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纺织服装行业周报 20251019:特步、361度发布Q3运营数据,运动板块仍有韧性-20251019
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, highlighting potential growth opportunities in the textile and apparel sector [20][25]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector has shown resilience, with the SW textile and apparel index outperforming the SW All A index by 3.3 percentage points during the period from October 13 to October 17, 2025 [3]. - Domestic demand is gradually recovering, while external demand remains volatile, emphasizing the value of globalized production capacity [10][11]. - The report suggests that companies with mature overseas capabilities and the ability to allocate production globally will benefit from the ongoing shifts in the supply chain due to U.S. tariff policies [8][11]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The SW textile and apparel index decreased by 0.3%, while the SW apparel and home textiles index increased by 0.4%, outperforming the SW All A index by 4.0 percentage points [3]. - Retail sales in the clothing, shoes, and textiles category reached 940 billion yuan from January to August, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.9% [10]. Export Data - In September, China's textile and apparel exports amounted to $24.42 billion, a year-on-year decline of 1.0%. However, textile yarn, fabric, and products saw an increase of 6.4% [10][44]. - Vietnam's textile exports grew by 9.1% in the same period, indicating a shift in production orders and competitive advantages for overseas production [8][11]. Cotton and Wool Prices - As of October 17, the national cotton price B index was reported at 14,683 yuan per ton, down 0.6% from the previous week [46]. - The Australian wool index showed a significant year-on-year increase of 30.7%, indicating strong demand in the wool market [10]. Company Performance - 361 Degrees reported a 10% year-on-year increase in retail sales for its main brand and children's line, while e-commerce sales grew by approximately 20% [16]. - Xtep International's main brand saw a low single-digit growth in retail sales, with online sales outperforming offline [22]. - The report highlights the strong performance of companies like Bosideng, Anta, and Li Ning, suggesting they are well-positioned to capitalize on the upcoming winter season [9][14]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality domestic brands that are beginning to reverse their challenges, particularly in the sports and outdoor segments [14]. - Specific companies highlighted for investment include Bosideng, Anta, and 361 Degrees, with a suggestion to monitor Xtep and other emerging brands [14].
东吴证券:361度(01361)超品店开店加速 维持“买入”评级
智通财经网· 2025-10-17 06:59
Group 1: 361 Degrees (01361) - The main brand's offline sales, children's clothing offline sales, and e-commerce sales for Q3 2025 grew approximately 10%, 10%, and 20% year-on-year, respectively, continuing the performance from Q2 [1] - The discount rate is close to 70%, remaining relatively stable [1] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 1.3 billion, 1.46 billion, and 1.62 billion yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 8, 8, and 7 times, indicating a low valuation and maintaining a "buy" rating [1] - As of Q3 2025, the number of super stores reached 93, with 44 new stores added compared to Q2, and the company plans to open an additional 20 large super stores in Q4 [1] - The super stores have better store area and location compared to traditional store types, effectively enhancing overall store efficiency [1] - New online channels include Meituan Flash Delivery and Meituan Group Purchase, providing consumers with a 30-minute rapid delivery service [1] - Product innovations in Q3 2025 include the launch of "Rain Shield 9th Generation" running shoes, professional marathon racing shoes "Fei Ran 4.5", basketball shoes "DVD4", and outdoor product series "Light Wild" [1] - Brand collaborations with NBA stars Jokic and Gordon during their China and Asia tours, respectively, enhance brand image and drive category sales [1] Group 2: ONEWAY - During the National Day holiday, ONEWAY opened six new stores, anticipating strong sales performance for the autumn and winter skiing season [2] - The company acquired the operational rights for the Finnish outdoor brand ONEWAY in Greater China in 2013 and has undergone adjustments during the pandemic [2] - In 2024, the brand underwent a renewal and opened six new stores in northern cities during the 2025 National Day holiday, with store sizes ranging from 100 to 120 square meters and approximately 120 SKUs [2] - The new stores cover three product lines: NUUKSIO, SISU, and LUXE, focusing on professional skiing, outdoor activities, and urban outdoor styles, primarily featuring clothing [2] - There are plans to enrich the product line in the future [2]
361度(01361):25Q3流水点评:超品店开店加速,户外品牌ONEWAY焕新亮相
Soochow Securities· 2025-10-17 03:51
