Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for Nobon Co., Ltd. in the non-woven cleaning products sector, highlighting its high growth potential [1]. Core Views - The textile and apparel sector has shown weaker performance compared to the market, with the SW textile and apparel index declining by 2.1% from July 28 to August 1, underperforming the SW All A index by 1.1 percentage points [4]. - The report emphasizes that domestic demand recovery is a crucial factor for investment in 2025, with quality domestic brands expected to reverse their current challenges [9][11]. Industry Data Summary - Retail sales for clothing, shoes, and textiles in China reached 742.6 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [25]. - In terms of exports, China exported textiles and apparel worth 143.98 billion USD in the first half of 2025, a slight increase of 0.8% year-on-year, with textile yarns and fabrics contributing 70.52 billion USD, up 1.8%, while apparel exports decreased by 0.2% to 73.46 billion USD [30]. - Cotton prices have seen a decline, with the national cotton price B index reported at 15,221 yuan per ton, down 1.5% as of August 1, 2025 [36]. Company-Specific Insights - Nobon Co., Ltd. is positioned well in the non-woven cleaning products market, benefiting from partnerships with major clients like Sam's Club and Yonghui, which are expected to drive performance beyond expectations [9]. - Adidas reported a 2.2% year-on-year revenue increase to 5.95 billion euros in Q2 2025, with a notable 12% growth in the Adidas brand revenue when excluding currency effects and the Yeezy series [11]. - The report suggests that the textile manufacturing sector may see a recovery in expectations due to the ongoing U.S.-China trade negotiations and the potential for tariff adjustments [10].

行 业 及 产 业 纺织服饰 2025 年 05 月 06 日 业绩收官表现分化，运动及户外产业链景气占优 看好 ——纺织服装行业周报 20250505 相关研究 《国货家纺彰显红利本色，优质制造迎来 超 跌 反 弹 — — 纺 织 服 装 行 业 周 报 20250427》 2025/04/27 《3 月服装零售稳步改善，纺织品出口反 弹 明 显 —— 纺 织 服 装 行 业 周 报 20250420》 2025/04/20 证券分析师 王立平 A0230511040052 wanglp@swsresearch.com 求佳峰 A0230523060001 qiujf@swsresearch.com 刘佩 A0230523070002 liupei@swsresearch.com 联系人 王立平 (8621)23297818× wanglp@swsresearch.com 本期投资提示： 重要信息回顾： 证 券 研 究 报 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 告 ⚫ 本周纺织服饰板块表现弱于市场。4 月 25-4 月 ...

Group 1 - In April, copper prices initially fell to 72,000 yuan/ton before recovering to around 77,000 yuan/ton due to rising market risk aversion and subsequent easing of trade tensions by the U.S. government [2] - The U.S. is negotiating trade agreements with 15 to 18 key partners, with India likely to be the first to reach an agreement, while the trade negotiations with China are intensifying [3] - The supply of copper concentrate remains tight, with processing fees declining significantly, and major mining companies have lowered their production guidance for 2025 [4] Group 2 - The import of scrap copper from the U.S. has dropped sharply, with March imports falling to 22,000 tons, a 29% decrease, as China imposes high tariffs on U.S. goods [5] - Social copper inventory has decreased for eight consecutive weeks, with a total of 155,100 tons, reflecting a tightening supply and increasing domestic demand [6] - The domestic copper market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with increased production in the face of limited imports, and the operating rate of major copper rod enterprises has risen to 79.56% [6] Group 3 - Overall, the copper market is facing weak supply, but demand is marginally improving due to domestic policies and overseas exports, although the sustainability of this demand recovery is in question [8] - The high tariffs imposed by both the U.S. and China are expected to severely impact consumer demand for durable goods, with potential negative effects on future demand [8] - The progress of U.S.-China trade negotiations will be crucial for copper prices, which may continue to rise if negotiations go smoothly, but could face downward pressure if they stall [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the textile and apparel industry [2]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector outperformed the market, with the SW textile and apparel index rising by 1.6% from April 14-18, 2025, surpassing the SW All A index by 1.3 percentage points [6]. - Retail sales of clothing and textiles showed steady improvement, with a year-on-year growth of 3.4% in the first quarter of 2025, totaling 386.9 billion yuan [30]. - Textile exports rebounded significantly in March, with a year-on-year increase of 12.9%, driven by accelerated shipments of previously placed orders [10][37]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The SW textile and apparel index increased by 1.6%, outperforming the SW All A index by 1.3 percentage points during the specified period [6]. - The SW apparel and home textiles index rose by 1.4%, while the SW textile manufacturing index also increased by 1.6% [6]. Retail Sales - In March, clothing retail sales grew by 3.6% year-on-year, slightly up from 3.3% in January-February [13]. - The total retail sales of clothing, shoes, and textiles for the first three months reached 386.9 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.4% increase year-on-year [30]. Export Data - In the first quarter, China exported textiles and apparel worth 66.3 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 0.6% [37]. - March saw textile and apparel exports amounting to 23.4 billion USD, marking a 12.9% year-on-year growth [37]. Cotton Prices - As of April 18, 2025, the national cotton price index was reported at 14,252 yuan per ton, with a weekly increase of 0.2% [40]. - The main contract for Zhengzhou cotton was priced at 12,885 yuan per ton, reflecting a 0.6% increase [40]. Market Trends - The report highlights the necessity for domestic demand to improve in 2025, especially in light of changing international trade dynamics [15]. - The focus on new outdoor activities, new business models, and supportive policies is emphasized as key growth areas [15]. Company Performance - 361 Degrees reported a 10-15% year-on-year growth in its main brand for the first quarter of 2025, with e-commerce sales increasing by 35-40% [28]. - Xtep International's main brand sales grew in the mid-single digits, with a significant increase of over 40% for the Saucony brand [28]. - The annual report for Baoshihua indicated a revenue of 5.15 billion yuan, down 1.9% year-on-year, with a net profit decline of 29.1% [28].

Group 1 - The US non-farm employment data for March 2025 exceeded expectations, with an increase of 228,000 jobs compared to the forecast of 135,000, although the previous value was revised down from 151,000 to 117,000 [6][9] - The unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.2%, up from the previous 4.1%, indicating a marginal increase in labor participation [8][9] - The service sector showed strong job growth, particularly in retail and leisure accommodation, contributing significantly to the overall employment increase [7][9] Group 2 - The recent sharp decline in oil prices is expected to impact the petrochemical industry, with a projected V-shaped recovery in oil prices throughout 2025, influenced by factors such as inflation control and manufacturing return to the US [14][16] - The report highlights the potential for domestic demand improvement and self-sufficiency in response to US tariff policies, suggesting that the impact on China will be limited [15][16] - The report recommends focusing on domestic bonds and equities, particularly in sectors that are self-sufficient and have low valuations, such as leading companies in the petrochemical industry [16][17] Group 3 - The Chinese government has strongly opposed the US's imposition of tariffs, stating that it violates international trade rules and disrupts global economic stability [17][18] - The State Council Tariff Commission announced a 34% additional tariff on all imports from the US, effective April 10, 2025, as a countermeasure to US tariffs [18][19] - The report notes that the US tariffs may lead to increased inflation in agricultural products, but the overall impact on domestic industries is expected to be manageable [15][21]