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【史海回眸】1983年,美军入侵格林纳达遭全球声讨
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-01-15 22:42
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the historical context of Grenada's political turmoil and the U.S. military intervention in 1983, highlighting the geopolitical dynamics between Grenada, the U.S., and other nations like Cuba and the Soviet Union [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: Historical Background - Grenada, an island nation in the Caribbean, gained independence from British colonial rule in 1974, leading to economic decline and public discontent under Prime Minister Eric Gairy [1]. - In 1979, a coup led by Maurice Bishop established a revolutionary government, which sought alliances with socialist countries, including Cuba and the Soviet Union, amidst U.S. attempts to influence Grenada [1][2]. Group 2: U.S. Response and Military Action - The construction of a new airport in Grenada, supported by Cuba, raised U.S. concerns about military implications, leading to economic sanctions and military exercises in the region [2]. - Following internal strife and the assassination of Bishop, the U.S. launched Operation Urgent Fury on October 25, 1983, deploying 7,000 troops against Grenada's 1,500-man military [3]. Group 3: International Reaction - The U.S. invasion faced widespread international condemnation, with countries like the UK and Canada criticizing the violation of Grenada's sovereignty, and the UN passing a resolution against the U.S. actions [4]. - Domestic opposition in the U.S. included significant anti-war protests, indicating public dissent against the military intervention [4].
调查:超2/3受访日企认为中日关系恶化影响经济
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-01-15 22:42
Group 1 - Over two-thirds of Japanese companies expect negative impacts on the economy due to deteriorating China-Japan relations, with nearly half reporting direct business impacts [1] - Approximately 9% of surveyed companies have already felt the effects of worsening relations, while 35% anticipate some level of impact [1] - About 43% of respondents are considering reevaluating their business dealings with China due to ongoing tensions [1] Group 2 - Japan's service balance has turned into a deficit of 44.1 billion yen as of November 2025, marking six consecutive months of deficit, with tourism balance showing a significant decline [2] - The tourism surplus in November 2022 was 452.4 billion yen, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 19%, indicating pressure on Japan's external service trade [2] - The gap between inbound and outbound tourism spending is narrowing, suggesting a decline in foreign tourist spending in Japan [2] Group 3 - The internal structure of the inbound tourism market is changing, contributing to revenue slowdown, with only 562,600 visitors from mainland China in November 2022, a mere 3% increase year-on-year [3] - Visitor numbers from Hong Kong decreased by nearly 9% year-on-year, following a call from China for citizens to exercise caution when traveling to Japan [3] - Major Japanese travel agency JTB predicts a potential decrease in foreign visitors in 2026, primarily due to weakened demand from the Chinese market [3]
干扰美联储“独立”,限制信用卡利率,特朗普政府同华尔街分歧加剧
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-01-15 22:42
Group 1 - The relationship between Wall Street and the Trump administration is deteriorating, particularly due to concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve following a criminal investigation into Chairman Jerome Powell [1][3] - Trump's proposal to impose a one-year cap of 10% on credit card interest rates has further strained relations, as it is seen as a direct intervention in the credit market [1][4] - Major banks, including JPMorgan and Citigroup, have expressed concerns that Trump's actions could have negative consequences for the U.S. economy, warning that limiting interest rates may restrict access to credit for those who need it most [3][4] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that Trump's push to lower consumer borrowing costs is a strategic move in his power struggle with the Federal Reserve, aiming to address voter dissatisfaction with rising living costs [5] - The proposal to cap credit card interest rates has been met with skepticism from Republican leaders, indicating that achieving consensus on this complex issue may take significant time [5]
欧洲智库民调揭示中美影响力变化,“多国预计,与中国关系将进一步深化”
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-01-15 22:42
