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10月十大金股:十月策略和十大金股
Huaxin Securities· 2025-10-08 09:04
投资要点 ▌ 总量观点 10 月海外关注美国政府停摆、经济数据及 10 月降息预期。 预计中上旬美国政府延续关门,目前市场反应还算温和, 警惕持续关门引发的资产波动放大。国内:关注短期增量 对冲政策、中长期十五五风向和 10 月底 APEC 中美进展。A 股震荡整固后蓄势上行,关注政策催化、景气修复和降息 受益三大方向。 行业选择:关注三大方向:1)政策催化(十五五规划受益 的半导体、机器人、工业软件、军工等);2)景气修复 (三季报盈利预期改善的 AI、创新药、新能源等);3)降 息受益(联储预防式降息延续利好的有色、非银等)。 ▌ 本期金股组合: 电子:中微公司(688012.SH) 电子:复旦微电(688385.SH) 中小盘:思泉新材(301489.SZ) 电子:长飞光纤(601869.SH) 汽车:模塑科技(000700.SZ) 电力设备:美湖股份(603319.SH) 新能源:深圳新星(603978.SH) 有色:洛阳钼业(603993.SH) 有色:兴业银锡(000426.SZ) 化工:江山股份(600389.SH) 2025 年 10 月 08 日 十月策略和十大金股 —10 月十大金股 注: ...
工业边缘AI计算赛道升温,设备与芯片厂商抢占风口
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-28 23:40
曙光网络总工程师陈冰冰告诉21世纪经济报道记者,工业企业数字化转型的第一步是设备联网,实现设 备之间的互联互通,这一过程通常被称为物联网(IoT)的部署。而设备一联网,就出现了边缘计算需 求:需要把数据汇集在某个边缘计算节点上进行存储、显示、处理。 第25届中国国际工业博览会上,多家厂商带来了工业边缘AI计算产品:曙光网络发布了新一代国产工 业边缘AI计算平台,研华科技也展示了多款基于X86和ARM架构、涵盖6Tops-2000Tops的边缘AI计算产 品。 不同于传统的边缘计算设备,边缘AI计算产品集成了人工智能算法,能够靠近数据源进行实时数据处 理与分析。 浙商证券(601878)预计,DeepSeek引领AI应用浪潮,随着海量终端连接和场景化应用兴起,未来将 有超过75%的数据会在边缘侧产生和处理。 而工业数据处理,正经历从云计算向边缘计算,再向边缘AI计算的演进。 从云计算到边缘计算 边缘计算是一种在现场或邻近特定数据源进行的计算形式,其本质是将数据处理从集中式的云计算中 心,迁移到数据产生源头附近。 对于传统边缘设备而言,其能够承载小模型(机理模型)。例如,工业边缘计算网关通常只能支持轻量 级的推理 ...
FPAI 产品市场反响良好目前处于导入阶段,泉果基金调研复旦微电
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 07:42
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent research conducted by QuanGuo Fund on Fudan Microelectronics, focusing on the company's strategic direction and product development [1][2]. - QuanGuo Fund was established on February 8, 2022, and currently manages assets totaling 16.396 billion yuan across six funds, with the best-performing fund in the past year being QuanGuo XuYuan Three-Year Holding Mixed A, achieving a return of 48.96% [1][2]. - The company is enhancing its business units' capabilities and focusing on supply chain construction while exploring new product lines to drive high-quality growth [1][2]. Group 2 - The FPAI heterogeneous fusion architecture chip integrates CPU, FPGA, and NPU, with a product development range from 4 TOPS to 128 TOPS, and the first 32 TOPS chip is progressing well in the market [3]. - The FPGA products are primarily based on 28nm technology, with ongoing efforts to expand into 1xnm FinFET ten billion gate products [4]. - The company is a leading FPGA supplier in China, actively building a "chip-software-solution" ecosystem [5]. Group 3 - In the first half of the year, the revenue from the security and identification chip product line was approximately 393 million yuan, accounting for 21% of total revenue, with some sub-line revenues declining due to market impacts [6]. - The RFID and sensor chip sub-lines, as well as the smart identification device chip sub-line, performed well, with the company maintaining a leading market share in several niche areas [6]. - The smart meter chip product line continued to grow, with sales increasing in various applications, including smart water, gas, and heat meters, as well as industrial control [6].
