 RMB/ton (9.34%) year-on-year [2] - Factors affecting the market include limited adjustments in paper factory pricing, moderate inventory pressure due to concentrated orders, and weak downstream demand leading to cautious purchasing by distributors [2] Group 3: White Cardboard - As of July 29, the average market price for 250-400g flat white cardboard was 4,036 RMB/ton, down 1.25% from June and 9.02% year-on-year [3] - The market is characterized by oversupply, weak terminal demand, and cautious purchasing behavior from customers, with small paper mills offering limited-time promotions [3] Group 4: Corrugated Paper - As of July 29, the average market price for corrugated paper was 3,449 RMB/ton, a decrease of 52 RMB/ton (1.49%) from June and a year-on-year decline of 5.03% [4] - The market saw mixed price movements in early July, but a price increase from large paper mills in the latter half of the month led to a slight uptick in market prices [4] Group 5: Pulp Market - The main prices for imported broadleaf pulp are around 490 USD/ton, with some sources maintaining prices at 500 USD/ton, while imported softwood pulp prices remain stable [5] - The pulp market is characterized by weak demand from the paper industry, leading to a decline in pulp prices, despite some upward pressure from market sentiment and policy expectations [5]
2019-2025年7月下旬纸浆(进口针叶浆)市场价格变动统计分析
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-08-12 03:16
Group 1 - The market price of imported needle pulp in the category of forest products is 5869 yuan/ton as of late July 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 3.75% and a month-on-month increase of 0.56% [1] - The highest price in the past five years for the same period was recorded in late July 2022, reaching 7203 yuan/ton [1]
银河期货纸浆周报-20250714
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-07-14 07:39
Report Overview - Report Title: Pulp Weekly Report (Week 2, July 2025) [1] - Analyst: Pan Shengjie from the Commodity Research Institute [2] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The pulp market fundamentals are stabilizing [3] - The supply - demand relationship in the pulp market has not improved significantly, and weak demand restricts the rebound of pulp prices [4] - Global pulp market shows a growth trend in the past five months, especially the domestic market [4] Summary by Directory Pulp Market Fundamentals - This week, the spot prices of imported wood pulp varied. Imported softwood pulp prices rebounded from the bottom, narrowing the decline of the average price; imported hardwood pulp prices rose due to non - standard basis quotes and low - price reluctance to sell; the supply - demand relationship did not improve significantly, and the demand was weak; imported natural pulp and chemimechanical pulp prices followed the decline of imported softwood pulp prices [4] - From the monthly hardwood pulp balance data, the current fundamentals are favorable for the relative strength of hardwood pulp. The cost support for the hardwood - softwood price spread in July has improved [4] - Trump's new tariff policies push the US economic policy uncertainty index to a record high. The US tariff policy on Brazil may increase Brazil's hardwood pulp exports to other regions and is negative for the basis of Brazilian hardwood pulp. The US tariff on Canada is expected to be negative for the basis of Canadian softwood pulp [4] - As of May, global pulp shipments decreased by 1.7% year - on - year. Softwood pulp shipments decreased by 8.2% year - on - year, while hardwood pulp shipments increased by 3.1% year - on - year. However, the cumulative shipments in 2025 still had a nearly 10% year - on - year increase. The global pulp industry's operating rate was close to 90% for the second consecutive month in May, but it also brought inventory pressure. In May, softwood pulp inventory increased by 5 days to 46 days, and hardwood pulp inventory increased by 4 days to 51 days. The domestic paper - making enterprises' finished - product inventory decreased by 0.2% year - on - year in May, the first year - on - year decrease since April 2024 [4] Impact of Softwood Supply on SP Unilateral - As of May 2025, European bleached softwood kraft pulp inventory decreased by 238,000 tons month - on - month, consumption increased by 269,000 tons month - on - month, and the inventory - to - sales ratio was 0.89 times. The average value in the past 12 months increased by 4.7% year - on - year, with continuous marginal inventory accumulation for 6 months, which is negative for SP