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that a global poll indicates a majority of respondents believe China's global influence will continue to grow over the next decade, largely due to the long-term diplomatic practices and cooperation outcomes established by China [1][2] - In South Africa, 83% of respondents believe China's influence will increase, with similar sentiments expressed in Brazil (72%), Turkey (63%), the US (54%), the EU average (53%), India (51%), and the UK (50%) [1] - A significant portion of the population in countries like South Africa (85%), Russia (86%), and Brazil (73%) view China as a necessary partner or ally, suggesting a shift towards a multipolar world where China's development aligns with the interests of many non-Western nations [2][3] Group 2 - The report highlights a declining perception of the US, with only 16% of EU citizens viewing the US as an ally, while 20% see it as a competitor or enemy, indicating a significant shift in attitudes towards the US in Europe [2] - Many respondents from countries other than Brazil, India, South Africa, and Turkey do not believe the US will maintain its influence, reflecting a new global power perspective where the US is no longer the dominant force in the international order [3] - The report suggests that European leaders need to confront the reality of their positioning in a post-Western world to develop effective strategies, as the current reliance on the US is seen as a source of vulnerability [4]
印度政府约谈多家电商平台,要求取消骑手“10分钟送达”时限
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-01-15 22:42
Group 1 - The Indian government has summoned several e-commerce platforms to discuss the cancellation of the "10-minute delivery" service due to safety concerns, which has been referred to as "life-and-death 10 minutes" in domestic discourse [1][3] - The Minister of Labour and Employment, Mandaviya, emphasized that the safety of delivery personnel must take precedence over profit-driven business commitments, leading to Blinkit modifying its advertising slogan [3][4] - The rapid growth of e-commerce has provided significant benefits to consumers in major Indian cities, but increased competition and rising consumer expectations have placed immense pressure on delivery workers, referred to as "gig workers" [4][5] Group 2 - Delivery workers often neglect safety gear and struggle with India's chaotic traffic conditions, with a reported 17,000 traffic violations by delivery personnel within a week in Bangalore [5] - Labor unions have criticized the "10-minute delivery" model as exploitative, highlighting the disparity between corporate promises and the realities faced by workers, leading to large-scale protests for better pay and safer working conditions [5] - Experts believe that government intervention may have limited impact, as the industry prioritizes speed, leaving workers under pressure from platform algorithms and consumer ratings [5]
美国将暂停75个国家的移民签证办理,未设定明确终止时间
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-01-15 22:42
Core Points - The U.S. government announced a comprehensive suspension of immigration visa processing for citizens from 75 countries, effective January 21, with no specified end date [1] - The suspension specifically targets immigrant visas, including work and family reunion visas, while non-immigrant visas such as student, tourist, and business visas remain unaffected [1] - The measure is aimed at preventing foreign nationals who may claim benefits and public assistance from entering the U.S. [1] Group 1 - The suspension affects a wide range of countries, including those with historically limited visa access like Somalia, Iran, and Russia, as well as countries with better relations with the U.S. such as Brazil, Egypt, and Thailand [1] - The policy is linked to a welfare fraud case in Minnesota involving Somali nationals, which has drawn federal scrutiny and contributed to the focus on Somalia [2] - The policy is described as one of the most hostile towards legal immigration in U.S. history, potentially denying entry to approximately 315,000 legal immigration applicants annually [2] Group 2 - Thailand's Foreign Minister expressed dissatisfaction with being included in the visa restriction list, stating it sends a wrong signal and undermines Thailand's dignity [2]
全球首个“冰芯记忆库”在南极启用
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-01-15 22:42
Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the world's first mountain ice core preservation base in Antarctica aims to protect climate information from glaciers that are disappearing due to global warming [1][3]. Group 1: Ice Core Project - The "Ice Memory" project, initiated by research institutions from Italy, France, and Switzerland, focuses on creating a dedicated archive for ice cores to preserve climate data [3]. - The first ice core samples were taken from glaciers in Mont Blanc, France, and the Grand Combin region in Switzerland, and were transported to Antarctica for preservation [3][4]. - The ice cores are stored in a specially constructed underground ice chamber at the Concordia research station, which maintains a stable temperature of -52 degrees Celsius [3]. Group 2: Future Plans and Urgency - Over the next few years, dozens of ice cores from various locations, including the Andes and Kilimanjaro, are expected to be added to the "Ice Memory" archive [4]. - The urgency of the project is emphasized by the need to rescue remaining glaciers before they disappear permanently [4].
“强卖”委内瑞拉石油,美国得失几何?
