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帮主郑重:OpenAI 5000亿估值,是泡沫还是未来门票?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-05 08:01
不过咱也得清醒,这估值里的风险一点不少。我查了下数据,它上半年看着营收高,其实烧了25亿现金,研发和算力成本是个无底洞,一次模型训练就要好 几亿,服务器年费更是高达160亿。而且竞争早不是一家独大了,Meta挖人都开上亿奖金,Anthropic在API业务上都已经反超它了,这些都是实实在在的挑 战。 很多人拿它和谷歌比,说谷歌市值3万亿,净利润1000亿,OpenAI还没盈利,这估值太贵了。但中长线看,估值从来不是看当下的利润,而是看市场空间和 护城河。麦肯锡说2030年AI能给全球经济贡献13万亿,OpenAI站在基础模型这个核心位置,要是能保持技术领先,把现在的优势转成可持续的商业模式, 那这个估值就有支撑。 所以在我看来,5000亿既不是纯粹的泡沫,也不是稳赚的保单。它更像资本给AI时代投的一张长期选票,赌的是OpenAI能成为下一个基础设施级的公司。 作为普通投资者,不用盯着短期波动,重点看它的技术迭代能不能跟上,新出的电商、社交功能能不能真的变现,毕竟能兑现的价值才叫价值。 可能有人会问,这不就是一次员工卖股票的交易吗?怎么就算出5000亿估值了?没错,这次是OpenAI允许老员工卖股份,软银、普信 ...
OpenAI公布上半年业绩:销售额43亿美元,烧钱25亿美元
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-30 09:56
在个人市场领域,ChatGPT Plus 付费用户数量已突破 1.2 亿,以每月 20 美元的订阅费用为平台贡献了稳定的现金流,形成 良性循环;企业市场方 面,ChatGPT Enterprise 凭借定制化模型与 API 服务,成功与微软、谷歌等科技巨头及金融、医疗行业头部企业建立合作,单客户年均付费超百万 美元,年化收入约 25 亿美元;此外,应用商店集成与垂直领域插件服务作为生态补充,年内预计还将为 OpenAI 带来超 10 亿美元的额外收入,进 一步丰富了营收结构。 近日,OpenAI 公布了今年上半年业绩。根据 The Information 的报道,OpenAI上半年营收已达 43 亿美元,较 2024 年全年营收高出 16%,月收入更 是突破 10 亿美元关口,全年营收预计将攀升至 130 亿美元。这一增长态势背后,是 "C 端订阅 + B 端服务" 的双轮驱动模式持续发力。 值得注意的是,净亏损中大部分来自可转股权益重估的会计调整,若剔除这一因素,实际经营亏损为 78 亿美元,但这一数字仍显著高于同期营收 规模,盈利压力可见一斑。 从行业竞争格局来看,OpenAI 虽在整体规模上领跑,但与主 ...
ChatGPT成OpenAI营收主力军,2025年预计收入近百亿,2030年增长预期再提升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-07 04:26
Group 1 - OpenAI is expected to achieve nearly $10 billion in revenue from ChatGPT in 2025, contributing to a total revenue of $13 billion, while operating costs are projected to exceed $8 billion, an increase of $1.5 billion from previous estimates [1] - The revenue forecast for 2030 has been raised by approximately 15%, indicating continued optimism regarding the commercialization prospects of artificial intelligence [1] Group 2 - ChatGPT's revenue structure is driven by both enterprise services and personal subscriptions, with ChatGPT Enterprise establishing long-term partnerships with major tech companies and traditional industry leaders, generating significant revenue [3] - The number of ChatGPT Plus paid users has surpassed 120 million, with a subscription fee of $20 per month, ensuring stable cash flow and creating a positive feedback loop for model optimization [3] Group 3 - Collaborations with third-party platforms, including deep integration with Apple and Android app stores, are expected to generate over $1 billion in revenue this year [4] - OpenAI's success is attributed to its ability to meet enterprise digital transformation needs and user personalization demands, effectively converting technological value into commercial value through a combination of general models and scenario-based solutions [4]
Vibe Coding,一场幻觉和焦虑催生的行业狂欢
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-04 11:38
Core Viewpoint - Vibe Coding, a new AI programming approach, simplifies coding by allowing users to describe their needs in natural language, but it does not eliminate the complexities of software development and can lead to significant technical debt [1][4][18] Group 1: Vibe Coding Overview - Vibe Coding enables users to generate code by simply describing their ideas, making it popular among developers and businesses [1][3] - Many AI programming tools promote the idea of "one-sentence development," leading to misconceptions about the ease of software creation [3][4] Group 2: Limitations of Vibe Coding - Vibe Coding can create initial prototypes but lacks the capability to handle the full software development lifecycle, exposing the limitations of non-technical users [4][7] - The reliance on AI-generated code often results in increased technical debt, as developers must spend additional time fixing bugs and managing code quality [5][6] Group 3: Industry Impact - The rise of Vibe Coding has led to unrealistic expectations among business leaders, resulting in project timelines being drastically reduced without considering the complexities involved [5][12] - The perception that AI can replace basic programming roles has contributed to a wave of layoffs in the tech industry, particularly affecting junior developers [12][17] Group 4: Market Dynamics - Despite the hype, a significant portion of developers (72%) are not engaging in Vibe Coding, indicating that it is not yet a mainstream practice [15] - The promotion of Vibe Coding has been fueled by a combination of developer anxiety and marketing strategies that exaggerate its capabilities [13][16] Group 5: Future Outlook - While Vibe Coding has potential for simple applications, it is unlikely to become the dominant method for complex software development due to the need for human oversight and expertise [9][12] - The industry may need to recalibrate its expectations regarding the capabilities of AI in programming, recognizing that software development requires a deep understanding of business needs and quality standards [18]