复旦微电(688385):业绩短期承压,高可靠产品动能修复
Huachuang Securities· 2025-08-28 04:44
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 75.13 CNY per share and 49.06 HKD per share for its AH shares [2][8]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 1.839 billion CNY, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.49%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 44.38% to 194 million CNY [2][8]. - The FPGA product line experienced significant growth, with revenue reaching 681 million CNY in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 23.15% [8]. - The demand for high-reliability products is improving, although high inventory levels are impacting short-term profit performance [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 3,590 million CNY, 4,220 million CNY, 4,850 million CNY, and 5,510 million CNY respectively, with expected growth rates of 1.5%, 17.5%, 14.9%, and 13.6% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 573 million CNY in 2024A, increasing to 1,227 million CNY by 2027E, with growth rates of -20.4%, 40.3%, 28.1%, and 19.3% respectively [4]. - The company’s gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 56.8%, a slight increase of 0.31 percentage points year-on-year [8]. Market Performance - The company’s stock price as of August 27, 2025, was 58.60 CNY, with a 12-month high of 58.60 CNY and a low of 23.68 CNY [5][8]. - The report indicates that the company has maintained a competitive advantage in the smart meter chip product line, achieving revenue of 248 million CNY in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.98% [8].
【私募调研记录】睿扬投资调研复旦微电
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-07-14 00:08
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Ruoyang Investment has conducted research on Fudan Microelectronics, highlighting the company's stable overall performance in 2023, with varying results across different product lines [1] - In the security and identification product line, the smart card business has seen a decline in revenue due to decreased demand for financial and social security cards, as well as intense competition [1] - NFC-related chips and RFID products have made progress in emerging fields, while the storage product line is experiencing low prices in consumer products [1] Group 2 - The MCU products are expanding successfully in automotive and white goods sectors, and the FPGA product line is benefiting from the high-reliability market, leading to sales growth [1] - The company is actively promoting higher integration heterogeneous fusion in FPGA development, creating a computing platform for various application scenarios [1] - New products are performing well in terms of pricing and gross margin, with cost reductions achieved through supply chain optimization and testing solutions [1] Group 3 - The company is focusing on inventory digestion and reducing inventory levels, with good credit status among accounts receivable customers [1] - Non-high-reliability products in RFID and security chip sectors are performing well, and the new management team is enhancing systematic design and optimizing research and development methodologies [1] - Progress has been made in supply chain construction, with some FPGA products expected to be supplied on domestic process platforms in the second half of the year [1] Group 4 - The management team is placing importance on investor relations, with plans for communication with investors after the new team is established [1]
安路科技:2024、1Q25通信市场需求遇冷-20250508
HTSC· 2025-05-08 02:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 30.40 RMB [4][7]. Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 was 6.52 billion RMB, a year-over-year decrease of 6.99%, and a net loss attributable to the parent company of 2.05 billion RMB, slightly better than previous expectations [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue drop to 0.93 billion RMB, down 34.29% year-over-year and 40.04% quarter-over-quarter, indicating weak demand from communication clients [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from the trend of domestic substitution in the long term, despite short-term performance pressures due to weak communication industry demand [1]. Summary by Sections 2024 Review - The company experienced a slight decline in revenue due to ongoing inventory digestion by terminal industry clients and uneven recovery in downstream demand. The FPGA product revenue was 5.79 billion RMB, down 32.36% year-over-year, despite a 60.84% increase in sales volume [2]. - The FPSoC product revenue was 0.43 billion RMB, down 3.91% year-over-year, with a slight increase in sales volume. The gross margin for FPSoC improved by 11.89 percentage points to 26.83% [2]. - The company's operating expenses ratio remained stable at 67.54% [2]. 2025 Outlook - The communication industry is still digesting inventory, but the company is expanding its customer base in the power, industrial control, and automotive markets, achieving revenue growth in these segments [3]. - A gradual recovery in communication client demand is anticipated as inventory digestion completes over the next two years [3]. - The company is enhancing its product matrix and service offerings, including a one-stop service system for FPGA/FPSoC chips, EDA software, and technical support [3]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 7.16 billion RMB and 8.18 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 17% and 25% from previous estimates [4]. - The company is expected to generate revenue of 9.39 billion RMB in 2027 [4]. - The report indicates a projected EPS of -0.48 RMB for 2025, with a gradual improvement in net profit margins over the forecast period [6][15].
