Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance has been under pressure due to falling oil prices, with a potential bottom reversal in the refining sector expected as "anti-involution" policies are promoted [1][7] - The company reported a revenue of 103.9 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 7.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.05 billion yuan, down 24% year-on-year [4][5] - The report highlights the gradual production of new capacities and the ongoing development of high-value-added new material industrial chains [6] Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 46.9 billion yuan, down 13.5% year-on-year and 17.8% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 999 million yuan, down 47% year-on-year and 51% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] - Brent crude oil averaged 66.76 USD per barrel in Q2 2025, down 22% year-on-year and 11% quarter-on-quarter [5] - The company is expected to have net profits of 8.3 billion, 9.7 billion, and 10.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.18, 1.38, and 1.52 yuan [8][9] Industry Outlook - The "anti-involution" policies initiated in 2024 are expected to improve market competition and reduce vicious price competition in the refining industry, leading to a potential recovery in the sector's profitability [7] - The report emphasizes the shift in the petrochemical industry towards high-value-added transformations, indicating a new phase in policy direction [7] Valuation and Forecast - The report adjusts the profit forecast for 2025-2027 downwards, with expected net profits of 8.3 billion, 9.7 billion, and 10.7 billion yuan, reflecting a 10% reduction for 2025 [8] - The company is projected to maintain a high dividend policy, aiming to create a "growth + return" type of listed company [8]

Group 1 - The private economy is a significant force in China's economic landscape, with Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) Jiangsu Branch actively supporting private enterprises by aligning financial resources to their needs [1] - Jiangyin, known for having the most listed companies in China, is home to nearly 90,000 private enterprises that are innovating towards digital transformation [2] - Haian Group exemplifies local private economic success, evolving from a small workshop to a major clothing brand, utilizing automation and smart technology in its production processes [2][3] Group 2 - ABC Jiangyin Branch has provided 2.2 billion yuan in additional credit and 340 million yuan in loans to support Haian Group's digital transformation [3] - The bank has established a comprehensive financial service model for Haian Group, including working capital loans and supply chain financing, facilitating the opening of over 2,000 store accounts [3] - In Wuxi, Jiangsu Zhuoshengwei Electronics Co., Ltd. is recognized for its semiconductor project, receiving 1 billion yuan in credit support from ABC to address its long R&D cycles and funding needs [3] Group 3 - ABC Jiangsu Branch focuses on providing full lifecycle financial services to meet the diverse needs of medium and large private enterprises [4] - Hengli Group, a notable representative of the private economy, has transformed into a global industry leader, producing high-end functional polyester films with an annual capacity of 470,000 tons [4] - The bank has tailored various financial products to meet Hengli Group's complex needs, including syndicate loans and asset management financing [5] Group 4 - ABC Taizhou Jingjiang Branch promotes green development by offering comprehensive financial services to support the transformation of local manufacturing towards smart and green practices [7] - Jiangsu New Era Shipbuilding Co., Ltd. is a leading private shipbuilding enterprise, recognized for its ability to construct large LNG dual-fuel ships [7] - Over 18 years, ABC has issued guarantees totaling 14.88 billion yuan for 159 vessels for New Era Shipbuilding, enhancing the company's risk management capabilities [7][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 236.27 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.63%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.04 billion yuan, up 2.01% year-on-year. However, the non-recurring net profit decreased by 13.14% year-on-year to 5.21 billion yuan [2][6]. - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 58.51 billion yuan, down 5.14% year-on-year and 10.30% quarter-on-quarter, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.94 billion yuan, up 61.03% year-on-year and 78.39% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring net profit for the same period was 582 million yuan, down 42.91% year-on-year and 46.30% quarter-on-quarter [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company expects to achieve net profits of 7.12 billion yuan, 8.37 billion yuan, and 9.51 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 15.5X, 13.2X, and 11.6X based on the closing price on April 21, 2025 [12]. - The company has maintained a high cash dividend ratio, with cash dividends amounting to 56.07% of the net profit attributable to shareholders in 2023 [12]. Industry Position - The company is positioned as a unique large-scale chemical enterprise that integrates oil, coal, and chemicals, with significant production capacities located within the same industrial park, which reduces operational and logistics costs [12]. - The company has a production capacity of 5.2 million tons of PX and 1.8 million tons of pure benzene, which are high-value chemical products in demand [12]. Future Outlook - The company is focusing on optimizing operations, reducing debt, and enhancing shareholder returns as it approaches the end of its current investment and capital expenditure peak [12]. - New projects in fine chemicals and new materials are set to be launched, with the Suzhou Fenhu base expected to produce 470,000 tons of high-end functional polyester films annually [12].