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Wedbush Analyst Dan Ives Upbeat on Tesla Inc. (TSLA) Despite Lower Delivery Numbers
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-07 11:50
Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) is one of the 8 best American stocks to buy and hold in 2026. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives released an update on Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock after the EV maker announced its delivery figures for the full year 2025. While the delivery numbers weren’t impressive, the analyst was upbeat, calling them a step in the right direction. There's No One Who Wants To Go Against Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), Says Jim Cramer Hadrian / Shutterstock.com In Q4, Tesla delivered 418,227 vehicles while produci ...
海外Robotaxi产业链深度梳理
2026-01-07 03:05
海外 Robotaxi 产业链深度梳理 20260106 摘要 英伟达入局智能驾驶,推动行业发展,其开放平台加速车企从 L2 向 L4 自动驾驶升级。小鹏汽车是特斯拉港股映射标的,地平线是英伟达港股 映射标的。Robot Taxi 先行者包括小马智行和文远知行,网约车运营商 如曹操出行、如祺出行也在转型。 海外 Robot Taxi 市场分为北美、欧洲、中东和东南亚。北美市场由 Uber 和 Lyft 双寡头垄断,政策封闭;欧洲市场管理碎片化,本土企业 根基不稳;中东市场高客单价、高政策支持,是中国企业的理想试验田; 东南亚市场基础设施落后,短期内难以大规模推广。 北美对非本土网约车及 Robotaxi 包容度低,Uber 和 Lyft 占据主导; 欧洲相对包容但法律割裂;中东包容度最高,中国企业已进入;东南亚 高度本地化,对四轮车发展不友好。 预计到 2030 年,中国共享出行市场总量最高,Robotaxi 渗透率约 5%;北美渗透率可达 20%;欧洲渗透率约 5%;中东发展速度快;东 南亚规模小且渗透率低。 Q&A 英伟达在 2026 年 CES 展上的表现如何?其在智能汽车领域的地位和影响力 如何? 在 ...
如何看L3自动驾驶及Robotaxi投资机会?
2025-12-22 15:47
如何看 L3 自动驾驶及 Robotaxi 投资机会?20251222 摘要 L3 级别自动驾驶与现有技术相比有哪些特点? 特斯拉近期进行了无人状态下的 Robotaxi 测试,这标志着其技术评估已达到 相对成熟阶段。作为一家拥有 200 万辆存量车辆的大型车企,其数据收集、闭 环及泛化迭代能力非常强,因此这一进展可能预示着特斯拉距离充分商业化又 近了一步。同时,CyberCab 是特斯拉专门为 Robotaxi 设计的一款硬件车型, L3 级别对应的是有条件自动驾驶或半自动驾驶,其定义是在符合标准的道路和 车型上开启自动驾驶模式。在这种模式下,如果发生问题,由车辆负责处理并 报警。如果报警后若干秒内(通常为 8 秒)未接管,则由驾驶员负责。因此, L3 是人机共驾的重要阶段,为未来向 L4 甚至 L5 过渡做准备。 从消费角度看, L3 更适合 C 端用户,因为很多驾驶员在高速公路上行驶时路况稳定且单一,而 交通参与者较少,这种情况下使用 L3 具有实际意义。而 Robotaxi 则更多瞄准 L4,因为其经济意义之一是减少司机费用。总体而言,本次发放的两张长安和 北汽的牌照,不仅标志着国家对这些企业研发投入 ...
