智通财经APP获悉，美国联邦政府停摆危机迫在眉睫，或将导致政策制定者、企业领袖和投资者无法获 取评估美国经济状况所需的关键数据。 当前，外界对特朗普各项政策给美国经济带来的影响仍存疑虑，在此背景下，联邦政府发布的就业、通 胀及消费数据显得尤为重要。数据的任何延迟都可能干扰关键政策决策——例如，美联储下月召开会议 时，是否应再次降息的判断便会受此影响。 安永帕特农首席经济学家Gregory Daco表示："没人愿意在本就迷雾重重的环境中'盲目航行'。" 若政府在9月30日后停摆，首当其冲受影响的重要数据将是原定于10月3日发布的劳工统计局就业报告。 该机构发布的核心通胀数据——消费者价格指数(CPI)将是下一个可能延期的关键指标，而人口普查局 计划发布的零售销售数据及新住宅建设数据，同样面临延迟风险。 | Indicator | Scheduled date | | --- | --- | | Initial jobless claims | Oct. 2, 9, 16 | | Monthly jobs report | Oct. 3 | | Trade balance | Oct. 7 | | Consume ...

Key Points - The financial market is set to experience a series of critical data releases and events this week, with a focus on the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision and the U.S. July Consumer Price Index (CPI) [1] - The Australian Reserve Bank unexpectedly maintained the official cash rate (OCR) at 3.85% in July, but market expectations lean towards a potential cut to 3.60% due to easing inflation and a declining employment report [3] - The U.S. July CPI data is anticipated to provide insights into inflation trends, especially after the unexpected underperformance of the non-farm payroll data, which has heightened expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September [5] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) will release their monthly energy outlook reports, which will offer guidance on oil demand, supply, and price forecasts [8] - The U.K. is expected to release GDP data for Q2 and June, with previous data indicating economic contraction, increasing pressure on the Bank of England to consider further rate cuts [9] - The Eurozone will also publish a revised GDP figure for Q2, with expectations of a modest growth rate of 0.1% [11] - Japan's GDP data for Q2 will be released, following a 0.7% year-on-year decline in Q1, raising concerns about the economic outlook and potential implications for the Bank of Japan's interest rate policy [12]