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铝行业周报:美联储降息预期反复,铝价高位回落-20251123
Guohai Securities· 2025-11-23 11:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the aluminum industry [1] Core Views - The aluminum price has recently retreated from high levels due to fluctuating expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with a notable drop in aluminum prices observed [6][9] - The demand for aluminum is entering a traditional off-season, leading to concerns about inventory levels and price stability [9] - Long-term prospects for the aluminum industry remain positive due to limited supply growth and potential demand increases, justifying the "Recommended" rating [9] Summary by Sections Price - As of November 21, the LME three-month aluminum closing price was $2808.0 per ton, down $500.0 from the previous week, a 2.3% decrease [13] - The Shanghai aluminum active contract closing price was 21340.0 yuan per ton, reflecting a 2.4% decrease compared to the previous week [19] Production - In October 2025, the aluminum production was 3.742 million tons, a month-on-month increase of 3.5% and a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [50] - The alumina production for the same month was 7.785 million tons, also showing a month-on-month increase of 2.4% and a year-on-year increase of 12.6% [50] Inventory - As of November 20, the domestic mainstream consumption area of aluminum ingot inventory recorded 621,000 tons, with a slight decrease of 2,500 tons from the previous week [7] - The overall inventory situation remains a concern as the market enters the off-season, with potential risks of inventory accumulation [9] Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - Key companies in the industry include China Hongqiao, Tianshan Aluminum, Shenhuo Co., China Aluminum, and Yun Aluminum, all rated as "Buy" [5]
索通发展跌2.16%,成交额4.21亿元,主力资金净流出5454.11万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 06:15
Core Viewpoint - The stock of Suotong Development has experienced a significant increase of 90.44% year-to-date, but has recently seen a decline of 12.66% over the past five trading days, indicating volatility in its performance [2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 19, Suotong Development's stock price was 25.33 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 12.617 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has seen a trading volume of 4.21 billion CNY on the same day, with a turnover rate of 3.26% [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock has risen by 90.44%, while it has decreased by 12.66% in the last five trading days [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Suotong Development reported a revenue of 12.762 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 28.66% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 654 million CNY, showing a substantial increase of 201.81% year-on-year [2]. Group 3: Shareholder and Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Suotong Development was 54,600, a decrease of 1.50% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 1.52% to 9,117 shares [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.148 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 629 million CNY distributed over the last three years [3].
天山铝业11月17日获融资买入5447.11万元,融资余额5.22亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 01:33
分红方面,天山铝业A股上市后累计派现74.80亿元。近三年,累计派现43.81亿元。 融资方面,天山铝业当日融资买入5447.11万元。当前融资余额5.22亿元,占流通市值的0.83%,融资余 额低于近一年20%分位水平,处于低位。 融券方面,天山铝业11月17日融券偿还25.14万股,融券卖出1.66万股,按当日收盘价计算,卖出金额 22.43万元;融券余量109.97万股,融券余额1485.69万元,超过近一年80%分位水平,处于高位。 资料显示,天山铝业集团股份有限公司位于上海市浦东新区张杨路2389弄3号普洛斯大厦9层,成立日期 1997年11月3日,上市日期2010年12月31日,公司主营业务涉及原铝、铝深加工产品及材料、预焙阳 极、高纯铝、氧化铝的生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为:销售自产铝锭65.26%,销售氧化铝 24.20%,销售铝箔及铝箔坯料6.89%,销售高纯铝2.10%,其他(补充)1.55%。 截至9月30日,天山铝业股东户数3.78万,较上期减少23.85%;人均流通股109224股,较上期增加 31.32%。2025年1月-9月,天山铝业实现营业收入223.21亿元,同比增长7.3 ...
索通发展股价跌5.03%,中信建投基金旗下1只基金重仓,持有1.06万股浮亏损失1.52万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 05:51
11月17日,索通发展跌5.03%,截至发稿,报27.02元/股,成交6.09亿元,换手率4.43%,总市值134.59 亿元。 资料显示,索通发展股份有限公司位于山东省临邑县恒源经济开发区新104国道北侧,成立日期2003年8 月27日,上市日期2017年7月18日,公司主营业务涉及预焙阳极的研发、生产及销售业务。主营业务收 入构成为:预焙阳极90.75%,其他(补充)4.57%,负极材料3.68%,电容器0.99%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示,中信建投基金旗下1只基金重仓索通发展。中信建投睿利A(003308)三季度增持3100股, 持有股数1.06万股,占基金净值比例为0.49%,位居第一大重仓股。根据测算,今日浮亏损失约1.52万 元。 中信建投睿利A(003308)成立日期2016年12月7日,最新规模1369.26万。今年以来收益44.27%,同类 排名1340/8213;近一年收益44.14%,同类排名978/8130;成立以来收益86.35%。 中信建投睿利A(003308)基金经理为艾翀、杨志武。 截至发稿,艾翀累计任职时间8年25天,现任基金资产总规模3.12亿元,任职期间最佳基金回 ...