蚌埠住了!OpenAI回应申请CEO被拒绝:这被视为世界末日
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 10:27
Group 1 - A person named Oztok applied for the CEO position at OpenAI, as reported by AI blogger Liang Sai on September 1 [2] - OpenAI rejected Oztok's application, citing concerns over the content of his application [5] - Oztok's application included a statement about replacing all executives with ChatGPT agents, which raised alarms within OpenAI's executive team [6][7] Group 2 - Oztok proposed to acquire Google for the name alone and to recruit Meta's entire AI team by offering lifetime access to ChatGPT Plus, which was flagged as destructive by the legal department [7] - OpenAI expressed admiration for Oztok's courage but opted for a more traditional candidate who did not demand 50% ownership of the company [7] - The incident sparked humorous reactions on social media, with comments highlighting the absurdity of Oztok's proposals [8][9]
“不好!我应聘 OpenAI CEO,居然被拒了”。网友:史上最狂求职者!
程序员的那些事· 2025-09-02 09:05
Core Viewpoint - A candidate named Ömer Öztok proposed unconventional ideas to replace OpenAI's CEO Sam Altman, which included using ChatGPT to replace the entire executive team and acquiring Google [1][3][4]. Group 1 - Ömer Öztok's application to OpenAI included bold suggestions such as offering lifetime free ChatGPT Plus memberships to attract Meta's entire AI team [4]. - The response from OpenAI was a humorous rejection, indicating that Öztok's ideas were perceived as overly ambitious and potentially chaotic [3][6]. - The rejection letter highlighted that OpenAI preferred a more traditional candidate who did not demand 50% of the company's shares [3][4]. Group 2 - The story of Öztok's application has gained traction online, with many users mocking his extreme proposals [6]. - The authenticity of the rejection letter remains uncertain, but it has already sparked widespread discussion [6].
「我申请当 OpenAI CEO ,收到了一封拒绝信」
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 03:27
Core Points - A user named Ömer Öztok applied for the CEO position at OpenAI, showcasing a bold and unconventional approach in his application [1][4] - The application included radical proposals such as replacing the entire executive team with a ChatGPT Agent and acquiring Google for its name, which were deemed "destructive" by OpenAI's legal team [8][9] - The response from OpenAI highlighted concerns over Öztok's ambitious plans and his request for 50% ownership of the company, ultimately leading to the decision to choose a more traditional candidate [8][9] Company Insights - Öztok is a co-founder of Sondra, a company focused on solving issues related to "vibe coding," indicating his entrepreneurial background and expertise in cybersecurity [12] - The marketing strategy employed by Öztok through this application serves as a dual-purpose tactic for personal branding and increasing visibility for Sondra [12][14] - The incident has sparked discussions online, with some users humorously suggesting that Öztok should apply to other companies like Tesla, showcasing the viral nature of the marketing stunt [13][14]
OpenAI被曝计划在印度打造超大型数据中心
财联社· 2025-09-01 12:10
Core Viewpoint - OpenAI is planning to establish a large-scale data center in India as part of its strategy to tap into the country's vast market of 1.45 billion people, despite recent tensions between the US and India over tariff issues [1][7]. Group 1: Investment Plans - OpenAI is looking for local partners in India to build a data center with a minimum capacity of 1 gigawatt (GW) [1]. - This facility is expected to be one of the largest data centers in India, following significant investments from other tech giants like Microsoft and Alphabet [2]. - Microsoft announced an additional investment of $3 billion in India for data centers, while Alphabet plans to invest $6 billion in a 1 GW data center, including $2 billion for renewable energy [2]. Group 2: Market Strategy - OpenAI's CEO, Sam Altman, is expected to announce the construction plan during his visit to India this month [3]. - In August, Altman revealed that India is OpenAI's second-largest market for users, following the US, and could soon become the largest [5]. - To capitalize on this trend, OpenAI launched a market-specific subscription plan, ChatGPT Go, priced at 399 Indian Rupees (approximately 32.22 RMB), which offers enhanced features compared to the traditional ChatGPT Plus [5][6]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The introduction of ChatGPT Go comes amid intense market competition, with OpenAI's user base in India growing fourfold compared to the previous year, although it still lags behind Perplexity AI, which saw a 640% increase in monthly active users [6]. - OpenAI's "Star Gate" project aims to establish partnerships globally, with interest expressed from 30 countries, and is part of a broader strategy to expand its presence in Asia [7].
