Core Insights - The report emphasizes the construction of a strategy portfolio based on industry and thematic ETFs, leveraging insights from previous strategy reports on industry style continuation and switching perspectives [1] - The strategy update indicates a cumulative net return of approximately 0.53% for the period from December 15 to December 19, 2025, with an excess return of about 0.66% compared to the CSI 300 ETF [2][11] - Since October 14, 2024, the strategy has achieved a cumulative return of approximately 26.72%, outperforming the CSI 300 ETF by about 5.86% [2] ETF Holdings and Performance - The report lists various ETFs with their market values and performance, highlighting the following: - Real Estate ETF (3.51 billion) is newly added with a 100% allocation to real estate development, showing a weekly timing signal of -1 [2] - Battery ETF (145.30 billion) continues to be held with a 62.7% allocation, showing a weekly timing signal of 0 [2] - Innovative Energy ETF (12.02 billion) continues to be held with a 46.04% allocation, showing a weekly timing signal of 0 [2] - Consumer Electronics ETF (11.41 billion) is newly added with a 46.5% allocation to semiconductors, showing a weekly timing signal of 0 [2] - Grid Equipment ETF (31.17 billion) continues to be held with an 80.77% allocation, showing a weekly timing signal of 1 [2] - 5G Communication ETF (79.24 billion) is newly added with a 41.2% allocation, showing a weekly timing signal of 1 [2] Weekly Recommendations - For the week of December 22 to December 26, 2025, the report recommends increasing holdings in sectors such as real estate development, batteries, and photovoltaic equipment, while continuing to hold existing positions in battery, innovative energy, and grid equipment ETFs [11]

Core Insights - The introduction of Doubao AI phone by ByteDance aims to disrupt the smartphone industry by integrating AI in a way that transcends traditional app functionalities [1][4] - The smartphone market has seen stagnant growth, with monthly shipments remaining around 25 million units over the past three years, indicating a shift in consumer behavior towards longer upgrade cycles [1] - The success of Doubao AI phone is attributed to its innovative approach, which contrasts with previous attempts by brands like Honor that failed to resonate with consumers [1] Smartphone Market Dynamics - Traditional smartphone upgrades have slowed, with average replacement cycles extending from 18 months to 40 months as consumers prioritize essential spending [1] - The smartphone market's monthly shipment figures have plateaued, reflecting a lack of significant growth in the industry [1] AI Integration in Smartphones - Doubao's model redefines the role of apps and UI, focusing on modular services that can be called upon by AI as needed, thus minimizing user awareness of the AI's presence [4] - The future of smartphone advancement may hinge on the ability of AI to handle a majority of routine tasks seamlessly, shifting the competitive landscape [4] Investment Opportunities - The launch of Doubao AI phone has sparked interest in AI-related stocks, with companies like ZTE experiencing significant stock price increases following the announcement [6] - Investors are encouraged to explore various ETFs related to AI applications, with categories including gaming, media, consumer electronics, and VR [5][7][8][12][14] ETF Categories - **Gaming ETFs**: The gaming sector is expected to benefit from the rise of AI applications, with specific indices like the Zhongzheng Animation and Gaming Index capturing a significant portion of the market [7] - **Media ETFs**: Media companies are also poised to gain from AI advancements, particularly in advertising and content creation, with indices like the Zhongzheng Media Index being relevant for investors [8][11] - **Consumer Electronics ETFs**: The consumer electronics sector is likely to see growth due to the AI phone trend, with major indices covering a wide range of related companies [12][13] - **VR ETFs**: Virtual reality is highlighted as a niche within consumer electronics, with specific indices focusing on VR applications and gaming [14]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the construction of a strategy portfolio based on industry and thematic ETFs, leveraging insights from previous strategy reports on industry rotation and ETF market overview [2][3]. Strategy Update - The strategy portfolio includes various ETFs, with notable holdings in Aerospace Equipment (59.16%), Automation Equipment (47.2%), and Communication Equipment (75.3%) [3]. - The weekly timing signals indicate a bearish outlook for several ETFs, with signals of -1 for Aerospace, Industrial Mother Machine, and Communication ETFs [3]. - The strategy's cumulative net return from October 14, 2024, to November 14, 2025, is approximately 18.16%, outperforming the CSI 300 ETF by 0.57% [3][4]. Performance Tracking - During the period from November 10 to November 14, 2025, the strategy recorded a cumulative net return of about -3.78%, with an excess return of -0.04% compared to the CSI 300 ETF [3][12]. - The average return of the ETF portfolio was -3.73%, with specific ETFs like the Communication ETF and Gaming ETF continuing to hold positions despite recent declines [12][13]. Recommended Holdings - For the upcoming week, the strategy recommends increasing positions in Securities ETF, Satellite Industry ETF, and Grid Equipment ETF, while maintaining existing positions in Aerospace and Industrial Mother Machine ETFs [13].

Strategy Overview - The report focuses on the industry rotation ETF strategy, recommending a portfolio based on industry and thematic ETFs, with an emphasis on quantitative analysis of industry style continuation and switching [2][3]. Recommended Sectors and Products - For the week of November 17, 2025, the model recommends increasing allocations to sectors such as communication equipment, consumer electronics, and real estate development. New additions include real estate ETF, consumer electronics ETF, and gaming ETF, while continuing to hold communication ETF and VRETF [2][3]. Performance Tracking - From November 10 to November 14, 2025, the strategy recorded a cumulative net return of approximately -2.23%, with an excess return of -1.11% compared to the CSI 300 ETF. Since October 14, 2024, the cumulative return of the strategy is about 22.80%, with an excess return of 0.64% relative to the CSI 300 ETF [2][3][11].