特斯拉(TSLA):周报-20251209
First Shanghai Securities· 2025-12-09 11:07
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Tesla (TSLA) [4]. Core Insights - Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) v14.2.1 update includes significant enhancements, allowing drivers to send text messages while driving, subject to traffic conditions [3]. - The FSD experience project in Europe has been extended, with a new trial period from December 1, 2025, to March 31, 2026, in major cities across Germany, France, and Italy [5]. - Tesla's Optimus robot has shown improved capabilities, including natural running and enhanced dexterity, moving closer to the vision of robots manufacturing other robots [6]. - Demand for the Model Y in China remains strong, with delivery dates pushed to early 2026 due to high order volumes [7]. - New versions of the Model 3 and Model Y have been launched in Europe, with competitive pricing aimed at increasing market penetration [9]. - Tesla is expanding its CyberCab production team and upgrading external camera systems to enhance its autonomous driving capabilities [10][11]. - The Megapack project in Hokkaido, Japan, has officially launched, contributing to Tesla's growth in the energy storage market [12]. Summary by Sections FSD Update - Major updates to FSD v14.2.1 include new texting capabilities while driving, pending regulatory considerations [3]. European Expansion - The FSD experience has been well-received in Europe, leading to an extension of the trial period [5]. - New Model 3 and Model Y standard versions have been introduced in Europe, with competitive pricing [9]. Robotics Development - The Optimus robot has demonstrated significant advancements in movement and dexterity, aligning with Tesla's manufacturing vision [6]. Electric Vehicle Demand - The Model Y continues to perform well in the saturated Chinese market, with delivery timelines indicating strong demand [7]. Production and Technology Enhancements - Tesla is actively hiring for its CyberCab production team and upgrading its camera systems to support autonomous driving [10][11]. - The Megapack project in Japan marks a significant step in Tesla's energy storage initiatives [12].
新力量NewForce总第493期
First Shanghai Securities· 2025-11-14 08:13
Financial Performance - Robinhood Markets reported total revenue of $1.274 billion for Q3 2025, doubling year-over-year and increasing nearly 30% quarter-over-quarter[5] - Net profit reached $556 million, a significant increase of 271% year-over-year and 44% quarter-over-quarter[5] - Adjusted EBITDA was $742 million, up 177% year-over-year, with a profit margin of 58%[5] Revenue Breakdown - Trading revenue amounted to $730 million, with cryptocurrency revenue tripling year-over-year to $268 million; options and stock revenues increased by 50% and 132%, respectively[6] - Net interest income grew by 66% to $456 million, while securities lending income surged by 193%[6] User Metrics - Average revenue per user increased to $191, an 82% year-over-year rise[6] - Retirement account assets grew by 144% to $24.2 billion, with adoption rates 2.5 times higher than regular accounts[6] Market Expansion and Product Development - The company is on track for annualized revenue of nearly $300 million by October 2025, a significant acceleration from $115 million in Q3[7] - New features targeting professional traders and international clients are being rolled out, with nearly 700,000 international customers[7] Financial Guidance and Valuation - The adjusted operating expense guidance for 2025 is raised to approximately $2.28 billion, reflecting ongoing investments in products and technology[8] - The target price for Robinhood is set at $150.00, representing a 23% upside from the previous closing price, with a PE ratio of 65x[9] Risks - Potential decline in retail user engagement and regulatory changes affecting payment for order flow (PFOF) could impact future performance[10]
拿下“万亿薪酬”的马斯克,又抛出重磅新计划!
老徐抓AI趋势· 2025-11-13 08:46
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent Tesla shareholder meeting where Elon Musk's compensation plan was approved, highlighting various ambitious plans for Tesla's future, including advancements in Full Self-Driving (FSD), the introduction of CyberCab, the development of the Optimus robot, and the strategic decision to manufacture chips in-house [2][4]. Compensation Plan - Musk's compensation plan, initiated in 2018, allows him to unlock 1% of shares for each of the 12 milestones achieved, totaling a potential 12% increase in his holdings, bringing his total to approximately 25% of Tesla [6]. - The plan is based on the expectation of increasing Tesla's market value from $1.4 trillion to $8.5 trillion over the next decade, implying a sixfold increase in stock price [6]. - Despite a 75% approval rate, 25% of votes opposed the plan, reflecting polarized opinions on Musk's leadership and the potential for investment opportunities arising from this division [9]. New Strategic Directions - Musk's "new book" strategy focuses on sustainable abundance through AI, with key initiatives including FSD, CyberCab, Optimus, and in-house chip manufacturing [10]. - The FSD program is reaching a critical point where it aims to transition from supervised to fully autonomous driving, with a target for full approval in China by early 2024 [14][16]. CyberCab Development - The CyberCab, designed without a steering wheel or pedals, aims for a revolutionary manufacturing process that allows for a vehicle to be produced in under 10 seconds [18]. - Upgrades to manufacturing systems are expected to increase production capacity by 50% within the same factory space, with a target annual production of 2.7 million vehicles by the end of 2026 [20]. Optimus Robot - The Optimus robot is being developed with a focus on advanced dexterity and AI capabilities, with a production target set for 2026 [22][27]. - The robot's design incorporates a unique biomechanical approach to movement, aiming for mass production efficiency [24]. Chip Manufacturing Strategy - Tesla plans to develop its own AI chips to overcome supply chain constraints, targeting performance levels comparable to leading competitors but with significantly lower costs and power consumption [28]. - The decision to manufacture chips in-house is driven by the anticipated future demand and the need for self-sufficiency in production capabilities [28]. Roadster Launch - The highly anticipated Roadster is set to be unveiled on April 1, 2024, with promises of groundbreaking technology [30]. Energy Storage and Supply Chain - Tesla is focusing on enhancing energy storage capabilities to double the usable electricity without the need for new power plants, presenting a significant market opportunity [31]. - The company is also investing in securing its supply chain by building one of the largest lithium refining plants outside the U.S. and establishing its own cathode production lines [32]. 2026 as a Pivotal Year - The year 2026 is projected to be a critical turning point for Tesla, with multiple product launches and production milestones expected to be achieved [33].