8点1氪:黄河特大桥发生垮塌事故;大连一高校全员停发工资,被执行超35亿;多地快递费上涨
36氪· 2025-08-25 00:11
Group 1 - The collapse of the Yellow River Bridge resulted in 12 fatalities and 4 missing persons, with China Railway Group initiating emergency response and investigations [4] - Dalian University of Technology faced salary suspension for all staff due to account freezes, with the university promising temporary financial support [5][7] - The logistics industry is experiencing price increases in express delivery services, particularly in Guangdong and Zhejiang, as companies adjust to reduce intense competition [7] Group 2 - The film "Wang Wang Mountain Little Monster" has entered the top four of the 2025 box office rankings with a cumulative box office exceeding 1.239 billion [9] - Xiaomi plans to open over 20,000 stores by the end of the year, with the largest store in Yunnan recently opened [10] - The company Lucky Coffee, under Mixue Group, opened its first overseas store in Malaysia, selling nearly 2,000 cups on the opening day [10] Group 3 - The Shanghai license plate auction results showed a minimum transaction price of 93,300 yuan, with an average price decrease from the previous month [11] - Approximately 60 listed companies are planning to use idle funds for stock investments, with Jiangsu Guotai proposing to invest up to 138 billion yuan [13] - Beijing's urban rail transit will increase the maximum train speed to 120 km/h, effective January 1, 2026 [14] Group 4 - Foreign capital is rapidly buying Chinese stocks, with hedge funds net buying at the fastest pace in seven weeks, indicating a shift in investment sentiment [14] - Coca-Cola is reportedly considering selling its UK coffee chain Costa, having engaged investment banks to evaluate the potential sale [14] - SpaceX plans to conduct the tenth flight test of its Starship rocket, following improvements made after previous test failures [15] Group 5 - The solar industry in China is moving towards sustainable development, with approximately 1.24 million solar-related companies currently registered [21] - The company Tin Industry reported a net profit of 1.062 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 32.76% [18] - The company Asia Optical reported a net profit of 5.38 million yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year decrease of 36.21% [19]
宇树即将发布“芭蕾舞者”,拥有31个关节自由度;Meta公布Reels短视频音频翻译功能,利用AI多语言配音对口型丨AIGC日报
创业邦· 2025-08-25 00:08
Group 1 - Meta has launched a new audio translation feature for Reels short videos, utilizing AI to automatically translate speech into different languages, significantly reducing the cost of multilingual video production [2] - The AI model supports lip-syncing and can translate conversations between two people, creating a more natural video experience by synthesizing voice tracks similar to the original speakers [2] Group 2 - OpenAI is in discussions with the UK government regarding a potential agreement to provide UK residents access to its premium product, ChatGPT Plus, although the cost could reach £2 billion [2] - Despite concerns over the accuracy of chatbot responses and issues related to privacy and copyright, the UK Secretary of State for Science remains enthusiastic about opportunities in the AI sector [2] Group 3 - xAI, founded by Elon Musk, has open-sourced its Grok 2.5 model, with plans to release Grok 3 in approximately six months [2] Group 4 - Yushutech is set to unveil a humanoid robot named "Ballet Dancer," featuring 31 degrees of freedom (DOF), a first for the company [2][3] - The robot is designed with an agile and elegant appearance, emphasizing its advanced joint capabilities [4]