Report Overview - The report is a weekly strategy report on sector rotation ETFs from November 3, 2025, to November 9, 2025 [2] Core Views - The strategy is based on two research reports and constructs a strategy portfolio of sector and thematic ETFs [2] - For the week of November 10, 2025, the model recommends allocating to sectors such as communication equipment, software development, and consumer electronics [2] - The strategy will add holdings of Cloud Computing ETF, Battery ETF, Industrial Non - Ferrous Metals ETF, etc., and continue to hold Communication ETF, VR ETF, etc. Some ETFs and target index trading timing signals gave daily or weekly risk warnings as of last weekend [2] Performance Tracking - From November 3 to November 7, 2025, the cumulative net return of the strategy was approximately - 0.76%, and the excess return relative to the CSI 300 ETF was approximately - 1.58% [2] - Since October 14, 2024, the cumulative out - of - sample return of the strategy was about 25.60%, and the cumulative excess return relative to the CSI 300 ETF was about 2.13% [2] Recommended Portfolio for the Next Week (20251110 - 20251114) | Fund Code | ETF Name | ETF Market Cap (Billion Yuan) | Holding Status | Coincident Shenwan Sector and Weight | Weekly Timing Signal | Daily Timing Signal | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 515880 | Communication ETF | 117.77 | Continue to hold | Communication Equipment (75.3%) | 1 | 0 | | 516510 | Cloud Computing ETF | 19.86 | Add | Software Development (30.54%) | 0 | 0 | | 159786 | VR ETF | 2.10 | Continue to hold | Consumer Electronics (28.46%) | 1 | - 1 | | 159755 | Battery ETF | 165.64 | Add | Battery (62.54%) | 1 | 1 | | 560860 | Industrial Non - Ferrous Metals ETF | 56.84 | Add | Industrial Metals (57.65%) | 1 | 1 | | 512220 | TMT ETF | 5.48 | Continue to hold | Semiconductor (37.25%) | 1 | 0 | | 512660 | Military Industry ETF | 142.21 | Add | Aviation Equipment (35.02%) | 0 | - 1 | | 159870 | Chemical Industry ETF | 172.55 | Add | Chemical Products (25.73%) | 1 | 1 | | 159667 | Industrial Mother Machine ETF | 6.04 | Add | Automation Equipment (47.2%) | 1 | - 1 | | 588830 | Science and Innovation New Energy ETF | 10.06 | Add | Photovoltaic Equipment (46.08%) | 1 | 1 | [2] Holdings and Performance in the Past Week (20251103 - 20251107) | Fund Code | ETF Name | ETF Market Cap (Billion Yuan) | Recent 1 - week Return (%) | Holding Status | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 515880 | Communication ETF | 117.77 | 0.40 | Continue to hold | | 159768 | Real Estate ETF | 5.88 | - 0.66 | Remove | | 159869 | Game ETF | 113.12 | - 0.49 | Remove | | 562050 | Pharmaceutical ETF | 1.06 | - 3.04 | Remove | | 512800 | Bank ETF | 205.57 | 2.71 | Remove | | 159766 | Tourism ETF | 35.92 | 2.32 | Remove | | 512220 | TMT ETF | 5.48 | - 0.47 | Continue to hold | | 159786 | VR ETF | 2.10 | - 2.04 | Continue to hold | | 516560 | Pension ETF | 1.33 | - 1.25 | Remove | | 588700 | Science and Innovation Pharmaceutical ETF (Harvest) | 3.16 | - 5.10 | Remove | | | ETF Portfolio Average Return | | - 0.76 | | | 510300 | CSI 300 ETF | 4277.20 | 0.82 | | | | ETF Portfolio Excess Return | | - 1.58 | | [11]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the construction of strategy portfolios based on industry and thematic ETFs, focusing on industry style continuation and switching perspectives through quantitative analysis [2][3]. - The strategy update indicates a recommendation to hold or adjust positions in various ETFs, reflecting a tactical approach to industry rotation [2][3]. ETF Performance Summary - The report lists several ETFs with their market values, holding status, and dominant sectors, indicating a focus on aerospace, military electronics, semiconductors, and traditional media sectors [3][12]. - The cumulative net return for the strategy from September 22 to September 26, 2025, was approximately -0.12%, with an excess return of -1.14% compared to the CSI 300 ETF [3][12]. - Since October 14, 2024, the cumulative return for the strategy sample outside the main portfolio was about 24.76%, outperforming the CSI 300 ETF by approximately 4.92% [3][4]. Recommended ETF Adjustments - The report suggests adding positions in the Satellite ETF, Central Enterprise Technology ETF, and Central Enterprise Innovation ETF while maintaining positions in the Aerospace ETF, Film and Television ETF, and Steel ETF [3][12]. - The weekly model recommends focusing on sectors such as aerospace equipment, military electronics, and semiconductors for the upcoming week [12].

Group 1 - The ETF market showed mixed performance with the wine ETF (512690) leading gains at 2.53% [2] - The China Securities Dividend Quality ETF (159209) increased by 1.68% [2] - The VRETF (159786) rose by 1.52% [2] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Medical ETF (159303) experienced the largest decline, falling by 4.95% [2] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drug ETF (159570) decreased by 3.36% [2] - The Cloud 50 ETF (560660) dropped by 3.19% [2]