马斯克可能真觉得,造车没意思了
华尔街见闻· 2025-11-10 10:24
Core Viewpoint - The approval of Elon Musk's $1 trillion compensation plan by over 75% of Tesla shareholders highlights the strong belief in Musk as the driving force behind Tesla's success and future growth [4][5][7]. Group 1: Compensation Plan Details - The $1 trillion compensation plan is tied to ambitious targets, including Tesla's market value and operational metrics, broken down into 12 milestones [9][11]. - Currently, Tesla's market value is approximately $1.5 trillion, with the plan requiring significant increases in market capitalization to unlock stock options for Musk [13]. - Operational goals include delivering 20 million vehicles and achieving 10 million active Full Self-Driving (FSD) subscriptions, alongside achieving an adjusted EBITDA of $400 billion [14][15][17]. Group 2: Current Performance and Challenges - Tesla's vehicle deliveries have faced declines, with a 13% drop in Q1 and a 13.5% drop in Q2, although Q3 showed improvement due to new model releases [21][22]. - The main models, Model 3 and Model Y, have not seen significant updates, raising concerns about competition from both domestic and international automakers [23][24]. - Tesla's reliance on vehicle sales alone is insufficient for growth, necessitating a shift towards becoming a technology company focused on AI and robotics [27]. Group 3: Future Growth Strategies - Musk aims to increase production to 2.6-2.7 million vehicles by the end of 2026, with a target of 4 million by 2027 and 5 million by 2028, representing a 50% growth from current levels [31][32]. - The introduction of the Cybertruck and the production of Robotaxis are seen as potential growth areas, with the latter expected to leverage FSD technology [49][50]. - The Optimus humanoid robot is positioned as a transformative product, with plans for mass production and a vision of integrating robots into everyday life [53][55]. Group 4: Supply Chain and Production Challenges - Tesla has faced battery supply issues in the past and is now focusing on developing its own battery production capabilities [59]. - The company is also exploring partnerships for chip manufacturing, indicating a proactive approach to mitigate supply chain risks [62][63].