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-01-15 22:42
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government has completed its first sale of Venezuelan oil, aiming to bring in cheap crude to control rising domestic energy prices, but this strategy is pressuring local oil companies and may lead to a decline in U.S. oil production by 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Impact on U.S. Oil Industry - The U.S. shale oil industry, particularly in Midland, Texas, is facing significant challenges due to falling oil prices, which have dropped below $60 per barrel, leading to layoffs and reduced drilling activity [2][4]. - The number of drilling rigs in the Permian Basin has decreased by approximately 14% over the past year, with major producers like Chevron and ExxonMobil planning to cut thousands of jobs by 2025 [2][4]. - The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts a 1% reduction in U.S. oil production this year due to inventory buildup and declining drilling activities [5]. Group 2: Economic and Policy Implications - The Trump administration's push to lower oil prices to $50 per barrel is exacerbating the situation for smaller U.S. shale operators, who are experiencing shrinking profit margins [4][5]. - Rising internal costs due to tariffs on essential materials for the oil industry are further complicating the operational landscape for U.S. oil producers [5]. - If oil prices remain below $60 per barrel, economic contraction could occur, leading to the closure of more drilling platforms and increased unemployment in oil-dependent regions like Texas [5]. Group 3: Global Oil Market Dynamics - The increase in Venezuelan oil supply, while beneficial for U.S. consumers, contributes to a global oversupply situation, putting additional pressure on U.S. oil prices [4]. - Analysts predict that geopolitical tensions, such as concerns over Iran, may temporarily affect oil supply but are unlikely to have a long-term impact on actual production levels [6]. - The potential recovery of Venezuelan oil production, previously curtailed by U.S. sanctions, could further suppress oil prices in the global market [6].
美媒:研究证实,马匹能通过嗅觉感知骑手的恐惧
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-01-15 22:42
Core Insights - The article discusses a study published in the American journal PLOS, indicating that horses can detect human fear through smell, which influences their behavior and physiological responses [1][3]. Group 1: Study Findings - A French research institution conducted an experiment where volunteers wore cotton pads under their armpits while watching horror films and pleasant content, then the pads were presented to 43 mares [1]. - The results showed that horses exposed to the scent of sweat from individuals who watched horror films were more easily startled by sudden movements and exhibited increased vigilance, becoming less willing to approach humans [1][3]. - Different scents also affected the horses' physiological responses; their heart rates increased and behavior became more agitated when exposed to the scent of fear, while scents from pleasant scenarios resulted in normal physiological responses [3]. Group 2: Implications for Human-Horse Interaction - The findings suggest a new research direction, indicating that horses may use chemical signals from sweat to assess potential threats from humans, demonstrating that emotional signals can be transmitted across species [3]. - The study emphasizes the importance for individuals who frequently interact with horses to be aware of their emotional states, as feelings of tension or fear can lead to negative reactions from the horses [3]. - Maintaining a calm and positive emotional state is beneficial for communication between humans and horses, potentially reducing the horses' anxiety and fear responses [3].
瑞银:中国AI大模型性价比优势明显
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-01-15 22:42
对此,瑞银全球投资银行亚太股票资本市场联席主管胡凌寒表示,香港市场资金池与全球互通,"当池 子繁荣发展,就能吸引全球资金"。她表示,去年,比亚迪和小米均在香港完成了大规模融资,比亚迪 募资总额约为56亿美元,小米约为53亿美元,香港市场能迅速支撑如此规模发行,背后正是因为市场繁 荣、企业优秀,能快速调动全世界资金池融入资本市场。"中国领先的AI企业,受资本的关注和支持非 常高", 胡凌寒称,即使这些股票涨幅翻了数倍,也仍能看到外资基金通过瑞银进行买入。 "和美国相比,中国的AI泡沫概率小得多,短期还看不到明确的AI泡沫迹象。" 瑞银中国互联网行业分 析师熊玮14日分析原因称,首先,中国模型厂商没有太多循环融资现象,中国领先的大模型公司,很多 靠母公司自有现金流,产生健康的可持续现金流,来支持AI研发与投入。根据统计,2025年中国头部 互联网大厂总资本开支约为4000亿元人民币,约为美国同行的1/10,但中国模型能力与美国不相上下, 并且在持续追赶。 熊玮预计,2026年中国科技将继续推动模型的快速迭代,逐渐缩小与美国最先进模型能力的差距。"美 国模型追求的是智能水平全球领先,但同时价格也非常贵。实际模型落地 ...