unilateral but with limited impact [11] - Domestic softwood chip imports increased for two consecutive months, reaching 21,000 tons (equivalent to 11,000 tons of pulp). Softwood pulp imports decreased for two consecutive months, reaching 821,000 tons. The total long - fiber imports were 832,000 tons, with a 4.3% year - on - year decrease in the cumulative value in the past 6 months, and the decline has been narrowing for 7 months, which is negative for SP unilateral but with limited impact [11] Impact of Hardwood Supply on Hardwood - Softwood Price Spread - As of May 2025, hardwood chip imports increased by 1.289 million tons month - on - month, equivalent to 644,000 tons of pulp; hardwood pulp imports increased by 1.309 million tons month - on - month. Softwood chip imports increased for two consecutive months, reaching 21,000 tons, equivalent to 11,000 tons of pulp; softwood pulp imports decreased for two consecutive months, reaching 821,000 tons. The short - fiber to long - fiber import ratio was 2.35 times, with a 10.5% year - on - year increase in the average value in the past 12 months, and the growth has been narrowing for 4 months, which is positive for the hardwood - softwood price spread [18] - The use of hardwood pulp in domestic paper decreased by 2.224 million tons month - on - month, and the use of softwood pulp decreased for three consecutive months, reaching 523,000 tons. The consumption ratio was 4.26 times, with an 8.0% year - on - year increase in the average value in the past 9 months, and the growth has been expanding for 8 months, which is positive for the hardwood - softwood price spread [18] Impact of International Pulp and Paper Trade on SP Unilateral - As of May 2025, domestic pulp import value increased by $1.906 billion month - on - month, and the US pulp import value decreased by $308 million month - on - month in April. The combined value (with a one - month lag) was $2.214 billion, with a 3.6% year - on - year decrease in the cumulative value in the past 3 months, and the decline has been expanding for 2 months, which is negative for SP unilateral but with limited impact [23] - The total export value of paper products from Japan, South Korea, and Brazil was $565 million, with a 5.4% year - on - year decrease in the cumulative value in the past 3 months, and the decline has been expanding for 2 months, which is negative for SP unilateral with full impact [23] Impact of Port Inventory on SP Unilateral - As of July 11, 2025, the total inventory of four ports and warehouse receipts was 2.378 million tons, with a 9.3% year - on - year increase, and continuous marginal inventory accumulation for 9 months, which is negative for SP unilateral [29] Impact of Port Inventory on Hardwood - Softwood Price Spread - As of July 11, 2025, the ratio of the four - port inventory to warehouse receipt inventory increased for four consecutive months, reaching 8.94 times. The average value in the past 6 months increased by 60.7% year - on - year, and the marginal inventory decreased for 3 months, which is relatively negative for hardwood pulp [34] Impact of Manufacturing PMI on SP Unilateral - As of June 2025, China's manufacturing PMI increased for two consecutive months, reaching 49.7 points, with a 0.2% year - on - year increase in the 12 - month average value, and the growth has been narrowing for 3 months. The US manufacturing PMI increased month - on - month, reaching 49.0 points, with a 1.3% year - on - year increase in the 12 - month average value, and the growth has been narrowing for 10 months, which is negative for SP unilateral [42] Impact of Domestic Paper Production and Inventory on SP Unilateral - As of April 2025, domestic paper industry electricity consumption decreased month - on - month, reaching 838 million kWh, with a 0.6% year - on - year increase in the cumulative value in the past 12 months, and the growth has been narrowing for 9 months, which is negative for SP unilateral [50] - Domestic paper industry finished - product inventory increased for four consecutive months, reaching 77.57 billion yuan, with a 5.6% year - on - year increase in the average value in the past 12 months, and continuous marginal inventory accumulation for 13 months, which is negative for SP unilateral [50] Impact of US Economic Policy and International Oil Price on SP Unilateral - As of July 2025, the US economic policy uncertainty index increased month - on - month, reaching 435.3 points, with an 82.8% year - on - year increase in the average value in the past 12 months, and the growth has