索通发展股价跌5.03%,广发基金旗下1只基金重仓,持有4.56万股浮亏损失6.52万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 05:51
数据显示,广发基金旗下1只基金重仓索通发展。广发国证2000ETF(159907)三季度持有股数4.56万 股,占基金净值比例为0.61%,位居第七大重仓股。根据测算,今日浮亏损失约6.52万元。 广发国证2000ETF(159907)成立日期2011年6月3日,最新规模1.98亿。今年以来收益30.73%,同类排 名1651/4217;近一年收益29.77%,同类排名1250/3957;成立以来收益82.09%。 11月17日,索通发展跌5.03%,截至发稿,报27.02元/股,成交6.09亿元,换手率4.43%,总市值134.59 亿元。 资料显示,索通发展股份有限公司位于山东省临邑县恒源经济开发区新104国道北侧,成立日期2003年8 月27日,上市日期2017年7月18日,公司主营业务涉及预焙阳极的研发、生产及销售业务。主营业务收 入构成为:预焙阳极90.75%,其他(补充)4.57%,负极材料3.68%,电容器0.99%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 风险提示:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布,任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作 ...
铝行业周报:海外电解铝供应担忧,铝价突破22000元/吨-20251116
Guohai Securities· 2025-11-16 14:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the aluminum industry [1] Core Views - Concerns over overseas electrolytic aluminum supply due to power shortages have led to aluminum prices surpassing 22,000 RMB/ton [11] - The macroeconomic environment remains favorable, with expectations of continued demand growth despite entering the traditional off-season [11] - The aluminum industry is expected to maintain high prosperity in the long term due to limited supply growth and potential demand increases [11] Summary by Sections Price - As of November 14, the LME three-month aluminum closing price was 2,858.5 USD/ton, a decrease of 3.5 USD/ton week-on-week but an increase of 330.5 USD/ton year-on-year [21] - The Shanghai aluminum active contract closing price was 21,840.0 RMB/ton, up 215.0 RMB/ton week-on-week and up 1,075.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [21] Production - In October 2025, electrolytic aluminum production was 3.742 million tons, an increase of 127,000 tons month-on-month and 168,000 tons year-on-year [51] - The production of alumina in October 2025 was 7.785 million tons, up 182,000 tons month-on-month and 872,000 tons year-on-year [51] Inventory - As of November 13, the inventory of electrolytic aluminum ingots in major domestic consumption areas was 621,000 tons, with a slight decrease of 1,000 tons week-on-week [7] - The inventory of alumina at electrolytic aluminum plants was 3.281 million tons, an increase of 16,000 tons week-on-week [31] Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - China Hongqiao (1378.HK): Price 30.55 RMB, EPS forecast for 2025E is 2.65 RMB, with a PE ratio of 11.5, rated as "Buy" [5] - Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ): Price 14.02 RMB, EPS forecast for 2025E is 1.00 RMB, with a PE ratio of 14.0, rated as "Buy" [5] - Shenhuo Co. (000933.SZ): Price 25.73 RMB, EPS forecast for 2025E is 2.13 RMB, with a PE ratio of 12.1, rated as "Buy" [5] - China Aluminum (601600.SH): Price 11.66 RMB, EPS forecast for 2025E is 0.84 RMB, with a PE ratio of 13.8, rated as "Buy" [5] - Yun Aluminum (000807.SZ): Price 25.95 RMB, EPS forecast for 2025E is 1.88 RMB, with a PE ratio of 13.8, rated as "Buy" [5]
【研选行业+公司】“预焙阳极+负极”双轮驱动,业绩三年复合增长可观
第一财经· 2025-11-14 11:45
前言 券商研报信息复杂?机构调研数据过时?屡屡错失投资机会?那是你不会挖!想知道哪份研报有用?什 么时候该看?《研报金选》满足你!每日拆解热门产业链或核心公司,快市场一步的投研思维+严苛的 研报选择标准+几近偏执的超预期挖掘,游资私募都在用! 【今日速览】 ①"预焙阳极+负极"双轮驱动,预焙阳极签约产能将达500万吨,负极产能8万吨,机构看好公司产能 与估值双升,业绩三年复合增长可观; ②储能爆发式增长!这种材料需求激增440万吨,4%产量缺口谁来填补?机构推荐关注供给刚性最强 环节,兼具资源与产能优势的重点标的已圈出。 点击付费阅读,解锁市场最强音,把握投资机会! ...