特斯拉近况
数说新能源· 2025-11-10 06:38
Group 1: Tesla's Equity Incentive Plan - The equity incentive plan consists of 12 stages, with 12 market value milestones and 12 operational milestones. Each completed pair allows Musk to unlock 1% of Tesla shares [1] - Currently, Musk holds approximately 13% of Tesla shares, which could increase to 25% if the entire incentive plan is executed [2] - The market value milestones range from a minimum of $2 trillion to a maximum of $8.5 trillion [3] Group 2: Operational Milestones - The operational milestones include three product-related and nine profit-related targets. The product-related goals are to achieve a fleet of 20 million electric vehicles by 2030, produce 1 million Robotaxis, and complete 1 million humanoid robots within the next decade, though timelines for the latter two are uncertain [4] Group 3: Shareholder Voting Dynamics - The 2024 vote on the 2018 equity incentive plan received 72% approval, and a similar outcome is expected in 2025, likely exceeding 50% support. The majority of Tesla's shareholders are retail investors who generally trust Musk, increasing the likelihood of favorable votes [5] Group 4: Business Progress and Outlook - In the automotive sector, Tesla plans to increase its production from approximately 1.6 million units this year to around 2.5 million by the end of 2026, with further increases to 4 million by 2027 and over 5 million by 2028. However, challenges include the impact of the cancellation of EV subsidies and competition in the Chinese market [6] - The Robotaxi business aims to begin mass production of the CyberCab by April 2026, with significant growth potential. The current Full Self-Driving (FSD) version shows improvements, but still lags behind competitors like Waymo [7] - In the robotics sector, Tesla plans to mass-produce its third version of robots by the end of 2026, with an initial production line capacity of 1 million units [8] - The energy storage business is expected to double in 2024 compared to 2023, with significant growth anticipated in 2025, driven by the need for power supply solutions in the AIGC sector [9]
马斯克可能真觉得,造车没意思了
虎嗅APP· 2025-11-09 09:32
Core Viewpoint - The approval of Elon Musk's $1 trillion compensation plan by over 75% of Tesla shareholders highlights the strong belief in Musk as the soul of Tesla, despite the ambitious nature of the performance targets set for this compensation plan [5][6]. Group 1: Compensation Plan Details - The compensation plan includes two main targets: Tesla's market value and operational metrics, broken down into 12 milestones, incentivizing Musk to achieve these goals [9][11]. - Currently, Tesla's market value is approximately $1.5 trillion, with the first milestones requiring an increase of $500 billion, escalating to $1 trillion for the final targets [12][13]. - If Musk meets all targets, Tesla's market value could reach $8.5 trillion, granting him 423.7 million shares, potentially increasing his ownership to 25% [15][16]. Group 2: Current Performance Challenges - Tesla has faced declining delivery volumes, with a 13% drop in Q1 and a 13.5% drop in Q2, leading to concerns about overall sales for the year [19][20]. - The main models, Model 3 and Model Y, have not seen significant updates, and the anticipated lower-cost Model 2/Q has not been announced, raising competitive concerns [21][22]. - Tesla's reliance on vehicle sales alone is insufficient for growth, necessitating a shift towards becoming a technology company focused on AI and robotics [25][24]. Group 3: Future Growth Strategies - Musk aims to increase production to 2.6-2.7 million vehicles by the end of 2026, with a target of 4 million by 2027 and 5 million by 2028, representing a 50% growth in sales [28][29]. - The introduction of the Robotaxi and Optimus humanoid robot is part of Tesla's strategy to diversify its offerings beyond traditional vehicle sales [41][45]. - Tesla is also addressing potential supply chain issues by developing its own battery production and exploring partnerships for chip manufacturing, indicating a proactive approach to future challenges [49][51].
马斯克可能真觉得,造车没意思了
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-09 05:19
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk's $1 trillion compensation plan was approved by over 75% of Tesla shareholders, highlighting his significance to the company [1] Group 1: Compensation Plan Details - The compensation plan includes two ambitious targets related to Tesla's market value and operational metrics, divided into 12 milestones [3][4] - If Musk meets all targets, Tesla's market value could reach $8.5 trillion, and he would own 25% of the company [8][9] Group 2: Operational Challenges - Tesla's delivery numbers have been declining, with a 13% drop in Q1 and a 13.5% drop in Q2 of 2025 [11][12] - The company aims to deliver 2 million vehicles cumulatively, with current deliveries exceeding 800,000 [7][12] Group 3: Future Growth Strategies - Tesla plans to transition from a car manufacturer to a technology company focused on AI and robotics [15] - Musk set ambitious production targets, aiming for 2.6-5 million vehicles by 2028, which represents a 50% growth from previous years [17] Group 4: Full Self-Driving (FSD) Developments - The latest FSD version includes advanced features like language understanding and improved navigation capabilities [19][24] - FSD's sales model faces challenges, with only about 1% of Tesla's revenue coming from it, indicating consumer reluctance to pay for ongoing services after purchasing a vehicle [25] Group 5: Robotaxi and Optimus - Tesla is set to begin production of its Robotaxi, CyberCab, in April 2024, which could revolutionize its business model [28] - The Optimus robot aims to integrate into daily life and replace human labor, with a target production of 1 million units to reduce costs [30][33] Group 6: Supply Chain and Production Challenges - Tesla is addressing past battery shortages by developing its own battery production lines and considering partnerships for chip manufacturing [36]