been narrowing. Brent crude oil price decreased month - on - month, reaching $69.1 per barrel, with a 20.9% year - on - year decrease in the average value in the past 3 months, and the decline has been narrowing, with marginal strengthening, which is positive for SP price [56] Impact of International Trade and US Dollar Index on SP Unilateral - In May, China's total import and export volume decreased month - on - month, reaching $529 billion, with a 2.1% year - on - year increase in the cumulative value in the past 6 months, and the growth has been narrowing for 2 months, which is positive for SP valuation [57] - In June, the real broad - based US dollar index decreased for five consecutive months, reaching 114.9 points, with a 5.7% year - on - year increase in the average value in the past 9 months, and continuous marginal increase for 16 months, which is negative for SP unilateral. The general cycle of the US dollar index is 22 months [63]
纸浆周报:震荡下行,关注主力合约移仓换月-20250615
Guo Xin Qi Huo· 2025-06-15 01:59
Group 1: Report Summary - The report is a weekly paper pulp report from Guoxin Futures, covering the week up to June 15, 2025 [2] Group 2: Market Performance - The main contract of pulp futures shifted positions. The SP2509 contract showed a weak performance, with a weekly decline of 0.72% [6] Group 3: Fundamental Analysis Pulp Market Prices - As of June 12, the weekly average price of imported softwood pulp was 5,989 yuan/ton, remaining flat compared to the previous week and changing from a decline to stability; the weekly average price of imported hardwood pulp was 4,161 yuan/ton, rising 0.07% from the previous week and changing from a decline to an increase; the weekly average price of imported natural pulp was 5,272 yuan/ton, falling 0.75% from the previous week, with the decline rate widening by 0.17 percentage points; the weekly average price of imported chemimechanical pulp was 3,818 yuan/ton, falling 0.52% from the previous week, with the decline rate widening by 0.42 percentage points [11] April Pulp Imports - In April 2025, China imported 2.893 million tons of pulp, with an import value of 1.8252 billion US dollars and an average unit price of 630.90 US dollars/ton. The cumulative import volume and value from January to April increased by 1% and 0.5% respectively compared to the same period last year. In April, the import volume of softwood pulp was 757,500 tons, a month-on-month decrease of 5.03% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.57%; the import volume of hardwood pulp was 1.1993 million tons, a month-on-month decrease of 18.41% and a year-on-year decrease of 11.70% [15] Port Inventory - As of June 12, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major Chinese regions and ports such as Baoding, Tianjin Port, Rizhao Port, Qingdao Port, Changshu Port, Shanghai Port, Gaolan Port, and Nansha Port was 2.1771 million tons, a month-on-month increase of 2.07% and changing from a decline to an increase [18][34] European Inventory in April - In April 2025, the total inventory in European ports decreased by 12.81% month-on-month but increased by 13.61% compared to April 2024. In April, the inventory in the ports of the UK and Germany increased by 38.60% and 15.72% month-on-month respectively, while the inventory in the ports of the Netherlands/Belgium/France/Switzerland, Italy, and Spain decreased by 18.88%, 20.57%, and 2.67% month-on-month respectively. Overall, the inventory in most European ports decreased month-on-month, leading to a month-on-month decline in the total European port inventory in April [21] Consumption - Waste pulp consumption is the main consumption method of pulp in China, accounting for 63% of the total pulp consumption; wood pulp consumption accounts for 31% of the total pulp consumption, and imported wood pulp consumption accounts for 21% of the total pulp consumption; non-wood pulp consumption accounts for 6% of the total pulp consumption. In terms of wood pulp, the regular maintenance of domestic hardwood pulp industry sample enterprises ended this week, driving the industry's operating load rate to rebound by 2 percentage points compared to the previous week; the production schedule of chemimechanical pulp industry sample enterprises was stable, and the overall industry's operating load rate remained the same as the previous week. In terms of non-wood pulp, a few sample bamboo pulp enterprises stopped for maintenance, and the operating load rate decreased by 3 percentage points compared to the previous week; the previously maintained equipment