鲜猪肉

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大越期货生猪期货早报-20250902
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-09-02 05:34
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The supply and demand of the domestic pig market are expected to increase this week, and the pig price is expected to bottom out and rebound, maintaining a volatile pattern. The LH2511 contract of live pigs is expected to fluctuate in the range of 13,400 - 13,800 [10]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Daily Prompt - The fundamentals show that in September, as the Mid - Autumn Festival and National Day approach, the supply of pigs and pork is expected to increase this week. The demand is boosted by the return of students to school and the approaching long - holiday, and the consumption of fresh pork is expected to increase. Overall, the market may see a situation of increasing supply and demand, with pig prices bottoming out and rebounding to maintain a volatile pattern. The market should pay attention to the monthly slaughter rhythm of group farms and the dynamic changes in the secondary fattening market [10]. - The basis: The national average spot price is 13,880 yuan/ton, and the basis of the 2511 contract is 255 yuan/ton, with the spot price at a premium to the futures price [10]. - Inventory: As of June 30, the live pig inventory was 424.47 million heads, a month - on - month increase of 0.4% and a year - on - year increase of 2.2%. As of the end of June, the inventory of breeding sows was 40.42 million heads, a month - on - month increase of 0.02% and a year - on - year increase of 4.2% [10]. - The market trend: The price is below the 20 - day moving average and the direction is downward [10]. - Main positions: The main positions are net long, and the long positions are increasing [10]. - Expectation: The supply and demand of live pigs have recently begun to pick up. It is expected that the pig price will bottom out and rebound this week, maintaining a range - bound pattern. The LH2511 contract of live pigs is expected to fluctuate in the range of 13,400 - 13,800 [10]. 2. Recent News - China's additional tariffs on pork imports from the United States and Canada have boosted market confidence. Affected by the off - season, as the Mid - Autumn Festival and National Day approach, the slaughter of large pigs has increased, resulting in an increase in both supply and demand of live pigs. The spot price has returned to a volatile pattern in the short term, and the futures price has also shown a range - bound pattern [12]. - The recent high - temperature weather has led to a short - term decline in pork demand. Affected by the increase in supply, the spot price of live pigs has been fluctuating weakly. However, due to the gradual recovery of demand, the downward space may be limited [12]. - The domestic pig farming profit has remained at a low level, and the short - term profit has deteriorated. The enthusiasm for slaughtering large pigs has been relatively high in the short term. The increase in both supply and demand supports the short - term price expectations of live pig futures and spot [12]. - The spot price of live pigs may fluctuate strongly before the National Day, and the futures price will generally return to a range - bound pattern in the short term. Further observation of the growth of supply and demand is needed in the future [12]. 3. Bullish and Bearish Factors - Bullish factors: The domestic pig consumption has entered the peak season before the long - holiday, and the room for further decline in the domestic live pig spot price may be limited [13]. - Bearish factors: The domestic macro - environment has a pessimistic expectation due to the Sino - US tariff war, and the domestic live pig inventory has increased year - on - year [13]. - Current main logic: The market focuses on the slaughter situation of live pigs and the demand for fresh meat [13]. 4. Fundamental Data - The report provides data on live pig futures, warehouse receipts, and spot prices from August 22 to September 1, including the prices of the main 2511 contract, far - month 2601 contract, and some regional spot prices [14]. - It also presents various charts related to the fundamentals of live pigs, such as the basis and spread trends of live pig futures, the average prices of different specifications of live pigs in the spot market, and indicators on the supply side (including pig prices, piglet indicators, inventory at different levels, pork imports, fattening costs, etc.), the slaughter side (including prices, profits, etc.), and the demand side (including consumption trends, etc.) [15][17][23]. 5. Position Data - Not provided in the content
华统股份股价报10.73元 公司回应屠宰业务产能利用率问题
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 14:21
Group 1 - The latest stock price of Huatong Co., Ltd. is 10.73 yuan, an increase of 1.04% compared to the previous trading day [1] - The stock reached a maximum of 10.74 yuan and a minimum of 10.56 yuan during the trading session, with a transaction amount of 1.07 billion yuan [1] - Huatong Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in livestock slaughtering and meat processing, with main products including fresh pork and frozen pork [1] Group 2 - The company operates in the food manufacturing industry, covering the entire industry chain from pig farming to slaughtering and deep processing of meat products [1] - The current capacity utilization rate of the slaughtering business is maintained at 30%-40%, with stable profitability in this segment [1] - The company's asset-liability ratio has significantly decreased within the year, with specific operational data to be disclosed in future announcements [1]
华统股份股价平盘 养殖成本持续下降
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 14:41
Group 1 - The stock price of Huatong Co., Ltd. was reported at 10.57 yuan on August 8, remaining unchanged from the previous trading day [1] - The trading volume on that day was 56,517 hands, with a transaction amount of 0.6 billion yuan [1] - Huatong Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in livestock slaughtering and processing, as well as deep processing of meat products, with main products including fresh pork and fresh poultry [1] Group 2 - The company stated on its investor interaction platform that the breeding costs continued to decline in the second quarter [1] - On August 8, the net outflow of main funds was 6.1496 million yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 8.4930 million yuan over the past five days [1]
天虹股份中标结果:招商银行采购结果公告(总行员工餐厅食品项目-标段2:鲜猪肉)
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-02 12:02
Group 1 - The core announcement is about the procurement results for the employee cafeteria food project at China Merchants Bank, specifically for fresh pork [1][2]. - The procurement method used was competitive negotiation [2]. - The selected suppliers for the project include Tianhong Shuke Commercial Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen Nongchuan Meiyi Meat Industry Co., Ltd. [3]. Group 2 - The procurement project is identified as the "Head Office Employee Cafeteria Food Project" with a specific focus on fresh pork [1]. - A total of 12 suppliers responded to the procurement request, indicating a competitive bidding environment [2]. - The announcement was made by the Procurement Management Department of China Merchants Bank on August 2, 2025 [4].