安路科技2024年年报解读:营收下滑与研发投入下的挑战与机遇
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-26 03:59
Core Viewpoint - Anlu Technology is facing significant growth pressure in 2024, with both revenue and net profit declining amid a challenging market environment [1][2]. Revenue and Profit Summary - In 2024, Anlu Technology reported a revenue of 651,816,946.01 yuan, a decrease of 6.99% compared to 7.01 billion yuan in the previous year [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -205,141,813.17 yuan, worsening from -197,187,674.35 yuan in the previous year [1][3]. Business Segment Performance - The integrated circuit sector generated revenue of 647,171,795.37 yuan, down 7.49% year-on-year [2]. - FPGA product revenue was 579,357,688.98 yuan, a decline of 6.65%, while FPSoC product revenue decreased by 3.91% to 42,762,525.31 yuan [2]. R&D Investment and Financials - R&D expenses totaled 36,353.67 million yuan, accounting for 55.77% of revenue, indicating a strong commitment to innovation despite financial losses [3][6]. - Operating costs were 427,701,240.91 yuan, showing a slight decrease of 0.99%, but still exerting pressure on profit margins [3]. Cost Control and Financial Management - Sales expenses increased by 3.00% to 26,534,494.35 yuan, while management expenses decreased by 13.95% to 50,187,672.12 yuan, reflecting effective cost control [5]. - Financial expenses saw a significant reduction of 165.94%, dropping to -1,950,531.62 yuan due to the repayment of short-term loans [5]. Cash Flow and Investment Activities - The net cash flow from operating activities improved to -61,935,321.58 yuan, compared to -193,347,034.25 yuan in the previous year, attributed to better supply chain management [9]. - Investment activities resulted in a net cash outflow of -67,902,477.86 yuan, a decline of 139.98% year-on-year, indicating a strategic shift towards cash management products [10]. Future Opportunities and Challenges - Anlu Technology is focusing on innovation in the FPGA and FPSoC sectors, with ongoing R&D efforts expected to yield competitive products [13]. - The company is also expanding its market presence across various sectors, including industrial and automotive electronics, which may provide new revenue streams [13].
【私募调研记录】高毅资产调研复旦微电
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-04-14 00:06
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Gao Yi Asset recently conducted research on Fudan Microelectronics, focusing on their new generation of 1xnm FinFET advanced process FPGA products, which have received positive feedback from customers [1] - Fudan Microelectronics has completed sample testing for multiple FPGA products, offering differentiated performance and pricing to provide customers with diverse choices [1] - The company anticipates a credit impairment loss of approximately 45.68 million yuan for accounts receivable in 2024, primarily due to the aging of receivables from highly reliable customers [1] Group 2 - Fudan Microelectronics aims to stabilize performance and expand market share through various strategies in 2024, despite facing significant competition in smart card products [1] - The company reports good expansion in RFID products and a positive outlook for the smart meter product line [1] - In 2024, overseas sales are expected to account for about 5.6% of total sales, with direct exports to the U.S. valued at approximately $40,000, mainly consisting of financial card chips [1]