of sugarcane pulp resumed production, and some enterprises flexibly switched to bagasse pulp production, with the operating load rate increasing by 7 percentage points compared to the previous week [27] Group 4: Future Outlook - As of June 12, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major Chinese regions and ports increased by 2.07% month-on-month and changed from a decline to an increase. Regarding the external quotation, after Chile's Arauco Company announced the external quotation for wood pulp in June, the June quotation of CMPC's hardwood pulp "Little Bird" remained unchanged; other pulp mills have not yet announced a new round of external prices. Imported wood pulp traders lowered the spot prices of some grades in some regions, and downstream paper mills showed insufficient enthusiasm for purchasing raw materials, with a strong wait-and-see attitude. The sales rhythm of the pulp market was slow, and the dynamic game continued. The operation suggestion is to wait and see for now [34]
纸浆周报:偏弱震荡,关注主力合约移仓换月-20250606
Guo Xin Qi Huo· 2025-06-06 09:29
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - The pulp futures market is in a weak and volatile state. The pulp market continues the dynamic game, with low price operation and weak price - rising momentum. It is recommended to wait and see for the time being [35] Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. This Week's Market Review - This week, the main contract of pulp futures shifted positions. The SP2509 contract was weakly operated, with a weekly decline of 1.32% [7] 2. Fundamental Analysis - **Pulp Market Price**: As of June 5, the weekly average price of imported softwood pulp was 5989 yuan/ton, down 0.50% from last week; the weekly average price of imported hardwood pulp was 4158 yuan/ton, down 0.83% from last week; the weekly average price of imported natural pulp was 5312 yuan/ton, down 0.58% from last week; the weekly average price of imported chemimechanical pulp was 3838 yuan/ton, down 0.10% from last week [12] - **April Pulp Import Volume**: In April 2025, China imported 289.3 tons of pulp, with an import amount of 1825.2 million US dollars and an average unit price of 630.90 US dollars/ton. The cumulative import volume and amount from January to April increased by 1% and 0.5% respectively compared with the same period last year. In April, the import volume of softwood pulp was 75.75 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 5.03% and a year - on - year decrease of 7.57%; the import volume of hardwood pulp was 119.93 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 18.41% and a year - on - year decrease of 11.70% [16] - **Port Inventory Situation**: As of June 5, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major Chinese regions and ports was 213.29 tons, a 1.6% decrease from last week, and the decline rate narrowed by 0.60 percentage points [19][35] - **April European Inventory**: In April 2025, the total inventory in European ports decreased by 12.81% month - on - month and increased by 13.61% compared with April 2024. The inventory in UK and German ports increased by 38.60% and 15.72% respectively month - on - month, while the inventory in ports of the Netherlands/Belgium/France/Switzerland, Italy and Spain decreased by 18.88%, 20.57% and 2.67% respectively month - on - month [22] - **Consumption Situation**: Waste pulp consumption accounts for 63% of the total pulp consumption in China; wood pulp consumption accounts for 31%, and imported wood pulp consumption accounts for 21%; non - wood pulp consumption accounts for 6%. The operating rates of downstream pulp types are diverging. The operating load rates of double - copper paper and white cardboard increased month - on - month, while those of double - offset paper and household paper decreased month - on - month. Paper mills' enthusiasm for purchasing raw materials is insufficient, and the pulp market sales rhythm is slow [28] 3. Future Outlook - The pulp inventory in major Chinese regions and ports decreased, and the decline rate narrowed. The operating rates of downstream pulp types are diverging. Paper mills' enthusiasm for purchasing raw materials is insufficient, and the pulp market continues the dynamic game. The domestic hardwood pulp market price is running at a low level, and the spot price of imported wood pulp in some regions is adjusted according to the market, with weak price - rising momentum. The pulp market continues the pattern of rebound and decline, and it is recommended to wait and see for the time being [35]