索通发展股价跌5.04%,广发基金旗下1只基金重仓,持有4.56万股浮亏损失6.98万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 03:07
广发国证2000ETF(159907)成立日期2011年6月3日,最新规模1.98亿。今年以来收益32.35%,同类排 名1669/4216;近一年收益27.65%,同类排名1318/3955;成立以来收益84.34%。 广发国证2000ETF(159907)基金经理为霍华明。 11月14日,索通发展跌5.04%,截至发稿,报28.85元/股,成交5.36亿元,换手率3.66%,总市值143.70 亿元。 资料显示,索通发展股份有限公司位于山东省临邑县恒源经济开发区新104国道北侧,成立日期2003年8 月27日,上市日期2017年7月18日,公司主营业务涉及预焙阳极的研发、生产及销售业务。主营业务收 入构成为:预焙阳极90.75%,其他(补充)4.57%,负极材料3.68%,电容器0.99%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示,广发基金旗下1只基金重仓索通发展。广发国证2000ETF(159907)三季度持有股数4.56万 股,占基金净值比例为0.61%,位居第七大重仓股。根据测算,今日浮亏损失约6.98万元。 风险提示:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布,任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不 限于个 ...
天山铝业跌2.01%,成交额2.06亿元,主力资金净流出1672.20万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 02:24
11月14日,天山铝业盘中下跌2.01%,截至10:01,报14.16元/股,成交2.06亿元,换手率0.35%,总市值 658.71亿元。 资金流向方面,主力资金净流出1672.20万元,特大单买入671.38万元,占比3.26%,卖出1616.97万元, 占比7.86%;大单买入4381.43万元,占比21.31%,卖出5108.05万元,占比24.84%。 天山铝业今年以来股价涨89.46%,近5个交易日涨3.43%,近20日涨21.41%,近60日涨49.32%。 截至9月30日,天山铝业股东户数3.78万,较上期减少23.85%;人均流通股109224股,较上期增加 31.32%。2025年1月-9月,天山铝业实现营业收入223.21亿元,同比增长7.34%;归母净利润33.40亿元, 同比增长8.31%。 分红方面,天山铝业A股上市后累计派现74.80亿元。近三年,累计派现43.81亿元。 机构持仓方面,截止2025年9月30日,天山铝业十大流通股东中,香港中央结算有限公司位居第七大流 通股东,持股1.31亿股,相比上期增加1854.47万股。 责任编辑:小浪快报 资料显示,天山铝业集团股份有限公 ...
索通发展股价涨5.41%,中信建投基金旗下1只基金重仓,持有1.06万股浮盈赚取1.66万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 02:57
11月13日,索通发展涨5.41%,截至发稿,报30.57元/股,成交7.62亿元,换手率5.15%,总市值152.27 亿元。 截至发稿,艾翀累计任职时间8年21天,现任基金资产总规模3.12亿元,任职期间最佳基金回报 91.88%, 任职期间最差基金回报-23.39%。 杨志武累计任职时间2年346天,现任基金资产总规模4.19亿元,任职期间最佳基金回报46.35%, 任职 期间最差基金回报7.35%。 风险提示:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布,任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建 议。 责任编辑:小浪快报 数据显示,中信建投基金旗下1只基金重仓索通发展。中信建投睿利A(003308)三季度增持3100股, 持有股数1.06万股,占基金净值比例为0.49%,位居第一大重仓股。根据测算,今日浮盈赚取约1.66万 元。 中信建投睿利A(003308)成立日期2016年12月7日,最新规模1369.26万。今年以来收益43.82%,同类 排名1411/8145;近一年收益40.09%,同类排名1049/8059 ...