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has shown strong growth in its main brand, with offline and children's clothing sales both increasing by approximately 10%, and e-commerce sales growing by about 20% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [7] - The rapid expansion of super stores has exceeded expectations, with 93 super stores opened by Q3 2025, including 80 large stores and 13 children's clothing stores, and an additional 20 large super stores expected to open in Q4 2025 [7] - The product matrix has been upgraded with new releases, including advanced running shoes and outdoor products, enhancing market competitiveness [7] - The outdoor brand ONEWAY has opened six new stores during the National Day holiday, indicating strong sales potential for the upcoming winter sports season [7] - The company maintains a low valuation with projected net profits of 1.3 billion, 1.46 billion, and 1.62 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 8, 8, and 7 [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 8,423 million yuan in 2023 to 13,990 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21.01% in 2023 and declining to 10.57% by 2027 [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 961.43 million yuan in 2023 to 1,616.25 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 28.68% in 2023 and tapering to 10.89% by 2027 [1] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to rise from 0.46 yuan in 2023 to 0.78 yuan in 2027 [1] - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 11.51 in 2023 to 6.85 in 2027, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [1]
361度(01361.HK):流水延续双位数增长 ONEWAY加快线下布局
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-15 20:58
Group 1 - The company achieved approximately 10% year-on-year growth in offline sales for its main brand and children's clothing in Q3 2025, with e-commerce sales growing around 20%, demonstrating strong operational resilience amid a weakening retail environment [1] - The inventory level remained healthy, with a channel sales ratio stabilizing at 4.5-5 times, and the terminal discount rate maintained at around 30%, indicating effective inventory and discount management [1] - The company has rapidly expanded its core channel innovation "super stores," opening 23 new locations in September alone, totaling 93 stores by the end of Q3, with a strong likelihood of reaching a target of at least 100 stores by year-end [2] Group 2 - The product matrix has been continuously refreshed, with new iterations launched across core categories, including advanced running shoes and basketball footwear, showcasing the company's innovation capabilities [2] - The One Way brand is re-entering the offline market with a focus on the mid-to-high-end outdoor segment, opening 6 new stores during the National Day holiday, which is expected to create a second growth curve for the company [3] - The company has been deepening its capabilities in product, brand, and channel over the past two decades, with a focus on high cost-performance and strong functionality, positioning itself for continued growth and market share increase [4]
361度(01361.HK):第三季度流水保持双位数增长 超品店拓展至93家
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-15 20:58
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a positive retail performance for Q3 2025, with a 10% growth in offline retail for the main brand and children's clothing, and a 20% growth in e-commerce [1][2][3] Retail Performance - In Q3 2025, adult apparel offline sales grew approximately 10%, children's apparel offline sales also grew about 10%, and e-commerce sales increased by around 20%, with growth rates remaining stable compared to the previous quarter [1][2] - Monthly performance showed August as the best month, while September faced more pressure [2] Product Innovation - The company continues to innovate products to meet diverse consumer needs, including: - Running shoes with enhanced waterproof and breathability features [2] - Basketball shoes incorporating supercar design elements and lightweight features [2] - Cycling apparel designed for long-distance rides [2] - New children's footwear products catering to youth sports needs [2] Channel Expansion - The company expanded its super premium stores to 93 locations, with 44 new stores opened in Q3 [2] - Online channels have been enhanced through partnerships with Meituan for quick delivery services [2] - The introduction of ONEWAY stores and a women's sports concept store aims to diversify the sales channels [2] Inventory and Discount Management - The inventory-to-sales ratio remains stable at 4.5-5.0, with retail discounts around 70% in Q3, showing a slight increase compared to previous periods [3] Investment Outlook - The company maintains a positive growth outlook, projecting net profits of 1.25 billion, 1.35 billion, and 1.48 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 8.5%, 8.7%, and 9.4% respectively [1][3]
361度(01361):三季度流水保持双位数增长,超品店拓展至93家
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-14 15:09