湖南重要民生商品价格趋稳 市民“菜篮子”拎得更轻松
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-21 06:07
Core Insights - The monitoring report from June 16 to June 20, 2025, indicates that the supply of essential consumer goods in Hunan Province is sufficient, with overall market prices remaining stable [4][5]. Price Stability in Grains and Oils - The average prices for early indica rice, late indica rice, and japonica rice remain stable at 2.28 yuan, 2.63 yuan, and 2.85 yuan per 500 grams respectively [4]. - The prices of edible oils show minor fluctuations, with peanut oil and soybean oil experiencing slight declines, while rapeseed oil sees a slight increase [4]. Trends in Pork Prices - Prices for live pigs and piglets continue to decline, with average market prices at 14.52 yuan per kilogram and 25.44 yuan per 500 grams, reflecting decreases of 0.89% and 0.70% respectively [5]. - Fresh pork prices (lean meat) have seen a slight increase of 0.15%, reaching 13.59 yuan per 500 grams, but compared to the same period last year, live pig prices have dropped by 22.06% [5]. Fluctuations in Beef, Lamb, and Poultry Prices - The average market prices for fresh beef (boneless) and fresh lamb (bone-in) are 38.86 yuan and 32.57 yuan per 500 grams, showing increases of 0.18% and decreases of 0.28% respectively [6]. - Chicken and egg prices have slightly decreased, with chicken priced at 13.17 yuan and eggs at 6.18 yuan per 500 grams, reflecting changes of -0.08% and -0.32% respectively [6]. Vegetable and Fruit Price Trends - Among the monitored vegetables, only white radish prices increased by 2.58%, while cucumber, eggplant, tomato, and pumpkin prices generally fell, with eggplant experiencing the largest drop of 9.93% [7]. - In the fruit category, apple prices saw a minor increase of 0.15%, while banana and watermelon prices decreased by 1.28% and 8.51% respectively [7].
WH GROUP(00288) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-29 09:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1 2025, total revenue reached $6.554 billion, a 6% increase year over year [3] - EBITDA was $786 million, reflecting a 16.6% increase compared to the previous year [3] - Operating profit stood at $598 million, up 19.4% year over year [3] - Profit attributable to owners was $364 million, a 20.9% increase from last year [3] - Basic earnings per share were $2.84, also a 20.9% increase year over year [3] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Packaged meats accounted for 49.5% of total revenue and 83.8% of operating profit in Q1 2025 [4] - The pork business contributed 42.9% of revenue and 21.9% of operating profit [4] - Other businesses contributed 7.6% of revenue but incurred a loss of $34 million [4] - In North America, operating profits increased by 72.8% to $330 million [9] - In China, operating profit was $250 million, down 14.3% year over year [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In China, the average hog price was RMB 15.99 per kilogram, up 7.3% year over year [6] - In the U.S., the average hog price was $1.44 per kilogram, up 14.1% year over year [6] - In Europe, the average hog price was $1.40 per kilogram, down 11.8% year over year [7] - The number of slaughter hogs in China increased by 0.1% year over year to 195 million heads [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to consolidate global resources, improve product mix, adjust pricing, and control costs [10] - Key business priorities include improving the pork business, expanding market networks, and optimizing the business portfolio [11] - The focus remains on industrialization, diversification, internalization, and digitalization to enhance market position [10] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumer demand remains soft, impacting the packaged meat business [12] - The company is implementing eight measures to return the packaged meat business to growth, including specialized sales forces and enhanced marketing efforts [14][16] - Management expects the second quarter to show recovery in packaged meat volume and profit [16] Other Important Information - The hog production business is seen as a supporting business rather than a core focus, with strategies tailored to local market conditions [42][43] - The company plans to maintain a vertical integration level of 20% to 30% in hog production, focusing on fresh pork and packaged meat as core businesses [65] Q&A Session Summary Question: Reasons for decline in China packaged meat business - Management cited soft consumer demand, destocking by distributors, and slow adaptation to market channel changes as key reasons [12][13] Question: Outlook for packaged meat business in Q2 2025 - Management expects the packaged meat business to stop declining and gradually recover in Q2, with full-year growth anticipated [16] Question: Impact of tariffs on hog prices - Management believes tariffs will have limited short-term impact on hog prices, with supply and demand balance being the primary driver [34][35] Question: Hog production improvement drivers - The improvement in hog production is driven by reduced raising costs and improved KPIs rather than hog prices [21] Question: U.S. pork business outlook - Management expects profitability in the U.S. pork business to improve in Q2 and Q3, aligning with seasonal trends [67]