Group 1 - In July 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) remained flat year-on-year, with urban prices unchanged and rural prices down by 0.3% [1] - Food prices decreased by 1.6% year-on-year, while non-food prices increased by 0.3% [1] - The average CPI from January to July 2025 decreased by 0.1% compared to the same period last year [1] Group 2 - In July 2025, the CPI increased by 0.4% month-on-month, with urban prices up by 0.4% and rural prices up by 0.3% [1] - Food prices decreased by 0.2% month-on-month, while non-food prices increased by 0.5% [1] - Service prices rose by 0.6% month-on-month, contributing to the overall CPI increase [1] Group 3 - In July 2025, the prices of food, tobacco, and alcohol decreased by 0.8% year-on-year, impacting the CPI by approximately 0.21 percentage points [3] - Key contributors to the decline in food prices included eggs (down 11.2%), fresh vegetables (down 7.6%), and pork (down 9.5%) [3] - Other categories showed price increases, with other goods and services up by 8.0%, clothing by 1.7%, and living goods and services by 1.2% [3] Group 4 - Month-on-month, food, tobacco, and alcohol prices decreased by 0.1%, affecting the CPI by about 0.04 percentage points [7] - Fresh fruit prices fell by 3.4% month-on-month, while fresh vegetables rose by 1.3% [7] - Other categories saw price increases, with transportation and communication up by 1.5%, education and culture by 1.3%, and other goods and services by 0.9% [7]

Core Insights - China's total goods trade import and export value reached 21.79 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year growth of 2.9%, with exports at 13 trillion yuan, up 7.2%, and imports at 8.79 trillion yuan, down 2.7% [1][3] - The trade with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative accounted for 51.8% of total trade, with a value of 11.29 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth of 4.7% [1][10] - The diversification strategy in markets has shown significant results, with exports of high-tech products playing a crucial role in enhancing competitiveness [1][6] Trade Performance - In Q2, the total import and export value grew by 4.5% year-on-year, with June seeing a record monthly trade value of 3.85 trillion yuan, a 5.2% increase [5] - Exports of mechanical and electrical products reached 7.8 trillion yuan, growing by 9.5% and accounting for 60% of total exports [5][6] - The import of high-end equipment and electronic components has increased, reflecting the demand for advanced technology in China's manufacturing sector [8][12] Market Diversification - Trade with the U.S. saw a decline, with total trade value dropping by 9.3% to 2.08 trillion yuan, but recent talks have led to signs of recovery [9][10] - China's trade with over 190 countries and regions has increased, with 61 partners exceeding 50 billion yuan in trade, indicating a more diversified trade network [10][12] - The growth in trade with ASEAN and other emerging markets demonstrates the effectiveness of China's market diversification strategy [10][11] Foreign Investment - Foreign enterprises contributed significantly to China's trade, with their import and export value reaching 6.32 trillion yuan, a 2.4% increase [12] - The number of foreign enterprises engaged in trade reached 75,000, the highest since 2021, indicating a robust foreign investment environment [12] - Foreign companies are focusing on long-term development, with a notable increase in the import of high-end equipment and R&D goods [12][14] Future Outlook - The focus for the second half of the year will be on stabilizing traditional markets and expanding into emerging markets along the Belt and Road [12][14] - Recommendations include enhancing regional cooperation, optimizing import structures, and fostering new trade models such as cross-border e-commerce [13][14] - Emphasis on technological self-reliance and improving bargaining power in key sectors is crucial for sustaining trade growth [14]

Core Viewpoint - In June 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) showed a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, with urban prices rising by 0.1% and rural prices declining by 0.2% [1] Group 1: Year-on-Year Price Changes - In June, the prices of food, tobacco, and alcohol increased by 0.1%, contributing approximately 0.03 percentage points to the CPI [2] - Fresh fruit prices rose by 6.1%, impacting the CPI by approximately 0.12 percentage points; aquatic product prices increased by 3.4%, contributing about 0.07 percentage points [2] - Egg prices decreased by 7.7%, negatively affecting the CPI by about 0.05 percentage points; meat prices fell by 4.2%, leading to a 0.13 percentage point decline in the CPI, with pork prices down by 8.5% [2] - Grain prices decreased by 1.2%, impacting the CPI by approximately 0.02 percentage points; fresh vegetable prices fell by 0.4%, contributing a 0.01 percentage point decline [2] - Other categories saw price increases, with other goods and services, clothing, and education/culture/entertainment rising by 8.1%, 1.6%, and 1.0% respectively [2] Group 2: Month-on-Month Price Changes - In June, food, tobacco, and alcohol prices decreased by 0.3%, contributing approximately 0.09 percentage points to the CPI decline [4] - Fresh fruit prices fell by 3.3%, impacting the CPI by about 0.07 percentage points; egg prices decreased by 2.9%, contributing a 0.02 percentage point decline [4] - Meat prices saw a slight decrease of 0.6%, affecting the CPI by approximately 0.02 percentage points, with pork prices down by 1.2% [5] - Fresh vegetable prices increased by 0.7%, contributing approximately 0.01 percentage points to the CPI [5] - Other categories showed mixed results, with other goods and services, daily necessities, and healthcare prices rising by 0.5%, 0.2%, and 0.1% respectively [5]

Core Viewpoint - In April 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) showed a year-on-year decrease of 0.1%, with urban prices stable and rural prices down by 0.3% [1] Group 1: Year-on-Year Price Changes - In April, food and tobacco prices increased by 0.3%, contributing approximately 0.07 percentage points to the CPI [2] - Fresh fruit prices rose by 5.2%, impacting the CPI by about 0.11 percentage points; aquatic product prices increased by 1.5%, contributing 0.03 percentage points; and meat prices rose by 0.6%, adding 0.02 percentage points, with pork prices specifically increasing by 5.0%, contributing 0.06 percentage points [2] - Fresh vegetable prices decreased by 5.0%, negatively impacting the CPI by about 0.10 percentage points, while grain prices fell by 1.4%, contributing a decrease of 0.02 percentage points [2] - Among other categories, prices for other goods and services, clothing, and education/culture/recreation rose by 6.6%, 1.3%, and 0.7% respectively, while transportation and communication prices decreased by 3.9% [2] Group 2: Month-on-Month Price Changes - In April, food and tobacco prices increased by 0.2%, contributing approximately 0.05 percentage points to the CPI [5] - Fresh fruit prices rose by 2.2%, impacting the CPI by about 0.05 percentage points; aquatic product prices increased by 1.2%, contributing 0.02 percentage points; while fresh vegetable prices fell by 1.8%, negatively affecting the CPI by 0.04 percentage points [5] - Other categories saw price increases in other goods and services, education/culture/recreation, and healthcare by 2.4%, 0.4%, and 0.2% respectively, while housing and living goods/services prices remained stable [5]