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2][4][9] Core Views - The company reported a retail performance for Q3 2025 with approximately 10% growth in both the main brand's offline retail and children's clothing, and around 20% growth in e-commerce [3][4] - The company continues to innovate products to meet diverse consumer needs and has expanded its super stores to 93 locations, maintaining stable inventory levels and slightly increasing discounts [4][6][9] - The company is expected to maintain its profit forecasts, with projected net profits of 1.25 billion, 1.35 billion, and 1.48 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 8.5%, 8.7%, and 9.4% respectively [4][10][11] Summary by Sections Retail Performance - In Q3 2025, the adult apparel offline sales grew by approximately 10%, children's apparel also grew by about 10%, and e-commerce sales increased by around 20%, with growth rates remaining stable compared to previous quarters [4][5][6] Product Innovation - The company has launched new products across various categories, including running shoes with enhanced waterproof technology, basketball shoes with advanced design features, and children's shoes tailored for young athletes [6][7] Channel Expansion - The company has expanded its super stores to 93, with 44 new stores opened in Q3. These stores offer a comprehensive range of products and a one-stop shopping experience [6][7] Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenue growth of 21% in 2023, 19.6% in 2024, and 11% in 2025, with net profit growth of 28.7% in 2023 and 19.5% in 2024 [10][14]
361度(01361):第三季度流水保持双位数增长,超品店拓展至93家
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-14 07:17
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2][4][9] Core Insights - The company reported a retail performance for Q3 2025 with approximately 10% growth in both the main brand's offline retail and children's clothing, and around 20% growth in e-commerce [3][4] - The company continues to innovate products to meet diverse consumer needs and has expanded its super stores to 93 locations, maintaining stable inventory levels and slightly increasing discounts [4][6][9] - The company is expected to maintain a resilient growth trajectory, with projected net profits of 1.25 billion, 1.35 billion, and 1.48 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 8.5%, 8.7%, and 9.4% [4][10][11] Summary by Sections Retail Performance - In Q3 2025, the adult apparel segment saw approximately 10% growth, the children's apparel segment also grew by about 10%, and e-commerce experienced around 20% growth, with growth rates remaining stable compared to previous quarters [4][5][6] Product Innovation - The company has launched new products across various categories, including running shoes with enhanced waterproof technology, basketball shoes with advanced design features, and children's shoes tailored for young athletes [6][7] Channel Expansion - The number of super stores has increased to 93, with 44 new stores opened in Q3. These stores focus on a comprehensive product range and a self-service shopping model [6][7][9] Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenue growth of 21% in 2023, 19.6% in 2024, and 11% in 2025, with net profit growth of 28.7% in 2023 and 19.5% in 2024 [10][14]
361度(01361):流水延续双位数增长,One Way加快线下布局
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming months [8]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong resilience in the retail environment, achieving approximately 10% year-on-year growth in both its main brand and children's clothing lines, with e-commerce sales growing around 20% [8]. - The company is expanding its offline presence through innovative channel strategies, including the rapid rollout of "super stores," which have shown significant growth potential [8]. - The product matrix continues to evolve with new iterations in core categories, showcasing technological advancements and innovation [8]. - The One Way brand is being revitalized with a focus on the mid-to-high-end outdoor market, with new store openings and a refreshed product line [8]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with projected net profits of 12.6 billion, 13.9 billion, and 15.1 billion RMB for FY2025E, FY2026E, and FY2027E respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 9, 8, and 7 [8]. Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections are as follows: - FY2023: 84.23 billion RMB - FY2024: 100.7 billion RMB - FY2025E: 111.8 billion RMB - FY2026E: 121.4 billion RMB - FY2027E: 130.8 billion RMB - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 21% for FY2023, 20% for FY2024, and gradually decreasing to 8% by FY2027 [7][18]. - The net profit forecast is as follows: - FY2023: 9.6 billion RMB - FY2024: 11.5 billion RMB - FY2025E: 12.6 billion RMB - FY2026E: 13.9 billion RMB - FY2027E: 15.1 billion RMB - The gross margin is expected to improve slightly from 41.1% in FY2023 to 41.9% in FY2027 [7][18].
361度(01361):流水延续双位数增长,OneWay加快线下布局
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong resilience in the retail environment, achieving approximately 10% year-on-year growth in both its main brand and children's clothing lines in Q3 2025, with e-commerce sales growing around 20% [8] - The company maintains a healthy inventory level with a stable discount rate, achieving a channel inventory turnover ratio of 4.5-5 times and a terminal discount rate close to 30% [8] - The company is innovating its channels significantly, with rapid expansion of its "super brand stores," opening 23 new stores in September alone, and plans to open at least 100 stores by the end of the year [8] - The product matrix continues to refresh, showcasing technological advancements in core categories, including new iterations of running shoes and basketball shoes [8] - The One Way brand is re-entering the offline market, focusing on the mid-to-high-end outdoor market, with new store openings and a product line adjustment to align with current outdoor trends [8] - The company has been deepening its operational capabilities in product, brand, and channel over the past two decades, positioning itself for sustained growth above industry averages [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2023 to FY2027 are as follows: - FY2023: 84.23 billion RMB - FY2024: 100.7 billion RMB - FY2025E: 111.8 billion RMB - FY2026E: 121.4 billion RMB - FY2027E: 130.8 billion RMB - Net profit projections for the same period are: - FY2023: 9.6 billion RMB - FY2024: 11.5 billion RMB - FY2025E: 12.6 billion RMB - FY2026E: 13.9 billion RMB - FY2027E: 15.1 billion RMB - The company maintains a stable gross margin, projected to increase slightly from 41.1% in FY2023 to 41.9% in FY2027 [6][17]
361度(1361.HK):ONEWAY门店落地 超品店拓店顺利
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-14 04:57
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a steady growth in retail sales across its main brand, children's clothing, and e-commerce platforms, indicating a robust operational performance and strategic initiatives to enhance brand influence and market competitiveness [1]. Group 1: Operational Performance - In Q3 2025, the main brand's retail sales increased by approximately 10% year-on-year, while children's clothing also saw a similar growth of about 10%. E-commerce sales experienced a more significant increase of around 20% year-on-year [1]. - The company maintained its online and offline growth rates compared to Q2 2025, reflecting stable operational capabilities [1]. Group 2: Product Innovation - The company is focusing on "technology-driven product innovation," launching new products to meet diverse market demands while reinforcing its brand positioning as professional, youthful, and international [2]. - New product launches include the "Rain Shield 9" running shoes with DWS dynamic waterproof technology, the "Flying Burn 4.5" marathon shoes with enhanced materials, and various basketball and outdoor products designed for performance and protection [2]. Group 3: Brand Promotion - The company collaborated with basketball star Nikola Jokic during his first visit to China, launching exclusive products that generated significant buzz and sales [3]. - Other promotional activities included partnerships with athletes and events, enhancing brand visibility and engagement with consumers [3]. Group 4: Brand Building - As an official partner of the 20th Asian Games, the company will provide professional gear for torchbearers and volunteers, further expanding its global brand influence [4]. - The company is actively participating in international marathons and events, showcasing its products and reinforcing its commitment to the running community [4]. Group 5: Channel Development - The company is pursuing an "online and offline collaborative development" strategy, including partnerships with Meituan for quick delivery services and new retail experiences [5]. - The establishment of new stores, including a women's sports concept store and outdoor brand ONEWAY locations, is expected to enhance customer engagement and drive revenue growth [5]. Group 6: Financial Outlook - The company is projected to benefit from the current consumer trends, with strong sales in running and basketball shoes, and an anticipated continued growth in online sales [6]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are set at 11.616 billion, 13.353 billion, and 15.317 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 1.395 billion, 1.630 billion, and 1.873 billion yuan [6].